Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Fri, Nov 20 · 19:45 Jan Breydelstadion, Brugge
Cercle Brugge 17th · 3 pts · 8 played
VS— Compare
KVC Westerlo 6th · 13 pts · 8 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel119 kmRest days13 · 13.2Matches / 14d1 · 1
Real contextStrength only
Cercle Brugge—%
Draw—%
KVC Westerlo—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Brugge)

Forecast from 5 Nov

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Cercle Brugge and KVC Westerlo. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

Cercle BruggeKVC Westerlo
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
21 Current StrengthIn forecast 33
24 AttackIn forecast 42
28 DefenceIn forecast 32
6 Form indexContext 83
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Cercle Brugge

Attack—
Defense risk—

KVC Westerlo

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Cercle BruggeKVC Westerlo
1.13 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.50
2.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.13
1.74 xGVia Att/Def 1.37
1.68 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.93
-0.61 Goals minus xGContext +1.13
63% Scored inContext 88%
0% Clean sheetsContext 25%
14.13 ShotsContext 14.88
4.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.38
28% On target shareContext 36%
10.71 Shots in the boxContext 10.63
70% Box shareContext 72%
8% ConversionContext 17%
1.50 OffsidesContext 1.17
12.63 Shots allowedContext 14.50
4.38 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.13
3.88 BlocksContext 2.38
2.38 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.00
54% Save rateContext 59%
45% PossessionIn forecast 51%
370 PassesContext 454
291 Accurate passesContext 378
79% Pass accuracyContext 83%
6.61 Team ratingContext 6.81
12.38 FoulsContext 13.38
10.50 Fouls sufferedContext 10.50
1.25 Yellow cardsContext 1.25
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
This league season, per match · 8 and 8 games
1.20 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.10
2.30 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.10
1.63 xGVia Att/Def 1.21
1.62 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.95
-0.43 Goals minus xGContext +0.89
70% Scored inContext 80%
0% Clean sheetsContext 20%
13.80 ShotsContext 15.00
4.20 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.80
30% On target shareContext 32%
10.11 Shots in the boxContext 10.20
69% Box shareContext 68%
9% ConversionContext 14%
1.90 OffsidesContext 1.14
12.80 Shots allowedContext 14.50
4.80 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.40
3.90 BlocksContext 2.70
2.50 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.30
52% Save rateContext 61%
46% PossessionIn forecast 52%
370 PassesContext 459
292 Accurate passesContext 384
79% Pass accuracyContext 84%
6.64 Team ratingContext 6.77
12.30 FoulsContext 12.90
9.90 Fouls sufferedContext 10.80
1.20 Yellow cardsContext 1.40
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Cercle Brugge
Rest13 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km210 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 6 · 1 pts vs 8.5 for an average club · -5.5 vs expected
  • L10 OctH · Anderlecht1–21.2 xPts
  • L19 SepA · Charleroi2–30.8 xPts
  • D12 SepA · OH Leuven1–11.5 xPts
  • L6 SepH · Gent0–31.3 xPts
  • L29 AugH · Lommel United0–11.6 xPts
KVC Westerlo
Rest13.2 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel119 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 83 · 13 pts vs 8.6 for an average club · +6.9 vs expected
  • W11 OctH · Antwerp5–11.8 xPts
  • W20 SepA · St. Truiden2–00.9 xPts
  • W12 SepH · Standard Liege4–21.4 xPts
  • W5 SepA · KV Mechelen4–01.0 xPts
  • D30 AugH · Zulte Waregem2–21.0 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Cercle Brugge KVC Westerlo
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match13Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 7 Nov13.2Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 7 Nov
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km119 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways210 km0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days0 / 1 / 30 / 1 / 3
Next matchdays after this one7.97.8

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Cercle Brugge Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Anderlecht (H) 1–2, 10 Oct
1G. Coucke(G)
12Valy Konaté 24Geoffrey Kondo 5Emmanuel Kakou 15G. Magnée
28H. Van der Bruggen 18L. Le Roux
30B. Akinsola 20A. Manneh 11C. Herrmann
9S. Ngoura
KVC Westerlo Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Antwerp (H) 5–1, 11 Oct
99A. Jungdal(G)
28Dylan Ourega 4A. Lapage 5Seiji Kimura 2L. Flø
14C. Sandra 45I. Fofana
7Shunsuke Saito 13I. Sakamoto 39T. Van den Keybus
9N. Bassette

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Cercle Brugge Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
KVC Westerlo Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Cercle Brugge · Home 0.25points per game · 4 home games
W-D-L
0-1-3
Scored
1.00
Conceded
2.25
KVC Westerlo · Away 1.50points per game · 4 away games
W-D-L
2-0-2
Scored
2.00
Conceded
1.75

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 3 this season

OpponentCercle BruggeKVC Westerlo
Lommel United L 0–1 H L 0–4 A
St. Truiden D 3–3 H W 2–0 A
Standard Liege D 2–2 A W 4–2 H
Points2 of 9 · 0.67 per game6 of 9 · 2.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 4 of 4 meetings

3 Cercle Brugge wins0 draws1 KVC Westerlo wins
Goals per game2.50 – 1.50 Over 2.575% Both scored75% Clean sheets25% · 0%
  • 17 Jan 2026KVC Westerlo0–2Cercle Brugge
  • 17 Aug 2025Cercle Brugge4–1KVC Westerlo
  • 30 Jan 2024KVC Westerlo4–2Cercle Brugge
  • 2 Sep 2023Cercle Brugge2–1KVC Westerlo

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

Cercle BruggeKVC WesterloForecast
Scored per game 1.132.50
Conceded per game 2.002.13
Match goals 3.134.63
Over 1.5 75%100%
Over 2.5 63%88%
Over 3.5 38%88%
Both teams scored 63%63%
Clean sheets 0%25%
Failed to score 38%13%
Games88
Cercle BruggeKVC WesterloForecast
Scored per game 1.302.10
Conceded per game 2.101.90
Match goals 3.404.00
Over 1.5 80%90%
Over 2.5 70%80%
Over 3.5 50%70%
Both teams scored 70%60%
Clean sheets 0%30%
Failed to score 30%20%
Games1010

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

Cercle BruggeKVC WesterloLeague
Corners
Corners won7.293.50
Corners conceded4.575.75
Match total11.869.2510.01
Over 8.571% 5/775% 6/8
Over 9.571% 5/738% 3/8
Over 10.571% 5/725% 2/8
Cards
Cards1.251.25
Opponent cards1.631.63
Match total2.882.883.36
Over 3.525% 2/838% 3/8
Over 4.525% 2/838% 3/8
Cercle BruggeKVC WesterloLeague
Corners
Corners won6.673.90
Corners conceded5.005.30
Match total11.679.2010.01
Over 8.578% 7/970% 7/10
Over 9.578% 7/940% 4/10
Over 10.578% 7/930% 3/10
Cards
Cards1.201.40
Opponent cards1.501.80
Match total2.703.203.36
Over 3.520% 2/1050% 5/10
Over 4.520% 2/1040% 4/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

Cercle Brugge8 games · scored 9 · conceded 16
1 2 0-15
2 3 16-30
1 3 31-45
2 46-60
1 2 61-75
4 4 76-90
KVC Westerlo8 games · scored 20 · conceded 17
6 0-15
1 4 16-30
2 3 31-45
4 2 46-60
2 4 61-75
5 4 76-90
Cercle Brugge10 games · scored 12 · conceded 23
1 2 0-15
3 3 16-30
2 3 31-45
5 46-60
2 4 61-75
4 6 76-90
KVC Westerlo10 games · scored 21 · conceded 21
7 0-15
1 5 16-30
2 5 31-45
4 2 46-60
2 5 61-75
5 4 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

Next fixtures Belgian Pro League

View all fixtures →
Cercle Brugge KVC Westerlo Nov 2019:45 Charleroi St. Truiden Nov 2115:00 Genk RAAL La Louvière Nov 2117:15 KV Mechelen Club Brugge KV Nov 2119:45 Zulte Waregem Antwerp Nov 2119:45 SK Beveren Gent Nov 2212:30 Kortrijk Union St. Gilloise Nov 2215:00 Anderlecht OH Leuven Nov 2217:30 Lommel United Standard Liege Nov 2218:15