SV Elversberg

6th · Bundesliga · 10 points · Matches played: 6

4 points behind Bayern München · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

-1.1 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed +2.8 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 41.5-1.1
World Rank 121st Global, by Elo
Bundesliga Rank 13th L90 Strength
Last FC AugsburgH xG 2.9–3.4 4–3 Next RB LeipzigA 19%

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Our take

A solid mid-table side.

SV Elversberg rely on a mid-table attack, but their defence is among the league's weakest and costs them. Across the 6 league matches with forecasts, they have collected around 4 more points than our pre-match forecasts predicted. J. Gyamerah and F. Onyeka are out, and The toughest of the next 3 matches is the trip to Borussia Dortmund.

Bundesliga · 6 games. Their results look better than their underlying numbers. They are scoring more goals than their chances suggest. They are conceding fewer goals than expected; good goalkeeping or poor finishing by opponents may explain the gap.

They are clinical in front of goal (18% of shots scored), and give up a lot of shots (22 a game). Their results hold up much the same at home and away.

  • Relegation 5%Likely 11th · 42 projected points
  • Next 3: about 2 of 9 points Toughest at Borussia Dortmund · , 12% to win
  • 2 key players outJ. Gyamerah, F. Onyeka · 9% of squad weight missing · Last match: 17 Oct
  • 10 pts vs 6.3 expected+3.7 vs pre-match expectations · 6 matches with forecasts

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for SV Elversberg. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals for this club in each category.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses observed Playing style averages; window size is not xG coverage and the two metrics can have different denominators. Points minus xPts uses the same covered current-league matches and stored forecasts as Club strength, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

The full picture, with the evidence behind every signal.View all Club insights →

Season

League position and season results.

Overview

2026-2027
All competitions6 Played
Bundesliga10 pts1.67 PPG6 games 6th
50.0%Win %
Wins3
Draws1
Losses2

Expected metrics · 6 of 6 matches covered

Goals For
122.00 / game
xG 8.70 3.30 more goals than expected. vs 12 goals
Goals Against
111.83 / game
xGA 13.04 2.04 fewer conceded than expected. vs 11 conceded
Goal Difference
+1+0.17 / game
xGD -4.34 Goal difference is 5.34 higher than expected. vs +1 GD
Clean Sheets
117% of games

Season totals cover all competitions and stages. Positions and points refer to each competition table.

Competition standings

There is no combined table across competitions. View each competition separately.

Bundesliga →

Squad 26 players · this season, all competitions · 3 out

Absences reported for the last match: 17 Oct 2026

Top scorer
M. Krattenmacher3 goals
Most assists
L. Petkov2 assists
Best rated
N. Kristof7.39 avg rating
Most minutes
N. Kristof540 min
Key to the model
L. PetkovCore · weight 2.84
PlayerAgeAppsMinGARatingModel role
Goalkeepers
N. Kristof 26 6 (6) 540 0 0 7.39 starter
T. Boss 33 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Defenders
L. Pinckert 26 6 (6) 540 0 1 6.79 starter
M. Rohr 31 6 (6) 532 1 0 7.10 starter
J. Gyamerah injured 31 5 (5) 344 0 0 6.48 starter
L. Sirch 27 5 (1) 192 0 0 6.59 rotation
N. Mickelson 27 3 (0) 48 0 0 6.63 rotation
F. Le Joncour 31 1 (0) 8 0 0 6.20 rotation
Midfielders
Ł. Poręba 26 6 (6) 540 0 0 6.67 starter
F. Keidel 23 6 (6) 523 1 1 6.86 rotation
N. Darvich 20 5 (3) 261 0 1 6.21 rotation
M. Krattenmacher 21 6 (1) 247 3 1 6.91 rotation
J. Schmahl 23 2 (0) 54 1 0 6.56 rotation
L. Schnellbacher 32 2 (0) 21 0 0 6.60 rotation
A. Condé 29 3 (0) 19 0 0 6.45 rotation
R. Adam — 1 (0) 12 0 0 6.65 depth
Forwards
L. Petkov 25 6 (6) 534 2 2 7.24 core
L. Günther 23 6 (6) 492 1 0 6.44 starter
David Mokwa 22 6 (5) 408 2 0 6.81 starter
W. Campbell injured 20 5 (4) 283 1 0 6.76 starter
F. Onyeka injured 19 4 (3) 154 0 1 6.63 rotation
N. Futkeu 23 5 (1) 129 0 1 6.51 rotation
T. Zimmerschied 28 1 (1) 59 0 0 6.49 starter
J. Çeka 26 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
F. Gerezgiher 26 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
L. Pfeiffer 30 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —

Stats are this season in all competitions. Model role is how much the availability model weighs each player before the trip to RB Leipzig: core, starter, rotation or depth, from several seasons of minutes and ratings.

Performance

Strength, recent form and playing style.

Strength Bundesliga · 18 clubs

L90 Strength13th of 18
42 Elo 1594 · World #121
Current Strength
42 With absences before 24 Oct: +0 Elo
Attack12th of 18
44 Scores 1.46 per match against an average top-five side
Defence14th of 18
37 Concedes 1.74 per match against an average top-five side

In forecast League average

L90 Strength comes from Elo; Attack and Defence from goals scored and conceded, expected goals (xG) and shots on target, all on fixed 0–100 scales shared by every league. These are the numbers the forecast uses.

Strong at both ends Defence first Attack first Struggling Attack → Defence → Bayern München: attack 96, defence 90, L90 Strength 94 Borussia Dortmund: attack 69, defence 80, L90 Strength 81 SC Freiburg: attack 63, defence 73, L90 Strength 64 Bayer Leverkusen: attack 87, defence 79, L90 Strength 79 FSV Mainz 05: attack 68, defence 56, L90 Strength 55 SV Elversberg: attack 44, defence 37, L90 Strength 42 RB Leipzig: attack 76, defence 53, L90 Strength 68 Werder Bremen: attack 56, defence 45, L90 Strength 43 Hamburger SV: attack 37, defence 43, L90 Strength 40 FC Augsburg: attack 72, defence 23, L90 Strength 50 Eintracht Frankfurt: attack 54, defence 37, L90 Strength 48 1.FC Köln: attack 36, defence 36, L90 Strength 34 VfB Stuttgart: attack 70, defence 58, L90 Strength 68 1899 Hoffenheim: attack 46, defence 43, L90 Strength 49 FC Schalke 04: attack 33, defence 50, L90 Strength 46 SC Paderborn 07: attack 34, defence 33, L90 Strength 38 Union Berlin: attack 42, defence 41, L90 Strength 39 Borussia Mönchengladbach: attack 34, defence 21, L90 Strength 36
Every Bundesliga club on the Attack and Defence scales. Dashed lines are the league average. Tap a crest to open that club.

Form last 5 for the index · last 6 listed

60
Form index · 9th of 18 in league
Points, last 5
7
Median top-5 club
5.9
Own forecasts
5.4 +1.6
Table6th L90 Strength13th Form9th

Higher in the table than their strength suggests.

Form compares points with what a median top-five club (L90 Strength 50) would take from the same fixtures, so wins over strong sides count for more; 50 is a typical run. "Own forecasts" is the gap to this club's pre-match expectations. Form is context: in our tests it did not improve the forecast.

  • W17 OctH · FC Augsburg4–31.4 xPts
  • L10 OctA · Union Berlin0–11.3 xPts
  • D20 SepA · FC Schalke 040–01.1 xPts
  • L13 SepH · Bayern München1–20.5 xPts
  • W5 SepA · Borussia Mönchengladbach4–31.2 xPts
  • W29 AugH · Bayer Leverkusen3–20.9 xPts

Trends last 6, all competitions

Scored 4/6
Clean sheet 1/6
Conceded 2+ 4/6
Over 2.5 4/6
Both teams scored 4/6

Playing style vs Bundesliga average

ELVLeagueRank
Goals scored 2.00 1.84 7th
Goals conceded 1.83 1.84 9th
xG 1.45 1.75 13th
xG allowed 2.17 1.75 15th
Scored in 67% 76% 12th
Clean sheets 17% 24% 9th
ELVLeagueRank
Shots 11.17 15.55 16th
Shots on target 4.67 5.77 15th
On target share 42% 35% 4th
Box share 72% 68% 5th
Conversion 18% 12% 1st
ELVLeagueRank
Shots allowed 22.00 15.55 18th
On target allowed 5.33 5.71 7th
Blocks 8.50 4.49 1st
Save rate 59% 66% 14th
ELVLeagueRank
Possession 44% 50% 14th
Passes 382 455 14th
Pass accuracy 80% 81% 14th
ELVLeagueRank
Fouls 11.67 11.43 11th
Fouls suffered 13.17 11.44 3rd
Yellow cards 2.17 1.71 13th
Red cards 0.00 0.02 1st
This league season, per match · 6 games. Rank among 18 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.
ELVLeagueRank
Goals scored 2.40 1.84 2nd
Goals conceded 1.80 1.74 8th
xG 1.46 1.71 12th
xG allowed 1.63 1.62 9th
Scored in 80% 80% 9th
Clean sheets 20% 24% 10th
ELVLeagueRank
Shots 11.20 14.87 17th
Shots on target 4.20 5.55 16th
On target share 38% 36% 7th
Box share 66% 67% 10th
Conversion 21% 12% 1st
ELVLeagueRank
Shots allowed 16.90 14.13 17th
On target allowed 4.60 5.23 6th
Blocks 6.33 4.08 1st
Save rate 59% 66% 15th
ELVLeagueRank
Possession 48% 51% 11th
Passes 387 455 14th
Pass accuracy 80% 82% 14th
ELVLeagueRank
Fouls 11.50 10.89 13th
Fouls suffered 12.40 10.68 2nd
Yellow cards 1.90 1.70 12th
Red cards 0.00 0.02 1st
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 games. Rank among 18 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.

Home and away this league season

Home2.00pts per game2-0-1 · 2.7–2.3 goals · 3 games
Away1.33pts per game1-1-1 · 1.3–1.3 goals · 3 games

Goal timing this league season · 6 games

4 1 0-15
2 1 16-30
2 31-45
1 1 46-60
2 1 61-75
3 5 76-90

scored conceded, per 15 minutes

In forecastVia Att/DefContextLeague average

Possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Goals, xG and shots on target feed the Attack and Defence ratings. The rest describes how the team plays and does not change the forecast.

Team rankings Bundesliga · 6 games · rank of 18

Attack

GF 12 7th / 18
GF/G 2.00 7th / 18
xG/G 1.45 13th / 18
G − xG +0.55 2nd / 18

Defence

GA 11 9th / 18
GA/G 1.83 9th / 18
xGA/G 2.17 15th / 18
xGA − GA +0.34 5th / 18

Overall

Pts 10 5th / 18
xPts 6.3 14th / 18
PPG 1.67 5th / 18
TR 6.82 14th / 18
GD +1 8th / 18
xGD -4.3 12th / 18
W 3 5th / 18
L 2 6th / 18

Scorelines

  • 4–3×2
  • 3–2×1
  • 1–2×1
  • 0–0×1
  • 0–1×1

Goals per game both teams

17% 0
17% 1
0% 2
17% 3
0% 4
50% 5+

Totals club · league

Over 1.5
67%81%
Over 2.5
67%74%
Over 3.5
50%56%
Both scored
67%59%
Clean sheet
17%24%
Failed to score
33%24%
ClubLeague average

This league season only. xPts adds up our pre-match win and draw chances (pure EloLambda, the same numbers as Form). xG and TR come from match data and describe the season so far; none of these rankings change the forecast directly.