AEK Athens FC vs Manchester City
Real strength. Different football profiles.
Club DNA
Strength Profile · Current
Fixed 0–100 ratings. Power is the Elo baseline; Attack and Defence use a common reference opponent. Form is opponent-adjusted.
Consistency measures variation in points minus LOAD90 expected points, centred on the club’s average gap. Higher means less variation, not better results. Squad Availability is the percentage of model-weighted squad available for the last completed match, using its saved pre-match snapshot. It does not predict readiness for the next match. Missing historical data stays unavailable.
The Difference
- Manchester City has the stronger attacking profile.
- Manchester City has the higher Power rating.
- Manchester City holds the defensive advantage.
AEK Athens FC · Form 2/5 · Consistency 2/2 covered matches · 0 pre-match / 2 historical forecast backfills · Availability · last completed match 14 Oct 2026
Manchester City · Form 5/5 · Consistency 19/20 covered matches · 3 pre-match / 16 historical forecast backfills · Availability · last completed match 17 Oct 2026
How Consistency works
For each match, gap = points earned − LOAD90 expected points. Consistency = 100 × (1 − SD(gaps) / 3), with SD calculated around the window’s mean gap. The endpoints come from the mathematical bounds of point gaps; this is not a fitted percentile or a forecast factor. A constant positive or negative gap can be consistent.
Current uses the latest 20 completed tracked matches within one year. At least 15 usable forecasts and 75% coverage are required. A 15–19-match score is provisional; comparative Consistency insights require 20 each. Historical backfills are reconstructed expectations, not forecasts archived before kickoff. Result randomness and changes in model calibration can affect the score.
AEK Athens FC · Current gap SD 1.21 points · mean gap 0.08 · Insufficient sample
Manchester City · Current gap SD 1.15 points · mean gap 0.33 · Provisional sample
Playing Style · Current
Observed profile · last 10 matches before each club’s reference fixture. Native units and coverage are shown below.
Shot Frequency = shots per 100 passes on the same covered matches: how quickly passing sequences turn into attempts. Corner Pressure = corners per completed 90-minute game. These describe attacking tendencies, not strength; extra time and custom-length games are excluded.
These are observed profiles. League and schedule differences can affect them. The radar uses native axis ranges shared by both clubs and both periods; a larger shape does not imply superiority.
AEK Athens FC · Window 10 matches · before 20 Oct 2026 · Shot Frequency 10/10 · Corner Pressure 10/10 covered regulation matches. Per-metric coverage of the four percentage shares is unavailable.
Manchester City · Window 10 matches · before 24 Oct 2026 · Shot Frequency 10/10 · Corner Pressure 10/10 covered regulation matches. Per-metric coverage of the four percentage shares is unavailable.
Strength Profile · Season Average
Match-sampled averages of available ratings this season, across tracked competitions. These are not time-weighted averages or a measure of consistency.
Consistency measures variation in points minus LOAD90 expected points, centred on the club’s average gap. Higher means less variation, not better results. Squad Availability is the percentage of model-weighted squad available for the last completed match, using its saved pre-match snapshot. It does not predict readiness for the next match. Missing historical data stays unavailable.
The Difference
There is not enough shared rating data to explain an advantage yet.
Descriptive rating gaps, not a match forecast. Small gaps are left out; missing ratings are not compared.AEK Athens FC · Power 2 · Attack 0 · Defence 0 · Form 0 · Consistency 0 · Squad Availability 0 · 0 pre-match / 2 historical Elo backfills. Minimum 3 observations per average. Consistency averages eligible rolling windows, which overlap; availability uses genuine pre-match snapshots only. Historical Form is reconstructed using the current calibration.
Manchester City · Power 8 · Attack 3 · Defence 3 · Form 5 · Consistency 8 · Squad Availability 3 · 3 pre-match / 5 historical Elo backfills. Minimum 3 observations per average. Consistency averages eligible rolling windows, which overlap; availability uses genuine pre-match snapshots only. Historical Form is reconstructed using the current calibration.
How Consistency works
For each match, gap = points earned − LOAD90 expected points. Consistency = 100 × (1 − SD(gaps) / 3), with SD calculated around the window’s mean gap. The endpoints come from the mathematical bounds of point gaps; this is not a fitted percentile or a forecast factor. A constant positive or negative gap can be consistent.
Current uses the latest 20 completed tracked matches within one year. At least 15 usable forecasts and 75% coverage are required. A 15–19-match score is provisional; comparative Consistency insights require 20 each. Historical backfills are reconstructed expectations, not forecasts archived before kickoff. Result randomness and changes in model calibration can affect the score.
AEK Athens FC · Current gap SD 1.21 points · mean gap 0.08 · Insufficient sample
Manchester City · Current gap SD 1.15 points · mean gap 0.33 · Provisional sample
Playing Style · Season Average
Observed profile · league season before each club’s reference fixture. Native units and coverage are shown below.
Shot Frequency = shots per 100 passes on the same covered matches: how quickly passing sequences turn into attempts. Corner Pressure = corners per completed 90-minute game. These describe attacking tendencies, not strength; extra time and custom-length games are excluded.
These are observed profiles. League and schedule differences can affect them. The radar uses native axis ranges shared by both clubs and both periods; a larger shape does not imply superiority.
AEK Athens FC · Window 2 matches · before 20 Oct 2026 · Shot Frequency 2/2 · Corner Pressure 2/2 covered regulation matches. Per-metric coverage of the four percentage shares is unavailable.
Manchester City · Window 7 matches · before 24 Oct 2026 · Shot Frequency 7/7 · Corner Pressure 7/7 covered regulation matches. Per-metric coverage of the four percentage shares is unavailable.
Historical Trend
Base Power at recorded match dates. Solid lines join saved pre-match ratings; dashed segments include historical Elo backfills. The same fixed scale is used for both clubs.
View history data and coverage
| Club | Date (UTC) | Power | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| AEK Athens FC | 2026-09-08 16:45:00 | 53.8 | Historical Elo backfill |
| AEK Athens FC | 2026-10-14 19:00:00 | 54.7 | Historical Elo backfill |
| Manchester City | 2026-08-23 13:00:00 | 89.0 | Historical Elo backfill |
| Manchester City | 2026-08-28 19:00:00 | 89.3 | Historical Elo backfill |
| Manchester City | 2026-09-05 14:00:00 | 90.0 | Historical Elo backfill |
| Manchester City | 2026-09-13 15:30:00 | 90.1 | Historical Elo backfill |
| Manchester City | 2026-09-20 13:00:00 | 90.7 | Historical Elo backfill |
| Manchester City | 2026-10-11 15:30:00 | 90.8 | Saved pre-match |
| Manchester City | 2026-10-14 19:00:00 | 91.7 | Saved pre-match |
| Manchester City | 2026-10-17 14:00:00 | 90.6 | Saved pre-match |
Efficiency
From chances to results. Exact values share a scale within each row; colours identify the clubs.
Last 10
AEK Athens FC · Statistics before 20 Oct 2026 · Recent results L · W
Manchester City · Statistics before 24 Oct 2026 · Recent results W · L · W · W · W
League season
AEK Athens FC · Statistics before 20 Oct 2026 · Recent results L · W
Manchester City · Statistics before 24 Oct 2026 · Recent results W · L · W · W · W
Positive Goals − xG means more goals scored than the observed chances predicted. Positive xGA − GA means fewer goals conceded than those chances predicted; it reflects defence and goalkeeping together. Gaps are per covered match and pair goals and xG on the same matches. Shot Quality pairs total xG and total shots. Minimum three known matches per metric; missing data stays unavailable.
Butterfly bars grow from the centre towards each club. Length shows magnitude, not superiority; negative gaps use stripes and a minus sign. Percentages use 0–100%, PPG uses 0–3; other rows share the larger absolute value as their limit. xG, xGA and PPG retain their league-season window. Points vs expected retains the latest up to five completed matches with stored pure forecasts across tracked competitions; results are newest first. These observed metrics are not adjusted for league or opponent strength.
AEK Athens FC
Next fixtures
- 20 Octat Manchester City
- 4 Novvs Real Madrid
- 24 Novat Como
- 8 Decvs Galatasaray
- 19 Janvs AS Roma
Key player availability · last completed match
No saved availability data for the last completed match.
Manchester City
Next fixtures
- 20 Octvs AEK Athens FC
- 24 Octat Aston Villa
- 31 Octvs Brighton
- 4 Novat RB Leipzig
- 7 Novat Nottingham Forest
Key player availability · last completed match
No absences reported in the saved forecast.
About this comparison
Strength ratings share LOAD90’s fixed scales across leagues. Elo reflects opponent quality; Attack and Defence describe performance against the same reference club on a neutral pitch. Form adjusts for opponents and venue. League Strength is not added a second time. Cross-league ratings remain model estimates; sparse connections between leagues and incomplete data limit precision. Explore the methodology →