Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart – 14 Oct 2026

UEFA Champions League Matchday 2 Wed, Oct 14 · 20:00 Štadión Tehelné pole, Bratislava

Slovan Bratislava 35th · 0 pts · 1 played L

0–3Full time

VfB Stuttgart 9th · 3 pts · 1 played W

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

VfB Stuttgart were clear favourites.

VfB Stuttgart were the stronger side on L90 Strength (69 vs 21). Absences weigh more on VfB Stuttgart. VfB Stuttgart were without J. Chabot and M. Mittelstädt. Slovan Bratislava had 35 days of rest, VfB Stuttgart 4.2 and had to travel 589 km. Conditions were neutral.

Away travel589 kmRest days35 · 4.2Matches / 14d0 · 1

Slovan Bratislava18%

Draw19%

VfB Stuttgart63%

Expected goals 1.16 – 2.30

Slovan Bratislava17%

Draw22%

VfB Stuttgart61%

Expected goals 0.93 – 1.93

Slovan Bratislava17%

Draw19%

VfB Stuttgart64%

Expected goals 1.12 – 2.31

Slovan Bratislava13%

Draw16%

VfB Stuttgart71%

Expected goals 1.04 – 2.58

Slovan Bratislava19%

Draw19%

VfB Stuttgart62%

Expected goals 1.20 – 2.30

Over 2.5 67% Both score 62% Likeliest score 1–2

Pre-match forecast. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Bratislava)

12°COvercast

Precipitation 0.0 mm
Wind 5 km/h
Humidity 87%

RefereeIrfan Peljto

Cards per match 3.9
Penalties per match 0.52
Matches 46

Team strength

Slovan Bratislava

VfB Stuttgart

21 L90 StrengthIn forecast 69

20 Current StrengthIn forecast 67

18 AttackIn forecast 70

22 DefenceIn forecast 58

— Form indexContext 64

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Slovan Bratislava

Attack—

Defense risk—

VfB Stuttgart

Attack+35%

Defense risk−35%

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Slovan Bratislava

VfB Stuttgart

— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —

— Goals concededVia Att/Def —

— xGVia Att/Def —

— xG allowedVia Att/Def —

— Goals minus xGContext —

— Scored inContext —

— Clean sheetsContext —

— ShotsContext —

— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —

— On target shareContext —

— Shots in the boxContext —

— Box shareContext —

— ConversionContext —

— OffsidesContext —

— Shots allowedContext —

— On target allowedVia Att/Def —

— BlocksContext —

— Goalkeeper savesContext —

— Save rateContext —

— PossessionIn forecast —

— PassesContext —

— Accurate passesContext —

— Pass accuracyContext —

— Team ratingContext —

— FoulsContext —

— Fouls sufferedContext —

— Yellow cardsContext —

— Red cardsContext —

This league season, per match

1.40 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.00

1.30 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.70

0.87 xGVia Att/Def 1.80

1.11 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.11

+0.53 Goals minus xGContext +0.20

90% Scored inContext 90%

30% Clean sheetsContext 10%

11.83 ShotsContext 15.90

5.20 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.60

37% On target shareContext 35%

7.67 Shots in the boxContext 10.70

66% Box shareContext 68%

10% ConversionContext 13%

1.75 OffsidesContext 2.11

17.83 Shots allowedContext 15.80

6.17 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.60

4.17 BlocksContext 4.89

4.33 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.60

70% Save rateContext 64%

45% PossessionIn forecast 54%

401 PassesContext 482

320 Accurate passesContext 399

80% Pass accuracyContext 83%

6.74 Team ratingContext 7.00

11.29 FoulsContext 10.40

12.14 Fouls sufferedContext 11.70

2.00 Yellow cardsContext 1.20

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.10

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Slovan Bratislava L

Rest35 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 46 · 0 pts vs 0.5 for an average club · -0.2 vs expected

L9 SepA · Paris Saint Germain1–60.3 xPts

VfB Stuttgart WWLLW

Rest4.2 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel589 km656 km in 14d

Schedule load6%Low

Form 64 · 9 pts vs 7.5 for an average club · +0.2 vs expected

W10 OctA · SC Paderborn 072–01.6 xPts
L19 SepH · Borussia Dortmund0–11.2 xPts
L12 SepA · 1899 Hoffenheim1–21.4 xPts
W9 SepH · Viking3–12.6 xPts
W4 SepH · 1.FC Köln4–12.1 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Slovan Bratislava	VfB Stuttgart
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	35UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase, 9 Sep	4.2Bundesliga 2026-2027, 10 Oct
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	589 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	0 km	656 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 0 / 0	1 / 1 / 2
Next matchdays after this one	6	2.8

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Slovan Bratislava Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

71D. Takáč(G)

57Sandro Cruz 15S. Marković 12K. Bajrič 28C. Blackman

20A. Mustafić 3P. Pokorný

21Suleiman Camara 70C. Martinez 11T. Barseghyan

99A. Šporar

+3 more reported missing outside this XI

VfB Stuttgart Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

1F. Bredlow(G)

3R. Hendriks 24J. Chabot 29Finn Jeltsch 4J. Vagnoman

6A. Stiller 21G. Prömel

10C. Führich 26D. Undav 11B. El Khannouss

17D. Pejčinović

+9 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Slovan Bratislava Scores -0.01 · concedes 0.00 goals

Attack line −8.0% · Defence line −0.0% of weighted minutes

ATT M. Kukharevych Rotation 3.50 Att −5.6%
ATT Manasse Kianga Rotation 6.70 Att −2.4%

1 without recent minutes (no impact): A. Griger

VfB Stuttgart Scores -0.01 · concedes +0.05 goals

Attack line −5.4% · Defence line −28.6% of weighted minutes

DEF J. Chabot Starter 7.04 Def −12.5%
DEF M. Mittelstädt Starter 7.18 Def −12.1%
MID N. Nartey Rotation 6.80 Att −2.0% Def −1.4%
ATT Tiago Tomás Rotation 6.71 Att −3.4%
DEF L. Jaquez Rotation 6.69 Def −2.0%
DEF A. Al Dakhil Depth 6.39 Def −0.3%

+1 more with impact, 3 without recent minutes (no impact): L. Stergiou, J. Diehl, S. Drljača

Total impact vs full squads

Slovan Bratislava+1.0 pp
Draw+0.2 pp
VfB Stuttgart-1.2 pp

From eScored squad data: each player's weight is his role (core 3, starter 2, rotation 1, depth 0.5) times his share of minutes. Defenders and keepers count to the defence line, forwards to attack, midfielders half to each. EloLambda turns the lost share into fewer goals scored and more conceded (weight 0.1); the totals show how that moves the result chances.

Home / Away this season

Slovan Bratislava · Home No home games yet this season.

VfB Stuttgart · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head last 1 of 1 meetings

0 Slovan Bratislava wins0 draws1 VfB Stuttgart wins

Goals per game1.00 – 3.00 Over 2.5100% Both scored100% Clean sheets0% · 0%

21 Jan 2025Slovan Bratislava1–3VfB Stuttgart

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Slovan Bratislava	VfB Stuttgart	Forecast
Scored per game	1.00	3.00
Conceded per game	6.00	1.00
Match goals	7.00	4.00	3.46
Over 1.5	100%	100%
Over 2.5	100%	100%	67%
Over 3.5	100%	100%
Both teams scored	100%	100%	62%
Clean sheets	0%	0%
Failed to score	0%	0%
Games	1	1

	Slovan Bratislava	VfB Stuttgart	Forecast
Scored per game	1.57	2.00
Conceded per game	1.43	1.70
Match goals	3.00	3.70	3.46
Over 1.5	100%	90%
Over 2.5	43%	70%	67%
Over 3.5	14%	60%
Both teams scored	71%	80%	62%
Clean sheets	29%	10%
Failed to score	0%	10%
Games	7	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Slovan Bratislava	VfB Stuttgart	League
Corners
Corners won	2.00	4.00
Corners conceded	7.00	5.00
Match total	9.00	9.00	9.36
Over 8.5	100% 1/1	100% 1/1
Over 9.5	0% 0/1	0% 0/1
Over 10.5	0% 0/1	0% 0/1
Cards
Cards	1.00	0.00
Opponent cards	0.00	3.00
Match total	1.00	3.00	3.82
Over 3.5	0% 0/1	0% 0/1
Over 4.5	0% 0/1	0% 0/1

	Slovan Bratislava	VfB Stuttgart	League
Corners
Corners won	5.67	6.40
Corners conceded	4.83	5.40
Match total	10.50	11.80	9.36
Over 8.5	67% 4/6	80% 8/10
Over 9.5	50% 3/6	70% 7/10
Over 10.5	50% 3/6	70% 7/10
Cards
Cards	2.00	1.30
Opponent cards	2.80	2.10
Match total	4.80	3.40	3.82
Over 3.5	80% 8/10	50% 5/10
Over 4.5	60% 6/10	30% 3/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Irfan Peljto 46 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards3.67league 3.62

Red cards0.24league 0.17

Cards 5+39%league 38%

Fouls22.1league 22.8

Penalties0.52league 0.21

Home wins48%league 59%

Slovan Bratislava1 with this referee

Record0-0-1 Cards · opp.4.0 · 3.0 Pens for · against0 · 1

L28 Jul 21A · BSC Young Boys2–34

VfB Stuttgart1 with this referee

Record0-0-1 Cards · opp.0.0 · 1.0 Pens for · against0 · 0

L26 Feb 26H · Celtic0–10

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.