Lommel United
Attack—
Defense risk—
Lommel United
10th · 11 pts · 8 played
WLLDW
VS—
Compare
Standard Liege
9th · 11 pts · 8 played
WWLLL
Our take
No forecast yet.
Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.
Away travel69 kmRest days14.9 · 15.9Matches / 14d0 · 0
Real contextStrength only
Lommel United—%
Draw—%
Standard Liege—%
Weather (Lommel)
Forecast from 7 Nov
Referee—Not appointed yet
Key insights
Automatic descriptive highlights for Lommel United and Standard Liege. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.
Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.
xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.
Headlines
-
Trend
Standard Liege
63%
Both teams scored
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored -
Insight
Lommel United
3
Clean sheets
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet -
Trend
Standard Liege
1.6
Goals scored per match
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
-
Alert
Standard Liege
1.6
Goals conceded per match
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals conceded · W/D/L colours
Attack
Defence
Team strength
Lommel UnitedStandard Liege
—
L90 StrengthIn forecast
—
36
Current StrengthIn forecast
33
32
AttackIn forecast
29
41
DefenceIn forecast
29
47
Form indexContext
30
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisStandard Liege
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
Lommel UnitedStandard Liege
1.13
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.63
1.13
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.63
1.13
xGVia Att/Def
1.61
1.15
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.72
+0.00
Goals minus xGContext
+0.02
50%
Scored inContext
88%
38%
Clean sheetsContext
25%
10.75
ShotsContext
13.50
4.00
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.88
28%
On target shareContext
36%
7.00
Shots in the boxContext
9.75
66%
Box shareContext
69%
11%
ConversionContext
12%
2.33
OffsidesContext
2.43
19.25
Shots allowedContext
14.50
4.63
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.38
6.50
BlocksContext
4.29
3.50
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.86
76%
Save rateContext
61%
44%
PossessionIn forecast
52%
407
PassesContext
459
339
Accurate passesContext
365
83%
Pass accuracyContext
79%
6.86
Team ratingContext
6.76
7.00
FoulsContext
9.88
10.75
Fouls sufferedContext
10.88
1.00
Yellow cardsContext
1.13
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.13
1.20
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.50
1.10
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.60
1.13
xGVia Att/Def
1.58
1.15
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.67
+0.07
Goals minus xGContext
-0.08
50%
Scored inContext
80%
40%
Clean sheetsContext
20%
10.50
ShotsContext
12.70
3.75
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.80
29%
On target shareContext
38%
7.00
Shots in the boxContext
9.30
66%
Box shareContext
70%
11%
ConversionContext
12%
2.33
OffsidesContext
2.33
18.80
Shots allowedContext
15.20
4.40
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.30
5.80
BlocksContext
4.67
3.30
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.78
75%
Save rateContext
61%
45%
PossessionIn forecast
50%
403
PassesContext
433
331
Accurate passesContext
341
82%
Pass accuracyContext
79%
6.88
Team ratingContext
6.76
7.20
FoulsContext
10.10
11.40
Fouls sufferedContext
10.90
1.20
Yellow cardsContext
1.40
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.10
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Lommel United
WLLDW
Rest14.9 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 47 · 7 pts vs 7.3 for an average club · +0.9 vs expected
Standard Liege
WWLLL
Rest15.9 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel69 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 30 · 6 pts vs 8.4 for an average club · -1.0 vs expected
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Lommel United |
Standard Liege |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 0 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 14.9Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 7 Nov | 15.9Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 6 Nov |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 69 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 0 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 0 / 2 | 0 / 0 / 2 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 6.1 | 7 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Lommel United
Last XI · not confirmed
23M. Pieklak(G)
4S. Adewoye
8Nicolas Rommens
3T. Eyoma
2J. van Duiven
44I. Dada-Mascoll
15Lucas Schoofs
11S. Appuah
10Tom Reyners
7J. Talvitie
9D. Konadu
Standard Liege
Last XI · not confirmed
1M. Epolo(G)
3Gustav Mortensen
25I. Hautekiet
20I. Karamoko
13M. Fossey
84R. Touzghar
22A. Trouillet
94C. Nielsen
11A. Abid
10D. Eckert Ayensa
17Bernard Nguene
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Lommel United
Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Standard Liege
Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads
—
Home / Away this season
Lommel United · Home
1.00points per game · 4 home games
- W-D-L
- 1-1-2
- Scored
- 1.00
- Conceded
- 0.50
Standard Liege · Away
1.00points per game · 4 away games
- W-D-L
- 1-1-2
- Scored
- 2.00
- Conceded
- 2.50
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 4 this season
| Opponent | Lommel United | Standard Liege |
|---|---|---|
| KV Mechelen | D 0–0 H | D 3–3 A |
| Cercle Brugge | W 1–0 A | D 2–2 H |
| KVC Westerlo | W 4–0 H | L 2–4 A |
| Charleroi | L 0–1 H | L 0–1 H |
| Points | 7 of 12 · 1.75 per game | 2 of 12 · 0.50 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head
No earlier meetings in our data.
Goals & match trends
| Lommel United | Standard Liege | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.13 | 1.63 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.13 | 1.63 | |
| Match goals | 2.25 | 3.25 | |
| Over 1.5 | 50% | 75% | |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 63% | |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 38% | |
| Both teams scored | 25% | 63% | |
| Clean sheets | 38% | 25% | |
| Failed to score | 50% | 13% | |
| Games | 8 | 8 |
| Lommel United | Standard Liege | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.13 | 1.40 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.13 | 1.40 | |
| Match goals | 2.25 | 2.80 | |
| Over 1.5 | 50% | 70% | |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 50% | |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 30% | |
| Both teams scored | 25% | 60% | |
| Clean sheets | 38% | 30% | |
| Failed to score | 50% | 20% | |
| Games | 8 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Lommel United | Standard Liege | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 3.50 | 6.00 | |
| Corners conceded | 7.88 | 5.00 | |
| Match total | 11.38 | 11.00 | 10.01 |
| Over 8.5 | 88% 7/8 | 63% 5/8 | |
| Over 9.5 | 75% 6/8 | 50% 4/8 | |
| Over 10.5 | 63% 5/8 | 50% 4/8 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.00 | 1.25 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.63 | 1.25 | |
| Match total | 2.63 | 2.50 | 3.36 |
| Over 3.5 | 25% 2/8 | 25% 2/8 | |
| Over 4.5 | 25% 2/8 | 0% 0/8 | |
| Lommel United | Standard Liege | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 3.60 | 5.50 | |
| Corners conceded | 7.60 | 5.40 | |
| Match total | 11.20 | 10.90 | 10.01 |
| Over 8.5 | 90% 9/10 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 80% 8/10 | 50% 5/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 60% 6/10 | 50% 5/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.20 | 1.50 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.80 | 1.70 | |
| Match total | 3.00 | 3.20 | 3.36 |
| Over 3.5 | 40% 4/10 | 40% 4/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 30% 3/10 | 10% 1/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Goal timing
Lommel United7 games · scored 9 · conceded 4
0-15
3
16-30
1
2
31-45
3
46-60
1
2
61-75
1
76-90
Standard Liege8 games · scored 13 · conceded 13
2
1
0-15
1
16-30
2
3
31-45
1
2
46-60
6
1
61-75
1
6
76-90
Lommel United9 games · scored 12 · conceded 6
0-15
3
16-30
1
3
31-45
4
46-60
1
2
61-75
3
1
76-90
Standard Liege10 games · scored 15 · conceded 16
2
2
0-15
2
16-30
3
3
31-45
1
2
46-60
6
2
61-75
1
7
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Soon
Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.
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Nov 2218:15