Football / The bigger picture

Insights.

Go beyond the result. Follow the patterns. See the evidence.

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Competition selects current clubs. Result windows include all recorded competitions; points comparisons use covered current-league matches.

League insights

Serie A · 81 signals · 20 clubs in this view

Explore all signals ↓

Automatically selected connections · one story per club · experimental Insight Score orders stories, not teams.

LazioPoints ahead. Chance balance tells another story.Insight Score81/100

Points exceed the stored forecasts, while the observed xG profile has no positive balance. Results and chances tell different stories; this does not establish that a reversal is due.

Points minus expected7/7 current-league matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games
+8.2
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
−0.15
Wins in a rowLast 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
3
Full club analysis →Different windows, shown individually. Connections invite analysis; they do not establish a cause.
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 81/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
100.0
Recency
64.5
Context
100.0
Quality
51.7

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Points minus expected — Points 19; xPts 10.8. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.15; xG against 1.3. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
  • Wins in a row — A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
InterGoals accompanied by a positive chance balanceInsight Score73/100

Goals scored exceed the current league reference, alongside a positive observed xG profile. The sources have different windows; both describe past performances rather than the next result.

Goals scored / matchLast 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
2.8
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
+1.37
Full club analysis →Different windows, shown individually. Connections invite analysis; they do not establish a cause.
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 73/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
91.3
Recency
46.8
Context
80.0
Quality
65.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Goals scored / match — Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.73; xG against 1.36. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
NapoliChance balance ahead of the points returnInsight Score72/100

A positive observed xG balance sits alongside points below stored forecast expectations. These are different windows: inspect finishing, conceding and individual matches before assigning a cause.

Points minus expected9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games
−3.5
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
+1.02
Goals scored / matchLast 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
1.2
Full club analysis →Different windows, shown individually. Connections invite analysis; they do not establish a cause.
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 72/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
68.0
Recency
62.4
Context
100.0
Quality
63.3

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Points minus expected — Points 10; xPts 13.5. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 6. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.81; xG against 0.79. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
  • Goals scored / match — Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
JuventusDefensive consistency, positive chance balanceInsight Score62/100

Clean sheets and low goals conceded accompany a positive observed xG balance. The xG profile describes overall chance balance; it is not, by itself, proof of strong defending.

Clean sheetsLast 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
4/9
Goals conceded / matchLast 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
1.0
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
+0.89
Full club analysis →Different windows, shown individually. Connections invite analysis; they do not establish a cause.
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 62/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
59.3
Recency
48.4
Context
80.0
Quality
65.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Clean sheets — Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Goals conceded / match — Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.5; xG against 0.61. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
MonzaGoals at both endsInsight Score57/100

Scoring and conceding are both above the current league reference, with both teams scoring regularly. The result window spans all competitions; this comparison is not adjusted for opposition.

Goals scored / matchLast 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
1.9
Goals conceded / matchLast 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
2.1
Both teams scoredLast 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
86%
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
+0.19
Full club analysis →Different windows, shown individually. Connections invite analysis; they do not establish a cause.
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 57/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
50.0
Recency
50.0
Context
80.0
Quality
55.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Goals scored / match — Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Goals conceded / match — Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Both teams scored — Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.56; xG against 1.37. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Each signal belongs to one category. Categories sum to All signals; stories combine related evidence across categories.

All signals81 signals · 20 clubs

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Inter xG difference per match +1.37 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG48
Observed xG Inter +1.37 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for2.73xG against1.36

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.73; xG against 1.36. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 48/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
91.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
2.73
xG against
1.36

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Sassuolo Both teams scored 100% Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores71
Scores Sassuolo 100% Both teams scored Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-16 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 71/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
75.0
Recency
90.5
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Sassuolo’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-23AtalantaA1–2LYes
2026-08-29TorinoH2–1WYes
2026-09-06BolognaA2–2DYes
2026-09-13JuventusH3–2WYes
2026-09-18MonzaA1–2LYes
2026-10-11AC MilanH1–1DYes
2026-10-16FrosinoneA2–4LYes
Full club analysis →
Lazio Points above expected +8.2 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Forecast76
Forecast Lazio +8.2 Points above expected 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Points19.0xPts10.8

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 7/7 current-league matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 19; xPts 10.8. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 76/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
100.0
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

7/7 covered matches · current leagues

Points
19.0
xPts
10.8

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 5.

Full club analysis →
Parma xG difference per match −1.28 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG46
Observed xG Parma −1.28 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for0.57xG against1.85

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 0.57; xG against 1.85. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 46/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
85.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
0.57
xG against
1.85

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Lazio Goals conceded per match 0.6 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores58
Scores Lazio 0.6 Goals conceded per match Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 58/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
34.3
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Lazio’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-24BolognaA1–0W
2026-08-30GenoaH1–0W
2026-09-07UdineseA2–1W
2026-09-12AC MilanH2–2D
2026-09-19VeneziaA2–0W
2026-10-11MonzaH3–1W
2026-10-18JuventusA3–0W
Full club analysis →
Inter Goals scored per match 2.8 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores68
Scores Inter 2.8 Goals scored per match Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 68/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
54.2
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Inter’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22MonzaH4–1W
2026-08-30CagliariA1–0W
2026-09-05NapoliH3–2W
2026-09-08Real MadridA1–2L
2026-09-14UdineseH5–3W
2026-09-19AS RomaA2–2D
2026-10-10ParmaH3–0W
2026-10-13Club Brugge KVH3–4L
2026-10-17BolognaA3–1W
Full club analysis →
Udinese Losses in a row 5 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Streak62
Streak Udinese 5 Losses in a row Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Losses in a row

Consecutive defeats start with the latest recorded result. The sequence describes the results, without claiming a cause.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 62/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
43.8
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Udinese’s perspective. Event: Losses in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-22ComoH1–1DNo
2026-08-29MonzaA3–2WNo
2026-09-07LazioH1–2LYes
2026-09-14InterA3–5LYes
2026-09-19CagliariH0–1LYes
2026-10-12TorinoA1–2LYes
2026-10-18LecceH0–3LYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
AS Roma Clean sheets 5 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores72
Scores AS Roma 5 Clean sheets Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 72/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
64.4
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from AS Roma’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-24FiorentinaH4–0WYes
2026-08-31LecceA4–0WYes
2026-09-05AtalantaH2–1WNo
2026-09-10FenerbahceA1–1DNo
2026-09-14TorinoA2–0WYes
2026-09-19InterH2–2DNo
2026-10-11ComoA0–0DYes
2026-10-14Real MadridH3–4LNo
2026-10-17GenoaH2–0WYes
Full club analysis →
Lazio Clean sheets 4 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores68
Scores Lazio 4 Clean sheets Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 68/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
61.3
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Lazio’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-24BolognaA1–0WYes
2026-08-30GenoaH1–0WYes
2026-09-07UdineseA2–1WNo
2026-09-12AC MilanH2–2DNo
2026-09-19VeneziaA2–0WYes
2026-10-11MonzaH3–1WNo
2026-10-18JuventusA3–0WYes
Full club analysis →
Lazio Unbeaten in a row 7 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Streak68
Streak Lazio 7 Unbeaten in a row Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Unbeaten in a row

The latest recorded sequence contains wins and draws without a defeat. It counts results, without adjusting for the opposition.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 68/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
61.3
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Lazio’s perspective. Event: Unbeaten in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-24BolognaA1–0WYes
2026-08-30GenoaH1–0WYes
2026-09-07UdineseA2–1WYes
2026-09-12AC MilanH2–2DYes
2026-09-19VeneziaA2–0WYes
2026-10-11MonzaH3–1WYes
2026-10-18JuventusA3–0WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Inter Scoring in a row 9 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Streak80
Streak Inter 9 Scoring in a row Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 80/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
86.8
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Inter’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-22MonzaH4–1WYes
2026-08-30CagliariA1–0WYes
2026-09-05NapoliH3–2WYes
2026-09-08Real MadridA1–2LYes
2026-09-14UdineseH5–3WYes
2026-09-19AS RomaA2–2DYes
2026-10-10ParmaH3–0WYes
2026-10-13Club Brugge KVH3–4LYes
2026-10-17BolognaA3–1WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Monza Both teams scored 86% Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores65
Scores Monza 86% Both teams scored Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 65/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
50.0
Recency
100.0
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Monza’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-22InterA1–4LYes
2026-08-29UdineseH2–3LYes
2026-09-06ParmaA1–1DYes
2026-09-13LecceA2–3LYes
2026-09-18SassuoloH2–1WYes
2026-10-11LazioA1–3LYes
2026-10-19CagliariH4–0WNo
Full club analysis →
Frosinone Points above expected +5.6 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Forecast64
Forecast Frosinone +5.6 Points above expected 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Points13.0xPts7.4

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 7/7 current-league matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-16 UTC. Points 13; xPts 7.4. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 64/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
70.0
Recency
90.5
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

7/7 covered matches · current leagues

Points
13.0
xPts
7.4

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 5.

Full club analysis →
Fiorentina Points below expected −5.5 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Forecast65
Forecast Fiorentina −5.5 Points below expected 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Points4.0xPts9.5

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 7/7 current-league matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 4; xPts 9.5. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 65/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
68.8
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

7/7 covered matches · current leagues

Points
4.0
xPts
9.5

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 5.

Full club analysis →
Fiorentina Goals conceded per match 2.4 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores59
Scores Fiorentina 2.4 Goals conceded per match Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 59/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
36.0
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Fiorentina’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-24AS RomaA0–4L
2026-08-29FrosinoneH0–3L
2026-09-05TorinoH1–2L
2026-09-11VeneziaA4–2W
2026-09-20NapoliH1–1D
2026-10-10GenoaA1–2L
2026-10-18ComoH1–3L
Full club analysis →
AS Roma Goals conceded per match 0.9 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores58
Scores AS Roma 0.9 Goals conceded per match Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 58/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
24.6
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from AS Roma’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-24FiorentinaH4–0W
2026-08-31LecceA4–0W
2026-09-05AtalantaH2–1W
2026-09-10FenerbahceA1–1D
2026-09-14TorinoA2–0W
2026-09-19InterH2–2D
2026-10-11ComoA0–0D
2026-10-14Real MadridH3–4L
2026-10-17GenoaH2–0W
Full club analysis →
AS Roma xG difference per match +1.08 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG41
Observed xG AS Roma +1.08 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for2.19xG against1.11

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.19; xG against 1.11. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 41/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
72.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
2.19
xG against
1.11

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Napoli xG difference per match +1.02 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG40
Observed xG Napoli +1.02 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.81xG against0.79

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.81; xG against 0.79. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 40/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
68.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.81
xG against
0.79

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Cagliari Points above expected +4.8 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Forecast63
Forecast Cagliari +4.8 Points above expected 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Points13.0xPts8.2

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 7/7 current-league matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Points 13; xPts 8.2. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 63/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
60.0
Recency
100.0
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

7/7 covered matches · current leagues

Points
13.0
xPts
8.2

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 5.

Full club analysis →
Lazio Wins in a row 3 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Streak55
Streak Lazio 3 Wins in a row Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Wins in a row

Consecutive wins start with the latest recorded result. A draw or defeat ends the run within the available window.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 55/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
26.3
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Lazio’s perspective. Event: Wins in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-24BolognaA1–0WYes
2026-08-30GenoaH1–0WYes
2026-09-07UdineseA2–1WYes
2026-09-12AC MilanH2–2DNo
2026-09-19VeneziaA2–0WYes
2026-10-11MonzaH3–1WYes
2026-10-18JuventusA3–0WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Udinese Points below expected −5.1 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Forecast64
Forecast Udinese −5.1 Points below expected 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Points4.0xPts9.1

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 7/7 current-league matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 4; xPts 9.1. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 64/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
63.8
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

7/7 covered matches · current leagues

Points
4.0
xPts
9.1

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 5.

Full club analysis →
Bologna Points below expected −5.0 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Forecast62
Forecast Bologna −5.0 Points below expected 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Points5.0xPts10.0

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 7/7 current-league matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 5; xPts 10. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 62/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
62.5
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

7/7 covered matches · current leagues

Points
5.0
xPts
10.0

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 5.

Full club analysis →
Juventus xG difference per match +0.89 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG37
Observed xG Juventus +0.89 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.50xG against0.61

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.5; xG against 0.61. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 37/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
59.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.50
xG against
0.61

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Inter Both teams scored 78% Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores63
Scores Inter 78% Both teams scored Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 63/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
39.8
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Inter’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-22MonzaH4–1WYes
2026-08-30CagliariA1–0WNo
2026-09-05NapoliH3–2WYes
2026-09-08Real MadridA1–2LYes
2026-09-14UdineseH5–3WYes
2026-09-19AS RomaA2–2DYes
2026-10-10ParmaH3–0WNo
2026-10-13Club Brugge KVH3–4LYes
2026-10-17BolognaA3–1WYes
Full club analysis →
Udinese xG difference per match −0.79 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG34
Observed xG Udinese −0.79 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.07xG against1.86

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.07; xG against 1.86. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 34/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
52.7
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.07
xG against
1.86

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Como Both teams scored 78% Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores64
Scores Como 78% Both teams scored Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 64/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
39.8
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Como’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-22UdineseA1–1DYes
2026-08-30NapoliA2–1WYes
2026-09-04GenoaA4–1WYes
2026-09-10RB LeipzigH4–1WYes
2026-09-14ParmaH2–1WYes
2026-09-20FrosinoneA0–2LNo
2026-10-11AS RomaH0–0DNo
2026-10-14FeyenoordA2–3LYes
2026-10-18FiorentinaA3–1WYes
Full club analysis →
Frosinone xG difference per match −0.79 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG34
Observed xG Frosinone −0.79 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.41xG against2.20

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.41; xG against 2.2. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 34/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
52.7
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.41
xG against
2.20

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Venezia xG difference per match −0.75 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG34
Observed xG Venezia −0.75 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.33xG against2.08

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.33; xG against 2.08. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 34/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
50.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.33
xG against
2.08

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Udinese Goals conceded per match 2.3 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores57
Scores Udinese 2.3 Goals conceded per match Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 57/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
30.6
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Udinese’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22ComoH1–1D
2026-08-29MonzaA3–2W
2026-09-07LazioH1–2L
2026-09-14InterA3–5L
2026-09-19CagliariH0–1L
2026-10-12TorinoA1–2L
2026-10-18LecceH0–3L
Full club analysis →
AS Roma Goals scored per match 2.2 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores60
Scores AS Roma 2.2 Goals scored per match Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 60/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
31.0
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from AS Roma’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-24FiorentinaH4–0W
2026-08-31LecceA4–0W
2026-09-05AtalantaH2–1W
2026-09-10FenerbahceA1–1D
2026-09-14TorinoA2–0W
2026-09-19InterH2–2D
2026-10-11ComoA0–0D
2026-10-14Real MadridH3–4L
2026-10-17GenoaH2–0W
Full club analysis →
Venezia Goals conceded per match 2.3 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores56
Scores Venezia 2.3 Goals conceded per match Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 56/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
30.6
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Venezia’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-23LecceH0–2L
2026-08-28AC MilanA0–2L
2026-09-06FrosinoneA2–3L
2026-09-11FiorentinaH2–4L
2026-09-19LazioH0–2L
2026-10-12AtalantaA1–3L
2026-10-17NapoliH1–0W
Full club analysis →
Napoli Goals conceded away per match 1.6 Last 5 recorded away matches Scores45
Scores Napoli 1.6 Goals conceded away per match Last 5 recorded away matches Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.

Recorded scores · away only · Last 5 recorded away matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 45/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
3.9
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
62.5

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 5 recorded away matches

Oldest → newest · scores from Napoli’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22GenoaA2–0W
2026-09-05InterA2–3L
2026-09-20FiorentinaA1–1D
2026-10-13VillarrealA1–3L
2026-10-17VeneziaA0–1L
Full club analysis →
Lazio Scoring in a row 7 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Streak68
Streak Lazio 7 Scoring in a row Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 68/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
61.3
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Lazio’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-24BolognaA1–0WYes
2026-08-30GenoaH1–0WYes
2026-09-07UdineseA2–1WYes
2026-09-12AC MilanH2–2DYes
2026-09-19VeneziaA2–0WYes
2026-10-11MonzaH3–1WYes
2026-10-18JuventusA3–0WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Juventus Clean sheets 4 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores65
Scores Juventus 4 Clean sheets Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 65/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
43.0
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Juventus’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-23FrosinoneA1–0WYes
2026-08-29ParmaH2–0WYes
2026-09-06AC MilanH1–1DNo
2026-09-13SassuoloA2–3LNo
2026-09-17NEC NijmegenH5–0WYes
2026-09-20AtalantaH2–0WYes
2026-10-11CagliariA1–1DNo
2026-10-15Celta VigoA2–1WNo
2026-10-18LazioH0–3LNo
Full club analysis →
AC Milan Goals conceded per match 1.0 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores57
Scores AC Milan 1.0 Goals conceded per match Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 57/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
20.0
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from AC Milan’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-23TorinoA2–1W
2026-08-28VeneziaH2–0W
2026-09-06JuventusA1–1D
2026-09-12LazioA2–2D
2026-09-16BenficaH0–2L
2026-09-20LecceH3–0W
2026-10-11SassuoloA1–1D
2026-10-15Red Bull SalzburgA4–0W
2026-10-18AtalantaH3–2W
Full club analysis →
Monza Scoring in a row 7 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Streak68
Streak Monza 7 Scoring in a row Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 68/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
61.3
Recency
100.0
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Monza’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-22InterA1–4LYes
2026-08-29UdineseH2–3LYes
2026-09-06ParmaA1–1DYes
2026-09-13LecceA2–3LYes
2026-09-18SassuoloH2–1WYes
2026-10-11LazioA1–3LYes
2026-10-19CagliariH4–0WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Napoli Points below expected −3.5 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Forecast57
Forecast Napoli −3.5 Points below expected 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Points10.0xPts13.5

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 10; xPts 13.5. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 6. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 57/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
37.5
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

9/9 covered matches · current leagues

Points
10.0
xPts
13.5

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 6.

Full club analysis →
Juventus Goals conceded per match 1.0 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores57
Scores Juventus 1.0 Goals conceded per match Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 57/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
20.0
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Juventus’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-23FrosinoneA1–0W
2026-08-29ParmaH2–0W
2026-09-06AC MilanH1–1D
2026-09-13SassuoloA2–3L
2026-09-17NEC NijmegenH5–0W
2026-09-20AtalantaH2–0W
2026-10-11CagliariA1–1D
2026-10-15Celta VigoA2–1W
2026-10-18LazioH0–3L
Full club analysis →
Sassuolo Scoring in a row 7 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Streak66
Streak Sassuolo 7 Scoring in a row Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-16 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 66/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
61.3
Recency
90.5
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Sassuolo’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-23AtalantaA1–2LYes
2026-08-29TorinoH2–1WYes
2026-09-06BolognaA2–2DYes
2026-09-13JuventusH3–2WYes
2026-09-18MonzaA1–2LYes
2026-10-11AC MilanH1–1DYes
2026-10-16FrosinoneA2–4LYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Genoa Points below expected −3.5 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Forecast56
Forecast Genoa −3.5 Points below expected 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Points4.0xPts7.5

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 7/7 current-league matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 4; xPts 7.5. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 56/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
43.8
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

7/7 covered matches · current leagues

Points
4.0
xPts
7.5

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 5.

Full club analysis →
AC Milan xG difference per match +0.70 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG32
Observed xG AC Milan +0.70 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.97xG against1.27

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.97; xG against 1.27. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 32/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
46.7
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.97
xG against
1.27

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Cagliari Clean sheets 3 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores60
Scores Cagliari 3 Clean sheets Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 60/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
36.3
Recency
100.0
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Cagliari’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-22ParmaA1–0WYes
2026-08-30InterH0–1LNo
2026-09-07LecceH1–0WYes
2026-09-12AtalantaA2–1WNo
2026-09-19UdineseA1–0WYes
2026-10-11JuventusH1–1DNo
2026-10-19MonzaA0–4LNo
Full club analysis →
Como Goals conceded away per match 1.5 Last 6 recorded away matches Scores47
Scores Como 1.5 Goals conceded away per match Last 6 recorded away matches Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.

Recorded scores · away only · Last 6 recorded away matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 47/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
0.8
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
75.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 6 recorded away matches

Oldest → newest · scores from Como’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22UdineseA1–1D
2026-08-30NapoliA2–1W
2026-09-04GenoaA4–1W
2026-09-20FrosinoneA0–2L
2026-10-14FeyenoordA2–3L
2026-10-18FiorentinaA3–1W
Full club analysis →
Cagliari Goals conceded per match 1.0 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores53
Scores Cagliari 1.0 Goals conceded per match Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 53/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
18.1
Recency
100.0
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Cagliari’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22ParmaA1–0W
2026-08-30InterH0–1L
2026-09-07LecceH1–0W
2026-09-12AtalantaA2–1W
2026-09-19UdineseA1–0W
2026-10-11JuventusH1–1D
2026-10-19MonzaA0–4L
Full club analysis →
AC Milan Points above expected +3.4 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Forecast57
Forecast AC Milan +3.4 Points above expected 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Points18.0xPts14.6

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 18; xPts 14.6. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 6. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 57/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
36.4
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

9/9 covered matches · current leagues

Points
18.0
xPts
14.6

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 6.

Full club analysis →
Parma Points below expected −3.3 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Forecast56
Forecast Parma −3.3 Points below expected 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Points4.0xPts7.3

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 7/7 current-league matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Points 4; xPts 7.3. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 56/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
41.3
Recency
100.0
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

7/7 covered matches · current leagues

Points
4.0
xPts
7.3

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 5.

Full club analysis →
Monza Goals conceded per match 2.1 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores56
Scores Monza 2.1 Goals conceded per match Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 56/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
25.2
Recency
100.0
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Monza’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22InterA1–4L
2026-08-29UdineseH2–3L
2026-09-06ParmaA1–1D
2026-09-13LecceA2–3L
2026-09-18SassuoloH2–1W
2026-10-11LazioA1–3L
2026-10-19CagliariH4–0W
Full club analysis →
Venezia Points below expected −2.6 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Forecast52
Forecast Venezia −2.6 Points below expected 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Points3.0xPts5.6

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 7/7 current-league matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 3; xPts 5.6. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
32.5
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

7/7 covered matches · current leagues

Points
3.0
xPts
5.6

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 5.

Full club analysis →
AC Milan Goals scored per match 2.0 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores58
Scores AC Milan 2.0 Goals scored per match Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 58/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
21.8
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from AC Milan’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-23TorinoA2–1W
2026-08-28VeneziaH2–0W
2026-09-06JuventusA1–1D
2026-09-12LazioA2–2D
2026-09-16BenficaH0–2L
2026-09-20LecceH3–0W
2026-10-11SassuoloA1–1D
2026-10-15Red Bull SalzburgA4–0W
2026-10-18AtalantaH3–2W
Full club analysis →
Atalanta xG difference per match −0.57 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG29
Observed xG Atalanta −0.57 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.06xG against1.63

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.06; xG against 1.63. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 29/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
38.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.06
xG against
1.63

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Como Goals scored per match 2.0 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores58
Scores Como 2.0 Goals scored per match Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 58/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
21.8
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Como’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22UdineseA1–1D
2026-08-30NapoliA2–1W
2026-09-04GenoaA4–1W
2026-09-10RB LeipzigH4–1W
2026-09-14ParmaH2–1W
2026-09-20FrosinoneA0–2L
2026-10-11AS RomaH0–0D
2026-10-14FeyenoordA2–3L
2026-10-18FiorentinaA3–1W
Full club analysis →
Lazio Goals scored per match 2.0 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores53
Scores Lazio 2.0 Goals scored per match Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 53/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
19.7
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Lazio’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-24BolognaA1–0W
2026-08-30GenoaH1–0W
2026-09-07UdineseA2–1W
2026-09-12AC MilanH2–2D
2026-09-19VeneziaA2–0W
2026-10-11MonzaH3–1W
2026-10-18JuventusA3–0W
Full club analysis →
Como xG difference per match +0.47 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG27
Observed xG Como +0.47 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.88xG against1.41

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.88; xG against 1.41. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 27/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
31.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.88
xG against
1.41

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Fiorentina Scoring in a row 5 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Streak62
Streak Fiorentina 5 Scoring in a row Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 62/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
43.8
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Fiorentina’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-24AS RomaA0–4LNo
2026-08-29FrosinoneH0–3LNo
2026-09-05TorinoH1–2LYes
2026-09-11VeneziaA4–2WYes
2026-09-20NapoliH1–1DYes
2026-10-10GenoaA1–2LYes
2026-10-18ComoH1–3LYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Udinese Both teams scored 71% Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores55
Scores Udinese 71% Both teams scored Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 55/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
25.0
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Udinese’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-22ComoH1–1DYes
2026-08-29MonzaA3–2WYes
2026-09-07LazioH1–2LYes
2026-09-14InterA3–5LYes
2026-09-19CagliariH0–1LNo
2026-10-12TorinoA1–2LYes
2026-10-18LecceH0–3LNo
Full club analysis →
Atalanta Both teams scored 71% Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores55
Scores Atalanta 71% Both teams scored Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 55/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
25.0
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Atalanta’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-23SassuoloH2–1WYes
2026-08-31BolognaH1–0WNo
2026-09-05AS RomaA1–2LYes
2026-09-12CagliariH1–2LYes
2026-09-20JuventusA0–2LNo
2026-10-12VeneziaH3–1WYes
2026-10-18AC MilanA2–3LYes
Full club analysis →
Sassuolo Goals conceded per match 2.0 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores52
Scores Sassuolo 2.0 Goals conceded per match Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-16 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
19.7
Recency
90.5
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Sassuolo’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-23AtalantaA1–2L
2026-08-29TorinoH2–1W
2026-09-06BolognaA2–2D
2026-09-13JuventusH3–2W
2026-09-18MonzaA1–2L
2026-10-11AC MilanH1–1D
2026-10-16FrosinoneA2–4L
Full club analysis →
Fiorentina Both teams scored 71% Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores55
Scores Fiorentina 71% Both teams scored Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 55/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
25.0
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Fiorentina’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-24AS RomaA0–4LNo
2026-08-29FrosinoneH0–3LNo
2026-09-05TorinoH1–2LYes
2026-09-11VeneziaA4–2WYes
2026-09-20NapoliH1–1DYes
2026-10-10GenoaA1–2LYes
2026-10-18ComoH1–3LYes
Full club analysis →
Torino Points above expected +1.9 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Forecast50
Forecast Torino +1.9 Points above expected 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Points10.0xPts8.1

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 7/7 current-league matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Points 10; xPts 8.1. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 50/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
23.8
Recency
100.0
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

7/7 covered matches · current leagues

Points
10.0
xPts
8.1

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 5.

Full club analysis →
Cagliari xG difference per match −0.51 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG28
Observed xG Cagliari −0.51 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.31xG against1.82

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.31; xG against 1.82. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 28/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
34.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.31
xG against
1.82

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Torino Both teams scored 71% Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores56
Scores Torino 71% Both teams scored Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 56/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
25.0
Recency
100.0
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Torino’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-23AC MilanH1–2LYes
2026-08-29SassuoloA1–2LYes
2026-09-05FiorentinaA2–1WYes
2026-09-14AS RomaH0–2LNo
2026-09-19BolognaA1–1DYes
2026-10-12UdineseH2–1WYes
2026-10-19ParmaA3–0WNo
Full club analysis →
Lecce Points above expected +1.7 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Forecast49
Forecast Lecce +1.7 Points above expected 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Points9.0xPts7.3

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 7/7 current-league matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 9; xPts 7.3. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 49/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
21.3
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

7/7 covered matches · current leagues

Points
9.0
xPts
7.3

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 5.

Full club analysis →
Como Points above expected +1.6 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Forecast50
Forecast Como +1.6 Points above expected 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Points17.0xPts15.4

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 17; xPts 15.4. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 6. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 50/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
17.1
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

9/9 covered matches · current leagues

Points
17.0
xPts
15.4

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 6.

Full club analysis →
Lecce xG difference per match −0.49 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG27
Observed xG Lecce −0.49 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.32xG against1.81

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.32; xG against 1.81. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 27/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
32.7
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.32
xG against
1.81

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
AC Milan Clean sheets 3 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores58
Scores AC Milan 3 Clean sheets Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 58/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
21.6
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from AC Milan’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-23TorinoA2–1WNo
2026-08-28VeneziaH2–0WYes
2026-09-06JuventusA1–1DNo
2026-09-12LazioA2–2DNo
2026-09-16BenficaH0–2LNo
2026-09-20LecceH3–0WYes
2026-10-11SassuoloA1–1DNo
2026-10-15Red Bull SalzburgA4–0WYes
2026-10-18AtalantaH3–2WNo
Full club analysis →
Napoli Clean sheets 3 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores57
Scores Napoli 3 Clean sheets Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 57/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
21.6
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Napoli’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-22GenoaA2–0WYes
2026-08-30ComoH1–2LNo
2026-09-05InterA2–3LNo
2026-09-09ArsenalH0–1LNo
2026-09-13BolognaH1–0WYes
2026-09-20FiorentinaA1–1DNo
2026-10-10FrosinoneH3–0WYes
2026-10-13VillarrealA1–3LNo
2026-10-17VeneziaA0–1LNo
Full club analysis →
AS Roma Points above expected +1.4 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Forecast49
Forecast AS Roma +1.4 Points above expected 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Points18.0xPts16.6

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 18; xPts 16.6. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 6. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 49/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
15.0
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

9/9 covered matches · current leagues

Points
18.0
xPts
16.6

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 6.

Full club analysis →
Inter Points above expected +1.4 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Forecast49
Forecast Inter +1.4 Points above expected 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Points19.0xPts17.6

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 19; xPts 17.6. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 6. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 49/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
15.0
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

9/9 covered matches · current leagues

Points
19.0
xPts
17.6

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 6.

Full club analysis →
Monza Goals scored per match 1.9 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores52
Scores Monza 1.9 Goals scored per match Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
14.3
Recency
100.0
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Monza’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22InterA1–4L
2026-08-29UdineseH2–3L
2026-09-06ParmaA1–1D
2026-09-13LecceA2–3L
2026-09-18SassuoloH2–1W
2026-10-11LazioA1–3L
2026-10-19CagliariH4–0W
Full club analysis →
Frosinone Goals scored per match 1.9 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores50
Scores Frosinone 1.9 Goals scored per match Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-16 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 50/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
14.3
Recency
90.5
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Frosinone’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-23JuventusH0–1L
2026-08-29FiorentinaA3–0W
2026-09-06VeneziaH3–2W
2026-09-12GenoaA1–1D
2026-09-20ComoH2–0W
2026-10-10NapoliA0–3L
2026-10-16SassuoloH4–2W
Full club analysis →
Genoa Goals conceded per match 1.9 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores50
Scores Genoa 1.9 Goals conceded per match Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 50/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
14.3
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Genoa’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22NapoliH0–2L
2026-08-30LazioA0–1L
2026-09-04ComoH1–4L
2026-09-12FrosinoneH1–1D
2026-09-20ParmaA1–2L
2026-10-10FiorentinaH2–1W
2026-10-17AS RomaA0–2L
Full club analysis →
Parma Goals conceded per match 1.9 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores52
Scores Parma 1.9 Goals conceded per match Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
14.3
Recency
100.0
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Parma’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22CagliariH0–1L
2026-08-29JuventusA0–2L
2026-09-06MonzaH1–1D
2026-09-14ComoA1–2L
2026-09-20GenoaH2–1W
2026-10-10InterA0–3L
2026-10-19TorinoH0–3L
Full club analysis →
Sassuolo xG difference per match +0.20 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG21
Observed xG Sassuolo +0.20 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.57xG against1.37

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.57; xG against 1.37. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 21/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
13.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.57
xG against
1.37

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Juventus Goals scored per match 1.8 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores55
Scores Juventus 1.8 Goals scored per match Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 55/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
12.5
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Juventus’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-23FrosinoneA1–0W
2026-08-29ParmaH2–0W
2026-09-06AC MilanH1–1D
2026-09-13SassuoloA2–3L
2026-09-17NEC NijmegenH5–0W
2026-09-20AtalantaH2–0W
2026-10-11CagliariA1–1D
2026-10-15Celta VigoA2–1W
2026-10-18LazioH0–3L
Full club analysis →
Atalanta Points below expected −1.3 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Forecast47
Forecast Atalanta −1.3 Points below expected 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Points9.0xPts10.3

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 7/7 current-league matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 9; xPts 10.3. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 47/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
16.3
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

7/7 covered matches · current leagues

Points
9.0
xPts
10.3

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 5.

Full club analysis →
Torino xG difference per match −0.30 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG23
Observed xG Torino −0.30 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.27xG against1.57

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.27; xG against 1.57. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 23/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
20.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.27
xG against
1.57

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Sassuolo Goals scored per match 1.7 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores48
Scores Sassuolo 1.7 Goals scored per match Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-16 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 48/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
8.9
Recency
90.5
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Sassuolo’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-23AtalantaA1–2L
2026-08-29TorinoH2–1W
2026-09-06BolognaA2–2D
2026-09-13JuventusH3–2W
2026-09-18MonzaA1–2L
2026-10-11AC MilanH1–1D
2026-10-16FrosinoneA2–4L
Full club analysis →
Lecce Goals conceded per match 1.7 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores49
Scores Lecce 1.7 Goals conceded per match Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 49/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
8.9
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Lecce’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-23VeneziaA2–0W
2026-08-31AS RomaH0–4L
2026-09-07CagliariA0–1L
2026-09-13MonzaH3–2W
2026-09-20AC MilanA0–3L
2026-10-11BolognaH1–2L
2026-10-18UdineseA3–0W
Full club analysis →
Inter Goals conceded per match 1.7 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores52
Scores Inter 1.7 Goals conceded per match Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
7.8
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Inter’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22MonzaH4–1W
2026-08-30CagliariA1–0W
2026-09-05NapoliH3–2W
2026-09-08Real MadridA1–2L
2026-09-14UdineseH5–3W
2026-09-19AS RomaA2–2D
2026-10-10ParmaH3–0W
2026-10-13Club Brugge KVH3–4L
2026-10-17BolognaA3–1W
Full club analysis →
Genoa xG difference per match −0.24 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG22
Observed xG Genoa −0.24 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for0.93xG against1.17

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 0.93; xG against 1.17. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 22/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
16.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
0.93
xG against
1.17

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Atalanta Goals conceded per match 1.6 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores47
Scores Atalanta 1.6 Goals conceded per match Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 47/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
3.5
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Atalanta’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-23SassuoloH2–1W
2026-08-31BolognaH1–0W
2026-09-05AS RomaA1–2L
2026-09-12CagliariH1–2L
2026-09-20JuventusA0–2L
2026-10-12VeneziaH3–1W
2026-10-18AC MilanA2–3L
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Showing 1–81 of 81 signals

About these insights
A little context goes a long way

Read the signal. Keep the context.

Insights describe what is recorded. Use club and match analysis to explore what comes next.

Insight Score · experimental editorial interest. This version uses 0.35D + 0.25R + 0.20C + 0.20Q. D measures heuristic deviation, R observation recency, C breadth of evidence families and Q data quality. These starting weights are uncalibrated. It is neither team strength, win probability, statistical significance nor forecast confidence. Related result signals share one family; different sources are not automatically statistically independent. Unknown dates receive zero recency; unknown xG coverage limits its quality component. League averages are context references, not opponent-adjusted estimates.

01

Check the window

Result signals use the last 10 recorded matches; away signals use the last 8 away matches. At least 5 are required. Missing and special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound.

02

Read the chart

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored or conceded, capped at 6; zero keeps a marker. Teal / amber / red means win / draw / loss. Faded bars mean the event did not happen. Open the evidence for full scores.

03

Separate the sources

xG uses observed Playing style averages before the next or latest league fixture; coverage can differ between inputs. xPts comes from stored LOAD90 forecasts on identical covered games, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Types alternate for variety. Values are ordered within their own metric, without a combined ranking. These descriptive signals do not change the LOAD90 forecast.

Explore methodology →