Guimaraes

15th · Primeira Liga · 5 points · Matches played: 8

19 points behind FC Porto · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+4.8 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed -2.9 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 27.4+4.8
World Rank 251st Global, by Elo
Primeira Liga Rank 11th L90 Strength
Last BenficaA xG 0.5–2.8 0–2 Next MaritimoH 58%

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Upcoming fixtures

Guimaraes · All competitions

Forecast
MaritimoPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home 58% win 1.96 xPts GIL VicentePrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away 28% win 1.10 xPts FC PortoPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home 17% win 0.73 xPts EstrelaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts EstorilPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts AlvercaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Santa ClaraPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Rio AvePrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts FamalicaoPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts AroucaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Sporting CPPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts NacionalPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts SC BragaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Casa PiaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Academico ViseuPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts MoreirensePrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts BenficaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts MaritimoPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts GIL VicentePrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts FC PortoPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts EstrelaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts EstorilPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts AlvercaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Santa ClaraPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Rio AvePrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts FamalicaoPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts

xPts = 3 × win probability + draw probability. — means no published forecast. Open a match for xG and the full forecast.

Results

Guimaraes · All competitions

Full time
BenficaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away L 0–2 0.5–2.8 xG -0.4 Δpts MoreirensePrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home D 1–1 — xG -0.9 Δpts Academico ViseuPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away L 1–2 — xG -1.4 Δpts Casa PiaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home D 0–0 — xG -1.1 Δpts SC BragaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away L 0–1 0.2–0.8 xG -0.8 Δpts NacionalPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home W 1–0 3.1–0.4 xG +1.2 Δpts Sporting CPPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away L 2–3 1.2–1.1 xG -0.4 Δpts AroucaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home L 0–1 2.3–0.4 xG -1.5 Δpts

Score and actual xG show Guimaraes first. Δpts = points taken − pre-match xPts. — means data unavailable.

Current load Low · 0

Rest profile12.1 days since last match
0%
Schedule load1 matches in last 14 days
0%
Travel loadHome match, 622 km in 14 days
0%
Squad availabilityFull squad available
0%

Load before the next match, vs Maritimo, 23 Oct. Squad availability is shown separately and is not part of the score; availability is the share of squad weight missing, the same input the forecast uses for absences.

Schedule difficulty all competitions

Each bar is one match: 50% match difficulty from current relative Elo strength + 50% calendar load (rest, match congestion and travel). Higher means harder, on a 0–100 scale. This is a descriptive index, not a win probability. Lighter bars are upcoming; the dashed line marks today. Grey marks missing data. 8 Aug vs Arouca: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 57/100
L
 Aug 14 Aug at Sporting CP: Schedule difficulty 48/100; match difficulty 90/100
L
 23 Aug vs Nacional: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 37/100
W
 31 Aug at SC Braga: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 74/100
L
 6 Sep vs Casa Pia: Schedule difficulty 20/100; match difficulty 39/100
D
 Sep 12 Sep at Academico Viseu: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 54/100
L
 20 Sep vs Moreirense: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 48/100
D
 11 Oct at Benfica: Schedule difficulty 48/100; match difficulty 90/100
L
 Oct 23 Oct vs Maritimo: Schedule difficulty 18/100; match difficulty 35/100 2 Nov at GIL Vicente: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 56/100 Nov 8 Nov vs FC Porto: Schedule difficulty 44/100; match difficulty 88/100 28 Nov vs Estrela: Schedule difficulty 20/100; match difficulty 40/100 6 Dec at Estoril: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 43/100 Dec 13 Dec vs Alverca: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 53/100 20 Dec at Santa Clara: Schedule difficulty 38/100; match difficulty 56/100 27 Dec vs Rio Ave: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 42/100 10 Jan at Famalicao: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 60/100 Jan 17 Jan at Arouca: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 57/100 24 Jan vs Sporting CP: Schedule difficulty 45/100; match difficulty 90/100 31 Jan at Nacional: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 37/100 7 Feb vs SC Braga: Schedule difficulty 40/100; match difficulty 74/100 Feb 14 Feb at Casa Pia: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 39/100 21 Feb vs Academico Viseu: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 54/100 28 Feb at Moreirense: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 48/100 7 Mar vs Benfica: Schedule difficulty 45/100; match difficulty 90/100 Mar 14 Mar at Maritimo: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 35/100 21 Mar vs GIL Vicente: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 56/100 4 Apr at FC Porto: Schedule difficulty 44/100; match difficulty 88/100 Apr 11 Apr at Estrela: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 40/100 18 Apr vs Estoril: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 43/100 25 Apr at Alverca: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 53/100 2 May vs Santa Clara: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 56/100 May 9 May at Rio Ave: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 42/100 16 May vs Famalicao: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 60/100

Schedule next 30 days · forecast and load

All fixtures and load →
Rest12.1 daysbefore MAR
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel / 14d622 kmaway trips
Schedule load0%Low
vs MaritimoFri 23 Oct, 20:45 Primeira Liga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 16 58%win24%draw19%loss Low load · 12.1 d rest at GIL VicenteMon 2 Nov, 20:15 Primeira Liga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 31 28%win27%draw46%loss Low load · 10 d rest vs FC PortoSun 8 Nov, 18:00 Primeira Liga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 80 17%win22%draw61%loss Low load · 5.9 d rest
Win · draw · loss: LOAD90 forecastLoad bar: rest, matches and travel before each game (context; only 4+ matches in 14 days changes the forecast)
Full match preview oneScored → vs Maritimo, 23 OctOdds, value, live score

Fixture Swing

Opponent opportunity across the next 3 matches · all competitions

2 of 3 forecasts available · Partial window

Attack Swing+14%

Baseline 2.64 → Forecast 3.02 expected goals · 2 included matches

Conceding Swing−12%

Baseline 2.86 → Forecast 2.52 expected goals conceded · 2 included matches

Opportunity for the next 3 matches
MatchAttackConceding riskGoals · Baseline → Forecast
vs Maritimo23 Oct · Primeira Liga 2026-2027 +27% −22% 1.47 → 1.87
at GIL Vicente2 Nov · Primeira Liga 2026-2027 −2% −4% 1.17 → 1.15
vs FC Porto8 Nov · Primeira Liga 2026-2027 — — Opportunity unavailable

Swing compares total forecast goals with total baseline goals for the included matches. Forecasts are available up to 21 days ahead. Missing snapshots and different model revisions are excluded; a partial window covers only the matches shown with values. Your team's own conditions are kept in each baseline.

Next match · Match Opportunity

Guimaraes

Baseline: average Primeira Liga opponent

Attack Uplift +27% Expected goals Baseline1.47Forecast1.87
Conceding Risk −22% Expected goals conceded Baseline1.26Forecast0.98
Clean Sheet +9.1 pp Chance of conceding no goals Baseline28.4%Forecast37.5%