Moreirense

12th · Primeira Liga · 8 points · Matches played: 8

16 points behind FC Porto · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

-4.3 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed -1.4 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 25.4-4.3
World Rank 291st Global, by Elo
Primeira Liga Rank 12th L90 Strength
Last GIL VicenteH xG 1.0–1.5 0–1 Next EstorilA 27%

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Our take

An average side on a poor run.

Moreirense are short of quality at both ends, with one of the weaker attack in the league and one of the weaker defence in the league. Across the 8 league matches with forecasts, their points total is close to our pre-match expectations. The squad is fully fit, and The toughest of the next 3 matches is the trip to Sporting CP.

They are comfortable without the ball, with only 36% possession, and look to hurt teams on the break. Their results hold up much the same at home and away.

  • Relegation 6%Likely 12th · 38 projected points
  • Next 3: about 3 of 9 points Toughest at Sporting CP · , 6% to win
  • Full squadNobody reported missing
  • 8 pts vs 8.0 expected-0.0 vs pre-match expectations · 8 matches with forecasts

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Moreirense. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals for this club in each category.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses observed Playing style averages; window size is not xG coverage and the two metrics can have different denominators. Points minus xPts uses the same covered current-league matches and stored forecasts as Club strength, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

The full picture, with the evidence behind every signal.View all Club insights →

Season

League position and season results.

Overview

2026-2027
All competitions8 Played
Primeira Liga8 pts1.00 PPG8 games 12th
25.0%Win %
Wins2
Draws2
Losses4

Expected metrics · 4 of 8 matches covered

Goals For
81.00 / game
xG 2.02 0.98 more goals than expected. vs 3 goals
Goals Against
151.88 / game
xGA 5.84 1.16 more conceded than expected. vs 7 conceded
Goal Difference
-7-0.88 / game
xGD -3.82 Goal difference is 0.18 lower than expected. vs -4 GD
Clean Sheets
113% of games

Season totals cover all competitions and stages. Positions and points refer to each competition table.

Competition standings

There is no combined table across competitions. View each competition separately.

Primeira Liga →

Squad 31 players · this season, all competitions

Top scorer
Kiko1 goals
Most assists
A. Duville-Parsemain1 assists
Best rated
Tiago Andrade6.91 avg rating
Most minutes
André Ferreira720 min
Key to the model
André FerreiraStarter · weight 1.71
PlayerAgeAppsMinGARatingModel role
Goalkeepers
André Ferreira 30 8 (8) 720 0 0 6.38 starter
Aranha 21 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Defenders
G. Dambi Batista 22 8 (8) 720 0 0 6.63 starter
Kiko 24 8 (8) 707 1 0 6.60 starter
Maracás 32 7 (7) 610 0 0 6.53 starter
Dinis Pinto 26 7 (6) 560 1 0 6.59 starter
Leandro Santos 21 5 (2) 212 0 0 6.30 rotation
Kevyn Monteiro 21 5 (1) 119 0 0 6.40 rotation
Janderson — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Álvaro Martínez 24 0 (0) 0 0 0 — rotation
J. Pedro 18 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Midfielders
N. John 23 8 (8) 587 1 0 6.40 starter
Manuel Mendonça 21 6 (6) 459 1 0 6.34 starter
Rodri Alonso 23 8 (3) 346 0 0 6.36 rotation
Guilherme Liberato 25 3 (3) 270 0 0 6.37 rotation
M. Stjepanović 22 6 (2) 249 0 0 6.37 starter
João Veloso 21 5 (2) 248 1 1 6.83 rotation
Guilherme Liberato — 3 (3) 211 0 0 — rotation
?L. Vonić — 3 (3) 210 1 1 7.15 starter
?Chipyoka Songa — 2 (0) 36 0 0 6.27 rotation
Afonso Assis 20 0 (0) 0 0 0 — rotation
J. Gower 22 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Miguel Silva — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Forwards
A. Duville-Parsemain 24 6 (5) 434 1 1 6.22 starter
Landerson 19 8 (5) 414 0 0 6.14 rotation
Tiago Andrade 20 6 (3) 320 1 1 6.91 rotation
Kiko Bondoso 30 7 (3) 287 0 1 6.51 starter
A. Vieira 19 2 (2) 105 0 0 6.15 rotation
Maranhão 24 5 (0) 91 0 0 6.42 rotation
Michael Dacosta 21 1 (0) 5 0 0 6.30 —
K. Mottoh — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —

Stats are this season in all competitions. Model role is how much the availability model weighs each player before the trip to Estoril: core, starter, rotation or depth, from several seasons of minutes and ratings.

Performance

Strength, recent form and playing style.

Strength Primeira Liga · 18 clubs

L90 Strength12th of 18
25 Elo 1484 · World #291
Current Strength
25 With absences before 25 Oct: +0 Elo
Attack15th of 18
17 Scores 1.06 per match against an average top-five side
Defence14th of 18
27 Concedes 1.95 per match against an average top-five side

In forecast League average

L90 Strength comes from Elo; Attack and Defence from goals scored and conceded, expected goals (xG) and shots on target, all on fixed 0–100 scales shared by every league. These are the numbers the forecast uses.

Strong at both ends Defence first Attack first Struggling Attack → Defence → FC Porto: attack 74, defence 79, L90 Strength 80 Benfica: attack 81, defence 81, L90 Strength 82 Sporting CP: attack 75, defence 81, L90 Strength 84 Santa Clara: attack 29, defence 53, L90 Strength 34 Arouca: attack 28, defence 37, L90 Strength 34 GIL Vicente: attack 32, defence 50, L90 Strength 34 Academico Viseu: attack 28, defence 31, L90 Strength 32 Alverca: attack 38, defence 42, L90 Strength 30 SC Braga: attack 41, defence 59, L90 Strength 56 Estrela: attack 24, defence 27, L90 Strength 20 Maritimo: attack 15, defence 20, L90 Strength 16 Moreirense: attack 17, defence 27, L90 Strength 25 Famalicao: attack 24, defence 36, L90 Strength 38 Rio Ave: attack 18, defence 21, L90 Strength 21 Guimaraes: attack 28, defence 39, L90 Strength 27 Nacional: attack 15, defence 13, L90 Strength 17 Casa Pia: attack 13, defence 25, L90 Strength 18 Estoril: attack 21, defence 29, L90 Strength 22
Every Primeira Liga club on the Attack and Defence scales. Dashed lines are the league average. Tap a crest to open that club.

Form last 5 for the index · last 8 listed

23
Form index · 11th of 18 in league
Points, last 5
4
Median top-5 club
7.4
Own forecasts
4.8 -0.8
Table12th L90 Strength12th Form11th

Table position in line with their strength.

Form compares points with what a median top-five club (L90 Strength 50) would take from the same fixtures, so wins over strong sides count for more; 50 is a typical run. "Own forecasts" is the gap to this club's pre-match expectations. Form is context: in our tests it did not improve the forecast.

  • L9 OctH · GIL Vicente0–11.4 xPts
  • D20 SepA · Guimaraes1–10.9 xPts
  • W14 SepH · Maritimo3–11.7 xPts
  • L9 SepH · Benfica0–40.5 xPts
  • L4 SepA · FC Porto1–20.4 xPts
  • W30 AugA · Casa Pia1–01.3 xPts
  • L16 AugA · Arouca0–41.0 xPts
  • D9 AugH · SC Braga2–21.0 xPts

Trends last 8, all competitions

Scored 5/8
Clean sheet 1/8
Conceded 2+ 4/8
Over 2.5 5/8
Both teams scored 4/8

Playing style vs Primeira Liga average

MORLeagueRank
Goals scored 1.00 1.37 13th
Goals conceded 1.88 1.37 14th
xG 0.51 1.26 18th
xG allowed 1.46 1.23 12th
Scored in 63% 73% 13th
Clean sheets 13% 28% 11th
MORLeagueRank
Shots 7.88 12.17 17th
Shots on target 2.75 4.15 18th
On target share 35% 33% 8th
Box share 55% 61% 16th
Conversion 13% 11% 9th
MORLeagueRank
Shots allowed 15.13 12.12 15th
On target allowed 5.00 4.11 13th
Blocks 3.88 3.19 3rd
Save rate 58% 67% 18th
MORLeagueRank
Possession 36% 50% 18th
Passes 324 426 18th
Pass accuracy 75% 83% 18th
MORLeagueRank
Fouls 13.63 12.61 12th
Fouls suffered 13.00 12.59 7th
Yellow cards 2.63 2.13 14th
Red cards 0.13 0.05 12th
This league season, per match · 8 games. Rank among 18 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.
MORLeagueRank
Goals scored 0.80 1.31 14th
Goals conceded 1.70 1.35 13th
xG 0.53 1.15 18th
xG allowed 1.38 1.30 11th
Scored in 50% 71% 15th
Clean sheets 20% 28% 11th
MORLeagueRank
Shots 8.50 11.88 17th
Shots on target 2.80 3.99 18th
On target share 33% 33% 9th
Box share 54% 60% 16th
Conversion 9% 11% 13th
MORLeagueRank
Shots allowed 14.20 12.49 14th
On target allowed 4.40 4.13 12th
Blocks 4.00 3.33 4th
Save rate 56% 69% 18th
MORLeagueRank
Possession 41% 50% 18th
Passes 364 417 15th
Pass accuracy 79% 83% 17th
MORLeagueRank
Fouls 12.70 12.49 11th
Fouls suffered 12.90 12.54 6th
Yellow cards 2.50 2.18 13th
Red cards 0.10 0.06 10th
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 games. Rank among 18 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.

Home and away this league season

Home1.00pts per game1-1-2 · 1.2–2.0 goals · 4 games
Away1.00pts per game1-1-2 · 0.8–1.8 goals · 4 games

Goal timing this league season · 8 games

1 1 0-15
4 2 16-30
3 31-45
1 3 46-60
2 61-75
2 4 76-90

scored conceded, per 15 minutes

In forecastVia Att/DefContextLeague average

Possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Goals, xG and shots on target feed the Attack and Defence ratings. The rest describes how the team plays and does not change the forecast.

Team rankings Primeira Liga · 8 games · rank of 18

Attack

GF 8 13th / 18
GF/G 1.00 13th / 18
xG/G 0.51 18th / 18
G − xG +0.49 2nd / 18

Defence

GA 15 14th / 18
GA/G 1.88 14th / 18
xGA/G 1.46 12th / 18
xGA − GA -0.42 15th / 18

Overall

Pts 8 11th / 18
xPts 8.0 16th / 18
PPG 1.00 11th / 18
TR 6.48 17th / 18
GD -7 14th / 18
xGD -7.6 18th / 18
W 2 10th / 18
L 4 12th / 18

Scorelines

  • 0–4×2
  • 2–2×1
  • 1–0×1
  • 1–2×1
  • 3–1×1
  • 1–1×1

Goals per game both teams

0% 0
25% 1
13% 2
13% 3
50% 4
0% 5+

Totals club · league

Over 1.5
75%75%
Over 2.5
63%56%
Over 3.5
50%36%
Both scored
50%51%
Clean sheet
13%27%
Failed to score
38%27%
ClubLeague average

This league season only. xPts adds up our pre-match win and draw chances (pure EloLambda, the same numbers as Form). xG and TR come from match data and describe the season so far; none of these rankings change the forecast directly.