Atalanta

11th · Serie A · 9 points · Matches played: 7

10 points behind Inter · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

-12.5 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed -5.6 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 59.3-12.5
World Rank 56th Global, by Elo
Serie A Rank 8th L90 Strength
Last AC MilanA xG 1.6–2.4 2–3 Next FrosinoneH 56%

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Upcoming fixtures

Atalanta · All competitions

Forecast
FrosinoneSerie A 2026-2027 · Home 56% win 1.89 xPts FiorentinaSerie A 2026-2027 · Away 36% win 1.32 xPts ParmaSerie A 2026-2027 · Home 57% win 1.95 xPts MonzaSerie A 2026-2027 · Away 47% win 1.68 xPts InterSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LecceSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts LazioSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts GenoaSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts NapoliSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts UdineseSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts ComoSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts TorinoSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts AS RomaSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts BolognaSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts FiorentinaSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LazioSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts GenoaSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts MonzaSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts InterSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts TorinoSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts VeneziaSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts AC MilanSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts SassuoloSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts CagliariSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts UdineseSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts ParmaSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts JuventusSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts FrosinoneSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts ComoSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts LecceSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts NapoliSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts

xPts = 3 × win probability + draw probability. — means no published forecast. Open a match for xG and the full forecast.

Results

Atalanta · All competitions

Full time
AC MilanSerie A 2026-2027 · Away L 2–3 1.6–2.4 xG -0.7 Δpts VeneziaSerie A 2026-2027 · Home W 3–1 2.2–2.4 xG +0.6 Δpts JuventusSerie A 2026-2027 · Away L 0–2 0.6–1.3 xG -0.8 Δpts CagliariSerie A 2026-2027 · Home L 1–2 1.2–1.1 xG -2.0 Δpts AS RomaSerie A 2026-2027 · Away L 1–2 — xG -0.7 Δpts BolognaSerie A 2026-2027 · Home W 1–0 0.2–1.3 xG +1.3 Δpts SassuoloSerie A 2026-2027 · Home W 2–1 0.9–2.7 xG +0.9 Δpts

Score and actual xG show Atalanta first. Δpts = points taken − pre-match xPts. — means data unavailable.

Current load Low · 0

Rest profile6.9 days since last match
0%
Schedule load2 matches in last 14 days
0%
Travel loadHome match, 90 km in 14 days
0%
Squad availability2 out, no key players
4%

Load before the next match, vs Frosinone, 25 Oct. Squad availability is shown separately and is not part of the score; availability is the share of squad weight missing, the same input the forecast uses for absences.

Schedule difficulty all competitions

Each bar is one match: 50% match difficulty from current relative Elo strength + 50% calendar load (rest, match congestion and travel). Higher means harder, on a 0–100 scale. This is a descriptive index, not a win probability. Lighter bars are upcoming; the dashed line marks today. Grey marks missing data. 23 Aug vs Sassuolo: Schedule difficulty 14/100; match difficulty 28/100
W
 Aug 31 Aug vs Bologna: Schedule difficulty 20/100; match difficulty 39/100
W
 5 Sep at AS Roma: Schedule difficulty 35/100; match difficulty 64/100
L
 Sep 12 Sep vs Cagliari: Schedule difficulty 14/100; match difficulty 28/100
L
 20 Sep at Juventus: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 57/100
L
 12 Oct vs Venezia: Schedule difficulty 7/100; match difficulty 14/100
W
 Oct 18 Oct at AC Milan: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 56/100
L
 25 Oct vs Frosinone: Schedule difficulty 13/100; match difficulty 26/100 29 Oct at Fiorentina: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 33/100 2 Nov vs Parma: Schedule difficulty 12/100; match difficulty 24/100 Nov 8 Nov at Monza: Schedule difficulty 16/100; match difficulty 16/100 22 Nov vs Inter: Schedule difficulty 38/100; match difficulty 75/100 29 Nov at Lecce: Schedule difficulty 18/100; match difficulty 24/100 6 Dec at Lazio: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 53/100 Dec 13 Dec vs Genoa: Schedule difficulty 15/100; match difficulty 25/100 20 Dec vs Napoli: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 53/100 3 Jan at Udinese: Schedule difficulty 14/100; match difficulty 27/100 Jan 6 Jan vs Como: Schedule difficulty 33/100; match difficulty 57/100 10 Jan at Torino: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 33/100 17 Jan vs AS Roma: Schedule difficulty 40/100; match difficulty 64/100 24 Jan at Bologna: Schedule difficulty 20/100; match difficulty 39/100 31 Jan vs Fiorentina: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 33/100 7 Feb vs Lazio: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 53/100 Feb 14 Feb at Genoa: Schedule difficulty 13/100; match difficulty 25/100 21 Feb vs Monza: Schedule difficulty 8/100; match difficulty 16/100 28 Feb at Inter: Schedule difficulty 38/100; match difficulty 75/100 7 Mar vs Torino: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 33/100 Mar 14 Mar at Venezia: Schedule difficulty 7/100; match difficulty 14/100 21 Mar vs AC Milan: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 56/100 4 Apr at Sassuolo: Schedule difficulty 14/100; match difficulty 28/100 Apr 11 Apr at Cagliari: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 28/100 18 Apr vs Udinese: Schedule difficulty 16/100; match difficulty 27/100 25 Apr at Parma: Schedule difficulty 12/100; match difficulty 24/100 2 May vs Juventus: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 57/100 May 9 May at Frosinone: Schedule difficulty 16/100; match difficulty 26/100 16 May at Como: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 57/100 23 May vs Lecce: Schedule difficulty 12/100; match difficulty 24/100 30 May at Napoli: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 53/100

Schedule next 30 days · forecast and load

All fixtures and load →
Rest6.9 daysbefore FRO
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel / 14d90 kmaway trips
Schedule load0%Low
vs FrosinoneSun 25 Oct, 14:00 Serie A 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 30 56%win23%draw22%loss Low load · 6.9 d rest at FiorentinaThu 29 Oct, 19:45 Serie A 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 39 36%win26%draw39%loss Low load · 4.2 d rest vs ParmaMon 2 Nov, 19:45 Serie A 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 31 57%win24%draw19%loss Low load · 4 d rest at MonzaSun 8 Nov, 14:00 Serie A 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 16 47%win26%draw27%loss Low load · 5.8 d rest · 3 in 14 d
Win · draw · loss: LOAD90 forecastLoad bar: rest, matches and travel before each game (context; only 4+ matches in 14 days changes the forecast)
Full match preview oneScored → vs Frosinone, 25 OctOdds, value, live score

Fixture Swing

Opponent opportunity across the next 3 matches · all competitions

3 of 3 forecasts available

Attack Swing+14%

Baseline 4.60 → Forecast 5.22 expected goals · 3 included matches

Conceding Swing−12%

Baseline 4.12 → Forecast 3.64 expected goals conceded · 3 included matches

Opportunity for the next 3 matches
MatchAttackConceding riskGoals · Baseline → Forecast
vs Frosinone25 Oct · Serie A 2026-2027 +21% −8% 1.64 → 1.98
at Fiorentina29 Oct · Serie A 2026-2027 +11% −5% 1.31 → 1.45
vs Parma2 Nov · Serie A 2026-2027 +9% −25% 1.65 → 1.79

Swing compares total forecast goals with total baseline goals for the included matches. Forecasts are available up to 21 days ahead. Missing snapshots and different model revisions are excluded; a partial window covers only the matches shown with values. Your team's own conditions are kept in each baseline.

Next match · Match Opportunity

Atalanta

Baseline: average Serie A opponent

Attack Uplift +21% Expected goals Baseline1.64Forecast1.98
Conceding Risk −8% Expected goals conceded Baseline1.28Forecast1.18
Clean Sheet +3.0 pp Chance of conceding no goals Baseline27.8%Forecast30.7%