Samsunspor vs Konyaspor

Süper Lig Gameweek 11 Sat, Nov 7 · 13:00 Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu, Samsun

Samsunspor 17th · 4 pts · 8 played LLLLL

VS— Compare

Konyaspor 16th · 5 pts · 8 played LWDDL

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Samsunspor are slight favourites.

The two sides are close in strength. Recent goals, xG and shots on target tip the balance towards Konyaspor. Samsunspor have 6 days of rest, Konyaspor 7.8 and have to travel 502 km.

Away travel502 kmRest days6 · 7.8Matches / 14d2 · 2

Samsunspor42%

Draw26%

Konyaspor32%

Expected goals 1.53 – 1.29

Samsunspor48%

Draw26%

Konyaspor26%

Expected goals 1.60 – 1.12

Samsunspor42%

Draw26%

Konyaspor32%

Expected goals 1.53 – 1.29

Samsunspor35%

Draw26%

Konyaspor39%

Expected goals 1.36 – 1.45

Samsunspor42%

Draw27%

Konyaspor32%

Expected goals 1.48 – 1.27

Over 2.5 53% Both score 57% Likeliest score 1–1

EloLambda forecast, updated 11 hours ago. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Samsun)

Forecast from 23 Oct

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Defence

Streaks

Streak Samsunspor 6 Losses in a row Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Losses in a row

Team strength

Samsunspor

Konyaspor

23 L90 StrengthIn forecast 18

23 Current StrengthIn forecast 18

15 AttackIn forecast 13

18 DefenceIn forecast 31

4 Form indexContext 23

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Samsunspor

Attack—

Defense risk—

Konyaspor

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Samsunspor

Konyaspor

0.88 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.50

2.38 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.13

0.94 xGVia Att/Def 0.91

1.56 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.12

-0.06 Goals minus xGContext -0.41

50% Scored inContext 38%

13% Clean sheetsContext 38%

12.38 ShotsContext 10.38

3.43 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.71

24% On target shareContext 31%

7.25 Shots in the boxContext 6.75

55% Box shareContext 64%

7% ConversionContext 5%

2.20 OffsidesContext 2.80

15.50 Shots allowedContext 12.88

6.13 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.00

3.88 BlocksContext 3.50

3.88 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.00

63% Save rateContext 80%

55% PossessionIn forecast 49%

473 PassesContext 396

399 Accurate passesContext 325

84% Pass accuracyContext 82%

6.61 Team ratingContext 6.75

12.75 FoulsContext 11.88

12.00 Fouls sufferedContext 12.38

1.00 Yellow cardsContext 2.38

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.13

This league season, per match · 8 and 8 games

1.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.50

2.20 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.40

0.94 xGVia Att/Def 0.91

1.81 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.33

+0.06 Goals minus xGContext -0.41

50% Scored inContext 40%

20% Clean sheetsContext 30%

12.00 ShotsContext 10.80

3.67 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.44

28% On target shareContext 29%

7.10 Shots in the boxContext 7.10

56% Box shareContext 65%

8% ConversionContext 5%

2.00 OffsidesContext 2.43

16.50 Shots allowedContext 13.80

6.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.11

4.00 BlocksContext 3.40

3.90 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.78

65% Save rateContext 78%

56% PossessionIn forecast 49%

461 PassesContext 391

385 Accurate passesContext 322

84% Pass accuracyContext 82%

6.66 Team ratingContext 6.73

12.50 FoulsContext 12.30

12.50 Fouls sufferedContext 11.50

1.30 Yellow cardsContext 2.30

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.10

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Samsunspor LLLLL

Rest6 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel0 km1,238 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 4 · 0 pts vs 8.8 for an average club · -6.4 vs expected

L18 OctA · Kasimpasa1–41.1 xPts
L10 OctH · Trabzonspor0–31.2 xPts
L20 SepA · Erzurumspor FK0–11.1 xPts
L12 SepH · Çorum FK1–51.7 xPts
L6 SepA · Kocaelispor0–11.3 xPts

Konyaspor LWDDL

Rest7.8 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel502 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load6%Low

Form 23 · 5 pts vs 8.4 for an average club · -0.5 vs expected

L17 OctA · Amed0–10.8 xPts
D11 OctH · Istanbul Basaksehir0–01.4 xPts
D18 SepA · Kasimpasa0–01.1 xPts
W12 SepH · Trabzonspor1–01.2 xPts
L5 SepA · Erzurumspor FK0–11.1 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Samsunspor	Konyaspor
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	6Süper Lig 2026-2027, 1 Nov	7.8Süper Lig 2026-2027, 30 Oct
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	502 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	1,238 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 2 / 4	0 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one	14	15

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Samsunspor Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Kasimpasa (A) 1–4, 18 Oct

1O. Kocuk(G)

17L. Tómasson 34G. Guarino 22Y. Çift 2J. Mendes

4Elliot Watt 19O. Øhlenschlæger

11E. Kılınç 20Y. Kayan 10T. Coulibaly

18M. Bayo

Konyaspor Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Amed (A) 0–1, 17 Oct

13B. Güngördü(G)

26A. Masuaku 15C. Awaziem 22R. Baniya 17Y. Andzouana

8M. Jevtović 77M. İbrahimoğlu

7Diogo Gonçalves 66R. Tóth 9D. Türüç

11J. Muleka

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Samsunspor No reported absences

Konyaspor No reported absences

Total impact vs full squads

Samsunspor+0.0 pp
Draw+0.0 pp
Konyaspor+0.0 pp

From eScored squad data: each player's weight is his role (core 3, starter 2, rotation 1, depth 0.5) times his share of minutes. Defenders and keepers count to the defence line, forwards to attack, midfielders half to each. EloLambda turns the lost share into fewer goals scored and more conceded (weight 0.1); the totals show how that moves the result chances.

Home / Away this season

Samsunspor · Home 0.25points per game · 4 home games

W-D-L: 0-1-3
Scored: 1.00
Conceded: 3.25

Konyaspor · Away 0.25points per game · 4 away games

W-D-L: 0-1-3
Scored: 0.50
Conceded: 1.50

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 6 this season

Opponent	Samsunspor	Konyaspor
Kasimpasa	L 1–4 A	D 0–0 A
Trabzonspor	L 0–3 H	W 1–0 H
Erzurumspor FK	L 0–1 A	L 0–1 A
Kocaelispor	L 0–1 A	L 1–2 H
Fenerbahce	L 0–2 H	L 2–4 A
Rizespor	W 2–0 A	L 0–1 H
Points	3 of 18 · 0.50 per game	4 of 18 · 0.67 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 6 of 6 meetings

2 Samsunspor wins2 draws2 Konyaspor wins

Goals per game1.17 – 1.33 Over 2.550% Both scored50% Clean sheets17% · 33%

5 Apr 2026Samsunspor2–2Konyaspor
2 Nov 2025Konyaspor1–3Samsunspor
16 Feb 2025Konyaspor0–1Samsunspor
14 Sep 2024Samsunspor0–1Konyaspor
12 May 2024Konyaspor3–0Samsunspor
21 Dec 2023Samsunspor1–1Konyaspor

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Samsunspor	Konyaspor	Forecast
Scored per game	0.88	0.50
Conceded per game	2.38	1.13
Match goals	3.25	1.63	2.82
Over 1.5	75%	25%
Over 2.5	50%	25%	53%
Over 3.5	38%	13%
Both teams scored	38%	25%	57%
Clean sheets	13%	38%
Failed to score	50%	63%
Games	8	8

	Samsunspor	Konyaspor	Forecast
Scored per game	1.00	0.50
Conceded per game	2.20	1.40
Match goals	3.20	1.90	2.82
Over 1.5	80%	40%
Over 2.5	60%	40%	53%
Over 3.5	30%	10%
Both teams scored	30%	30%	57%
Clean sheets	20%	30%
Failed to score	50%	60%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Samsunspor	Konyaspor	League
Corners
Corners won	4.00	2.50
Corners conceded	5.63	5.50
Match total	9.63	8.00	9.12
Over 8.5	63% 5/8	38% 3/8
Over 9.5	50% 4/8	25% 2/8
Over 10.5	38% 3/8	0% 0/8
Cards
Cards	1.00	2.50
Opponent cards	2.00	1.88
Match total	3.00	4.38	4.04
Over 3.5	38% 3/8	75% 6/8
Over 4.5	25% 2/8	63% 5/8

	Samsunspor	Konyaspor	League
Corners
Corners won	4.11	2.80
Corners conceded	5.22	4.90
Match total	9.33	7.70	9.12
Over 8.5	56% 5/9	30% 3/10
Over 9.5	44% 4/9	20% 2/10
Over 10.5	33% 3/9	0% 0/10
Cards
Cards	1.30	2.50
Opponent cards	2.20	1.60
Match total	3.50	4.10	4.04
Over 3.5	50% 5/10	70% 7/10
Over 4.5	30% 3/10	50% 5/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.