Clubs Compare

Casa Pia vs Rio Ave

Real strength. Different football profiles.

Casa Pia

Primeira Liga · 2026-2027

Rating as of 20 Oct 2026
Power18.3

Rio Ave

Primeira Liga · 2026-2027

Rating as of 20 Oct 2026
Power20.8
The football profile

Club DNA

Casa PiaRio Ave

Strength Profile · Current

Fixed 0–100 ratings. Power is the Elo baseline; Attack and Defence use a common reference opponent. Form is opponent-adjusted.

Strength profile radarCommon axes run from zero at the centre to 100 at the edge. Exact values appear alongside. A missing metric leaves the shape incomplete. 255075100 Power Attack Defence Form Consistency Squad Availability Casa Pia · Power 18.3 ptsCasa Pia · Attack 12.6 ptsCasa Pia · Defence 25.3 ptsCasa Pia · Form 18.8 ptsCasa Pia · Consistency 66.3 pts Rio Ave · Power 20.8 ptsRio Ave · Attack 18.3 ptsRio Ave · Defence 21.0 ptsRio Ave · Form 17.1 ptsRio Ave · Consistency 61.0 pts Strength profile radarCommon axes run from zero at the centre to 100 at the edge. Exact values appear alongside. A missing metric leaves the shape incomplete. 255075100 Power Attack Defence Form Consistency SquadAvailability Casa Pia · Power 18.3 ptsCasa Pia · Attack 12.6 ptsCasa Pia · Defence 25.3 ptsCasa Pia · Form 18.8 ptsCasa Pia · Consistency 66.3 pts Rio Ave · Power 20.8 ptsRio Ave · Attack 18.3 ptsRio Ave · Defence 21.0 ptsRio Ave · Form 17.1 ptsRio Ave · Consistency 61.0 pts
Ratings · 0–100 · Availability is a percentage

Strength comparison

Point gaps · Availability in percentage points

18.3Power20.8
Rio Ave +2.5 pts
12.6Attack18.3
Rio Ave +5.7 pts
25.3Defence21.0
Casa Pia +4.3 pts
18.8Form17.1
Casa Pia +1.7 pts
66.3Consistency61.0
Casa Pia +5.3 pts
—Squad Availability—
Shared data unavailable

Consistency measures variation in points minus LOAD90 expected points, centred on the club’s average gap. Higher means less variation, not better results. Squad Availability is the percentage of model-weighted squad available for the last completed match, using its saved pre-match snapshot. It does not predict readiness for the next match. Missing historical data stays unavailable.

What separates them

The Difference

  • Rio Ave has the stronger attacking profile.
  • Casa Pia has less variable result gaps relative to LOAD90 expectations.
  • Casa Pia holds the defensive advantage.
Descriptive rating gaps, not a match forecast. Small gaps are left out; missing ratings are not compared.

Casa Pia · Form 5/5 · Consistency 20/20 covered matches · 0 pre-match / 20 historical forecast backfills · Availability · last completed match 10 Oct 2026

Rio Ave · Form 5/5 · Consistency 20/20 covered matches · 0 pre-match / 20 historical forecast backfills · Availability · last completed match 11 Oct 2026

How Consistency works

For each match, gap = points earned − LOAD90 expected points. Consistency = 100 × (1 − SD(gaps) / 3), with SD calculated around the window’s mean gap. The endpoints come from the mathematical bounds of point gaps; this is not a fitted percentile or a forecast factor. A constant positive or negative gap can be consistent.

Current uses the latest 20 completed tracked matches within one year. At least 15 usable forecasts and 75% coverage are required. A 15–19-match score is provisional; comparative Consistency insights require 20 each. Historical backfills are reconstructed expectations, not forecasts archived before kickoff. Result randomness and changes in model calibration can affect the score.

Casa Pia · Current gap SD 1.01 points · mean gap -0.43 · Full window

Rio Ave · Current gap SD 1.17 points · mean gap 0.02 · Full window

Playing Style · Current

Observed profile · last 10 matches before each club’s reference fixture. Native units and coverage are shown below.

Playing style radarEach axis has its own labelled native range, shared by both clubs and both periods. Grid rings mark quarters of those ranges. Exact values appear alongside; missing data leaves the shape incomplete. Possession 0–100 % Pass accuracy 0–100 % Shots in the box 0–100 % On target share 0–100 % Shot Frequency 0–6 shots/100 passes Corner Pressure 0–12 corners/90 Casa Pia · Possession 43.2 %Casa Pia · Pass accuracy 76.7 %Casa Pia · Shots in the box 60.0 %Casa Pia · On target share 32.3 %Casa Pia · Shot Frequency 2.9 shots/100 passesCasa Pia · Corner Pressure 4.1 corners/90 Rio Ave · Possession 45.0 %Rio Ave · Pass accuracy 82.4 %Rio Ave · Shots in the box 42.3 %Rio Ave · On target share 39.2 %Rio Ave · Shot Frequency 2.2 shots/100 passesRio Ave · Corner Pressure 3.9 corners/90 Playing style radarEach axis has its own labelled native range, shared by both clubs and both periods. Grid rings mark quarters of those ranges. Exact values appear alongside; missing data leaves the shape incomplete. Possession 0–100 % Passaccuracy 0–100 % Shots inthe box 0–100 % On targetshare 0–100 % ShotFrequency 0–6 shots/100 passes CornerPressure 0–12 corners/90 Casa Pia · Possession 43.2 %Casa Pia · Pass accuracy 76.7 %Casa Pia · Shots in the box 60.0 %Casa Pia · On target share 32.3 %Casa Pia · Shot Frequency 2.9 shots/100 passesCasa Pia · Corner Pressure 4.1 corners/90 Rio Ave · Possession 45.0 %Rio Ave · Pass accuracy 82.4 %Rio Ave · Shots in the box 42.3 %Rio Ave · On target share 39.2 %Rio Ave · Shot Frequency 2.2 shots/100 passesRio Ave · Corner Pressure 3.9 corners/90
Native units · axis ranges shown · larger is not better

How they play

Differences in each metric’s native units

43.2%Possession45.0%
Rio Ave +1.8 pp
76.7%Pass accuracy82.4%
Rio Ave +5.7 pp
60.0%Shots in the box42.3%
Casa Pia +17.6 pp
32.3%On target share39.2%
Rio Ave +6.9 pp
2.9Shot Frequency2.2
Casa Pia +0.7 shots/100 passes
4.1Corner Pressure3.9
Casa Pia +0.2 corners/90

Shot Frequency = shots per 100 passes on the same covered matches: how quickly passing sequences turn into attempts. Corner Pressure = corners per completed 90-minute game. These describe attacking tendencies, not strength; extra time and custom-length games are excluded.

These are observed profiles. League and schedule differences can affect them. The radar uses native axis ranges shared by both clubs and both periods; a larger shape does not imply superiority.

Casa Pia · Window 10 matches · before 24 Oct 2026 · Shot Frequency 10/10 · Corner Pressure 10/10 covered regulation matches. Per-metric coverage of the four percentage shares is unavailable.

Rio Ave · Window 10 matches · before 25 Oct 2026 · Shot Frequency 10/10 · Corner Pressure 9/10 covered regulation matches. Per-metric coverage of the four percentage shares is unavailable.

Strength Profile · Season Average

Match-sampled averages of available ratings this season, across tracked competitions. These are not time-weighted averages or a measure of consistency.

Strength profile radarCommon axes run from zero at the centre to 100 at the edge. Exact values appear alongside. A missing metric leaves the shape incomplete. 255075100 Power Attack Defence Form Consistency Squad Availability Casa Pia · Power 19.2 ptsCasa Pia · Form 12.9 ptsCasa Pia · Consistency 63.4 pts Rio Ave · Power 21.4 ptsRio Ave · Form 27.5 ptsRio Ave · Consistency 60.9 pts Strength profile radarCommon axes run from zero at the centre to 100 at the edge. Exact values appear alongside. A missing metric leaves the shape incomplete. 255075100 Power Attack Defence Form Consistency SquadAvailability Casa Pia · Power 19.2 ptsCasa Pia · Form 12.9 ptsCasa Pia · Consistency 63.4 pts Rio Ave · Power 21.4 ptsRio Ave · Form 27.5 ptsRio Ave · Consistency 60.9 pts
Ratings · 0–100 · Availability is a percentage

Strength comparison

Point gaps · Availability in percentage points

19.2Power21.4
Rio Ave +2.2 pts
—Attack—
Shared data unavailable
—Defence—
Shared data unavailable
12.9Form27.5
Rio Ave +14.6 pts
63.4Consistency60.9
Casa Pia +2.5 pts
—Squad Availability—
Shared data unavailable

Consistency measures variation in points minus LOAD90 expected points, centred on the club’s average gap. Higher means less variation, not better results. Squad Availability is the percentage of model-weighted squad available for the last completed match, using its saved pre-match snapshot. It does not predict readiness for the next match. Missing historical data stays unavailable.

What separates them

The Difference

  • Rio Ave has the higher average Form value.
Descriptive rating gaps, not a match forecast. Small gaps are left out; missing ratings are not compared.

Casa Pia · Power 8 · Attack 0 · Defence 0 · Form 5 · Consistency 8 · Squad Availability 0 · 0 pre-match / 8 historical Elo backfills. Minimum 3 observations per average. Consistency averages eligible rolling windows, which overlap; availability uses genuine pre-match snapshots only. Historical Form is reconstructed using the current calibration.

Rio Ave · Power 8 · Attack 0 · Defence 0 · Form 5 · Consistency 8 · Squad Availability 0 · 0 pre-match / 8 historical Elo backfills. Minimum 3 observations per average. Consistency averages eligible rolling windows, which overlap; availability uses genuine pre-match snapshots only. Historical Form is reconstructed using the current calibration.

How Consistency works

For each match, gap = points earned − LOAD90 expected points. Consistency = 100 × (1 − SD(gaps) / 3), with SD calculated around the window’s mean gap. The endpoints come from the mathematical bounds of point gaps; this is not a fitted percentile or a forecast factor. A constant positive or negative gap can be consistent.

Current uses the latest 20 completed tracked matches within one year. At least 15 usable forecasts and 75% coverage are required. A 15–19-match score is provisional; comparative Consistency insights require 20 each. Historical backfills are reconstructed expectations, not forecasts archived before kickoff. Result randomness and changes in model calibration can affect the score.

Casa Pia · Current gap SD 1.01 points · mean gap -0.43 · Full window

Rio Ave · Current gap SD 1.17 points · mean gap 0.02 · Full window

Playing Style · Season Average

Observed profile · league season before each club’s reference fixture. Native units and coverage are shown below.

Playing style radarEach axis has its own labelled native range, shared by both clubs and both periods. Grid rings mark quarters of those ranges. Exact values appear alongside; missing data leaves the shape incomplete. Possession 0–100 % Pass accuracy 0–100 % Shots in the box 0–100 % On target share 0–100 % Shot Frequency 0–6 shots/100 passes Corner Pressure 0–12 corners/90 Casa Pia · Possession 44.1 %Casa Pia · Pass accuracy 78.0 %Casa Pia · Shots in the box 59.0 %Casa Pia · On target share 27.3 %Casa Pia · Shot Frequency 2.8 shots/100 passesCasa Pia · Corner Pressure 4.0 corners/90 Rio Ave · Possession 44.6 %Rio Ave · Pass accuracy 82.6 %Rio Ave · Shots in the box 39.0 %Rio Ave · On target share 41.0 %Rio Ave · Shot Frequency 2.1 shots/100 passesRio Ave · Corner Pressure 3.8 corners/90 Playing style radarEach axis has its own labelled native range, shared by both clubs and both periods. Grid rings mark quarters of those ranges. Exact values appear alongside; missing data leaves the shape incomplete. Possession 0–100 % Passaccuracy 0–100 % Shots inthe box 0–100 % On targetshare 0–100 % ShotFrequency 0–6 shots/100 passes CornerPressure 0–12 corners/90 Casa Pia · Possession 44.1 %Casa Pia · Pass accuracy 78.0 %Casa Pia · Shots in the box 59.0 %Casa Pia · On target share 27.3 %Casa Pia · Shot Frequency 2.8 shots/100 passesCasa Pia · Corner Pressure 4.0 corners/90 Rio Ave · Possession 44.6 %Rio Ave · Pass accuracy 82.6 %Rio Ave · Shots in the box 39.0 %Rio Ave · On target share 41.0 %Rio Ave · Shot Frequency 2.1 shots/100 passesRio Ave · Corner Pressure 3.8 corners/90
Native units · axis ranges shown · larger is not better

How they play

Differences in each metric’s native units

44.1%Possession44.6%
Rio Ave +0.5 pp
78.0%Pass accuracy82.6%
Rio Ave +4.6 pp
59.0%Shots in the box39.0%
Casa Pia +20.0 pp
27.3%On target share41.0%
Rio Ave +13.7 pp
2.8Shot Frequency2.1
Casa Pia +0.7 shots/100 passes
4.0Corner Pressure3.8
Casa Pia +0.3 corners/90

Shot Frequency = shots per 100 passes on the same covered matches: how quickly passing sequences turn into attempts. Corner Pressure = corners per completed 90-minute game. These describe attacking tendencies, not strength; extra time and custom-length games are excluded.

These are observed profiles. League and schedule differences can affect them. The radar uses native axis ranges shared by both clubs and both periods; a larger shape does not imply superiority.

Casa Pia · Window 8 matches · before 24 Oct 2026 · Shot Frequency 8/8 · Corner Pressure 8/8 covered regulation matches. Per-metric coverage of the four percentage shares is unavailable.

Rio Ave · Window 8 matches · before 25 Oct 2026 · Shot Frequency 8/8 · Corner Pressure 8/8 covered regulation matches. Per-metric coverage of the four percentage shares is unavailable.

The season so far

Historical Trend

Power · 0–100

Base Power at recorded match dates. Solid lines join saved pre-match ratings; dashed segments include historical Elo backfills. The same fixed scale is used for both clubs.

Season Power historyAvailable pre-match Power observations and historical Elo backfills. Lines connect observations, not daily measurements. Exact dates and values are available in the table below. 0255075100 Casa Pia · 2026-08-08 14:30:00 UTC · 21.6 · backfill Casa Pia · 2026-08-17 19:15:00 UTC · 20.5 · backfill Casa Pia · 2026-08-24 19:15:00 UTC · 19.6 · backfill Casa Pia · 2026-08-30 17:00:00 UTC · 18.9 · backfill Casa Pia · 2026-09-06 17:00:00 UTC · 17.8 · backfill Casa Pia · 2026-09-12 17:00:00 UTC · 18.3 · backfill Casa Pia · 2026-09-20 17:00:00 UTC · 17.8 · backfill Casa Pia · 2026-10-10 19:30:00 UTC · 19.3 · backfill Rio Ave · 2026-08-09 19:30:00 UTC · 22 · backfill Rio Ave · 2026-08-15 19:30:00 UTC · 21.3 · backfill Rio Ave · 2026-08-22 17:00:00 UTC · 20.8 · backfill Rio Ave · 2026-08-28 19:15:00 UTC · 23.1 · backfill Rio Ave · 2026-09-06 14:30:00 UTC · 22.4 · backfill Rio Ave · 2026-09-14 17:45:00 UTC · 21 · backfill Rio Ave · 2026-09-19 17:00:00 UTC · 20.7 · backfill Rio Ave · 2026-10-11 14:30:00 UTC · 20.1 · backfill 8 Aug 202611 Oct 2026
Casa PiaRio Ave
View history data and coverage
ClubDate (UTC)PowerSource
Casa Pia2026-08-08 14:30:0021.6Historical Elo backfill
Casa Pia2026-08-17 19:15:0020.5Historical Elo backfill
Casa Pia2026-08-24 19:15:0019.6Historical Elo backfill
Casa Pia2026-08-30 17:00:0018.9Historical Elo backfill
Casa Pia2026-09-06 17:00:0017.8Historical Elo backfill
Casa Pia2026-09-12 17:00:0018.3Historical Elo backfill
Casa Pia2026-09-20 17:00:0017.8Historical Elo backfill
Casa Pia2026-10-10 19:30:0019.3Historical Elo backfill
Rio Ave2026-08-09 19:30:0022.0Historical Elo backfill
Rio Ave2026-08-15 19:30:0021.3Historical Elo backfill
Rio Ave2026-08-22 17:00:0020.8Historical Elo backfill
Rio Ave2026-08-28 19:15:0023.1Historical Elo backfill
Rio Ave2026-09-06 14:30:0022.4Historical Elo backfill
Rio Ave2026-09-14 17:45:0021.0Historical Elo backfill
Rio Ave2026-09-19 17:00:0020.7Historical Elo backfill
Rio Ave2026-10-11 14:30:0020.1Historical Elo backfill
Chances, finishing & results

Efficiency

From chances to results. Exact values share a scale within each row; colours identify the clubs.

Last 10

Casa Pia
Rio Ave
ConversionGoals / shots · %
5.2% 10/10 covered
12.7% 10/10 covered
Save RateSaves / shots on target faced · %
70.0% 9/10 covered
62.5% 10/10 covered
Goals − xGFinishing gap · per match
-0.58 5/10 covered
+0.27 7/10 covered
xGA − GAGoals prevented · per match
-1.02 5/10 covered
-0.35 7/10 covered
Shot QualityObserved xG / shot
0.065 5/10 covered
0.089 7/10 covered
Shot VolumeShots / 90
9.6 10/10 covered
7.9 10/10 covered
xG / matchLeague season · fixed window
0.58 5/8 covered
0.75 5/8 covered
xGA / matchLeague season · fixed window
1.38 5/8 covered
1.55 5/8 covered
Points / gameLeague season · fixed window
0.50 8/8 league matches
0.88 8/8 league matches
Points vs expected · Form windowUp to 5 matches · stored pure forecasts
-0.82 5/5 Form window
-1.60 5/5 Form window

Casa Pia · Statistics before 24 Oct 2026 · Recent results L · W · L · D · L

Rio Ave · Statistics before 25 Oct 2026 · Recent results W · L · D · L · L

League season

Casa Pia
Rio Ave
ConversionGoals / shots · %
3.9% 8/8 covered
13.1% 8/8 covered
Save RateSaves / shots on target faced · %
66.7% 7/8 covered
61.7% 8/8 covered
Goals − xGFinishing gap · per match
-0.58 5/8 covered
+0.25 5/8 covered
xGA − GAGoals prevented · per match
-1.02 5/8 covered
-0.25 5/8 covered
Shot QualityObserved xG / shot
0.065 5/8 covered
0.097 5/8 covered
Shot VolumeShots / 90
9.6 8/8 covered
7.6 8/8 covered
xG / matchLeague season · fixed window
0.58 5/8 covered
0.75 5/8 covered
xGA / matchLeague season · fixed window
1.38 5/8 covered
1.55 5/8 covered
Points / gameLeague season · fixed window
0.50 8/8 league matches
0.88 8/8 league matches
Points vs expected · Form windowUp to 5 matches · stored pure forecasts
-0.82 5/5 Form window
-1.60 5/5 Form window

Casa Pia · Statistics before 24 Oct 2026 · Recent results L · W · L · D · L

Rio Ave · Statistics before 25 Oct 2026 · Recent results W · L · D · L · L

Positive Goals − xG means more goals scored than the observed chances predicted. Positive xGA − GA means fewer goals conceded than those chances predicted; it reflects defence and goalkeeping together. Gaps are per covered match and pair goals and xG on the same matches. Shot Quality pairs total xG and total shots. Minimum three known matches per metric; missing data stays unavailable.

Butterfly bars grow from the centre towards each club. Length shows magnitude, not superiority; negative gaps use stripes and a minus sign. Percentages use 0–100%, PPG uses 0–3; other rows share the larger absolute value as their limit. xG, xGA and PPG retain their league-season window. Points vs expected retains the latest up to five completed matches with stored pure forecasts across tracked competitions; results are newest first. These observed metrics are not adjusted for league or opponent strength.

About this comparison

Strength ratings share LOAD90’s fixed scales across leagues. Elo reflects opponent quality; Attack and Defence describe performance against the same reference club on a neutral pitch. Form adjusts for opponents and venue. League Strength is not added a second time. Cross-league ratings remain model estimates; sparse connections between leagues and incomplete data limit precision. Explore the methodology →