Union Berlin

17th · Bundesliga · 5 points · Matches played: 6

9 points behind Bayern München · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+2.0 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed -1.7 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 39.3+2.0
World Rank 139th Global, by Elo
Bundesliga Rank 15th L90 Strength
Last Borussia DortmundH xG 0.9–1.4 0–0 Next FC AugsburgA 27%

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Upcoming fixtures

Union Berlin · All competitions

Forecast
FC AugsburgBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away 27% win 1.01 xPts 1.FC KölnBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home 50% win 1.72 xPts SC FreiburgBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away 18% win 0.75 xPts RB LeipzigBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Hamburger SVBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts VfB StuttgartBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Werder BremenBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts SC Paderborn 07Bundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts FC Schalke 04Bundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Bayern MünchenBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts SV ElversbergBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Borussia DortmundBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts FC AugsburgBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts 1.FC KölnBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts SC FreiburgBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts RB LeipzigBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Hamburger SVBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts VfB StuttgartBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Werder BremenBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts SC Paderborn 07Bundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts

xPts = 3 × win probability + draw probability. — means no published forecast. Open a match for xG and the full forecast.

Results

Union Berlin · All competitions

Full time
Borussia DortmundBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home D 0–0 0.9–1.4 xG +0.1 Δpts SV ElversbergBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home W 1–0 1.6–0.3 xG +1.6 Δpts Bayern MünchenBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away L 0–7 0.3–3.7 xG -0.1 Δpts FC Schalke 04Bundesliga 2026-2027 · Home L 1–3 2.0–2.5 xG -1.6 Δpts Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away L 0–4 0.4–3.1 xG -0.7 Δpts Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home D 3–3 1.8–1.5 xG -0.5 Δpts

Score and actual xG show Union Berlin first. Δpts = points taken − pre-match xPts. — means data unavailable.

Current load Low · 6

Rest profile7 days since last match
0%
Schedule load2 matches in last 14 days
0%
Travel load495 km to venue, 0 km in 14 days
20%
Squad availability5 out, 1 key: E. Latte Lath · Last match: 17 Oct
10%

Load before the next match, at FC Augsburg, 24 Oct. Squad availability is shown separately and is not part of the score; availability is the share of squad weight missing, the same input the forecast uses for absences.

Schedule difficulty all competitions

Each bar is one match: 50% match difficulty from current relative Elo strength + 50% calendar load (rest, match congestion and travel). Higher means harder, on a 0–100 scale. This is a descriptive index, not a win probability. Lighter bars are upcoming; the dashed line marks today. Grey marks missing data. 29 Aug vs Eintracht Frankfurt: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 58/100
D
 Aug 5 Sep at Bayer Leverkusen: Schedule difficulty 44/100; match difficulty 82/100
L
 Sep 11 Sep vs FC Schalke 04: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 56/100
L
 18 Sep at Bayern München: Schedule difficulty 50/100; match difficulty 94/100
L
 10 Oct vs SV Elversberg: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 52/100
W
 Oct 17 Oct vs Borussia Dortmund: Schedule difficulty 42/100; match difficulty 83/100
D
 24 Oct at FC Augsburg: Schedule difficulty 33/100; match difficulty 59/100 1 Nov vs 1.FC Köln: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 45/100 Nov 8 Nov at SC Freiburg: Schedule difficulty 39/100; match difficulty 71/100 21 Nov vs RB Leipzig: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 74/100 28 Nov at FSV Mainz 05: Schedule difficulty 35/100; match difficulty 63/100 5 Dec vs Hamburger SV: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 50/100 Dec 12 Dec at VfB Stuttgart: Schedule difficulty 40/100; match difficulty 74/100 19 Dec vs 1899 Hoffenheim: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 58/100 9 Jan at Werder Bremen: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 53/100 Jan 12 Jan vs SC Paderborn 07: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 49/100 16 Jan at Borussia Mönchengladbach: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 47/100 23 Jan at Eintracht Frankfurt: Schedule difficulty 42/100; match difficulty 58/100 30 Jan vs Bayer Leverkusen: Schedule difficulty 44/100; match difficulty 82/100 6 Feb at FC Schalke 04: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 56/100 Feb 13 Feb vs Bayern München: Schedule difficulty 47/100; match difficulty 94/100 20 Feb at SV Elversberg: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 52/100 27 Feb at Borussia Dortmund: Schedule difficulty 45/100; match difficulty 83/100 2 Mar vs FC Augsburg: Schedule difficulty 36/100; match difficulty 59/100 Mar 6 Mar at 1.FC Köln: Schedule difficulty 36/100; match difficulty 45/100 13 Mar vs SC Freiburg: Schedule difficulty 46/100; match difficulty 71/100 20 Mar at RB Leipzig: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 74/100 3 Apr vs FSV Mainz 05: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 63/100 Apr 10 Apr at Hamburger SV: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 50/100 17 Apr vs VfB Stuttgart: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 74/100 24 Apr at 1899 Hoffenheim: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 58/100 8 May vs Werder Bremen: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 53/100 May 15 May at SC Paderborn 07: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 49/100 22 May vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 47/100

Schedule next 30 days · forecast and load

All fixtures and load →
Rest7 daysbefore AUG
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel / 14d0 kmaway trips
Schedule load6%Low
at FC AugsburgSat 24 Oct, 14:30 Bundesliga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 50 27%win20%draw53%loss Low load · 7 d rest vs 1.FC KölnSun 1 Nov, 14:30 Bundesliga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 34 50%win23%draw27%loss Low load · 8 d rest at SC FreiburgSun 8 Nov, 16:30 Bundesliga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 64 18%win21%draw61%loss Low load · 7.1 d rest
Win · draw · loss: LOAD90 forecastLoad bar: rest, matches and travel before each game (context; only 4+ matches in 14 days changes the forecast)
Full match preview oneScored → at FC Augsburg, 24 OctOdds, value, live score

Fixture Swing

Opponent opportunity across the next 3 matches · all competitions

2 of 3 forecasts available · Partial window

Attack Swing+22%

Baseline 2.98 → Forecast 3.64 expected goals · 2 included matches

Conceding Swing−4%

Baseline 3.94 → Forecast 3.78 expected goals conceded · 2 included matches

Opportunity for the next 3 matches
MatchAttackConceding riskGoals · Baseline → Forecast
at FC Augsburg24 Oct · Bundesliga 2026-2027 +29% +9% 1.32 → 1.71
vs 1.FC Köln1 Nov · Bundesliga 2026-2027 +16% −21% 1.65 → 1.93
at SC Freiburg8 Nov · Bundesliga 2026-2027 — — Opportunity unavailable

Swing compares total forecast goals with total baseline goals for the included matches. Forecasts are available up to 21 days ahead. Missing snapshots and different model revisions are excluded; a partial window covers only the matches shown with values. Your team's own conditions are kept in each baseline.

Next match · Match Opportunity

Union Berlin

Baseline: average Bundesliga opponent

Attack Uplift +29% Expected goals Baseline1.32Forecast1.71
Conceding Risk +9% Expected goals conceded Baseline2.20Forecast2.40
Clean Sheet −2.1 pp Chance of conceding no goals Baseline11.1%Forecast9.1%