FC Schalke 04 vs FC Augsburg

Bundesliga Gameweek 18 Sat, Jan 23 · 14:30 Arena AufSchalke, Gelsenkirchen

FC Schalke 04 15th · 5 pts · 6 played DWDLL

VS— Compare

FC Augsburg 10th · 8 pts · 6 played WDLDL

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel442 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d3 · 3

Real contextStrength only

FC Schalke 04—%

Draw—%

FC Augsburg—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (Gelsenkirchen)

Forecast from 8 Jan

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Streak FC Augsburg 6 Scoring in a row Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

Team strength

FC Schalke 04

FC Augsburg

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

46 Current StrengthIn forecast 50

33 AttackIn forecast 72

50 DefenceIn forecast 23

41 Form indexContext 46

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

FC Schalke 04

Attack—

Defense risk—

FC Augsburg

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

FC Schalke 04

FC Augsburg

0.67 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.67

1.17 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.00

1.08 xGVia Att/Def 2.15

1.87 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.95

-0.41 Goals minus xGContext +0.52

33% Scored inContext 100%

33% Clean sheetsContext 17%

10.17 ShotsContext 15.67

3.50 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 7.00

34% On target shareContext 45%

7.80 Shots in the boxContext 11.67

72% Box shareContext 72%

7% ConversionContext 17%

3.00 OffsidesContext 1.75

15.17 Shots allowedContext 21.83

6.17 On target allowedVia Att/Def 7.83

4.50 BlocksContext 6.17

5.17 Goalkeeper savesContext 5.50

84% Save rateContext 70%

40% PossessionIn forecast 42%

349 PassesContext 372

243 Accurate passesContext 288

70% Pass accuracyContext 77%

6.85 Team ratingContext 7.01

9.33 FoulsContext 9.83

11.50 Fouls sufferedContext 10.00

0.83 Yellow cardsContext 1.83

0.17 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 6 and 6 games

0.90 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.30

1.20 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.90

1.32 xGVia Att/Def 2.02

1.50 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.25

-0.42 Goals minus xGContext +0.28

50% Scored inContext 90%

40% Clean sheetsContext 10%

11.00 ShotsContext 15.10

3.90 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.30

36% On target shareContext 42%

8.67 Shots in the boxContext 11.10

75% Box shareContext 72%

8% ConversionContext 15%

2.63 OffsidesContext 1.88

12.70 Shots allowedContext 19.20

4.80 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.80

3.40 BlocksContext 5.50

3.80 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.80

79% Save rateContext 71%

45% PossessionIn forecast 41%

380 PassesContext 356

278 Accurate passesContext 274

73% Pass accuracyContext 77%

6.84 Team ratingContext 6.95

8.90 FoulsContext 9.20

11.40 Fouls sufferedContext 9.70

1.10 Yellow cardsContext 1.60

0.10 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

FC Schalke 04 DWDLL

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d3all competitions

Travel0 km488 km in 14d

Schedule load15%Low

Form 41 · 5 pts vs 6.0 for an average club · -0.4 vs expected

L17 OctH · FSV Mainz 050–11.4 xPts
L11 OctA · SC Freiburg1–20.8 xPts
D20 SepH · SV Elversberg0–01.7 xPts
W11 SepA · Union Berlin3–11.1 xPts
D5 SepH · Bayern München0–00.4 xPts

FC Augsburg WDLDL

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d3all competitions

Travel442 km1,428 km in 14d

Schedule load21%Moderate

Form 46 · 5 pts vs 5.4 for an average club · -0.9 vs expected

L17 OctA · SV Elversberg3–41.4 xPts
D10 OctH · Bayern München2–20.5 xPts
L19 SepA · Werder Bremen2–31.5 xPts
D12 SepH · Bayer Leverkusen2–21.3 xPts
W6 SepA · Eintracht Frankfurt4–11.3 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	FC Schalke 04	FC Augsburg
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 15	Moderate · 21
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	7Bundesliga 2026-2027, 16 Jan	7Bundesliga 2026-2027, 16 Jan
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	442 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	488 km	1,428 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 3 / 3	1 / 3 / 3
Next matchdays after this one	7	7

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

FC Schalke 04 Last XI · not confirmed

3-4-2-1 · vs FSV Mainz 05 (H) 0–1, 17 Oct

1L. Karius(G)

4H. Kuruçay 25N. Katić 5T. Becker

8R. Gosens 13Satoshi Tanaka 23S. El-Faouzi 17A. Gantenbein

24A. Aouchiche 19K. Karaman

10E. Džeko

FC Augsburg Last XI · not confirmed

3-4-2-1 · vs SV Elversberg (A) 3–4, 17 Oct

1F. Dahmen(G)

2C. Brackelmann 5C. Matsima 35A. Bah

16Hennes Behrens 32F. Rieder 4H. Massengo 27M. Wolf

21A. Ibrahimović 19Robin Fellhauer

9Rodrigo Ribeiro

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

FC Schalke 04 Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

FC Augsburg Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

FC Schalke 04 · Home 0.67points per game · 3 home games

W-D-L: 0-2-1
Scored: 0.00
Conceded: 0.33

FC Augsburg · Away 1.00points per game · 3 away games

W-D-L: 1-0-2
Scored: 3.00
Conceded: 2.67

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 2 this season

Opponent	FC Schalke 04	FC Augsburg
SV Elversberg	D 0–0 H	L 3–4 A
Bayern München	D 0–0 H	D 2–2 H
Points	2 of 6 · 1.00 per game	1 of 6 · 0.50 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 3 of 3 meetings

0 FC Schalke 04 wins1 draws2 FC Augsburg wins

Goals per game1.00 – 2.33 Over 2.567% Both scored67% Clean sheets0% · 33%

30 Aug 2026FC Augsburg3–0FC Schalke 04
18 Mar 2023FC Augsburg1–1FC Schalke 04
2 Oct 2022FC Schalke 042–3FC Augsburg

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	FC Schalke 04	FC Augsburg
Scored per game	0.67	2.67
Conceded per game	1.17	2.00
Match goals	1.83	4.67
Over 1.5	50%	100%
Over 2.5	50%	100%
Over 3.5	17%	83%
Both teams scored	33%	83%
Clean sheets	33%	17%
Failed to score	67%	0%
Games	6	6

	FC Schalke 04	FC Augsburg
Scored per game	0.67	2.30
Conceded per game	1.17	1.90
Match goals	1.83	4.20
Over 1.5	50%	100%
Over 2.5	50%	90%
Over 3.5	17%	80%
Both teams scored	33%	80%
Clean sheets	33%	10%
Failed to score	67%	10%
Games	6	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	FC Schalke 04	FC Augsburg	League
Corners
Corners won	3.60	6.00
Corners conceded	5.40	6.83
Match total	9.00	12.83	10.72
Over 8.5	60% 3/5	83% 5/6
Over 9.5	20% 1/5	83% 5/6
Over 10.5	20% 1/5	83% 5/6
Cards
Cards	1.00	1.83
Opponent cards	2.17	1.50
Match total	3.17	3.33	3.51
Over 3.5	50% 3/6	33% 2/6
Over 4.5	0% 0/6	17% 1/6

	FC Schalke 04	FC Augsburg	League
Corners
Corners won	3.44	5.80
Corners conceded	4.89	6.10
Match total	8.33	11.90	10.72
Over 8.5	56% 5/9	80% 8/10
Over 9.5	22% 2/9	80% 8/10
Over 10.5	11% 1/9	70% 7/10
Cards
Cards	1.20	1.60
Opponent cards	1.90	1.70
Match total	3.10	3.30	3.51
Over 3.5	50% 5/10	40% 4/10
Over 4.5	10% 1/10	10% 1/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.