Villarreal

12th · La Liga · 9 points · Matches played: 9

18 points behind Barcelona · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+8.6 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed +3.4 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 66.5+8.6
World Rank 38th Global, by Elo
La Liga Rank 5th L90 Strength
Last ElcheH xG 2.2–0.3 0–0 Next LiverpoolA 21%

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Upcoming fixtures

Villarreal · All competitions

Forecast
LiverpoolUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away 21% win 0.85 xPts ValenciaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away 45% win 1.60 xPts EspanyolLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home 65% win 2.15 xPts Paris Saint GermainUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home 30% win 1.11 xPts GetafeLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home 59% win 2.02 xPts BarcelonaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Slavia PrahaUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away — win — xPts Celta VigoLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Real SociedadLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Sabah FAUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home — win — xPts Rayo VallecanoLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts OsasunaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts SevillaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Athletic ClubLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts AlavesLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts FenerbahceUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away — win — xPts EspanyolLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Manchester UnitedUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home — win — xPts Racing SantanderLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts GetafeLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts BarcelonaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts ValenciaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Real BetisLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Real MadridLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts ElcheLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts MalagaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Athletic ClubLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LevanteLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Atletico MadridLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Rayo VallecanoLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Celta VigoLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts SevillaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts OsasunaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Real SociedadLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts

xPts = 3 × win probability + draw probability. — means no published forecast. Open a match for xG and the full forecast.

Results

Villarreal · All competitions

Full time
ElcheLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home D 0–0 2.2–0.3 xG -1.0 Δpts NapoliUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home W 3–1 1.4–1.9 xG +1.3 Δpts Real MadridLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away L 0–1 0.6–1.0 xG -0.7 Δpts LevanteLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home W 3–1 4.3–0.5 xG +1.1 Δpts MalagaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away W 3–1 3.3–0.6 xG +1.5 Δpts Real BetisLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home L 1–2 1.9–3.5 xG -1.7 Δpts Borussia DortmundUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away L 2–3 1.3–2.8 xG -1.0 Δpts Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home L 2–3 1.1–0.8 xG -2.2 Δpts AlavesLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away L 0–1 1.4–0.8 xG -1.4 Δpts Atletico MadridLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away D 2–2 3.6–0.8 xG +0.0 Δpts Racing SantanderLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away D 2–2 0.7–1.9 xG -0.5 Δpts

Score and actual xG show Villarreal first. Δpts = points taken − pre-match xPts. — means data unavailable.

Current load High · 43

Rest profile3.2 days since last match
53%
Schedule load3 matches in last 14 days
30%
Travel load1,514 km to venue, 621 km in 14 days
67%
Squad availability2 out, 1 key: N. Pépé
10%

Load before the next match, at Liverpool, 20 Oct. Squad availability is shown separately and is not part of the score; availability is the share of squad weight missing, the same input the forecast uses for absences.

Schedule difficulty all competitions

Each bar is one match: 50% match difficulty from current relative Elo strength + 50% calendar load (rest, match congestion and travel). Higher means harder, on a 0–100 scale. This is a descriptive index, not a win probability. Lighter bars are upcoming; the dashed line marks today. Grey marks missing data. 16 Aug at Racing Santander: Schedule difficulty 18/100; match difficulty 29/100
D
 Aug 23 Aug at Atletico Madrid: Schedule difficulty 36/100; match difficulty 66/100
D
 28 Aug at Alaves: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 34/100
L
 5 Sep vs Deportivo La Coruna: Schedule difficulty 16/100; match difficulty 31/100
L
 Sep 8 Sep at Borussia Dortmund: Schedule difficulty 43/100; match difficulty 65/100
L
 14 Sep vs Real Betis: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 56/100
L
 17 Sep at Malaga: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 28/100
W
 20 Sep vs Levante: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 34/100
W
 10 Oct at Real Madrid: Schedule difficulty 42/100; match difficulty 77/100
L
 Oct 13 Oct vs Napoli: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 46/100
W
 17 Oct vs Elche: Schedule difficulty 16/100; match difficulty 31/100
D
 20 Oct at Liverpool: Schedule difficulty 57/100; match difficulty 70/100 24 Oct at Valencia: Schedule difficulty 41/100; match difficulty 36/100 30 Oct vs Espanyol: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 31/100 3 Nov vs Paris Saint Germain: Schedule difficulty 39/100; match difficulty 78/100 Nov 8 Nov vs Getafe: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 34/100 22 Nov at Barcelona: Schedule difficulty 43/100; match difficulty 85/100 25 Nov at Slavia Praha: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 28/100 29 Nov at Celta Vigo: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 38/100 6 Dec vs Real Sociedad: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 42/100 Dec 8 Dec vs Sabah FA: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 18/100 13 Dec vs Rayo Vallecano: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 42/100 20 Dec at Osasuna: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 32/100 3 Jan vs Sevilla: Schedule difficulty 18/100; match difficulty 35/100 Jan 10 Jan at Athletic Club: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 40/100 17 Jan vs Alaves: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 34/100 20 Jan at Fenerbahce: Schedule difficulty 38/100; match difficulty 47/100 24 Jan at Espanyol: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 31/100 27 Jan vs Manchester United: Schedule difficulty 49/100; match difficulty 64/100 31 Jan vs Racing Santander: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 29/100 7 Feb at Getafe: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 34/100 Feb 14 Feb vs Barcelona: Schedule difficulty 43/100; match difficulty 85/100 21 Feb vs Valencia: Schedule difficulty 18/100; match difficulty 36/100 28 Feb at Real Betis: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 56/100 7 Mar vs Real Madrid: Schedule difficulty 39/100; match difficulty 77/100 Mar 14 Mar at Elche: Schedule difficulty 16/100; match difficulty 31/100 21 Mar vs Malaga: Schedule difficulty 14/100; match difficulty 28/100 4 Apr at Deportivo La Coruna: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 31/100 Apr 11 Apr vs Athletic Club: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 40/100 18 Apr at Levante: Schedule difficulty 20/100; match difficulty 34/100 21 Apr vs Atletico Madrid: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 66/100 2 May at Rayo Vallecano: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 42/100 May 9 May vs Celta Vigo: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 38/100 16 May at Sevilla: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 35/100 23 May vs Osasuna: Schedule difficulty 16/100; match difficulty 32/100 30 May at Real Sociedad: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 42/100

Schedule next 30 days · forecast and load

All fixtures and load →
Rest3.2 daysbefore LIV
Matches / 14d3all competitions
Travel / 14d621 kmaway trips
Schedule load43%High
at LiverpoolTue 20 Oct, 20:00 UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · opponent L90 Strength 84 21%win22%draw57%loss High load · 3.2 d rest · 3 in 14 d at ValenciaSat 24 Oct, 17:30 La Liga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 51 45%win26%draw29%loss High load · 3.9 d rest · 4 in 14 d vs EspanyolFri 30 Oct, 20:00 La Liga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 44 65%win21%draw15%loss Moderate load · 6.1 d rest · 3 in 14 d vs Paris Saint GermainTue 3 Nov, 20:00 UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · opponent L90 Strength 90 30%win22%draw48%loss Low load · 4 d rest vs GetafeSun 8 Nov, 17:30 La Liga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 49 59%win24%draw17%loss Low load · 4.9 d rest
Win · draw · loss: LOAD90 forecastLoad bar: rest, matches and travel before each game (context; only 4+ matches in 14 days changes the forecast)
Full match preview oneScored → at Liverpool, 20 OctOdds, value, live score

Fixture Swing

Opponent opportunity across the next 3 matches · all competitions

3 of 3 forecasts available

Attack Swing−3%

Baseline 5.10 → Forecast 4.96 expected goals · 3 included matches

Conceding Swing+4%

Baseline 4.12 → Forecast 4.29 expected goals conceded · 3 included matches

Opportunity for the next 3 matches
MatchAttackConceding riskGoals · Baseline → Forecast
at Liverpool20 Oct · UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase −25% +42% 1.65 → 1.24
at Valencia24 Oct · La Liga 2026-2027 +7% −16% 1.49 → 1.59
vs Espanyol30 Oct · La Liga 2026-2027 +8% −19% 1.96 → 2.12

Swing compares total forecast goals with total baseline goals for the included matches. Forecasts are available up to 21 days ahead. Missing snapshots and different model revisions are excluded; a partial window covers only the matches shown with values. Your team's own conditions are kept in each baseline.

Next match · Match Opportunity

Villarreal

Baseline: average La Liga opponent

Attack Downlift −25% Expected goals Baseline1.65Forecast1.24
Conceding Risk +42% Expected goals conceded Baseline1.51Forecast2.14
Clean Sheet −10.3 pp Chance of conceding no goals Baseline22.1%Forecast11.8%