Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Sun, Nov 22 · 12:30 Freethielstadion, Beveren
SK Beveren 11th · 9 pts · 8 played
VS— Compare
Gent 1st · 22 pts · 8 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel42 kmRest days15.7 · 13.9Matches / 14d0 · 1
Real contextStrength only
SK Beveren—%
Draw—%
Gent—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Beveren)

Forecast from 7 Nov

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for SK Beveren and Gent. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

SK BeverenGent
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
25 Current StrengthIn forecast 46
18 AttackIn forecast 46
20 DefenceIn forecast 61
25 Form indexContext 84
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

SK Beveren

Attack—
Defense risk—

Gent

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

SK BeverenGent
1.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.88
1.75 Goals concededVia Att/Def 0.50
0.73 xGVia Att/Def 1.31
2.09 xG allowedVia Att/Def 0.60
+0.27 Goals minus xGContext +0.57
63% Scored inContext 100%
38% Clean sheetsContext 50%
10.25 ShotsContext 12.38
3.25 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.13
32% On target shareContext 41%
7.00 Shots in the boxContext 8.00
69% Box shareContext 65%
10% ConversionContext 15%
1.88 OffsidesContext 2.33
15.50 Shots allowedContext 10.63
6.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.13
3.50 BlocksContext 3.50
4.29 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.75
71% Save rateContext 88%
51% PossessionIn forecast 46%
469 PassesContext 456
382 Accurate passesContext 386
81% Pass accuracyContext 85%
6.83 Team ratingContext 7.07
8.75 FoulsContext 10.25
10.88 Fouls sufferedContext 9.88
1.88 Yellow cardsContext 1.38
0.13 Red cardsContext 0.00
This league season, per match · 8 and 8 games
1.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.50
1.75 Goals concededVia Att/Def 0.90
0.73 xGVia Att/Def 1.42
2.09 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.07
+0.27 Goals minus xGContext +0.08
63% Scored inContext 80%
38% Clean sheetsContext 50%
10.25 ShotsContext 12.20
3.25 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.40
32% On target shareContext 36%
7.00 Shots in the boxContext 8.10
69% Box shareContext 67%
10% ConversionContext 12%
1.88 OffsidesContext 2.29
15.50 Shots allowedContext 12.60
6.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.40
3.50 BlocksContext 3.80
4.29 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.60
71% Save rateContext 82%
51% PossessionIn forecast 46%
469 PassesContext 453
382 Accurate passesContext 384
81% Pass accuracyContext 85%
6.83 Team ratingContext 7.04
8.75 FoulsContext 10.00
10.88 Fouls sufferedContext 9.30
1.88 Yellow cardsContext 1.60
0.13 Red cardsContext 0.00
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 8 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

SK Beveren
Rest15.7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 25 · 6 pts vs 9.1 for an average club · -0.4 vs expected
  • L9 OctH · Lommel United1–31.4 xPts
  • L20 SepA · Kortrijk0–11.6 xPts
  • W12 SepH · St. Truiden2–01.1 xPts
  • W6 SepH · OH Leuven3–01.7 xPts
  • L28 AugA · Genk0–40.7 xPts
Gent
Rest13.9 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel42 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 84 · 13 pts vs 8.4 for an average club · +5.0 vs expected
  • W10 OctA · Zulte Waregem2–01.4 xPts
  • W18 SepH · Standard Liege2–11.9 xPts
  • D13 SepA · Genk1–11.1 xPts
  • W6 SepA · Cercle Brugge3–01.4 xPts
  • W3 SepH · OH Leuven1–02.2 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
SK Beveren Gent
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match15.7Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 6 Nov13.9Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 8 Nov
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km42 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways0 km0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days0 / 0 / 20 / 1 / 3
Next matchdays after this one6.37.2

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

SK Beveren Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Lommel United (H) 1–3, 9 Oct
1J. Schenk(G)
4C. Janssens 31B. Godeau 35Y. Gomis 25C. Konaté
44C. Conde 18S. Dewaele
17J. Margaritha 22C. Brüls 5C. Lokesa
9M. Kaboré
Gent Last XI · not confirmed
3-4-2-1 · vs Zulte Waregem (A) 2–0, 10 Oct
33D. Roef(G)
44S. Van der Heyden 16C. Burgess 3M. Paskotši
20Tiago Araújo 17M. Delorge-Knieper 22Leonardo Lopes 45B. Goore
11M. Sonko 7M. Balikwisha
75Ibrahima Cisse

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
SK Beveren Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Gent Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

SK Beveren · Home 2.25points per game · 4 home games
W-D-L
3-0-1
Scored
1.75
Conceded
0.75
Gent · Away 2.50points per game · 4 away games
W-D-L
3-1-0
Scored
2.00
Conceded
0.50

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 3 this season

OpponentSK BeverenGent
OH Leuven W 3–0 H W 1–0 H
Genk L 0–4 A D 1–1 A
Zulte Waregem L 0–4 A W 2–0 A
Points3 of 9 · 1.00 per game7 of 9 · 2.33 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

SK BeverenGentForecast
Scored per game 1.001.88
Conceded per game 1.750.50
Match goals 2.752.38
Over 1.5 75%88%
Over 2.5 63%50%
Over 3.5 38%0%
Both teams scored 25%50%
Clean sheets 38%50%
Failed to score 38%0%
Games88
SK BeverenGentForecast
Scored per game 1.002.00
Conceded per game 1.750.50
Match goals 2.752.50
Over 1.5 75%90%
Over 2.5 63%50%
Over 3.5 38%10%
Both teams scored 25%50%
Clean sheets 38%50%
Failed to score 38%0%
Games810

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

SK BeverenGentLeague
Corners
Corners won5.005.14
Corners conceded4.383.71
Match total9.388.8510.01
Over 8.550% 4/857% 4/7
Over 9.538% 3/843% 3/7
Over 10.538% 3/843% 3/7
Cards
Cards2.001.50
Opponent cards1.251.50
Match total3.253.003.36
Over 3.538% 3/825% 2/8
Over 4.525% 2/825% 2/8
SK BeverenGentLeague
Corners
Corners won5.005.78
Corners conceded4.384.00
Match total9.389.7810.01
Over 8.550% 4/867% 6/9
Over 9.538% 3/856% 5/9
Over 10.538% 3/856% 5/9
Cards
Cards2.001.70
Opponent cards1.251.20
Match total3.252.903.36
Over 3.538% 3/830% 3/10
Over 4.525% 2/820% 2/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

SK Beveren8 games · scored 8 · conceded 14
1 1 0-15
1 3 16-30
1 2 31-45
2 5 46-60
1 2 61-75
2 1 76-90
Gent8 games · scored 15 · conceded 4
2 1 0-15
2 16-30
4 2 31-45
2 1 46-60
61-75
5 76-90
SK Beveren8 games · scored 8 · conceded 14
1 1 0-15
1 3 16-30
1 2 31-45
2 5 46-60
1 2 61-75
2 1 76-90
Gent10 games · scored 15 · conceded 9
2 1 0-15
2 1 16-30
4 4 31-45
2 2 46-60
61-75
5 1 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

Next fixtures Belgian Pro League

View all fixtures →
Cercle Brugge KVC Westerlo Nov 2019:45 Charleroi St. Truiden Nov 2115:00 Genk RAAL La Louvière Nov 2117:15 KV Mechelen Club Brugge KV Nov 2119:45 Zulte Waregem Antwerp Nov 2119:45 SK Beveren Gent Nov 2212:30 Kortrijk Union St. Gilloise Nov 2215:00 Anderlecht OH Leuven Nov 2217:30 Lommel United Standard Liege Nov 2218:15