Bologna

15th · Serie A · 5 points · Matches played: 7

14 points behind Inter · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

-5.8 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed -2.4 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 47.1-5.8
World Rank 95th Global, by Elo
Serie A Rank 9th L90 Strength
Last InterH xG 1.0–3.4 1–3 Next CagliariA 37%

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Our take

An average side on a poor run.

Bologna rely on a mid-table defence, but their attack is among the league's weakest and costs them. Across the 7 league matches with forecasts, they have collected around 5 fewer points than our pre-match forecasts predicted. A. Theate is out, and The toughest of the next 4 matches is the trip to AC Milan.

They are wasteful in front of goal (7% of shots scored), and play a physical game, among the most fouls in the league. Their results hold up much the same at home and away.

  • Relegation 2%Likely 11th · 49 projected points
  • Next 4: about 6 of 12 points Toughest at AC Milan · , 18% to win
  • 1 key player outA. Theate · 15% of squad weight missing · Last match: 17 Oct
  • 5 pts vs 9.9 expected-4.9 vs pre-match expectations · 7 matches with forecasts

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Bologna. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals for this club in each category.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses observed Playing style averages; window size is not xG coverage and the two metrics can have different denominators. Points minus xPts uses the same covered current-league matches and stored forecasts as Club strength, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Defence

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

The full picture, with the evidence behind every signal.View all Club insights →

Season

League position and season results.

Overview

2026-2027
All competitions7 Played
Serie A5 pts0.71 PPG7 games 15th
14.3%Win %
Wins1
Draws2
Losses4

Expected metrics · 6 of 7 matches covered

Goals For
60.86 / game
xG 6.40 2.40 fewer goals than expected. vs 4 goals
Goals Against
101.43 / game
xGA 7.79 0.21 more conceded than expected. vs 8 conceded
Goal Difference
-4-0.57 / game
xGD -1.39 Goal difference is 2.61 lower than expected. vs -4 GD
Clean Sheets
00% of games

Season totals cover all competitions and stages. Positions and points refer to each competition table.

Competition standings

There is no combined table across competitions. View each competition separately.

Serie A →

Squad 33 players · this season, all competitions · 3 out

Absences reported for the last match: 17 Oct 2026

Top scorer
F. Bernardeschi1 goals
Most assists
N. Cambiaghi2 assists
Best rated
L. Ferguson7.00 avg rating
Most minutes
L. Ferguson630 min
Key to the model
M. DarmianStarter · weight 2.00
PlayerAgeAppsMinGARatingModel role
Goalkeepers
Ł. Skorupski 35 5 (5) 450 0 0 6.70 rotation
M. Pessina 18 2 (2) 180 0 0 6.48 rotation
Matteo Franceschelli — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Riccardo Gnudi — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Ukko Happonen 19 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Defenders
T. Heggem 27 6 (6) 505 0 0 6.80 rotation
Juan Miranda 26 6 (5) 486 0 2 6.76 starter
A. Theate 26 4 (4) 333 0 0 6.36 starter
E. Helland 21 5 (3) 300 0 0 6.59 rotation
E. Holm injured 26 5 (3) 279 0 0 6.76 rotation
N. Casale 28 2 (2) 180 0 0 6.47 rotation
M. Darmian 36 2 (2) 180 0 0 6.74 starter
L. De Silvestri 38 1 (0) 32 0 0 6.20 depth
M. Vitík 23 0 (0) 0 0 0 — rotation
Midfielders
L. Ferguson 27 7 (7) 630 0 0 7.00 starter
T. Pobega 27 6 (6) 390 1 0 6.69 rotation
N. Zortea 27 5 (4) 351 0 0 6.19 rotation
Abdel Rahim 24 3 (2) 144 0 0 6.49 rotation
O. El Azzouzi 25 2 (1) 107 0 0 6.90 rotation
N. Moro 28 5 (0) 106 0 0 6.43 starter
M. Amondarain 21 3 (1) 95 0 0 6.23 rotation
?Marco Libra — 2 (0) 77 0 0 6.27 rotation
L. Kusic — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Forwards
N. Cambiaghi 25 7 (7) 513 0 2 6.65 rotation
F. Bernardeschi 32 7 (5) 463 1 0 6.99 rotation
R. Piccoli 25 7 (7) 450 1 0 6.54 starter
J. Odgaard injured 27 5 (3) 259 0 0 6.39 rotation
R. Orsolini injured 29 4 (2) 164 1 0 6.83 rotation
A. Dovbyk 29 4 (0) 98 1 0 6.81 rotation
J. Enem 23 3 (0) 96 1 0 6.81 rotation
J. Rowe 23 1 (0) 30 0 0 6.60 —
S. Mbangula 22 2 (0) 12 0 0 6.35 depth
Francesco Castaldo — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —

Stats are this season in all competitions. Model role is how much the availability model weighs each player before the trip to Cagliari: core, starter, rotation or depth, from several seasons of minutes and ratings.

Performance

Strength, recent form and playing style.

Strength Serie A · 20 clubs

L90 Strength9th of 20
47 Elo 1628 · World #95
Current Strength
47 With absences before 24 Oct: +0 Elo
Attack14th of 20
35 Scores 1.34 per match against an average top-five side
Defence8th of 20
48 Concedes 1.57 per match against an average top-five side

In forecast League average

L90 Strength comes from Elo; Attack and Defence from goals scored and conceded, expected goals (xG) and shots on target, all on fixed 0–100 scales shared by every league. These are the numbers the forecast uses.

Strong at both ends Defence first Attack first Struggling Attack → Defence → Inter: attack 91, defence 73, L90 Strength 84 Lazio: attack 53, defence 63, L90 Strength 62 AS Roma: attack 72, defence 75, L90 Strength 74 AC Milan: attack 72, defence 69, L90 Strength 66 Como: attack 72, defence 67, L90 Strength 67 Frosinone: attack 41, defence 25, L90 Strength 30 Cagliari: attack 31, defence 31, L90 Strength 33 Juventus: attack 57, defence 76, L90 Strength 67 Napoli: attack 61, defence 70, L90 Strength 63 Torino: attack 39, defence 47, L90 Strength 39 Atalanta: attack 48, defence 45, L90 Strength 59 Lecce: attack 36, defence 30, L90 Strength 28 Sassuolo: attack 41, defence 32, L90 Strength 33 Monza: attack 34, defence 26, L90 Strength 18 Bologna: attack 35, defence 48, L90 Strength 47 Udinese: attack 22, defence 18, L90 Strength 32 Genoa: attack 23, defence 44, L90 Strength 29 Fiorentina: attack 42, defence 34, L90 Strength 39 Parma: attack 20, defence 33, L90 Strength 28 Venezia: attack 21, defence 14, L90 Strength 15
Every Serie A club on the Attack and Defence scales. Dashed lines are the league average. Tap a crest to open that club.

Form last 5 for the index · last 7 listed

32
Form index · 13th of 20 in league
Points, last 5
5
Median top-5 club
7.2
Own forecasts
7.2 -2.2
Table15th L90 Strength9th Form13th

Lower in the table than their strength suggests.

Form compares points with what a median top-five club (L90 Strength 50) would take from the same fixtures, so wins over strong sides count for more; 50 is a typical run. "Own forecasts" is the gap to this club's pre-match expectations. Form is context: in our tests it did not improve the forecast.

  • L17 OctH · Inter1–30.9 xPts
  • W11 OctA · Lecce2–11.6 xPts
  • D19 SepH · Torino1–11.9 xPts
  • L13 SepA · Napoli0–11.0 xPts
  • D6 SepH · Sassuolo2–21.8 xPts
  • L31 AugA · Atalanta0–11.1 xPts
  • L24 AugH · Lazio0–11.6 xPts

Trends last 7, all competitions

Scored 4/7
Clean sheet 0/7
Conceded 2+ 2/7
Over 2.5 3/7
Both teams scored 4/7

Playing style vs Serie A average

BOLLeagueRank
Goals scored 0.86 1.47 16th
Goals conceded 1.43 1.48 10th
xG 1.07 1.47 17th
xG allowed 1.30 1.48 7th
Scored in 57% 78% 16th
Clean sheets 0% 21% 14th
BOLLeagueRank
Shots 12.57 14.36 14th
Shots on target 3.57 4.90 17th
On target share 28% 34% 18th
Box share 65% 64% 9th
Conversion 7% 10% 18th
BOLLeagueRank
Shots allowed 13.71 14.48 8th
On target allowed 4.29 4.92 8th
Blocks 4.14 3.76 9th
Save rate 67% 70% 14th
BOLLeagueRank
Possession 48% 50% 11th
Passes 438 459 13th
Pass accuracy 87% 85% 8th
BOLLeagueRank
Fouls 12.71 10.66 18th
Fouls suffered 13.00 10.73 3rd
Yellow cards 2.00 1.64 17th
Red cards 0.00 0.02 1st
This league season, per match · 7 games. Rank among 20 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.
BOLLeagueRank
Goals scored 1.30 1.45 11th
Goals conceded 1.50 1.50 8th
xG 1.09 1.45 16th
xG allowed 1.20 1.46 5th
Scored in 70% 75% 12th
Clean sheets 10% 21% 11th
BOLLeagueRank
Shots 11.90 13.78 14th
Shots on target 3.70 4.77 17th
On target share 31% 34% 16th
Box share 63% 64% 11th
Conversion 11% 10% 9th
BOLLeagueRank
Shots allowed 13.00 14.16 6th
On target allowed 4.44 4.83 8th
Blocks 3.80 3.64 10th
Save rate 60% 70% 19th
BOLLeagueRank
Possession 49% 50% 11th
Passes 437 453 13th
Pass accuracy 86% 85% 8th
BOLLeagueRank
Fouls 12.20 10.85 17th
Fouls suffered 12.90 10.97 3rd
Yellow cards 1.90 1.63 14th
Red cards 0.00 0.04 1st
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 games. Rank among 20 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.

Home and away this league season

Home0.50pts per game0-2-2 · 1.0–1.8 goals · 4 games
Away1.00pts per game1-0-2 · 0.7–1.0 goals · 3 games

Goal timing this league season · 7 games

2 0-15
1 1 16-30
1 31-45
1 2 46-60
1 3 61-75
1 3 76-90

scored conceded, per 15 minutes

In forecastVia Att/DefContextLeague average

Possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Goals, xG and shots on target feed the Attack and Defence ratings. The rest describes how the team plays and does not change the forecast.

Team rankings Serie A · 7 games · rank of 20

Attack

GF 6 16th / 20
GF/G 0.86 16th / 20
xG/G 1.07 17th / 20
G − xG -0.21 15th / 20

Defence

GA 10 11th / 20
GA/G 1.43 11th / 20
xGA/G 1.30 7th / 20
xGA − GA -0.13 13th / 20

Overall

Pts 5 15th / 20
xPts 9.9 9th / 20
PPG 0.71 15th / 20
TR 6.68 16th / 20
GD -4 15th / 20
xGD -1.6 13th / 20
W 1 15th / 20
L 4 12th / 20

Scorelines

  • 0–1×3
  • 2–2×1
  • 1–1×1
  • 2–1×1
  • 1–3×1

Goals per game both teams

0% 0
43% 1
14% 2
14% 3
29% 4
0% 5+

Totals club · league

Over 1.5
57%84%
Over 2.5
43%60%
Over 3.5
29%30%
Both scored
57%57%
Clean sheet
0%22%
Failed to score
43%22%
ClubLeague average

This league season only. xPts adds up our pre-match win and draw chances (pure EloLambda, the same numbers as Form). xG and TR come from match data and describe the season so far; none of these rankings change the forecast directly.