Bayern München

1st · Bundesliga · 14 points · Matches played: 6

League leaders · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+0.6 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed -0.3 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 93.9+0.6
World Rank 2nd Global, by Elo
Bundesliga Rank 1st L90 Strength
Last RB LeipzigH xG 3.8–0.8 6–1 Next ArsenalH 53%

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Upcoming fixtures

Bayern München · All competitions

Forecast
ArsenalUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home 53% win 1.80 xPts SC FreiburgBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away 67% win 2.19 xPts Borussia DortmundBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home 76% win 2.41 xPts Atletico MadridUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away 49% win 1.70 xPts FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga 2026-2027 · Away 74% win 2.35 xPts 1.FC KölnBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LilleUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away — win — xPts Hamburger SVBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts SC Paderborn 07Bundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Slavia PrahaUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home — win — xPts 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Werder BremenBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Manchester UnitedUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away — win — xPts VfB StuttgartBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Real BetisUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home — win — xPts FC Schalke 04Bundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts SV ElversbergBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Union BerlinBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts FC AugsburgBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts RB LeipzigBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts SC FreiburgBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Borussia DortmundBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts 1.FC KölnBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Hamburger SVBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts SC Paderborn 07Bundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Werder BremenBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts

xPts = 3 × win probability + draw probability. — means no published forecast. Open a match for xG and the full forecast.

Results

Bayern München · All competitions

Full time
RB LeipzigBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home W 6–1 3.8–0.8 xG +0.5 Δpts VikingUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away D 3–3 3.5–0.6 xG -1.8 Δpts FC AugsburgBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away D 2–2 5.1–2.5 xG -1.4 Δpts Union BerlinBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home W 7–0 3.7–0.3 xG +0.2 Δpts SV ElversbergBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away W 2–1 2.8–0.9 xG +0.5 Δpts Bodo/GlimtUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home W 5–0 — xG +0.5 Δpts FC Schalke 04Bundesliga 2026-2027 · Away D 0–0 1.9–0.2 xG -1.6 Δpts VfB StuttgartBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home W 5–1 4.1–0.8 xG +0.6 Δpts

Score and actual xG show Bayern München first. Δpts = points taken − pre-match xPts. — means data unavailable.

Current load Moderate · 20

Rest profile4.1 days since last match
0%
Schedule load3 matches in last 14 days
30%
Travel loadHome match, 2,640 km in 14 days
17%
Squad availability4 out, 2 key: M. Olise, M. Neuer
17%

Load before the next match, vs Arsenal, 21 Oct. Squad availability is shown separately and is not part of the score; availability is the share of squad weight missing, the same input the forecast uses for absences.

Schedule difficulty all competitions

Each bar is one match: 50% match difficulty from current relative Elo strength + 50% calendar load (rest, match congestion and travel). Higher means harder, on a 0–100 scale. This is a descriptive index, not a win probability. Lighter bars are upcoming; the dashed line marks today. Grey marks missing data. 28 Aug vs VfB Stuttgart: Schedule difficulty 8/100; match difficulty 16/100
W
 Aug 5 Sep at FC Schalke 04: Schedule difficulty 7/100; match difficulty 8/100
D
 Sep 10 Sep vs Bodo/Glimt: Schedule difficulty 6/100; match difficulty 12/100
W
 13 Sep at SV Elversberg: Schedule difficulty 11/100; match difficulty 7/100
W
 18 Sep vs Union Berlin: Schedule difficulty 13/100; match difficulty 6/100
W
 10 Oct at FC Augsburg: Schedule difficulty 5/100; match difficulty 9/100
D
 Oct 13 Oct at Viking: Schedule difficulty 11/100; match difficulty 2/100
D
 17 Oct vs RB Leipzig: Schedule difficulty 10/100; match difficulty 15/100
W
 21 Oct vs Arsenal: Schedule difficulty 36/100; match difficulty 52/100 25 Oct at SC Freiburg: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 14/100 31 Oct vs Borussia Dortmund: Schedule difficulty 12/100; match difficulty 24/100 3 Nov at Atletico Madrid: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 25/100 Nov 7 Nov at FSV Mainz 05: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 10/100 20 Nov vs 1.FC Köln: Schedule difficulty 3/100; match difficulty 5/100 25 Nov at Lille: Schedule difficulty 8/100; match difficulty 10/100 28 Nov at Hamburger SV: Schedule difficulty 10/100; match difficulty 6/100 5 Dec vs SC Paderborn 07: Schedule difficulty 6/100; match difficulty 6/100 Dec 8 Dec vs Slavia Praha: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 6/100 12 Dec at 1899 Hoffenheim: Schedule difficulty 12/100; match difficulty 8/100 19 Dec vs Werder Bremen: Schedule difficulty 11/100; match difficulty 7/100 9 Jan at Borussia Mönchengladbach: Schedule difficulty 6/100; match difficulty 5/100 Jan 12 Jan vs Bayer Leverkusen: Schedule difficulty 16/100; match difficulty 23/100 16 Jan at Eintracht Frankfurt: Schedule difficulty 7/100; match difficulty 8/100 20 Jan at Manchester United: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 23/100 23 Jan at VfB Stuttgart: Schedule difficulty 35/100; match difficulty 16/100 27 Jan vs Real Betis: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 18/100 30 Jan vs FC Schalke 04: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 8/100 6 Feb vs SV Elversberg: Schedule difficulty 11/100; match difficulty 7/100 Feb 13 Feb at Union Berlin: Schedule difficulty 6/100; match difficulty 6/100 20 Feb vs FC Augsburg: Schedule difficulty 5/100; match difficulty 9/100 27 Feb at RB Leipzig: Schedule difficulty 11/100; match difficulty 15/100 2 Mar vs SC Freiburg: Schedule difficulty 11/100; match difficulty 14/100 Mar 6 Mar at Borussia Dortmund: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 24/100 13 Mar vs FSV Mainz 05: Schedule difficulty 15/100; match difficulty 10/100 20 Mar at 1.FC Köln: Schedule difficulty 6/100; match difficulty 5/100 3 Apr vs Hamburger SV: Schedule difficulty 3/100; match difficulty 6/100 Apr 10 Apr at SC Paderborn 07: Schedule difficulty 6/100; match difficulty 6/100 17 Apr vs 1899 Hoffenheim: Schedule difficulty 4/100; match difficulty 8/100 24 Apr at Werder Bremen: Schedule difficulty 7/100; match difficulty 7/100 8 May vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: Schedule difficulty 3/100; match difficulty 5/100 May 15 May at Bayer Leverkusen: Schedule difficulty 15/100; match difficulty 23/100 22 May vs Eintracht Frankfurt: Schedule difficulty 4/100; match difficulty 8/100

Schedule next 30 days · forecast and load

All fixtures and load →
Rest4.1 daysbefore ARS
Matches / 14d3all competitions
Travel / 14d2,640 kmaway trips
Schedule load20%Moderate
vs ArsenalWed 21 Oct, 20:00 UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · opponent L90 Strength 94 53%win22%draw25%loss Moderate load · 4.1 d rest · 3 in 14 d at SC FreiburgSun 25 Oct, 16:30 Bundesliga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 64 67%win17%draw16%loss Moderate load · 3.9 d rest · 3 in 14 d vs Borussia DortmundSat 31 Oct, 17:30 Bundesliga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 81 76%win14%draw10%loss Low load · 6 d rest at Atletico MadridTue 3 Nov, 20:00 UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · opponent L90 Strength 81 49%win22%draw29%loss Moderate load · 3.1 d rest · 3 in 14 d at FSV Mainz 05Sat 7 Nov, 14:30 Bundesliga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 55 74%win14%draw12%loss Moderate load · 3.8 d rest · 3 in 14 d
Win · draw · loss: LOAD90 forecastLoad bar: rest, matches and travel before each game (context; only 4+ matches in 14 days changes the forecast)
Full match preview oneScored → vs Arsenal, 21 OctOdds, value, live score

Fixture Swing

Opponent opportunity across the next 3 matches · all competitions

3 of 3 forecasts available

Attack Swing−31%

Baseline 11.50 → Forecast 7.90 expected goals · 3 included matches

Conceding Swing+20%

Baseline 3.20 → Forecast 3.84 expected goals conceded · 3 included matches

Opportunity for the next 3 matches
MatchAttackConceding riskGoals · Baseline → Forecast
vs Arsenal21 Oct · UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase −47% +46% 3.92 → 2.08
at SC Freiburg25 Oct · Bundesliga 2026-2027 −19% +4% 3.38 → 2.73
vs Borussia Dortmund31 Oct · Bundesliga 2026-2027 −26% +15% 4.20 → 3.09

Swing compares total forecast goals with total baseline goals for the included matches. Forecasts are available up to 21 days ahead. Missing snapshots and different model revisions are excluded; a partial window covers only the matches shown with values. Your team's own conditions are kept in each baseline.

Next match · Match Opportunity

Bayern München

Baseline: average Bundesliga opponent

Attack Downlift −47% Expected goals Baseline3.92Forecast2.08
Conceding Risk +46% Expected goals conceded Baseline0.96Forecast1.41
Clean Sheet −13.8 pp Chance of conceding no goals Baseline38.3%Forecast24.5%