Anderlecht
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
No forecast yet.
Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.
Away travel24 kmRest days14.2 · 15Matches / 14d0 · 0
Real contextStrength only
Anderlecht—%
Draw—%
OH Leuven—%
Weather (Brussel)
Forecast from 7 Nov
Referee—Not appointed yet
Key insights
Automatic descriptive highlights for Anderlecht and OH Leuven. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.
Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.
xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.
Headlines
-
Insight
Anderlecht
6
Clean sheets
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet -
Insight
OH Leuven
−1.05
xG difference per match
Underlying performance · 10-match window
xG for1.01xG against2.06
-
Insight
Anderlecht
0.7
Goals conceded per match
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals conceded · W/D/L colours
-
Alert
OH Leuven
1.8
Goals conceded per match
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals conceded · W/D/L colours
Attack
Not enough recorded data for this category yet.
Defence
-
Insight
Anderlecht
6
Clean sheets
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet -
Insight
Anderlecht
0.7
Goals conceded per match
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals conceded · W/D/L colours
-
Alert
OH Leuven
1.8
Goals conceded per match
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals conceded · W/D/L colours
-
Insight
OH Leuven
−1.05
xG difference per match
Underlying performance · 10-match window
xG for1.01xG against2.06
Streaks
Not enough recorded data for this category yet.
Team strength
AnderlechtOH Leuven
—
L90 StrengthIn forecast
—
43
Current StrengthIn forecast
18
37
AttackIn forecast
17
52
DefenceIn forecast
30
59
Form indexContext
25
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisOH Leuven
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
AnderlechtOH Leuven
1.13
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
0.75
0.75
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.75
1.39
xGVia Att/Def
1.07
0.87
xG allowedVia Att/Def
2.38
-0.26
Goals minus xGContext
-0.32
63%
Scored inContext
63%
50%
Clean sheetsContext
13%
15.00
ShotsContext
12.75
4.75
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
2.38
32%
On target shareContext
19%
9.50
Shots in the boxContext
8.50
61%
Box shareContext
69%
8%
ConversionContext
6%
1.43
OffsidesContext
1.50
9.88
Shots allowedContext
14.75
3.63
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.50
2.00
BlocksContext
5.14
2.75
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.14
76%
Save rateContext
63%
62%
PossessionIn forecast
48%
560
PassesContext
418
482
Accurate passesContext
329
86%
Pass accuracyContext
79%
6.99
Team ratingContext
6.72
12.38
FoulsContext
11.25
11.50
Fouls sufferedContext
11.38
2.13
Yellow cardsContext
2.00
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
1.40
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
0.70
0.70
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.70
0.95
xGVia Att/Def
1.01
1.10
xG allowedVia Att/Def
2.06
+0.45
Goals minus xGContext
-0.31
70%
Scored inContext
60%
60%
Clean sheetsContext
10%
11.88
ShotsContext
12.70
4.50
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
2.60
38%
On target shareContext
21%
7.63
Shots in the boxContext
8.60
61%
Box shareContext
70%
8%
ConversionContext
6%
1.50
OffsidesContext
2.00
11.25
Shots allowedContext
15.00
4.63
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.80
1.90
BlocksContext
4.78
3.75
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.44
81%
Save rateContext
66%
60%
PossessionIn forecast
47%
533
PassesContext
402
459
Accurate passesContext
318
86%
Pass accuracyContext
79%
6.93
Team ratingContext
6.74
12.90
FoulsContext
10.90
12.60
Fouls sufferedContext
11.40
2.20
Yellow cardsContext
1.60
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Anderlecht
WLWWL
Rest14.2 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 59 · 9 pts vs 8.0 for an average club · +1.4 vs expected
OH Leuven
LLDWD
Rest15 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel24 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 25 · 5 pts vs 8.0 for an average club · +0.3 vs expected
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Anderlecht |
OH Leuven |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 0 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 14.2Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 8 Nov | 15Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 7 Nov |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 24 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 0 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 0 / 4 | 0 / 0 / 2 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 4.1 | 5.1 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Anderlecht
Last XI · not confirmed
26C. Coosemans(G)
5O. Reabciuk
27L. Pétrot
12A. Omobamidele
50K. Barry
19Thelo Aasgaard
29M. Stroeykens
83T. Degreef
18L. Ambros
10M. Winkler
9M. CvetkoviÄ
OH Leuven
Last XI · not confirmed
13K. Vroman(G)
34R. Nyakossi
3Noë Dussenne
5J. Lawrence
99D. Opoku
8S. Schrijvers
6W. George
27Óscar Gil
21W. Balikwisha
18Robin Mirisola
24Ł. Łakomy
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Anderlecht
Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
OH Leuven
Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads
—
Home / Away this season
Anderlecht · Home
2.50points per game · 4 home games
- W-D-L
- 3-1-0
- Scored
- 1.50
- Conceded
- 0.25
OH Leuven · Away
0.25points per game · 4 away games
- W-D-L
- 0-1-3
- Scored
- 0.50
- Conceded
- 2.00
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 4 this season
| Opponent | Anderlecht | OH Leuven |
|---|---|---|
| Cercle Brugge | W 2–1 A | D 1–1 H |
| Union St. Gilloise | L 0–3 A | D 1–1 A |
| SK Beveren | L 0–1 A | L 0–3 A |
| RAAL La Louvière | W 2–1 H | W 2–0 H |
| Points | 6 of 12 · 1.50 per game | 5 of 12 · 1.25 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head last 4 of 4 meetings
2 Anderlecht wins2 draws0 OH Leuven wins
Goals per game3.00 – 1.00
Over 2.550%
Both scored100%
Clean sheets0% · 0%
- 28 Feb 2026Anderlecht5–1OH Leuven
- 26 Sep 2025OH Leuven1–1Anderlecht
- 21 Jan 2024OH Leuven1–1Anderlecht
- 28 Oct 2023Anderlecht5–1OH Leuven
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| Anderlecht | OH Leuven | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.13 | 0.75 | |
| Conceded per game | 0.75 | 1.75 | |
| Match goals | 1.88 | 2.50 | |
| Over 1.5 | 50% | 88% | |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 50% | |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 13% | |
| Both teams scored | 25% | 50% | |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 13% | |
| Failed to score | 38% | 38% | |
| Games | 8 | 8 |
| Anderlecht | OH Leuven | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.40 | 0.90 | |
| Conceded per game | 0.70 | 1.40 | |
| Match goals | 2.10 | 2.30 | |
| Over 1.5 | 60% | 80% | |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 40% | |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 10% | |
| Both teams scored | 20% | 40% | |
| Clean sheets | 60% | 30% | |
| Failed to score | 30% | 30% | |
| Games | 10 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Anderlecht | OH Leuven | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 6.63 | 3.25 | |
| Corners conceded | 3.13 | 8.25 | |
| Match total | 9.76 | 11.50 | 10.01 |
| Over 8.5 | 63% 5/8 | 75% 6/8 | |
| Over 9.5 | 38% 3/8 | 63% 5/8 | |
| Over 10.5 | 38% 3/8 | 63% 5/8 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.13 | 2.13 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.38 | 1.63 | |
| Match total | 3.51 | 3.76 | 3.36 |
| Over 3.5 | 50% 4/8 | 75% 6/8 | |
| Over 4.5 | 25% 2/8 | 25% 2/8 | |
| Anderlecht | OH Leuven | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 5.40 | 3.60 | |
| Corners conceded | 3.80 | 8.20 | |
| Match total | 9.20 | 11.80 | 10.01 |
| Over 8.5 | 60% 6/10 | 70% 7/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 40% 4/10 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 10% 1/10 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.20 | 1.70 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.80 | 1.50 | |
| Match total | 4.00 | 3.20 | 3.36 |
| Over 3.5 | 60% 6/10 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 30% 3/10 | 20% 2/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Goal timing
Anderlecht8 games · scored 9 · conceded 6
2
0-15
16-30
3
2
31-45
2
1
46-60
1
61-75
3
1
76-90
OH Leuven8 games · scored 6 · conceded 14
1
0-15
2
2
16-30
2
31-45
3
46-60
1
3
61-75
1
5
76-90
Anderlecht10 games · scored 14 · conceded 7
1
2
0-15
1
1
16-30
5
2
31-45
3
46-60
2
61-75
2
2
76-90
OH Leuven10 games · scored 7 · conceded 17
1
0-15
3
3
16-30
2
1
31-45
4
46-60
1
3
61-75
1
5
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Soon
Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.
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