Nice

13th · Ligue 1 · 8 points · Matches played: 7

6 points behind Lyon · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+3.2 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed +1.6 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 26.5+3.2
World Rank 264th Global, by Elo
Ligue 1 Rank 14th L90 Strength
Last LyonA xG 1.6–1.6 1–2 Next Stade Brestois 29A 24%

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Upcoming fixtures

Nice · All competitions

Forecast
Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1 2026-2027 · Away 24% win 0.95 xPts RennesLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home 31% win 1.17 xPts AngersLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away 40% win 1.45 xPts Paris Saint GermainLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Estac TroyesLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts MarseilleLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts LensLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts MonacoLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts LE HavreLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts ToulouseLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Le MansLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LilleLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts AuxerreLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Estac TroyesLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts LE HavreLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts ToulouseLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LorientLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts LyonLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Paris FCLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LensLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts AngersLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts RennesLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts MarseilleLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Paris Saint GermainLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts MonacoLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts StrasbourgLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts

xPts = 3 × win probability + draw probability. — means no published forecast. Open a match for xG and the full forecast.

Results

Nice · All competitions

Full time
LyonLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away L 1–2 1.6–1.6 xG -0.6 Δpts StrasbourgLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home W 2–1 1.3–0.6 xG +1.8 Δpts LilleLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home W 2–1 — xG +2.1 Δpts AuxerreLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away L 0–1 — xG -1.1 Δpts Le MansLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home D 1–1 — xG -0.6 Δpts Paris FCLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away L 0–3 0.6–2.7 xG -1.0 Δpts LorientLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home D 0–0 1.1–1.3 xG -0.4 Δpts

Score and actual xG show Nice first. Δpts = points taken − pre-match xPts. — means data unavailable.

Current load Low · 12

Rest profile5 days since last match
0%
Schedule load2 matches in last 14 days
0%
Travel load1,044 km to venue, 586 km in 14 days
40%
Squad availability6 out, no key players · Last match: 18 Oct
9%

Load before the next match, at Stade Brestois 29, 23 Oct. Squad availability is shown separately and is not part of the score; availability is the share of squad weight missing, the same input the forecast uses for absences.

Schedule difficulty all competitions

Each bar is one match: 50% match difficulty from current relative Elo strength + 50% calendar load (rest, match congestion and travel). Higher means harder, on a 0–100 scale. This is a descriptive index, not a win probability. Lighter bars are upcoming; the dashed line marks today. Grey marks missing data. 22 Aug vs Lorient: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 58/100
D
 Aug 30 Aug at Paris FC: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 57/100
L
 5 Sep vs Le Mans: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 49/100
D
 Sep 12 Sep at Auxerre: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 53/100
L
 20 Sep vs Lille: Schedule difficulty 38/100; match difficulty 75/100
W
 11 Oct vs Strasbourg: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 67/100
W
 Oct 18 Oct at Lyon: Schedule difficulty 39/100; match difficulty 78/100
L
 23 Oct at Stade Brestois 29: Schedule difficulty 35/100; match difficulty 57/100 31 Oct vs Rennes: Schedule difficulty 39/100; match difficulty 72/100 8 Nov at Angers: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 41/100 Nov 21 Nov vs Paris Saint Germain: Schedule difficulty 47/100; match difficulty 94/100 28 Nov vs Estac Troyes: Schedule difficulty 15/100; match difficulty 30/100 5 Dec at Marseille: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 68/100 Dec 12 Dec vs Lens: Schedule difficulty 38/100; match difficulty 76/100 2 Jan at Monaco: Schedule difficulty 38/100; match difficulty 75/100 Jan 16 Jan vs LE Havre: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 42/100 23 Jan at Toulouse: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 62/100 30 Jan at Le Mans: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 49/100 6 Feb vs Stade Brestois 29: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 57/100 Feb 13 Feb at Lille: Schedule difficulty 44/100; match difficulty 75/100 20 Feb vs Auxerre: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 53/100 27 Feb at Estac Troyes: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 30/100 6 Mar at LE Havre: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 42/100 Mar 13 Mar vs Toulouse: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 62/100 20 Mar at Lorient: Schedule difficulty 38/100; match difficulty 58/100 3 Apr vs Lyon: Schedule difficulty 42/100; match difficulty 78/100 Apr 10 Apr vs Paris FC: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 57/100 17 Apr at Lens: Schedule difficulty 44/100; match difficulty 76/100 24 Apr vs Angers: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 41/100 1 May at Rennes: Schedule difficulty 45/100; match difficulty 72/100 May 8 May vs Marseille: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 68/100 16 May at Paris Saint Germain: Schedule difficulty 50/100; match difficulty 94/100 22 May vs Monaco: Schedule difficulty 38/100; match difficulty 75/100 29 May at Strasbourg: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 67/100

Schedule next 30 days · forecast and load

All fixtures and load →
Rest5 daysbefore BRE
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel / 14d586 kmaway trips
Schedule load12%Low
at Stade Brestois 29Fri 23 Oct, 19:45 Ligue 1 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 34 24%win23%draw53%loss Low load · 5 d rest vs RennesSat 31 Oct, 16:15 Ligue 1 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 52 31%win24%draw45%loss Low load · 7.9 d rest at AngersSun 8 Nov, 16:15 Ligue 1 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 19 40%win25%draw35%loss Low load · 8 d rest
Win · draw · loss: LOAD90 forecastLoad bar: rest, matches and travel before each game (context; only 4+ matches in 14 days changes the forecast)
Full match preview oneScored → at Stade Brestois 29, 23 OctOdds, value, live score

Fixture Swing

Opponent opportunity across the next 5 matches · all competitions

2 of 5 forecasts available · Partial window

Attack Swing+1%

Baseline 2.68 → Forecast 2.71 expected goals · 2 included matches

Conceding Swing+12%

Baseline 3.34 → Forecast 3.74 expected goals conceded · 2 included matches

Opportunity for the next 5 matches
MatchAttackConceding riskGoals · Baseline → Forecast
at Stade Brestois 2923 Oct · Ligue 1 2026-2027 +2% +2% 1.19 → 1.22
vs Rennes31 Oct · Ligue 1 2026-2027 0% +24% 1.49 → 1.50
at Angers8 Nov · Ligue 1 2026-2027 — — Opportunity unavailable
vs Paris Saint Germain21 Nov · Ligue 1 2026-2027 — — Opportunity unavailable
vs Estac Troyes28 Nov · Ligue 1 2026-2027 — — Opportunity unavailable

Swing compares total forecast goals with total baseline goals for the included matches. Forecasts are available up to 21 days ahead. Missing snapshots and different model revisions are excluded; a partial window covers only the matches shown with values. Your team's own conditions are kept in each baseline.

Next match · Match Opportunity

Nice

Baseline: average Ligue 1 opponent

Attack Uplift +2% Expected goals Baseline1.19Forecast1.22
Conceding Risk +2% Expected goals conceded Baseline1.86Forecast1.90
Clean Sheet −0.7 pp Chance of conceding no goals Baseline15.6%Forecast15.0%