Hull City

9th · Premier League · 9 points · Matches played: 7

12 points behind Manchester City · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+6.0 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed +1.6 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 37.1+6.0
World Rank 154th Global, by Elo
Premier League Rank 20th L90 Strength
Last FulhamA xG 0.2–1.8 0–1 Next BrentfordH 25%

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Our take

Short on strength, fighting for points.

Hull City are short of quality at both ends, with one of the weaker attack in the league and one of the weaker defence in the league. Across the 7 league matches with forecasts, they have collected around 4 more points than our pre-match forecasts predicted. C. Hughes is out, and The toughest of the next 3 matches is the trip to Arsenal.

Premier League · 7 games. Their results look better than their underlying numbers. They are scoring more goals than their chances suggest. They are conceding fewer goals than expected; good goalkeeping or poor finishing by opponents may explain the gap.

They are comfortable without the ball, with only 32% possession, and look to hurt teams on the break. Their results hold up much the same at home and away.

  • Relegation 76%Likely 19th · 33 projected points
  • Next 3: about 3 of 9 points Toughest at Arsenal · , 4% to win
  • 1 key player outC. Hughes · 9% of squad weight missing · Last match: 17 Oct
  • 9 pts vs 5.5 expected+3.5 vs pre-match expectations · 7 matches with forecasts

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Hull City. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals for this club in each category.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses observed Playing style averages; window size is not xG coverage and the two metrics can have different denominators. Points minus xPts uses the same covered current-league matches and stored forecasts as Club strength, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

The full picture, with the evidence behind every signal.View all Club insights →

Season

League position and season results.

Overview

2026-2027
All competitions7 Played
Premier League9 pts1.29 PPG7 games 9th
28.6%Win %
Wins2
Draws3
Losses2

Expected metrics · 7 of 7 matches covered

Goals For
81.14 / game
xG 6.87 1.13 more goals than expected. vs 8 goals
Goals Against
71.00 / game
xGA 10.91 3.91 fewer conceded than expected. vs 7 conceded
Goal Difference
+1+0.14 / game
xGD -4.04 Goal difference is 5.04 higher than expected. vs +1 GD
Clean Sheets
343% of games

Season totals cover all competitions and stages. Positions and points refer to each competition table.

Competition standings

There is no combined table across competitions. View each competition separately.

Premier League →

Squad 40 players · this season, all competitions · 8 out

Absences reported for the last match: 17 Oct 2026

Top scorer
M. Belloumi3 goals
Most assists
M. Belloumi2 assists
Best rated
K. Tzolakis7.20 avg rating
Most minutes
K. Tzolakis630 min
Key to the model
K. TzolakisCore · weight 3.00
PlayerAgeAppsMinGARatingModel role
Goalkeepers
K. Tzolakis 23 7 (7) 630 0 0 7.20 core
J. Butland injured 33 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Archie Howard — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
D. Phillips 31 0 (0) 0 0 0 — depth
Defenders
J. Egan 33 7 (7) 618 0 0 6.80 starter
S. Ajayi 32 7 (7) 604 1 0 6.73 rotation
L. Coyle 31 7 (7) 532 0 0 6.53 starter
R. Giles 26 7 (6) 531 0 1 6.68 starter
N. Mendy injured 22 5 (5) 343 1 0 7.05 starter
L. Herrington 19 6 (2) 242 0 0 6.52 rotation
B. Norton-Cuffy 22 3 (1) 102 0 0 6.31 rotation
C. Drameh 24 2 (0) 64 0 0 6.75 rotation
P. McNair 31 1 (0) 26 0 0 6.60 rotation
M. Targett injured 31 1 (0) 5 0 0 6.90 depth
S. Ashbee 19 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
C. Hughes injured 23 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
M. Jacob 25 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
C. Okike — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Midfielders
R. Slater 27 7 (7) 588 0 1 6.65 starter
M. Crooks 32 5 (5) 338 0 0 6.65 starter
E. Stroud 24 5 (4) 279 0 1 6.33 rotation
B. Thomas 27 5 (3) 274 0 1 6.55 starter
L. Gourna-Douath injured 23 3 (1) 137 0 0 6.77 rotation
T. Iroegbunam 23 4 (0) 135 0 0 6.43 rotation
H. Morita 31 3 (1) 76 0 0 6.46 rotation
K. Dowell 29 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
D. Gyabi injured 22 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
E. Matazo injured 24 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
A. Ömür 27 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Ó. Zambrano Preciado 22 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Forwards
O. McBurnie 30 7 (7) 622 0 1 6.59 starter
M. Belloumi 24 7 (6) 514 3 2 7.16 rotation
J. Gelhardt 24 3 (1) 93 1 0 7.00 starter
M. Cho injured 22 4 (0) 72 1 0 6.93 rotation
L. Millar 27 2 (0) 50 1 0 7.20 rotation
Robinio Vaz 19 4 (0) 46 0 0 6.39 rotation
J. Hjertø-Dahl 20 1 (0) 9 0 0 6.70 depth
B. Akintola 30 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
D. Daley — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
T. Sellars-Fleming 21 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —

Stats are this season in all competitions. Model role is how much the availability model weighs each player before the game with Brentford: core, starter, rotation or depth, from several seasons of minutes and ratings.

Performance

Strength, recent form and playing style.

Strength Premier League · 20 clubs

L90 Strength20th of 20
37 Elo 1567 · World #154
Current Strength
37 With absences before 25 Oct: +0 Elo
Attack20th of 20
37 Scores 1.36 per match against an average top-five side
Defence20th of 20
50 Concedes 1.54 per match against an average top-five side

In forecast League average

L90 Strength comes from Elo; Attack and Defence from goals scored and conceded, expected goals (xG) and shots on target, all on fixed 0–100 scales shared by every league. These are the numbers the forecast uses.

Strong at both ends Defence first Attack first Struggling Attack → Defence → Manchester City: attack 92, defence 82, L90 Strength 91 Arsenal: attack 86, defence 95, L90 Strength 94 Brighton: attack 87, defence 85, L90 Strength 83 Chelsea: attack 77, defence 74, L90 Strength 77 Liverpool: attack 85, defence 84, L90 Strength 84 Brentford: attack 73, defence 73, L90 Strength 75 Leeds: attack 69, defence 77, L90 Strength 73 Everton: attack 61, defence 66, L90 Strength 67 Hull City: attack 37, defence 50, L90 Strength 37 Ipswich: attack 59, defence 50, L90 Strength 49 Newcastle: attack 61, defence 61, L90 Strength 71 Aston Villa: attack 83, defence 78, L90 Strength 84 Manchester United: attack 72, defence 80, L90 Strength 79 Crystal Palace: attack 64, defence 54, L90 Strength 64 Bournemouth: attack 83, defence 82, L90 Strength 77 Tottenham: attack 56, defence 74, L90 Strength 62 Coventry: attack 47, defence 59, L90 Strength 51 Fulham: attack 66, defence 68, L90 Strength 65 Nottingham Forest: attack 68, defence 74, L90 Strength 70 Sunderland: attack 62, defence 59, L90 Strength 57
Every Premier League club on the Attack and Defence scales. Dashed lines are the league average. Tap a crest to open that club.

Form last 5 for the index · last 7 listed

36
Form index · 19th of 20 in league
Points, last 5
3
Median top-5 club
4.6
Own forecasts
4.0 -1.0
Table9th L90 Strength20th Form19th

Higher in the table than their strength suggests.

Form compares points with what a median top-five club (L90 Strength 50) would take from the same fixtures, so wins over strong sides count for more; 50 is a typical run. "Own forecasts" is the gap to this club's pre-match expectations. Form is context: in our tests it did not improve the forecast.

  • L17 OctA · Fulham0–10.8 xPts
  • D11 OctH · Everton2–21.0 xPts
  • L19 SepA · Newcastle1–20.8 xPts
  • D12 SepA · Chelsea2–20.6 xPts
  • D5 SepH · Aston Villa0–00.9 xPts
  • W29 AugA · Coventry1–00.9 xPts
  • W22 AugH · Manchester United2–00.6 xPts

Trends last 7, all competitions

Scored 5/7
Clean sheet 3/7
Conceded 2+ 3/7
Over 2.5 3/7
Both teams scored 3/7

Playing style vs Premier League average

HULLeagueRank
Goals scored 1.14 1.43 13th
Goals conceded 1.00 1.45 4th
xG 0.98 1.49 20th
xG allowed 1.56 1.50 14th
Scored in 71% 72% 9th
Clean sheets 43% 28% 3rd
HULLeagueRank
Shots 10.71 13.71 18th
Shots on target 4.00 4.56 15th
On target share 32% 32% 12th
Box share 45% 64% 20th
Conversion 11% 10% 9th
HULLeagueRank
Shots allowed 14.57 13.77 13th
On target allowed 4.86 4.55 15th
Blocks 4.29 4.33 9th
Save rate 77% 66% 2nd
HULLeagueRank
Possession 32% 50% 20th
Passes 275 442 20th
Pass accuracy 72% 82% 20th
HULLeagueRank
Fouls 10.86 11.49 10th
Fouls suffered 7.57 11.49 20th
Yellow cards 3.00 1.96 19th
Red cards 0.00 0.06 1st
This league season, per match · 7 games. Rank among 20 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.
HULLeagueRank
Goals scored 1.20 1.54 14th
Goals conceded 0.80 1.34 2nd
xG 1.14 1.53 20th
xG allowed 1.32 1.44 8th
Scored in 70% 76% 10th
Clean sheets 50% 29% 3rd
HULLeagueRank
Shots 10.30 13.96 20th
Shots on target 4.22 4.69 13th
On target share 37% 33% 3rd
Box share 50% 65% 20th
Conversion 12% 11% 10th
HULLeagueRank
Shots allowed 13.80 13.41 12th
On target allowed 4.30 4.43 9th
Blocks 4.10 4.19 10th
Save rate 77% 68% 2nd
HULLeagueRank
Possession 33% 50% 20th
Passes 267 442 20th
Pass accuracy 68% 83% 20th
HULLeagueRank
Fouls 10.10 11.35 4th
Fouls suffered 8.90 11.46 19th
Yellow cards 2.70 1.96 19th
Red cards 0.00 0.05 1st
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 games. Rank among 20 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.

Home and away this league season

Home1.67pts per game1-2-0 · 1.3–0.7 goals · 3 games
Away1.00pts per game1-1-2 · 1.0–1.2 goals · 4 games

Goal timing this league season · 7 games

3 0-15
2 16-30
2 1 31-45
1 1 46-60
2 2 61-75
1 76-90

scored conceded, per 15 minutes

In forecastVia Att/DefContextLeague average

Possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Goals, xG and shots on target feed the Attack and Defence ratings. The rest describes how the team plays and does not change the forecast.

Team rankings Premier League · 7 games · rank of 20

Attack

GF 8 13th / 20
GF/G 1.14 13th / 20
xG/G 0.98 20th / 20
G − xG +0.16 5th / 20

Defence

GA 7 4th / 20
GA/G 1.00 4th / 20
xGA/G 1.56 14th / 20
xGA − GA +0.56 2nd / 20

Overall

Pts 9 9th / 20
xPts 5.5 20th / 20
PPG 1.29 9th / 20
TR 6.75 14th / 20
GD +1 7th / 20
xGD -4.1 18th / 20
W 2 7th / 20
L 2 8th / 20

Scorelines

  • 2–2×2
  • 2–0×1
  • 1–0×1
  • 0–0×1
  • 1–2×1
  • 0–1×1

Goals per game both teams

14% 0
29% 1
14% 2
14% 3
29% 4
0% 5+

Totals club · league

Over 1.5
57%76%
Over 2.5
43%54%
Over 3.5
29%36%
Both scored
43%53%
Clean sheet
43%27%
Failed to score
29%27%
ClubLeague average

This league season only. xPts adds up our pre-match win and draw chances (pure EloLambda, the same numbers as Form). xG and TR come from match data and describe the season so far; none of these rankings change the forecast directly.