Bournemouth

15th · Premier League · 6 points · Matches played: 7

15 points behind Manchester City · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+6.5 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed -1.2 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 76.6+6.5
World Rank 19th Global, by Elo
Premier League Rank 7th L90 Strength
Last SunderlandH xG 4.5–0.1 2–0 Next AC MilanH 57%

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Bournemouth · All competitions

Forecast
AC MilanUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home 57% win 1.93 xPts Manchester UnitedPremier League 2026-2027 · Away 36% win 1.31 xPts LeedsPremier League 2026-2027 · Home 55% win 1.86 xPts Sparta PrahaUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away 66% win 2.16 xPts IpswichPremier League 2026-2027 · Away 49% win 1.71 xPts Nottingham ForestPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Celta VigoUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away — win — xPts FulhamPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts BrightonPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Hull CityPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts PlzenUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home — win — xPts ArsenalPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts CoventryPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts TottenhamPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Crystal PalacePremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Aston VillaPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts BrightonPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts IpswichPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LillestromUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away — win — xPts Nottingham ForestPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Hapoel Beer ShevaUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home — win — xPts FulhamPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LeedsPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Aston VillaPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Crystal PalacePremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts CoventryPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts TottenhamPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts NewcastlePremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts BrentfordPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Manchester CityPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts EvertonPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts ArsenalPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Hull CityPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Manchester UnitedPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts SunderlandPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts ChelseaPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LiverpoolPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts

xPts = 3 × win probability + draw probability. — means no published forecast. Open a match for xG and the full forecast.

Results

Bournemouth · All competitions

Full time
SunderlandPremier League 2026-2027 · Home W 2–0 4.5–0.1 xG +1.1 Δpts Sturm GrazUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home W 3–0 2.7–0.4 xG +0.7 Δpts ChelseaPremier League 2026-2027 · Away L 1–5 1.5–1.2 xG -1.3 Δpts LiverpoolPremier League 2026-2027 · Home L 0–1 0.8–1.7 xG -1.6 Δpts Real SociedadUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away W 2–1 — xG +1.2 Δpts BrentfordPremier League 2026-2027 · Home D 2–2 1.8–0.5 xG -0.7 Δpts NewcastlePremier League 2026-2027 · Away D 2–2 1.4–0.7 xG -0.3 Δpts EvertonPremier League 2026-2027 · Home D 1–1 2.2–1.8 xG -0.8 Δpts Manchester CityPremier League 2026-2027 · Away L 1–2 0.7–2.3 xG -0.9 Δpts

Score and actual xG show Bournemouth first. Δpts = points taken − pre-match xPts. — means data unavailable.

Current load Low · 15

Rest profile4.3 days since last match
0%
Schedule load3 matches in last 14 days
30%
Travel loadHome match, 301 km in 14 days
0%
Squad availability4 out, 1 key: A. Scott · Last match: 18 Oct
13%

Load before the next match, vs AC Milan, 22 Oct. Squad availability is shown separately and is not part of the score; availability is the share of squad weight missing, the same input the forecast uses for absences.

Schedule difficulty all competitions

Each bar is one match: 50% match difficulty from current relative Elo strength + 50% calendar load (rest, match congestion and travel). Higher means harder, on a 0–100 scale. This is a descriptive index, not a win probability. Lighter bars are upcoming; the dashed line marks today. Grey marks missing data. 23 Aug at Manchester City: Schedule difficulty 39/100; match difficulty 72/100
L
 Aug 29 Aug vs Everton: Schedule difficulty 20/100; match difficulty 40/100
D
 5 Sep at Newcastle: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 44/100
D
 Sep 12 Sep vs Brentford: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 48/100
D
 17 Sep at Real Sociedad: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 32/100
W
 20 Sep vs Liverpool: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 60/100
L
 10 Oct at Chelsea: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 50/100
L
 Oct 15 Oct vs Sturm Graz: Schedule difficulty 10/100; match difficulty 19/100
W
 18 Oct vs Sunderland: Schedule difficulty 20/100; match difficulty 31/100
W
 22 Oct vs AC Milan: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 39/100 25 Oct at Manchester United: Schedule difficulty 41/100; match difficulty 53/100 31 Oct vs Leeds: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 46/100 5 Nov at Sparta Praha: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 17/100 Nov 8 Nov at Ipswich: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 26/100 21 Nov vs Nottingham Forest: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 43/100 26 Nov at Celta Vigo: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 29/100 29 Nov at Fulham: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 38/100 2 Dec vs Brighton: Schedule difficulty 44/100; match difficulty 59/100 Dec 5 Dec vs Hull City: Schedule difficulty 33/100; match difficulty 18/100 10 Dec vs Plzen: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 26/100 12 Dec at Arsenal: Schedule difficulty 65/100; match difficulty 80/100 19 Dec vs Coventry: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 27/100 26 Dec at Tottenham: Schedule difficulty 18/100; match difficulty 35/100 30 Dec at Crystal Palace: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 37/100 2 Jan vs Aston Villa: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 60/100 Jan 5 Jan at Brighton: Schedule difficulty 41/100; match difficulty 59/100 16 Jan vs Ipswich: Schedule difficulty 13/100; match difficulty 26/100 21 Jan at Lillestrom: Schedule difficulty 13/100; match difficulty 13/100 23 Jan at Nottingham Forest: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 43/100 28 Jan vs Hapoel Beer Sheva: Schedule difficulty 20/100; match difficulty 14/100 30 Jan vs Fulham: Schedule difficulty 49/100; match difficulty 38/100 6 Feb at Leeds: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 46/100 Feb 10 Feb at Aston Villa: Schedule difficulty 38/100; match difficulty 60/100 20 Feb vs Crystal Palace: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 37/100 27 Feb at Coventry: Schedule difficulty 14/100; match difficulty 27/100 3 Mar vs Tottenham: Schedule difficulty 18/100; match difficulty 35/100 Mar 13 Mar vs Newcastle: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 44/100 20 Mar at Brentford: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 48/100 10 Apr vs Manchester City: Schedule difficulty 36/100; match difficulty 72/100 Apr 17 Apr at Everton: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 40/100 24 Apr vs Arsenal: Schedule difficulty 40/100; match difficulty 80/100 1 May at Hull City: Schedule difficulty 12/100; match difficulty 18/100 May 8 May vs Manchester United: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 53/100 15 May at Sunderland: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 31/100 23 May vs Chelsea: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 50/100 30 May at Liverpool: Schedule difficulty 33/100; match difficulty 60/100

Schedule next 30 days · forecast and load

All fixtures and load →
Rest4.3 daysbefore MIL
Matches / 14d3all competitions
Travel / 14d301 kmaway trips
Schedule load15%Low
vs AC MilanThu 22 Oct, 20:00 UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · opponent L90 Strength 66 57%win21%draw21%loss Low load · 4.3 d rest · 3 in 14 d at Manchester UnitedSun 25 Oct, 14:00 Premier League 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 79 36%win24%draw40%loss Moderate load · 2.8 d rest · 3 in 14 d vs LeedsSat 31 Oct, 15:00 Premier League 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 73 55%win22%draw23%loss Low load · 6 d rest · 3 in 14 d at Sparta PrahaThu 5 Nov, 17:45 UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · opponent L90 Strength 34 66%win19%draw15%loss Moderate load · 5.1 d rest · 3 in 14 d at IpswichSun 8 Nov, 14:00 Premier League 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 49 49%win23%draw28%loss Moderate load · 2.8 d rest · 3 in 14 d
Win · draw · loss: LOAD90 forecastLoad bar: rest, matches and travel before each game (context; only 4+ matches in 14 days changes the forecast)
Full match preview oneScored → vs AC Milan, 22 OctOdds, value, live score

Fixture Swing

Opponent opportunity across the next 3 matches · all competitions

3 of 3 forecasts available

Attack Swing−2%

Baseline 5.87 → Forecast 5.76 expected goals · 3 included matches

Conceding Swing0%

Baseline 4.20 → Forecast 4.20 expected goals conceded · 3 included matches

Opportunity for the next 3 matches
MatchAttackConceding riskGoals · Baseline → Forecast
vs AC Milan22 Oct · UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase +6% +2% 2.06 → 2.18
at Manchester United25 Oct · Premier League 2026-2027 −8% +2% 1.69 → 1.56
vs Leeds31 Oct · Premier League 2026-2027 −5% −4% 2.12 → 2.02

Swing compares total forecast goals with total baseline goals for the included matches. Forecasts are available up to 21 days ahead. Missing snapshots and different model revisions are excluded; a partial window covers only the matches shown with values. Your team's own conditions are kept in each baseline.

Next match · Match Opportunity

Bournemouth

Baseline: average Premier League opponent

Attack Uplift +6% Expected goals Baseline2.06Forecast2.18
Conceding Risk +2% Expected goals conceded Baseline1.25Forecast1.28
Clean Sheet −0.8 pp Chance of conceding no goals Baseline28.6%Forecast27.8%