Moreirense

12th · Primeira Liga · 8 points · Matches played: 8

16 points behind FC Porto · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

-4.3 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed -1.4 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 25.4-4.3
World Rank 291st Global, by Elo
Primeira Liga Rank 12th L90 Strength
Last GIL VicenteH xG 1.0–1.5 0–1 Next EstorilA 27%

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Upcoming fixtures

Moreirense · All competitions

Forecast
EstorilPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away 27% win 1.08 xPts EstrelaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home 41% win 1.50 xPts Sporting CPPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away 6% win 0.30 xPts Santa ClaraPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts AlvercaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts FamalicaoPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts NacionalPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Academico ViseuPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Rio AvePrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts SC BragaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts AroucaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts BenficaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Casa PiaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts FC PortoPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts MaritimoPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts GuimaraesPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts GIL VicentePrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts EstorilPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts EstrelaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Sporting CPPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Santa ClaraPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts AlvercaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts FamalicaoPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts NacionalPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Academico ViseuPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Rio AvePrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts

xPts = 3 × win probability + draw probability. — means no published forecast. Open a match for xG and the full forecast.

Results

Moreirense · All competitions

Full time
GIL VicentePrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home L 0–1 1.0–1.5 xG -1.4 Δpts GuimaraesPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away D 1–1 — xG +0.1 Δpts MaritimoPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home W 3–1 — xG +1.4 Δpts BenficaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home L 0–4 — xG -0.5 Δpts FC PortoPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away L 1–2 — xG -0.4 Δpts Casa PiaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away W 1–0 0.3–0.8 xG +1.7 Δpts AroucaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away L 0–4 0.5–2.2 xG -1.0 Δpts SC BragaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home D 2–2 0.2–1.3 xG +0.0 Δpts

Score and actual xG show Moreirense first. Δpts = points taken − pre-match xPts. — means data unavailable.

Current load Low · 6

Rest profile15.9 days since last match
0%
Schedule load0 matches in last 14 days
0%
Travel load311 km to venue, 0 km in 14 days
20%
Squad availabilityFull squad available
0%

Load before the next match, at Estoril, 25 Oct. Squad availability is shown separately and is not part of the score; availability is the share of squad weight missing, the same input the forecast uses for absences.

Schedule difficulty all competitions

Each bar is one match: 50% match difficulty from current relative Elo strength + 50% calendar load (rest, match congestion and travel). Higher means harder, on a 0–100 scale. This is a descriptive index, not a win probability. Lighter bars are upcoming; the dashed line marks today. Grey marks missing data. 9 Aug vs SC Braga: Schedule difficulty 38/100; match difficulty 76/100
D
 Aug 16 Aug at Arouca: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 59/100
L
 30 Aug at Casa Pia: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 41/100
W
 4 Sep at FC Porto: Schedule difficulty 45/100; match difficulty 89/100
L
 Sep 9 Sep vs Benfica: Schedule difficulty 45/100; match difficulty 90/100
L
 14 Sep vs Maritimo: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 37/100
W
 20 Sep at Guimaraes: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 52/100
D
 9 Oct vs GIL Vicente: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 59/100
L
 Oct 25 Oct at Estoril: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 46/100 31 Oct vs Estrela: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 43/100 7 Nov at Sporting CP: Schedule difficulty 49/100; match difficulty 91/100 Nov 28 Nov vs Santa Clara: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 59/100 6 Dec at Alverca: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 55/100 Dec 13 Dec vs Famalicao: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 63/100 20 Dec at Nacional: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 39/100 27 Dec vs Academico Viseu: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 57/100 10 Jan at Rio Ave: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 44/100 Jan 17 Jan at SC Braga: Schedule difficulty 38/100; match difficulty 76/100 24 Jan vs Arouca: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 59/100 31 Jan at Benfica: Schedule difficulty 48/100; match difficulty 90/100 7 Feb vs Casa Pia: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 41/100 Feb 14 Feb vs FC Porto: Schedule difficulty 45/100; match difficulty 89/100 21 Feb at Maritimo: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 37/100 28 Feb vs Guimaraes: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 52/100 7 Mar at GIL Vicente: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 59/100 Mar 14 Mar vs Estoril: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 46/100 21 Mar at Estrela: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 43/100 4 Apr vs Sporting CP: Schedule difficulty 46/100; match difficulty 91/100 Apr 11 Apr at Santa Clara: Schedule difficulty 40/100; match difficulty 59/100 18 Apr vs Alverca: Schedule difficulty 33/100; match difficulty 55/100 25 Apr at Famalicao: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 63/100 2 May vs Nacional: Schedule difficulty 20/100; match difficulty 39/100 May 9 May at Academico Viseu: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 57/100 16 May vs Rio Ave: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 44/100

Schedule next 30 days · forecast and load

All fixtures and load →
Rest15.9 daysbefore EST
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel / 14d0 kmaway trips
Schedule load6%Low
at EstorilSun 25 Oct, 15:30 Primeira Liga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 22 27%win27%draw46%loss Low load · 15.9 d rest vs EstrelaSat 31 Oct, 15:30 Primeira Liga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 20 41%win27%draw32%loss Low load · 6 d rest at Sporting CPSat 7 Nov, 20:30 Primeira Liga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 84 6%win13%draw81%loss Low load · 7.2 d rest
Win · draw · loss: LOAD90 forecastLoad bar: rest, matches and travel before each game (context; only 4+ matches in 14 days changes the forecast)
Full match preview oneScored → at Estoril, 25 OctOdds, value, live score

Fixture Swing

Opponent opportunity across the next 3 matches · all competitions

2 of 3 forecasts available · Partial window

Attack Swing+16%

Baseline 2.20 → Forecast 2.54 expected goals · 2 included matches

Conceding Swing−11%

Baseline 3.11 → Forecast 2.75 expected goals conceded · 2 included matches

Opportunity for the next 3 matches
MatchAttackConceding riskGoals · Baseline → Forecast
at Estoril25 Oct · Primeira Liga 2026-2027 +14% −13% 0.97 → 1.10
vs Estrela31 Oct · Primeira Liga 2026-2027 +17% −10% 1.23 → 1.44
at Sporting CP7 Nov · Primeira Liga 2026-2027 — — Opportunity unavailable

Swing compares total forecast goals with total baseline goals for the included matches. Forecasts are available up to 21 days ahead. Missing snapshots and different model revisions are excluded; a partial window covers only the matches shown with values. Your team's own conditions are kept in each baseline.

Next match · Match Opportunity

Moreirense

Baseline: average Primeira Liga opponent

Attack Uplift +14% Expected goals Baseline0.97Forecast1.10
Conceding Risk −13% Expected goals conceded Baseline1.73Forecast1.51
Clean Sheet +4.3 pp Chance of conceding no goals Baseline17.8%Forecast22.1%