Guimaraes

15th · Primeira Liga · 5 points · Matches played: 8

19 points behind FC Porto · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+4.8 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed -2.9 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 27.4+4.8
World Rank 251st Global, by Elo
Primeira Liga Rank 11th L90 Strength
Last BenficaA xG 0.5–2.8 0–2 Next MaritimoH 58%

Compare clubs

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Our take

An average side on a poor run.

Guimaraes are a mid-table side at both ends, without a clear strength to lean on. Across the 8 league matches with forecasts, they have collected around 5 fewer points than our pre-match forecasts predicted. The squad is fully fit, and The toughest of the next 3 matches is the visit of FC Porto.

They are among the busiest attacks in the league, with 17 shots a game. They are wasteful in front of goal (4% of shots scored), and play a physical game, among the most fouls in the league. Home is where they earn their points: 1.2 per game there against 0.0 away.

  • Relegation 7%Likely 12th · 38 projected points
  • Next 3: about 4 of 9 points Toughest vs FC Porto · , 17% to win
  • Full squadNobody reported missing
  • 5 pts vs 10.2 expected-5.2 vs pre-match expectations · 8 matches with forecasts

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Guimaraes. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals for this club in each category.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses observed Playing style averages; window size is not xG coverage and the two metrics can have different denominators. Points minus xPts uses the same covered current-league matches and stored forecasts as Club strength, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

The full picture, with the evidence behind every signal.View all Club insights →

Season

League position and season results.

Overview

2026-2027
All competitions8 Played
Primeira Liga5 pts0.63 PPG8 games 15th
12.5%Win %
Wins1
Draws2
Losses5

Expected metrics · 5 of 8 matches covered

Goals For
50.63 / game
xG 7.38 4.38 fewer goals than expected. vs 3 goals
Goals Against
101.25 / game
xGA 5.66 1.34 more conceded than expected. vs 7 conceded
Goal Difference
-5-0.62 / game
xGD +1.72 Goal difference is 5.72 lower than expected. vs -4 GD
Clean Sheets
225% of games

Season totals cover all competitions and stages. Positions and points refer to each competition table.

Competition standings

There is no combined table across competitions. View each competition separately.

Primeira Liga →

Squad 34 players · this season, all competitions

Top scorer
Samu1 goals
Most assists
M. Nogueira3 assists
Best rated
Gonçalo Nogueira6.85 avg rating
Most minutes
O. Zych720 min
Key to the model
O. ZychStarter · weight 2.00
PlayerAgeAppsMinGARatingModel role
Goalkeepers
O. Zych 22 8 (8) 720 0 0 6.34 starter
Juan Castillo 23 0 (0) 0 0 0 — rotation
Charles 32 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Lucas Furtado — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Defenders
J. Teixeira Mendes 26 8 (8) 720 0 0 6.74 starter
Thiago Balieiro 23 8 (8) 720 0 0 6.64 starter
T. Strata 22 8 (6) 596 0 1 6.79 starter
Óscar Rivas 26 5 (4) 379 0 0 6.74 rotation
T. Borevković 29 3 (2) 186 1 0 6.68 starter
A. Sidibé 22 2 (2) 155 0 0 6.97 rotation
Miguel Maga 23 3 (2) 124 0 0 6.34 rotation
Francisco Dias 23 0 (0) 0 0 0 — rotation
Y. Mosquera 21 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
M. Nóbrega 26 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Midfielders
Samu 30 8 (7) 652 1 0 6.76 starter
Gonçalo Nogueira 22 8 (6) 465 1 0 6.85 rotation
L. Doucet 24 8 (6) 452 0 0 6.80 starter
M. Nogueira 21 8 (4) 408 0 3 6.64 rotation
Beni 24 8 (4) 399 0 0 6.72 starter
Alan 26 2 (1) 87 0 1 6.54 rotation
Matija Mitrović 21 4 (0) 80 0 0 6.44 rotation
Telmo Arcanjo 25 4 (0) 61 0 0 6.59 rotation
V. Andersson 21 2 (0) 31 0 0 6.25 depth
S. Verdi 18 1 (0) 14 0 0 6.50 depth
R. Rocha — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Martim Guedes — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Forwards
Gustavo Silva 27 7 (7) 527 1 0 6.83 starter
O. Camara 19 8 (5) 431 0 0 6.52 starter
A. Ndoye 25 6 (5) 411 1 0 6.68 rotation
A. Jakupovic 28 4 (3) 267 0 0 6.55 starter
V. Ouotro 21 4 (0) 35 0 0 6.35 depth
Fabio Blanco 22 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
R. de Macedo 23 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
E. Opara 21 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —

Stats are this season in all competitions. Model role is how much the availability model weighs each player before the game with Maritimo: core, starter, rotation or depth, from several seasons of minutes and ratings.

Performance

Strength, recent form and playing style.

Strength Primeira Liga · 18 clubs

L90 Strength11th of 18
27 Elo 1500 · World #251
Current Strength
27 With absences before 23 Oct: +0 Elo
Attack8th of 18
28 Scores 1.23 per match against an average top-five side
Defence8th of 18
39 Concedes 1.71 per match against an average top-five side

In forecast League average

L90 Strength comes from Elo; Attack and Defence from goals scored and conceded, expected goals (xG) and shots on target, all on fixed 0–100 scales shared by every league. These are the numbers the forecast uses.

Strong at both ends Defence first Attack first Struggling Attack → Defence → FC Porto: attack 74, defence 79, L90 Strength 80 Benfica: attack 81, defence 81, L90 Strength 82 Sporting CP: attack 75, defence 81, L90 Strength 84 Santa Clara: attack 29, defence 53, L90 Strength 34 Arouca: attack 28, defence 37, L90 Strength 34 GIL Vicente: attack 32, defence 50, L90 Strength 34 Academico Viseu: attack 28, defence 31, L90 Strength 32 Alverca: attack 38, defence 42, L90 Strength 30 SC Braga: attack 41, defence 59, L90 Strength 56 Estrela: attack 24, defence 27, L90 Strength 20 Maritimo: attack 15, defence 20, L90 Strength 16 Moreirense: attack 17, defence 27, L90 Strength 25 Famalicao: attack 24, defence 36, L90 Strength 38 Rio Ave: attack 18, defence 21, L90 Strength 21 Guimaraes: attack 28, defence 39, L90 Strength 27 Nacional: attack 15, defence 13, L90 Strength 17 Casa Pia: attack 13, defence 25, L90 Strength 18 Estoril: attack 21, defence 29, L90 Strength 22
Every Primeira Liga club on the Attack and Defence scales. Dashed lines are the league average. Tap a crest to open that club.

Form last 5 for the index · last 8 listed

13
Form index · 15th of 18 in league
Points, last 5
2
Median top-5 club
7.3
Own forecasts
6.5 -4.5
Table15th L90 Strength11th Form15th

Lower in the table than their strength suggests.

Form compares points with what a median top-five club (L90 Strength 50) would take from the same fixtures, so wins over strong sides count for more; 50 is a typical run. "Own forecasts" is the gap to this club's pre-match expectations. Form is context: in our tests it did not improve the forecast.

  • L11 OctA · Benfica0–20.4 xPts
  • D20 SepH · Moreirense1–11.9 xPts
  • L12 SepA · Academico Viseu1–21.3 xPts
  • D6 SepH · Casa Pia0–02.1 xPts
  • L31 AugA · SC Braga0–10.9 xPts
  • W23 AugH · Nacional1–01.8 xPts
  • L14 AugA · Sporting CP2–30.4 xPts
  • L8 AugH · Arouca0–11.5 xPts

Trends last 8, all competitions

Scored 4/8
Clean sheet 2/8
Conceded 2+ 3/8
Over 2.5 2/8
Both teams scored 3/8

Playing style vs Primeira Liga average

GUILeagueRank
Goals scored 0.63 1.37 16th
Goals conceded 1.25 1.37 8th
xG 1.48 1.26 5th
xG allowed 1.13 1.23 7th
Scored in 50% 73% 15th
Clean sheets 25% 28% 7th
GUILeagueRank
Shots 17.25 12.17 2nd
Shots on target 4.57 4.15 5th
On target share 23% 33% 18th
Box share 62% 61% 8th
Conversion 4% 11% 18th
GUILeagueRank
Shots allowed 9.13 12.12 4th
On target allowed 3.43 4.11 8th
Blocks 3.00 3.19 10th
Save rate 62% 67% 10th
GUILeagueRank
Possession 54% 50% 7th
Passes 449 426 6th
Pass accuracy 82% 83% 10th
GUILeagueRank
Fouls 15.63 12.61 18th
Fouls suffered 9.88 12.59 18th
Yellow cards 2.63 2.13 14th
Red cards 0.13 0.05 12th
This league season, per match · 8 games. Rank among 18 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.
GUILeagueRank
Goals scored 0.50 1.31 17th
Goals conceded 1.30 1.35 9th
xG 1.39 1.15 4th
xG allowed 1.07 1.30 5th
Scored in 40% 71% 17th
Clean sheets 20% 28% 11th
GUILeagueRank
Shots 16.60 11.88 2nd
Shots on target 4.22 3.99 5th
On target share 23% 33% 18th
Box share 62% 60% 6th
Conversion 3% 11% 18th
GUILeagueRank
Shots allowed 8.90 12.49 2nd
On target allowed 3.56 4.13 6th
Blocks 2.63 3.33 14th
Save rate 62% 69% 15th
GUILeagueRank
Possession 57% 50% 2nd
Passes 448 417 5th
Pass accuracy 83% 83% 8th
GUILeagueRank
Fouls 14.70 12.49 17th
Fouls suffered 11.20 12.54 16th
Yellow cards 2.60 2.18 15th
Red cards 0.10 0.06 10th
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 games. Rank among 18 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.

Home and away this league season

Home1.25pts per game1-2-1 · 0.5–0.5 goals · 4 games
Away0.00pts per game0-0-4 · 0.8–2.0 goals · 4 games

Goal timing this league season · 7 games

1 1 0-15
2 16-30
1 31-45
3 46-60
3 1 61-75
1 1 76-90

scored conceded, per 15 minutes

In forecastVia Att/DefContextLeague average

Possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Goals, xG and shots on target feed the Attack and Defence ratings. The rest describes how the team plays and does not change the forecast.

Team rankings Primeira Liga · 8 games · rank of 18

Attack

GF 5 16th / 18
GF/G 0.63 16th / 18
xG/G 1.48 5th / 18
G − xG -0.85 18th / 18

Defence

GA 10 7th / 18
GA/G 1.25 7th / 18
xGA/G 1.13 7th / 18
xGA − GA -0.12 8th / 18

Overall

Pts 5 15th / 18
xPts 10.2 9th / 18
PPG 0.63 15th / 18
TR 6.69 12th / 18
GD -5 12th / 18
xGD +2.8 7th / 18
W 1 14th / 18
L 5 14th / 18

Scorelines

  • 0–1×2
  • 2–3×1
  • 1–0×1
  • 0–0×1
  • 1–2×1
  • 1–1×1

Goals per game both teams

13% 0
38% 1
25% 2
13% 3
0% 4
13% 5+

Totals club · league

Over 1.5
50%75%
Over 2.5
25%56%
Over 3.5
13%36%
Both scored
38%51%
Clean sheet
25%27%
Failed to score
50%27%
ClubLeague average

This league season only. xPts adds up our pre-match win and draw chances (pure EloLambda, the same numbers as Form). xG and TR come from match data and describe the season so far; none of these rankings change the forecast directly.