Bournemouth

15th · Premier League · 6 points · Matches played: 7

15 points behind Manchester City · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+6.5 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed -1.2 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 76.6+6.5
World Rank 19th Global, by Elo
Premier League Rank 7th L90 Strength
Last SunderlandH xG 4.5–0.1 2–0 Next AC MilanH 57%

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Our take

Mid-table strength, top-table form.

Bournemouth build on a top-third defence and back it with a top-third attack. Across the 7 league matches with forecasts, they have collected around 4 fewer points than our pre-match forecasts predicted. A. Scott is out, and The toughest of the next 5 matches is the trip to Manchester United.

Premier League · 7 games. Their underlying numbers look better than their results. They are scoring fewer goals than their chances suggest. They are conceding more goals than expected; goalkeeping or opponents' finishing may contribute, but these figures do not establish the cause.

They allow very few chances (10 shots a game against). Their results hold up much the same at home and away.

  • Top 4 6% · Relegation 1%Likely 9th · 54 projected points
  • Next 5: about 9 of 15 points Toughest at Manchester United · , 36% to win
  • 1 key player outA. Scott · 13% of squad weight missing · Last match: 18 Oct
  • 6 pts vs 10.5 expected-4.5 vs pre-match expectations · 7 matches with forecasts

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Bournemouth. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals for this club in each category.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses observed Playing style averages; window size is not xG coverage and the two metrics can have different denominators. Points minus xPts uses the same covered current-league matches and stored forecasts as Club strength, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

The full picture, with the evidence behind every signal.View all Club insights →

Season

League position and season results.

Overview

2026-2027
UEFA Europa League · League phaseView table →
Position
5th/ 36
Points
63.00 PPG
Played
2
League gap
0pts behind leader
100.0%Win %
Wins2
Draws0
Losses0

Expected metrics · 1 of 2 matches covered

Goals For
52.50 / game
xG 2.72 0.28 more goals than expected. vs 3 goals
Goals Against
10.50 / game
xGA 0.38 0.38 fewer conceded than expected. vs 0 conceded
Goal Difference
+4+2.00 / game
xGD +2.34 Goal difference is 0.66 higher than expected. vs +3 GD
Clean Sheets
150% of games

League phase standings

UEFA Europa League · 2026-2027

Full standings →

Swipe to explore the league table →

Full UEFA Europa League table, Bournemouth highlighted
#ClubRatingPWDLGDPtsForm
1– Juventus 67 2200 +6 6
2▲ Bayer Leverkusen 79 2200 +6 6
3▲ Benfica 82 2200 +5 6
4▼ Besiktas 50 2200 +4 6
5▲ Bournemouth 77 2200 +4 6
6▲ Omonia Nicosia 33 2200 +4 6
7▼ Ferencvarosi TC 57 2200 +3 6
8▲ Lyon 60 2200 +2 6
9▲ Olympiakos Piraeus 63 2200 +2 6
10▲ Sunderland 57 2200 +2 6
11▼ Sparta Praha 34 2110 +3 4
12▼ Union St. Gilloise 70 2110 +3 4
13▲ Rennes 52 2110 +1 4
14▲ Dinamo Zagreb 43 2110 +1 4
15▼ Crystal Palace 64 2101 +3 3
16▲ AC Milan 66 2101 +2 3
17▲ Jagiellonia 31 2101 +1 3
18▼ OFI 21 2101 +1 3
19▼ Torreense 26 2101 +0 3
20▲ AZ Alkmaar 47 2101 +0 3
21▼ Red Bull Salzburg 39 2101 -3 3
22▲ Lillestrom 27 2011 -1 1
23▲ Real Sociedad 58 2011 -1 1
24▼ Hapoel Beer Sheva 28 2011 -1 1
25▲ Levski Sofia 26 2011 -1 1
26▼ Sturm Graz 38 2011 -3 1
27▲ NEC Nijmegen 32 2011 -5 1
28▼ Anderlecht 43 2002 -2 0
29▼ Celta Vigo 54 2002 -2 0
30▼ 1899 Hoffenheim 49 2002 -3 0
31▲ Marseille 47 2002 -4 0
32▲ Plzen 49 2002 -4 0
33▼ Ararat-Armenia 7 2002 -5 0
34▼ Celtic 52 2002 -5 0
35▼ Celje 18 2002 -5 0
36▼ Lech Poznan 34 2002 -8 0

36 clubs · ▲ Up · ▼ Down · – Unchanged · Since the start of the latest played matchday.

League position over time

Position by matchday

Higher is better. One point per matchday; partial rounds are marked. Postponed games count when played. Hover, tap or focus a point for details.

View position history
Bournemouth league position by matchweek
MDResults through (UTC)PositionPtsP
117 Sep 20261031
215 Oct 2026562

Squad 33 players · this season, all competitions · 4 out

Absences reported for the last match: 18 Oct 2026

Top scorer
M. Tavernier4 goals
Most assists
Evanilson4 assists
Best rated
A. Scott7.32 avg rating
Injured
Most minutes
Đ. Petrović810 min
Key to the model
Đ. PetrovićStarter · weight 2.00
PlayerAgeAppsMinGARatingModel role
Goalkeepers
Đ. Petrović 27 9 (9) 810 0 0 6.50 starter
K. Crampton — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
M. Di Gregorio 29 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
F. Forster 38 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Defenders
António Silva 22 9 (9) 810 0 0 7.02 starter
J. Hill 24 9 (8) 748 0 0 7.01 starter
A. Smith 35 9 (9) 722 0 1 6.64 rotation
A. Truffert 24 8 (8) 714 0 1 6.75 starter
B. Diakité 25 3 (1) 118 0 0 6.75 rotation
Julio Soler 21 2 (1) 96 0 0 6.40 depth
M. Aarons 26 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
J. Araujo injured 25 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
V. Milosavljević injured 19 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Midfielders
M. Tavernier 27 9 (9) 738 4 0 7.21 starter
T. Adams 27 9 (7) 593 0 0 6.65 rotation
A. Scott injured 23 6 (6) 537 1 1 7.32 starter
L. Cook 29 8 (4) 350 0 0 6.64 rotation
R. Christie 31 8 (3) 313 0 0 6.48 rotation
D. Brooks 29 6 (1) 97 0 0 6.31 rotation
Juanlu Sánchez 23 1 (0) 18 0 0 5.82 depth
A. Tóth 20 2 (0) 16 0 0 6.20 depth
Z. Christie — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Malcom Dacosta — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Charlie Stevens — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Forwards
Evanilson 27 9 (9) 736 3 4 7.22 starter
Rayan 20 9 (8) 709 2 0 6.76 starter
J. Kluivert 27 7 (5) 429 2 0 6.88 rotation
B. Doak 20 8 (1) 161 0 0 6.71 depth
Á. Rodríguez 22 6 (1) 147 1 0 6.53 rotation
D. Jebbison 23 3 (0) 31 0 0 6.60 depth
A. Adli 26 2 (0) 17 0 0 6.51 rotation
E. Kroupi injured 20 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Remy Rees-Dottin 20 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —

Stats are this season in all competitions. Model role is how much the availability model weighs each player before the game with AC Milan: core, starter, rotation or depth, from several seasons of minutes and ratings.

Performance

Strength, recent form and playing style.

Strength Premier League · 20 clubs

L90 Strength7th of 20
77 Elo 1824 · World #19
Current Strength
77 With absences before 22 Oct: +0 Elo
Attack6th of 20
83 Scores 2.23 per match against an average top-five side
Defence4th of 20
82 Concedes 1.08 per match against an average top-five side

In forecast League average

L90 Strength comes from Elo; Attack and Defence from goals scored and conceded, expected goals (xG) and shots on target, all on fixed 0–100 scales shared by every league. These are the numbers the forecast uses.

Strong at both ends Defence first Attack first Struggling Attack → Defence → Manchester City: attack 92, defence 82, L90 Strength 91 Arsenal: attack 86, defence 95, L90 Strength 94 Brighton: attack 87, defence 85, L90 Strength 83 Chelsea: attack 77, defence 74, L90 Strength 77 Liverpool: attack 85, defence 84, L90 Strength 84 Brentford: attack 73, defence 73, L90 Strength 75 Leeds: attack 69, defence 77, L90 Strength 73 Everton: attack 61, defence 66, L90 Strength 67 Hull City: attack 37, defence 50, L90 Strength 37 Ipswich: attack 59, defence 50, L90 Strength 49 Newcastle: attack 61, defence 61, L90 Strength 71 Aston Villa: attack 83, defence 78, L90 Strength 84 Manchester United: attack 72, defence 80, L90 Strength 79 Crystal Palace: attack 64, defence 54, L90 Strength 64 Bournemouth: attack 83, defence 82, L90 Strength 77 Tottenham: attack 56, defence 74, L90 Strength 62 Coventry: attack 47, defence 59, L90 Strength 51 Fulham: attack 66, defence 68, L90 Strength 65 Nottingham Forest: attack 68, defence 74, L90 Strength 70 Sunderland: attack 62, defence 59, L90 Strength 57
Every Premier League club on the Attack and Defence scales. Dashed lines are the league average. Tap a crest to open that club.

Form last 5 for the index · last 9 listed

74
Form index · 6th of 20 in league
Points, last 5
9
Median top-5 club
6.1
Own forecasts
8.9 +0.1
Table15th L90 Strength7th Form6th

Lower in the table than their strength suggests.

Form compares points with what a median top-five club (L90 Strength 50) would take from the same fixtures, so wins over strong sides count for more; 50 is a typical run. "Own forecasts" is the gap to this club's pre-match expectations. Form is context: in our tests it did not improve the forecast.

  • W18 OctH · Sunderland2–01.8 xPts
  • W15 OctH · Sturm Graz3–02.3 xPts
  • L10 OctA · Chelsea1–51.3 xPts
  • L20 SepH · Liverpool0–11.6 xPts
  • W17 SepA · Real Sociedad2–11.8 xPts
  • D12 SepH · Brentford2–21.7 xPts
  • D5 SepA · Newcastle2–21.3 xPts
  • D29 AugH · Everton1–11.9 xPts
  • L23 AugA · Manchester City1–20.9 xPts

Trends last 9, all competitions

Scored 8/9
Clean sheet 2/9
Conceded 2+ 4/9
Over 2.5 6/9
Both teams scored 6/9

Playing style vs Premier League average

BOULeagueRank
Goals scored 1.29 1.43 9th
Goals conceded 1.86 1.45 15th
xG 1.81 1.49 3rd
xG allowed 1.18 1.50 2nd
Scored in 86% 72% 4th
Clean sheets 14% 28% 13th
BOULeagueRank
Shots 15.14 13.71 5th
Shots on target 5.14 4.56 5th
On target share 34% 32% 8th
Box share 64% 64% 9th
Conversion 9% 10% 11th
BOULeagueRank
Shots allowed 9.57 13.77 1st
On target allowed 4.33 4.55 9th
Blocks 2.80 4.33 20th
Save rate 55% 66% 18th
BOULeagueRank
Possession 52% 50% 8th
Passes 433 442 8th
Pass accuracy 81% 82% 13th
BOULeagueRank
Fouls 13.00 11.49 16th
Fouls suffered 12.00 11.49 7th
Yellow cards 3.00 1.96 19th
Red cards 0.00 0.06 1st
This league season, per match · 7 games. Rank among 20 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.
BOULeagueRank
Goals scored 1.50 1.54 12th
Goals conceded 1.50 1.34 15th
xG 1.82 1.53 4th
xG allowed 1.15 1.44 3rd
Scored in 90% 76% 2nd
Clean sheets 20% 29% 12th
BOULeagueRank
Shots 15.80 13.96 6th
Shots on target 5.10 4.69 7th
On target share 32% 33% 12th
Box share 62% 65% 13th
Conversion 10% 11% 15th
BOULeagueRank
Shots allowed 10.30 13.41 2nd
On target allowed 4.11 4.43 8th
Blocks 3.29 4.19 15th
Save rate 61% 68% 18th
BOULeagueRank
Possession 53% 50% 8th
Passes 434 442 10th
Pass accuracy 81% 83% 14th
BOULeagueRank
Fouls 12.20 11.35 16th
Fouls suffered 12.70 11.46 5th
Yellow cards 2.80 1.96 20th
Red cards 0.00 0.05 1st
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 games. Rank among 20 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.

Home and away this league season

Home1.25pts per game1-2-1 · 1.2–1.0 goals · 4 games
Away0.33pts per game0-1-2 · 1.3–3.0 goals · 3 games

Goal timing this league season · 7 games

2 2 0-15
1 16-30
3 2 31-45
3 3 46-60
2 61-75
4 76-90

scored conceded, per 15 minutes

In forecastVia Att/DefContextLeague average

Possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Goals, xG and shots on target feed the Attack and Defence ratings. The rest describes how the team plays and does not change the forecast.

Team rankings Premier League · 7 games · rank of 20

Attack

GF 9 9th / 20
GF/G 1.29 9th / 20
xG/G 1.81 3rd / 20
G − xG -0.52 17th / 20

Defence

GA 13 14th / 20
GA/G 1.86 14th / 20
xGA/G 1.18 2nd / 20
xGA − GA -0.68 20th / 20

Overall

Pts 6 15th / 20
xPts 10.5 7th / 20
PPG 0.86 15th / 20
TR 6.80 12th / 20
GD -4 12th / 20
xGD +4.4 4th / 20
W 1 15th / 20
L 3 11th / 20

Scorelines

  • 2–2×2
  • 1–2×1
  • 1–1×1
  • 0–1×1
  • 1–5×1
  • 2–0×1

Goals per game both teams

0% 0
14% 1
29% 2
14% 3
29% 4
14% 5+

Totals club · league

Over 1.5
86%76%
Over 2.5
57%54%
Over 3.5
43%36%
Both scored
71%53%
Clean sheet
14%27%
Failed to score
14%27%
ClubLeague average

This league season only. xPts adds up our pre-match win and draw chances (pure EloLambda, the same numbers as Form). xG and TR come from match data and describe the season so far; none of these rankings change the forecast directly.