Bundesliga Gameweek 28 Sat, Apr 3 · 14:30 Frankfurt Arena, Frankfurt am Main
Eintracht Frankfurt 11th · 8 pts · 6 played
VS— Compare
VfB Stuttgart 13th · 6 pts · 6 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel152 kmRest days14 · 14Matches / 14d1 · 1
Real contextStrength only
Eintracht Frankfurt—%
Draw—%
VfB Stuttgart—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Frankfurt am Main)

Forecast from 19 Mar

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Eintracht Frankfurt and VfB Stuttgart. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Team strength

Eintracht FrankfurtVfB Stuttgart
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
48 Current StrengthIn forecast 67
54 AttackIn forecast 70
37 DefenceIn forecast 58
52 Form indexContext 46
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Eintracht Frankfurt

Attack—
Defense risk—

VfB Stuttgart

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Eintracht FrankfurtVfB Stuttgart
1.67 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.33
2.67 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.67
1.77 xGVia Att/Def 1.91
2.00 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.38
-0.10 Goals minus xGContext -0.58
83% Scored inContext 67%
17% Clean sheetsContext 17%
14.67 ShotsContext 17.00
5.83 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.83
40% On target shareContext 34%
11.50 Shots in the boxContext 12.17
78% Box shareContext 72%
11% ConversionContext 8%
2.00 OffsidesContext 1.60
17.50 Shots allowedContext 18.17
7.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.33
5.00 BlocksContext 5.00
4.67 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.33
67% Save rateContext 63%
51% PossessionIn forecast 55%
436 PassesContext 506
353 Accurate passesContext 422
81% Pass accuracyContext 83%
6.86 Team ratingContext 7.02
10.33 FoulsContext 9.83
13.17 Fouls sufferedContext 11.17
2.33 Yellow cardsContext 1.00
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
This league season, per match · 6 and 6 games
1.60 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.90
2.40 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.40
1.60 xGVia Att/Def 1.91
1.75 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.00
+0.00 Goals minus xGContext -0.01
90% Scored inContext 80%
10% Clean sheetsContext 20%
14.10 ShotsContext 16.80
5.80 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.20
41% On target shareContext 37%
9.60 Shots in the boxContext 11.80
68% Box shareContext 70%
11% ConversionContext 11%
2.22 OffsidesContext 2.00
15.70 Shots allowedContext 15.50
6.40 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.80
4.44 BlocksContext 5.22
4.20 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.10
66% Save rateContext 65%
53% PossessionIn forecast 55%
449 PassesContext 502
370 Accurate passesContext 422
82% Pass accuracyContext 84%
6.78 Team ratingContext 7.07
10.80 FoulsContext 11.10
12.10 Fouls sufferedContext 11.20
2.30 Yellow cardsContext 1.40
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Eintracht Frankfurt
Rest14 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km194 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 52 · 7 pts vs 6.8 for an average club · +0.7 vs expected
  • W16 OctH · 1.FC Köln1–01.8 xPts
  • L10 OctA · RB Leipzig0–60.8 xPts
  • D19 SepH · SC Freiburg2–21.3 xPts
  • W12 SepA · FSV Mainz 053–10.9 xPts
  • L6 SepH · FC Augsburg1–41.5 xPts
VfB Stuttgart
Rest14 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel152 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 46 · 6 pts vs 6.4 for an average club · -2.0 vs expected
  • L17 OctA · Hamburger SV0–11.8 xPts
  • W14 OctA · Slovan Bratislava3–02.1 xPts
  • W10 OctA · SC Paderborn 072–01.6 xPts
  • L19 SepH · Borussia Dortmund0–11.2 xPts
  • L12 SepA · 1899 Hoffenheim1–21.4 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Eintracht Frankfurt VfB Stuttgart
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match14Bundesliga 2026-2027, 20 Mar14Bundesliga 2026-2027, 20 Mar
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km152 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways194 km0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days0 / 1 / 30 / 1 / 3
Next matchdays after this one77

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Eintracht Frankfurt Last XI · not confirmed
4-4-2 · vs 1.FC Köln (H) 1–0, 16 Oct
1N. Atubolu(G)
26K. Kosugi 3L. Brassier 4R. Koch 34P. Collins
8F. Chaïbi 27M. Götze 25R. Onyedika 20R. Doan
11Y. Ebnoutalib 9J. Burkardt
VfB Stuttgart Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Hamburger SV (A) 0–1, 17 Oct
41D. Seimen(G)
3R. Hendriks 24J. Chabot 29Finn Jeltsch 4J. Vagnoman
6A. Stiller 16A. Karazor
18J. Leweling 26D. Undav 11B. El Khannouss
9E. Demirović

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Eintracht Frankfurt Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
VfB Stuttgart Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Eintracht Frankfurt · Home 1.33points per game · 3 home games
W-D-L
1-1-1
Scored
1.33
Conceded
2.00
VfB Stuttgart · Away 0.75points per game · 4 away games
W-D-L
1-0-3
Scored
1.00
Conceded
2.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 1 this season

OpponentEintracht FrankfurtVfB Stuttgart
1.FC Köln W 1–0 H W 4–1 H
Points3 of 3 · 3.00 per game3 of 3 · 3.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 10 of 10 meetings

4 Eintracht Frankfurt wins3 draws3 VfB Stuttgart wins
Goals per game1.70 – 1.70 Over 2.570% Both scored80% Clean sheets10% · 10%
  • 16 May 2026Eintracht Frankfurt2–2VfB Stuttgart
  • 13 Jan 2026VfB Stuttgart3–2Eintracht Frankfurt
  • 29 Mar 2025Eintracht Frankfurt1–0VfB Stuttgart
  • 10 Nov 2024VfB Stuttgart2–3Eintracht Frankfurt
  • 13 Apr 2024VfB Stuttgart3–0Eintracht Frankfurt
  • 25 Nov 2023Eintracht Frankfurt1–2VfB Stuttgart

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

Eintracht FrankfurtVfB StuttgartForecast
Scored per game 1.671.33
Conceded per game 2.671.67
Match goals 4.333.00
Over 1.5 83%67%
Over 2.5 83%50%
Over 3.5 83%33%
Both teams scored 67%50%
Clean sheets 17%17%
Failed to score 17%33%
Games66
Eintracht FrankfurtVfB StuttgartForecast
Scored per game 1.601.90
Conceded per game 2.401.40
Match goals 4.003.30
Over 1.5 90%80%
Over 2.5 80%70%
Over 3.5 70%50%
Both teams scored 80%60%
Clean sheets 10%20%
Failed to score 10%20%
Games1010

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

Eintracht FrankfurtVfB StuttgartLeague
Corners
Corners won5.336.67
Corners conceded4.006.00
Match total9.3312.6710.72
Over 8.567% 4/683% 5/6
Over 9.533% 2/683% 5/6
Over 10.517% 1/683% 5/6
Cards
Cards2.331.00
Opponent cards1.332.33
Match total3.663.333.51
Over 3.567% 4/650% 3/6
Over 4.517% 1/617% 1/6
Eintracht FrankfurtVfB StuttgartLeague
Corners
Corners won5.606.30
Corners conceded4.805.40
Match total10.4011.7010.72
Over 8.570% 7/1090% 9/10
Over 9.550% 5/1070% 7/10
Over 10.540% 4/1070% 7/10
Cards
Cards2.401.40
Opponent cards1.602.10
Match total4.003.503.51
Over 3.560% 6/1050% 5/10
Over 4.530% 3/1020% 2/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

Eintracht Frankfurt6 games · scored 10 · conceded 16
5 3 0-15
16-30
2 3 31-45
1 4 46-60
1 1 61-75
1 5 76-90
VfB Stuttgart6 games · scored 8 · conceded 10
1 0-15
1 1 16-30
1 31-45
3 2 46-60
1 2 61-75
2 4 76-90
Eintracht Frankfurt10 games · scored 16 · conceded 24
6 4 0-15
16-30
2 7 31-45
2 6 46-60
3 2 61-75
3 5 76-90
VfB Stuttgart10 games · scored 19 · conceded 14
2 2 0-15
4 2 16-30
4 31-45
4 2 46-60
2 3 61-75
3 5 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

Next fixtures Bundesliga

View all fixtures →
Bayern München Hamburger SV Apr 314:30 Borussia Mönchengladbach Werder Bremen Apr 314:30 Bayer Leverkusen Borussia Dortmund Apr 314:30 Eintracht Frankfurt VfB Stuttgart Apr 314:30 FC Augsburg 1899 Hoffenheim Apr 314:30 RB Leipzig SC Freiburg Apr 314:30 FC Schalke 04 SC Paderborn 07 Apr 314:30 Union Berlin FSV Mainz 05 Apr 314:30 SV Elversberg 1.FC Köln Apr 314:30