Bundesliga Gameweek 28 Sat, Apr 3 · 14:30 BORUSSIA-PARK, Mönchengladbach
Borussia Mönchengladbach 18th · 0 pts · 6 played
VS— Compare
Werder Bremen 8th · 9 pts · 6 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel265 kmRest days14 · 14Matches / 14d1 · 1
Real contextStrength only
Borussia Mönchengladbach—%
Draw—%
Werder Bremen—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Mönchengladbach)

Forecast from 19 Mar

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Borussia Mönchengladbach and Werder Bremen. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

Borussia MönchengladbachWerder Bremen
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
36 Current StrengthIn forecast 43
34 AttackIn forecast 56
21 DefenceIn forecast 45
7 Form indexContext 71
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Attack—
Defense risk—

Werder Bremen

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Borussia MönchengladbachWerder Bremen
1.33 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.00
3.33 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.00
1.40 xGVia Att/Def 1.58
2.49 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.68
-0.07 Goals minus xGContext +0.42
67% Scored inContext 100%
0% Clean sheetsContext 0%
15.17 ShotsContext 14.00
5.40 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.83
30% On target shareContext 49%
9.83 Shots in the boxContext 9.67
64% Box shareContext 66%
9% ConversionContext 14%
3.00 OffsidesContext 2.17
18.17 Shots allowedContext 15.33
8.83 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.50
3.20 BlocksContext 4.50
5.50 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.33
62% Save rateContext 61%
48% PossessionIn forecast 47%
404 PassesContext 476
328 Accurate passesContext 400
81% Pass accuracyContext 84%
6.46 Team ratingContext 6.96
14.83 FoulsContext 12.00
10.17 Fouls sufferedContext 11.17
2.83 Yellow cardsContext 1.17
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
This league season, per match · 6 and 6 games
1.40 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.40
2.30 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.90
1.26 xGVia Att/Def 1.31
2.04 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.81
+0.14 Goals minus xGContext +0.09
70% Scored inContext 80%
30% Clean sheetsContext 0%
13.50 ShotsContext 12.70
4.44 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.30
30% On target shareContext 42%
8.80 Shots in the boxContext 8.44
65% Box shareContext 62%
10% ConversionContext 11%
2.78 OffsidesContext 2.44
15.10 Shots allowedContext 15.70
7.10 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.60
2.88 BlocksContext 4.40
4.80 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.70
68% Save rateContext 66%
50% PossessionIn forecast 46%
432 PassesContext 458
356 Accurate passesContext 380
82% Pass accuracyContext 83%
6.63 Team ratingContext 6.93
12.60 FoulsContext 10.30
11.40 Fouls sufferedContext 8.80
2.90 Yellow cardsContext 1.10
0.10 Red cardsContext 0.10
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Borussia Mönchengladbach
Rest14 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km160 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 7 · 0 pts vs 7.3 for an average club · -6.2 vs expected
  • L18 OctH · 1899 Hoffenheim1–21.5 xPts
  • L11 OctA · 1.FC Köln1–21.1 xPts
  • L19 SepH · FSV Mainz 053–41.3 xPts
  • L12 SepA · SC Freiburg0–50.7 xPts
  • L5 SepH · SV Elversberg3–41.6 xPts
Werder Bremen
Rest14 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel265 km190 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 71 · 9 pts vs 6.6 for an average club · +3.6 vs expected
  • D17 OctH · SC Paderborn 072–21.7 xPts
  • D9 OctA · Borussia Dortmund2–20.5 xPts
  • W19 SepH · FC Augsburg3–21.2 xPts
  • D12 SepA · 1.FC Köln1–11.1 xPts
  • W5 SepH · RB Leipzig3–10.8 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Borussia Mönchengladbach Werder Bremen
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match14Bundesliga 2026-2027, 20 Mar14Bundesliga 2026-2027, 20 Mar
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km265 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways160 km190 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days0 / 1 / 30 / 1 / 3
Next matchdays after this one77

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Borussia Mönchengladbach Last XI · not confirmed
4-4-2 · vs 1899 Hoffenheim (H) 1–2, 18 Oct
1M. Nicolas(G)
26L. Ullrich 2F. Chiarodia 4K. Diks 16P. Sander
36W. Mohya 10F. Neuhaus 47Z. Uno 29J. Scally
3I. Lidberg 38A. Bolin
Werder Bremen Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs SC Paderborn 07 (H) 2–2, 17 Oct
1K. Hein(G)
2O. Deman 32M. Friedl 5A. Pieper 13Arthur
44Y. Regeer 15L. Reis
17M. Grüll 20Chuky 18E. Dinkçi
10N. Füllkrug

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Borussia Mönchengladbach Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Werder Bremen Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home 0.00points per game · 3 home games
W-D-L
0-0-3
Scored
2.33
Conceded
3.33
Werder Bremen · Away 0.67points per game · 3 away games
W-D-L
0-2-1
Scored
1.33
Conceded
2.33

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 3 this season

OpponentBorussia MönchengladbachWerder Bremen
1.FC Köln L 1–2 A D 1–1 A
SC Freiburg L 0–5 A L 1–4 A
RB Leipzig L 0–3 A W 3–1 H
Points0 of 9 · 0.00 per game4 of 9 · 1.33 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 8 of 8 meetings

2 Borussia Mönchengladbach wins4 draws2 Werder Bremen wins
Goals per game2.00 – 2.38 Over 2.588% Both scored88% Clean sheets0% · 13%
  • 31 Jan 2026Werder Bremen1–1Borussia Mönchengladbach
  • 14 Sep 2025Borussia Mönchengladbach0–4Werder Bremen
  • 15 Mar 2025Werder Bremen2–4Borussia Mönchengladbach
  • 3 Nov 2024Borussia Mönchengladbach4–1Werder Bremen
  • 4 May 2024Werder Bremen2–2Borussia Mönchengladbach
  • 15 Dec 2023Borussia Mönchengladbach2–2Werder Bremen

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

Borussia MönchengladbachWerder BremenForecast
Scored per game 1.332.00
Conceded per game 3.332.00
Match goals 4.674.00
Over 1.5 100%100%
Over 2.5 100%83%
Over 3.5 50%83%
Both teams scored 67%100%
Clean sheets 0%0%
Failed to score 33%0%
Games66
Borussia MönchengladbachWerder BremenForecast
Scored per game 1.401.40
Conceded per game 2.301.90
Match goals 3.703.30
Over 1.5 80%90%
Over 2.5 80%60%
Over 3.5 50%60%
Both teams scored 50%80%
Clean sheets 30%0%
Failed to score 30%20%
Games1010

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

Borussia MönchengladbachWerder BremenLeague
Corners
Corners won6.003.67
Corners conceded5.505.83
Match total11.509.5010.72
Over 8.583% 5/667% 4/6
Over 9.567% 4/650% 3/6
Over 10.550% 3/650% 3/6
Cards
Cards3.001.17
Opponent cards1.831.33
Match total4.832.503.51
Over 3.583% 5/617% 1/6
Over 4.533% 2/60% 0/6
Borussia MönchengladbachWerder BremenLeague
Corners
Corners won4.603.90
Corners conceded5.306.40
Match total9.9010.3010.72
Over 8.570% 7/1080% 8/10
Over 9.560% 6/1060% 6/10
Over 10.540% 4/1050% 5/10
Cards
Cards3.101.20
Opponent cards2.101.00
Match total5.202.203.51
Over 3.590% 9/1020% 2/10
Over 4.540% 4/100% 0/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

Borussia Mönchengladbach6 games · scored 8 · conceded 20
2 1 0-15
6 16-30
2 1 31-45
3 2 46-60
3 61-75
1 7 76-90
Werder Bremen6 games · scored 12 · conceded 12
1 1 0-15
4 16-30
1 31-45
1 3 46-60
4 61-75
6 3 76-90
Borussia Mönchengladbach10 games · scored 14 · conceded 23
3 1 0-15
1 7 16-30
2 2 31-45
3 2 46-60
4 61-75
5 7 76-90
Werder Bremen10 games · scored 14 · conceded 19
1 1 0-15
1 6 16-30
2 31-45
1 4 46-60
5 2 61-75
6 4 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

Next fixtures Bundesliga

View all fixtures →
Bayern München Hamburger SV Apr 314:30 Borussia Mönchengladbach Werder Bremen Apr 314:30 Bayer Leverkusen Borussia Dortmund Apr 314:30 Eintracht Frankfurt VfB Stuttgart Apr 314:30 FC Augsburg 1899 Hoffenheim Apr 314:30 RB Leipzig SC Freiburg Apr 314:30 FC Schalke 04 SC Paderborn 07 Apr 314:30 Union Berlin FSV Mainz 05 Apr 314:30 SV Elversberg 1.FC Köln Apr 314:30