L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.
+0.6 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.
Base L90 Strength changed -0.3 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 93.9+0.6
+0.6 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.
Base L90 Strength changed -0.3 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 93.9+0.6
World Rank
2nd
Global, by Elo
Bundesliga Rank
1st
L90 Strength
A top side, and in form.
Bayern München have the best attack and the best defence in Bundesliga. Across the 6 league matches with forecasts, their points total is close to our pre-match expectations. M. Olise and M. Neuer are out, and The toughest of the next 5 matches is the trip to Atletico Madrid.
Bundesliga · 6 games. Their scorelines look better than their chance balance. They are scoring more goals than their chances suggest. They are conceding fewer goals than expected; good goalkeeping or poor finishing by opponents may explain the gap.
They dominate the ball, with 69% possession, 1st in the league, and turn it into 24 shots a game. They allow very few chances (8 shots a game against). Home is where they earn their points: 3.0 per game there against 1.7 away.
- Title 95% · Top 4 >99%Likely 1st · 83 projected points
-
Next 5: about 10 of 15 points Toughest at
Atletico Madrid · , 49% to win
- 2 key players outM. Olise, M. Neuer · 17% of squad weight missing
- 14 pts vs 14.8 expected-0.8 vs pre-match expectations · 6 matches with forecasts
Key insights
Automatic descriptive highlights for Bayern München. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals for this club in each category.Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.
Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.
xG Difference uses observed Playing style averages; window size is not xG coverage and the two metrics can have different denominators. Points minus xPts uses the same covered current-league matches and stored forecasts as Club strength, including labelled historical reconstructions.
Headlines
-
Insight
Bayern München
+2.15
xG difference per match
Underlying performance · 10-match window
xG for3.27xG against1.12
-
Trend
Bayern München
63%
Both teams scored
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored -
Insight
Bayern München
3
Clean sheets
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet -
Insight
Bayern München
−1.1
Points below expected
6/6 covered matches · current leagues
Points14.0xPts15.1
-
Trend
Bayern München
3.8
Goals scored per match
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
-
Streak
Bayern München
8
Unbeaten in a row
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Unbeaten in a row
Attack
-
Insight
Bayern München
+2.15
xG difference per match
Underlying performance · 10-match window
xG for3.27xG against1.12
-
Trend
Bayern München
3.8
Goals scored per match
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
-
Trend
Bayern München
63%
Both teams scored
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored -
Streak
Bayern München
6
Scoring in a row
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row
Defence
Streaks
The full picture, with the evidence behind every signal.View all Club insights →
Season
League position and season results.
Overview
2026-2027BundesligaView table →
Position
1st/ 18
Points
142.33 PPG
Played
6
League gap
0pts ahead of 2nd
66.7%Win %
Wins4
Draws2
Losses0
Expected metrics · 6 of 6 matches covered
Goals For
223.67 / game
xG
21.39
0.61 more goals than expected.
vs 22 goals
Goals Against
50.83 / game
xGA
5.53
0.53 fewer conceded than expected.
vs 5 conceded
Goal Difference
+17+2.83 / game
xGD
+15.86
Goal difference is 1.14 higher than expected.
vs +17 GD
Clean Sheets
233% of games
UEFA Champions League · League phaseView table →
Position
10th/ 36
Points
42.00 PPG
Played
2
League gap
2pts behind leader
50.0%Win %
Wins1
Draws1
Losses0
Expected metrics · 1 of 2 matches covered
Goals For
84.00 / game
xG
3.50
0.50 fewer goals than expected.
vs 3 goals
Goals Against
31.50 / game
xGA
0.58
2.42 more conceded than expected.
vs 3 conceded
Goal Difference
+5+2.50 / game
xGD
+2.92
Goal difference is 2.92 lower than expected.
vs +0 GD
Clean Sheets
150% of games
All competitions8 Played
62.5%Win %
Wins5
Draws3
Losses0
Expected metrics · 7 of 8 matches covered
Goals For
303.75 / game
xG
24.89
0.11 more goals than expected.
vs 25 goals
Goals Against
81.00 / game
xGA
6.11
1.89 more conceded than expected.
vs 8 conceded
Goal Difference
+22+2.75 / game
xGD
+18.78
Goal difference is 1.78 lower than expected.
vs +17 GD
Clean Sheets
338% of games
Season totals cover all competitions and stages. Positions and points refer to each competition table.
League standings
Bundesliga · 2026-2027
Swipe to explore the league table →
| # | Club | Rating | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1▲ | Bayern München |
94 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +17 | 14 | DWWDW |
| 2– |  Borussia Dortmund |
81 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +7 | 14 | WWWDD |
| 3▼ |  SC Freiburg |
64 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 13 | WWDWL |
| 4– |  Bayer Leverkusen |
79 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 13 | WDWWW |
| 5▲ |  FSV Mainz 05 |
55 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 10 | WLWLW |
| 6▲ |  SV Elversberg |
42 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 | WLDLW |
| 7▼ |  RB Leipzig |
68 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +5 | 9 | LWLWL |
| 8▼ |  Werder Bremen |
43 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +0 | 9 | WDWDD |
| 9▲ |  Hamburger SV |
40 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -9 | 9 | LLWWW |
| 10▼ |  FC Augsburg |
50 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 8 | WDLDL |
| 11▲ |  Eintracht Frankfurt |
48 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -6 | 8 | LWDLW |
| 12▼ |  1.FC Köln |
34 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 | LDLWL |
| 13▼ |  VfB Stuttgart |
68 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -2 | 6 | WLLWL |
| 14▲ |  1899 Hoffenheim |
49 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 6 | LWLLW |
| 15▼ |  FC Schalke 04 |
46 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 | DWDLL |
| 16▼ |  SC Paderborn 07 |
38 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 5 | LLWLD |
| 17▼ |  Union Berlin |
39 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -12 | 5 | LLLWD |
| 18– |  Borussia Mönchengladbach |
36 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -12 | 0 | LLLLL |
18 clubs · ▲ Up · ▼ Down · – Unchanged · Since the start of the latest played matchweek.
League position over time
Position by matchweek
Higher is better. One point per matchweek; partial rounds are marked. Postponed games count when played. Hover, tap or focus a point for details.
View position history
| MW | Results through (UTC) | Position | Pts | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 Aug 2026 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 Sep 2026 | 6 | 4 | 2 |
| 3 | 13 Sep 2026 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 4 | 20 Sep 2026 | 2 | 10 | 4 |
| 5 | 11 Oct 2026 | 3 | 11 | 5 |
| 6 | 18 Oct 2026 | 1 | 14 | 6 |
League phase standings
UEFA Champions League · 2026-2027
Swipe to explore the league table →
| # | Club | Rating | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1– |  Paris Saint Germain |
90 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 | WW |
| 2▲ |  Aston Villa |
84 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 | WW |
| 3– |  Barcelona |
93 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 | WW |
| 4▲ | VfB Stuttgart |
68 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 | WW |
| 5▲ |  Liverpool |
84 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 6– |  Sporting CP |
84 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 7▲ |  Arsenal |
94 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 8▲ |  Real Betis |
72 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 | WW |
| 9▲ |  Real Madrid |
89 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 | WW |
| 10▼ | Bayern München |
94 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 4 | WD |
| 11▲ |  Shakhtar Donetsk |
58 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 | DW |
| 12▼ |  Como |
67 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | WL |
| 13▼ |  Manchester United |
79 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | WL |
| 14▲ |  Villarreal |
67 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | LW |
| 15▲ | Atletico Madrid |
81 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | LW |
| 16▲ |  Club Brugge KV |
76 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 | LW |
| 17▼ |  Manchester City |
91 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 | WL |
| 18▼ | Borussia Dortmund |
81 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 | WL |
| 19▼ |  Lens |
58 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | WL |
| 20▼ |  AEK Athens FC |
53 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | WL |
| 21▲ | RB Leipzig |
68 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 | LW |
| 22▲ |  Sabah FA |
26 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 | LW |
| 23▲ |  Feyenoord |
61 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 3 | LW |
| 24▲ |  Bodo/Glimt |
60 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 3 | LW |
| 25▼ |  AS Roma |
74 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 26▼ |  PSV Eindhoven |
74 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 27▲ |  Viking |
16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 | LD |
| 28▼ |  Fenerbahce |
64 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -6 | 1 | DL |
| 29▼ |  Inter |
84 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | LL |
| 30▲ |  FC Porto |
80 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 | LL |
| 31▼ |  Slavia Praha |
40 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 | LL |
| 32▼ |  Napoli |
63 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 | LL |
| 33▼ |  Lask Linz |
39 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 34▼ |  Lille |
56 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 35▼ |  Galatasaray |
64 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 | LL |
| 36▼ |  Slovan Bratislava |
20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -8 | 0 | LL |
36 clubs · ▲ Up · ▼ Down · – Unchanged · Since the start of the latest played matchday.
League position over time
Position by matchday
Higher is better. One point per matchday; partial rounds are marked. Postponed games count when played. Hover, tap or focus a point for details.
View position history
| MD | Results through (UTC) | Position | Pts | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 Sep 2026 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | 14 Oct 2026 | 10 | 4 | 2 |
Competition standings
There is no combined table across competitions. View each competition separately.
Squad 32 players · this season, all competitions · 3 out
Top scorer
M. Olise7 goals
Suspended
M. Olise7 goals
Most assists
H. Kane6 assists
H. Kane6 assists
Best rated
M. Olise8.08 avg rating
Suspended
M. Olise8.08 avg rating
Most minutes
M. Olise663 min
Suspended
M. Olise663 min
Key to the model
J. KimmichCore · weight 2.41
J. KimmichCore · weight 2.41| Player | Age | Apps | Min | G | A | Rating | Model role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goalkeepers | |||||||
 M. Neuer injured |
40 | 5 (5) | 450 | 0 | 0 | 7.14 | starter |
 J. Urbig |
23 | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | 6.59 | starter |
 Jannis Bartl |
20 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 Leonard Prescott |
— | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 S. Ulreich |
38 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | depth |
| Defenders | |||||||
 D. Upamecano |
27 | 8 (7) | 631 | 1 | 0 | 7.27 | starter |
 A. Davies |
25 | 7 (5) | 487 | 1 | 2 | 7.32 | rotation |
 J. Tah |
30 | 6 (5) | 411 | 0 | 0 | 7.20 | starter |
 M. Kim |
29 | 5 (4) | 385 | 0 | 0 | 6.96 | starter |
 N. Brown |
23 | 7 (5) | 337 | 1 | 1 | 6.80 | starter |
 J. Stanišić |
26 | 7 (3) | 333 | 0 | 0 | 6.50 | starter |
 H. Ito |
27 | 2 (0) | 17 | 0 | 0 | 6.36 | rotation |
 S. Boey |
26 | 1 (0) | 13 | 0 | 0 | 6.60 | depth |
 Cassiano Kiala |
17 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 V. Manuba |
21 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 F. Pavic |
— | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
| Midfielders | |||||||
| M. Olise suspended |
24 | 8 (7) | 663 | 7 | 3 | ★ 8.08 | core |
| J. Kimmich |
31 | 8 (7) | 645 | 0 | 4 | 7.79 | core |
 A. Pavlović |
22 | 7 (7) | 547 | 2 | 1 | 7.59 | core |
 K. Laimer |
29 | 5 (5) | 394 | 0 | 1 | 6.69 | rotation |
 I. Saibari |
25 | 8 (4) | 329 | 2 | 2 | 7.02 | starter |
 T. Bischof |
21 | 8 (2) | 248 | 0 | 2 | 6.94 | rotation |
 Lennart Karl |
18 | 7 (3) | 217 | 1 | 1 | 6.46 | rotation |
 M. Cardozo |
— | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 G. Della Rovere |
— | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 E. Osmani |
— | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 B. Ndiaye |
— | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | depth |
| Forwards | |||||||
| H. Kane |
33 | 8 (7) | 624 | 7 | 6 | ★ 8.05 | core |
 L. Díaz |
29 | 8 (7) | 601 | 5 | 1 | 7.20 | core |
 J. Musiala injured |
23 | 4 (2) | 213 | 2 | 1 | 7.04 | rotation |
 S. Gnabry |
31 | 3 (0) | 67 | 0 | 0 | 6.65 | rotation |
 B. Assomo |
— | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
Stats are this season in all competitions. Model role is how much the availability model weighs each player before the game with Arsenal: core, starter, rotation or depth, from several seasons of minutes and ratings.
Performance
Strength, recent form and playing style.
Strength Bundesliga · 18 clubs
L90 Strength1st of 18
94
Elo 2055 · World #2
Current Strength
93
With absences before 21 Oct: -16 Elo
Attack1st of 18
96
Scores 3.33 per match against an average top-five side
Defence1st of 18
90
Concedes 0.91 per match against an average top-five side
In forecast League average
L90 Strength comes from Elo; Attack and Defence from goals scored and conceded, expected goals (xG) and shots on target, all on fixed 0–100 scales shared by every league. These are the numbers the forecast uses.
Form last 5 for the index · last 8 listed
78
WWDDW Form index · 2nd of 18 in league
- Points, last 5
- 11
- Median top-5 club
- 7.4
- Own forecasts
- 12.8 -1.8
Table1st
L90 Strength1st
Form2nd
Table position in line with their strength.
Form compares points with what a median top-five club (L90 Strength 50) would take from the same fixtures, so wins over strong sides count for more; 50 is a typical run. "Own forecasts" is the gap to this club's pre-match expectations. Form is context: in our tests it did not improve the forecast.
- W17 OctH · RB Leipzig6–12.4 xPts
- D13 OctA · Viking3–32.8 xPts
- D10 OctA · FC Augsburg2–22.4 xPts
- W18 SepH · Union Berlin7–02.8 xPts
- W13 SepA · SV Elversberg2–12.4 xPts
- W10 SepH · Bodo/Glimt5–02.5 xPts
- D5 SepA · FC Schalke 040–02.5 xPts
- W28 AugH · VfB Stuttgart5–12.3 xPts
Trends last 8, all competitions
Scored
7/8
Clean sheet
3/8
Conceded 2+
2/8
Over 2.5
7/8
Both teams scored
5/8
Playing style vs Bundesliga average
BAYLeagueRank
Goals scored
3.67
1.84
1st
Goals conceded
0.83
1.84
2nd
xG
3.57
1.75
1st
xG allowed
0.92
1.75
1st
Scored in
83%
76%
6th
Clean sheets
33%
24%
4th
BAYLeagueRank
Shots
24.17
15.55
1st
Shots on target
10.33
5.77
1st
On target share
43%
35%
3rd
Box share
61%
68%
16th
Conversion
15%
12%
4th
BAYLeagueRank
Shots allowed
7.67
15.55
1st
On target allowed
2.83
5.71
1st
Blocks
3.00
4.49
16th
Save rate
75%
66%
4th
BAYLeagueRank
Possession
69%
50%
1st
Passes
706
455
1st
Pass accuracy
90%
81%
1st
BAYLeagueRank
Fouls
10.50
11.43
7th
Fouls suffered
9.33
11.44
18th
Yellow cards
0.83
1.71
1st
Red cards
0.00
0.02
1st
BAYLeagueRank
Goals scored
3.60
1.84
1st
Goals conceded
0.90
1.74
1st
xG
3.27
1.71
1st
xG allowed
1.12
1.62
2nd
Scored in
90%
80%
2nd
Clean sheets
40%
24%
2nd
BAYLeagueRank
Shots
22.80
14.87
1st
Shots on target
9.80
5.55
1st
On target share
43%
36%
1st
Box share
59%
67%
17th
Conversion
16%
12%
3rd
BAYLeagueRank
Shots allowed
8.10
14.13
1st
On target allowed
3.11
5.23
1st
Blocks
3.50
4.08
12th
Save rate
70%
66%
5th
BAYLeagueRank
Possession
68%
51%
1st
Passes
693
455
1st
Pass accuracy
90%
82%
1st
BAYLeagueRank
Fouls
8.60
10.89
1st
Fouls suffered
8.70
10.68
18th
Yellow cards
0.90
1.70
1st
Red cards
0.00
0.02
1st
Home and away this league season
Home3.00pts per game3-0-0 · 6.0–0.7 goals · 3 games
Away1.67pts per game1-2-0 · 1.3–1.0 goals · 3 games
Goal timing this league season · 6 games
1
1
0-15
4
16-30
3
31-45
6
1
46-60
4
2
61-75
4
1
76-90
scored conceded, per 15 minutes
In forecastVia Att/DefContextLeague average
Possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Goals, xG and shots on target feed the Attack and Defence ratings. The rest describes how the team plays and does not change the forecast.
Team rankings Bundesliga · 6 games · rank of 18
Attack
GF
22
1st / 18
GF/G
3.67
1st / 18
xG/G
3.57
1st / 18
G − xG
+0.10
9th / 18
Defence
GA
5
2nd / 18
GA/G
0.83
2nd / 18
xGA/G
0.92
1st / 18
xGA − GA
+0.09
7th / 18
Overall
Pts
14
1st / 18
xPts
14.8
1st / 18
PPG
2.33
1st / 18
TR
7.39
1st / 18
GD
+17
1st / 18
xGD
+15.9
1st / 18
W
4
1st / 18
L
0
1st / 18
Scorelines
- 5–1×1
- 0–0×1
- 2–1×1
- 7–0×1
- 2–2×1
- 6–1×1
Goals per game both teams
17%
0
0%
1
0%
2
17%
3
17%
4
50%
5+
Totals club · league
- Over 1.5
- 83%81%
- Over 2.5
- 83%74%
- Over 3.5
- 67%56%
- Both scored
- 67%59%
- Clean sheet
- 33%24%
- Failed to score
- 17%24%
ClubLeague average
This league season only. xPts adds up our pre-match win and draw chances (pure EloLambda, the same numbers as Form). xG and TR come from match data and describe the season so far; none of these rankings change the forecast directly.