Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 1.FC Köln

Bundesliga Gameweek 22 Sat, Feb 20 · 14:30 BORUSSIA-PARK, Mönchengladbach

Borussia Mönchengladbach 18th · 0 pts · 6 played LLLLL

VS— Compare

1.FC Köln 12th · 7 pts · 6 played LDLWL

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel45 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2

Real contextStrength only

Borussia Mönchengladbach—%

Draw—%

1.FC Köln—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (Mönchengladbach)

Forecast from 5 Feb

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Streak Borussia Mönchengladbach 6 Losses in a row Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Losses in a row

Team strength

Borussia Mönchengladbach

1.FC Köln

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

36 Current StrengthIn forecast 34

34 AttackIn forecast 36

21 DefenceIn forecast 36

7 Form indexContext 26

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Attack—

Defense risk—

1.FC Köln

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Borussia Mönchengladbach

1.FC Köln

1.33 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.33

3.33 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.83

1.40 xGVia Att/Def 1.67

2.49 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.73

-0.07 Goals minus xGContext -0.34

67% Scored inContext 83%

0% Clean sheetsContext 0%

15.17 ShotsContext 16.33

5.40 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.33

30% On target shareContext 33%

9.83 Shots in the boxContext 11.50

64% Box shareContext 71%

9% ConversionContext 8%

3.00 OffsidesContext 1.00

18.17 Shots allowedContext 15.67

8.83 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.33

3.20 BlocksContext 3.83

5.50 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.50

62% Save rateContext 71%

48% PossessionIn forecast 48%

404 PassesContext 417

328 Accurate passesContext 344

81% Pass accuracyContext 83%

6.46 Team ratingContext 6.76

14.83 FoulsContext 11.17

10.17 Fouls sufferedContext 11.33

2.83 Yellow cardsContext 1.83

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 6 and 6 games

1.40 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.30

2.30 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.30

1.26 xGVia Att/Def 1.61

2.04 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.70

+0.14 Goals minus xGContext -0.31

70% Scored inContext 90%

30% Clean sheetsContext 0%

13.50 ShotsContext 15.30

4.44 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.30

30% On target shareContext 35%

8.80 Shots in the boxContext 11.00

65% Box shareContext 73%

10% ConversionContext 9%

2.78 OffsidesContext 1.17

15.10 Shots allowedContext 14.50

7.10 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.50

2.88 BlocksContext 3.80

4.80 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.56

68% Save rateContext 60%

50% PossessionIn forecast 47%

432 PassesContext 414

356 Accurate passesContext 343

82% Pass accuracyContext 83%

6.63 Team ratingContext 6.69

12.60 FoulsContext 9.80

11.40 Fouls sufferedContext 9.30

2.90 Yellow cardsContext 1.80

0.10 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Borussia Mönchengladbach LLLLL

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel0 km373 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 7 · 0 pts vs 7.3 for an average club · -6.2 vs expected

L18 OctH · 1899 Hoffenheim1–21.5 xPts
L11 OctA · 1.FC Köln1–21.1 xPts
L19 SepH · FSV Mainz 053–41.3 xPts
L12 SepA · SC Freiburg0–50.7 xPts
L5 SepH · SV Elversberg3–41.6 xPts

1.FC Köln LDLWL

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel45 km540 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 26 · 4 pts vs 7.0 for an average club · -2.2 vs expected

L16 OctA · Eintracht Frankfurt0–11.0 xPts
W11 OctH · Borussia Mönchengladbach2–11.7 xPts
L19 SepA · Hamburger SV1–21.2 xPts
D12 SepH · Werder Bremen1–11.6 xPts
L4 SepA · VfB Stuttgart1–40.7 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Borussia Mönchengladbach	1.FC Köln
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	7Bundesliga 2026-2027, 13 Feb	7Bundesliga 2026-2027, 13 Feb
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	45 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	373 km	540 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 2 / 4	1 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one	7	7

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Borussia Mönchengladbach Last XI · not confirmed

4-4-2 · vs 1899 Hoffenheim (H) 1–2, 18 Oct

1M. Nicolas(G)

26L. Ullrich 2F. Chiarodia 4K. Diks 16P. Sander

36W. Mohya 10F. Neuhaus 47Z. Uno 29J. Scally

3I. Lidberg 38A. Bolin

1.FC Köln Last XI · not confirmed

5-3-2 · vs Eintracht Frankfurt (A) 0–1, 16 Oct

1M. Schwäbe(G)

3B. Sosa 24L. Lochoshvili 22J. Simpson-Pusey 2Joel Schmied 28S. Sebulonsen

37L. Maina 5T. Krauß 8Í. Jóhannesson

10S. El Mala 30M. Bülter

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Borussia Mönchengladbach Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

1.FC Köln Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home 0.00points per game · 3 home games

W-D-L: 0-0-3
Scored: 2.33
Conceded: 3.33

1.FC Köln · Away 0.00points per game · 3 away games

W-D-L: 0-0-3
Scored: 0.67
Conceded: 2.33

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 1 this season

Opponent	Borussia Mönchengladbach	1.FC Köln
1899 Hoffenheim	L 1–2 H	W 3–2 H
Points	0 of 3 · 0.00 per game	3 of 3 · 3.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 9 of 9 meetings

2 Borussia Mönchengladbach wins3 draws4 1.FC Köln wins

Goals per game2.00 – 2.33 Over 2.589% Both scored89% Clean sheets11% · 11%

11 Oct 20261.FC Köln2–1Borussia Mönchengladbach
21 Mar 20261.FC Köln3–3Borussia Mönchengladbach
8 Nov 2025Borussia Mönchengladbach3–11.FC Köln
9 Mar 2024Borussia Mönchengladbach3–31.FC Köln
22 Oct 20231.FC Köln3–1Borussia Mönchengladbach
2 Apr 20231.FC Köln0–0Borussia Mönchengladbach

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Borussia Mönchengladbach	1.FC Köln
Scored per game	1.33	1.33
Conceded per game	3.33	1.83
Match goals	4.67	3.17
Over 1.5	100%	83%
Over 2.5	100%	67%
Over 3.5	50%	33%
Both teams scored	67%	83%
Clean sheets	0%	0%
Failed to score	33%	17%
Games	6	6

	Borussia Mönchengladbach	1.FC Köln
Scored per game	1.40	1.30
Conceded per game	2.30	2.30
Match goals	3.70	3.60
Over 1.5	80%	90%
Over 2.5	80%	80%
Over 3.5	50%	50%
Both teams scored	50%	90%
Clean sheets	30%	0%
Failed to score	30%	10%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Borussia Mönchengladbach	1.FC Köln	League
Corners
Corners won	6.00	6.00
Corners conceded	5.50	6.33
Match total	11.50	12.33	10.72
Over 8.5	83% 5/6	83% 5/6
Over 9.5	67% 4/6	83% 5/6
Over 10.5	50% 3/6	67% 4/6
Cards
Cards	3.00	1.83
Opponent cards	1.83	1.67
Match total	4.83	3.50	3.51
Over 3.5	83% 5/6	67% 4/6
Over 4.5	33% 2/6	0% 0/6

	Borussia Mönchengladbach	1.FC Köln	League
Corners
Corners won	4.60	5.78
Corners conceded	5.30	5.44
Match total	9.90	11.22	10.72
Over 8.5	70% 7/10	78% 7/9
Over 9.5	60% 6/10	78% 7/9
Over 10.5	40% 4/10	44% 4/9
Cards
Cards	3.10	1.80
Opponent cards	2.10	1.70
Match total	5.20	3.50	3.51
Over 3.5	90% 9/10	60% 6/10
Over 4.5	40% 4/10	10% 1/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.