Union Berlin

17th · Bundesliga · 5 points · Matches played: 6

9 points behind Bayern München · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+2.0 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed -1.7 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 39.3+2.0
World Rank 139th Global, by Elo
Bundesliga Rank 15th L90 Strength
Last Borussia DortmundH xG 0.9–1.4 0–0 Next FC AugsburgA 27%

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Our take

Short on strength, fighting for points.

Union Berlin rely on a mid-table defence, but their attack is among the league's weakest and costs them. Across the 6 league matches with forecasts, their points total is close to our pre-match expectations. E. Latte Lath is out, and The toughest of the next 3 matches is the trip to SC Freiburg.

Bundesliga · 6 games. Their underlying numbers look better than their results. They are scoring fewer goals than their chances suggest. They are conceding more goals than expected; goalkeeping or opponents' finishing may contribute, but these figures do not establish the cause.

They are wasteful in front of goal (6% of shots scored). Home is where they earn their points: 1.2 per game there against 0.0 away.

  • Relegation 21%Likely 14th · 37 projected points
  • Next 3: about 3 of 9 points Toughest at SC Freiburg · , 18% to win
  • 1 key player outE. Latte Lath · 10% of squad weight missing · Last match: 17 Oct
  • 5 pts vs 6.3 expected-1.3 vs pre-match expectations · 6 matches with forecasts

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Union Berlin. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals for this club in each category.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses observed Playing style averages; window size is not xG coverage and the two metrics can have different denominators. Points minus xPts uses the same covered current-league matches and stored forecasts as Club strength, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

The full picture, with the evidence behind every signal.View all Club insights →

Season

League position and season results.

Overview

2026-2027
BundesligaView table →
Position
17th/ 18
Points
50.83 PPG
Played
6
League gap
9pts behind leader
16.7%Win %
Wins1
Draws2
Losses3

Expected metrics · 6 of 6 matches covered

Goals For
50.83 / game
xG 7.01 2.01 fewer goals than expected. vs 5 goals
Goals Against
172.83 / game
xGA 12.51 4.49 more conceded than expected. vs 17 conceded
Goal Difference
-12-2.00 / game
xGD -5.50 Goal difference is 6.50 lower than expected. vs -12 GD
Clean Sheets
233% of games

League standings

Bundesliga · 2026-2027

Full standings →

Swipe to explore the league table →

Full Bundesliga table, Union Berlin highlighted
#ClubRatingPWDLGDPtsForm
1▲ Bayern München 94 6420 +17 14
2– Borussia Dortmund 81 6420 +7 14
3▼ SC Freiburg 64 6411 +9 13
4– Bayer Leverkusen 79 6411 +7 13
5▲ FSV Mainz 05 55 6312 +4 10
6▲ SV Elversberg 42 6312 +1 10
7▼ RB Leipzig 68 6303 +5 9
8▼ Werder Bremen 43 6231 +0 9
9▲ Hamburger SV 40 6303 -9 9
10▼ FC Augsburg 50 6222 +4 8
11▲ Eintracht Frankfurt 48 6222 -6 8
12▼ 1.FC Köln 34 6213 -3 7
13▼ VfB Stuttgart 68 6204 -2 6
14▲ 1899 Hoffenheim 49 6204 -3 6
15▼ FC Schalke 04 46 6123 -3 5
16▼ SC Paderborn 07 38 6123 -4 5
17▼ Union Berlin 39 6123 -12 5
18– Borussia Mönchengladbach 36 6006 -12 0

18 clubs · ▲ Up · ▼ Down · – Unchanged · Since the start of the latest played matchweek.

League position over time

Position by matchweek

Higher is better. One point per matchweek; partial rounds are marked. Postponed games count when played. Hover, tap or focus a point for details.

View position history
Union Berlin league position by matchweek
MWResults through (UTC)PositionPtsP
130 Aug 2026911
26 Sep 20261512
313 Sep 20261613
420 Sep 20261714
511 Oct 20261645
618 Oct 20261756

Squad 40 players · this season, all competitions · 5 out

Absences reported for the last match: 17 Oct 2026

Top scorer
T. Skarke2 goals
Most assists
J. Juranović2 assists
Injured
Best rated
O. Uduokhai6.95 avg rating
Most minutes
T. Rothe540 min
Key to the model
R. KhediraStarter · weight 1.86
PlayerAgeAppsMinGARatingModel role
Goalkeepers
F. Rønnow 34 5 (5) 450 0 0 6.83 starter
Matheo Raab 27 1 (1) 90 0 0 5.30 depth
F. Gagzow — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
C. Klaus 32 0 (0) 0 0 0 — rotation
Defenders
T. Rothe 21 6 (6) 540 0 1 6.47 rotation
O. Uduokhai 29 5 (5) 450 0 0 6.95 starter
Z. Van Den Bosch 23 5 (4) 379 0 0 6.37 starter
L. Querfeld 22 3 (3) 270 1 1 6.73 starter
J. Juranović injured 31 3 (3) 254 0 2 6.67 rotation
C. Trimmel 39 4 (1) 114 0 0 6.52 rotation
D. Köhn 27 2 (0) 16 0 0 6.65 rotation
S. Barry — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
M. Friedrich 30 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
A. Markgraf injured 20 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
S. Nsoki injured 27 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
O. Ogbemudia 20 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Midfielders
R. Khedira 32 6 (6) 540 0 0 6.47 starter
M. Aebischer 29 6 (6) 466 0 0 6.29 starter
W. Jeong 27 6 (4) 386 0 0 6.71 rotation
A. Schäfer 27 6 (4) 364 0 0 6.70 rotation
J. Haberer 32 6 (3) 273 0 0 6.36 rotation
T. Skarke 30 6 (2) 262 2 0 6.70 rotation
A. Kemlein 22 6 (3) 228 0 0 6.56 starter
K. Imeri 26 2 (2) 103 0 0 6.89 starter
?M. Gray — 1 (0) 20 0 0 6.72 rotation
M. Etobe — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
T. Kannegieser — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
L. Vulin — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
M. Witschel — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Forwards
E. Latte Lath injured 27 5 (4) 291 1 0 6.68 starter
Livan Burcu 22 5 (2) 216 1 0 6.96 rotation
M. Ljubičić 24 3 (2) 216 0 0 6.47 depth
O. Burke 29 1 (0) 12 0 0 6.64 rotation
Ilyas Ansah 21 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
O. Engel — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Julien Friedrich — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Linus Guther 16 1 (0) 0 0 0 — depth
A. Ilić injured 26 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
L. Pepinski — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
R. Skov 30 1 (0) 0 0 0 6.50 depth

Stats are this season in all competitions. Model role is how much the availability model weighs each player before the trip to FC Augsburg: core, starter, rotation or depth, from several seasons of minutes and ratings.

Performance

Strength, recent form and playing style.

Strength Bundesliga · 18 clubs

L90 Strength15th of 18
39 Elo 1581 · World #139
Current Strength
39 With absences before 24 Oct: +0 Elo
Attack13th of 18
42 Scores 1.42 per match against an average top-five side
Defence12th of 18
41 Concedes 1.67 per match against an average top-five side

In forecast League average

L90 Strength comes from Elo; Attack and Defence from goals scored and conceded, expected goals (xG) and shots on target, all on fixed 0–100 scales shared by every league. These are the numbers the forecast uses.

Strong at both ends Defence first Attack first Struggling Attack → Defence → Bayern München: attack 96, defence 90, L90 Strength 94 Borussia Dortmund: attack 69, defence 80, L90 Strength 81 SC Freiburg: attack 63, defence 73, L90 Strength 64 Bayer Leverkusen: attack 87, defence 79, L90 Strength 79 FSV Mainz 05: attack 68, defence 56, L90 Strength 55 SV Elversberg: attack 44, defence 37, L90 Strength 42 RB Leipzig: attack 76, defence 53, L90 Strength 68 Werder Bremen: attack 56, defence 45, L90 Strength 43 Hamburger SV: attack 37, defence 43, L90 Strength 40 FC Augsburg: attack 72, defence 23, L90 Strength 50 Eintracht Frankfurt: attack 54, defence 37, L90 Strength 48 1.FC Köln: attack 36, defence 36, L90 Strength 34 VfB Stuttgart: attack 70, defence 58, L90 Strength 68 1899 Hoffenheim: attack 46, defence 43, L90 Strength 49 FC Schalke 04: attack 33, defence 50, L90 Strength 46 SC Paderborn 07: attack 34, defence 33, L90 Strength 38 Union Berlin: attack 42, defence 41, L90 Strength 39 Borussia Mönchengladbach: attack 34, defence 21, L90 Strength 36
Every Bundesliga club on the Attack and Defence scales. Dashed lines are the league average. Tap a crest to open that club.

Form last 5 for the index · last 6 listed

38
Form index · 14th of 18 in league
Points, last 5
4
Median top-5 club
5.4
Own forecasts
4.8 -0.8
Table17th L90 Strength15th Form14th

Table position in line with their strength.

Form compares points with what a median top-five club (L90 Strength 50) would take from the same fixtures, so wins over strong sides count for more; 50 is a typical run. "Own forecasts" is the gap to this club's pre-match expectations. Form is context: in our tests it did not improve the forecast.

  • D17 OctH · Borussia Dortmund0–00.9 xPts
  • W10 OctH · SV Elversberg1–01.4 xPts
  • L18 SepA · Bayern München0–70.2 xPts
  • L11 SepH · FC Schalke 041–31.6 xPts
  • L5 SepA · Bayer Leverkusen0–40.7 xPts
  • D29 AugH · Eintracht Frankfurt3–31.5 xPts

Trends last 6, all competitions

Scored 3/6
Clean sheet 2/6
Conceded 2+ 4/6
Over 2.5 4/6
Both teams scored 2/6

Playing style vs Bundesliga average

UNILeagueRank
Goals scored 0.83 1.84 16th
Goals conceded 2.83 1.84 17th
xG 1.17 1.75 15th
xG allowed 2.09 1.75 14th
Scored in 50% 76% 15th
Clean sheets 33% 24% 4th
UNILeagueRank
Shots 12.83 15.55 15th
Shots on target 6.75 5.77 4th
On target share 35% 35% 7th
Box share 64% 68% 12th
Conversion 7% 12% 17th
UNILeagueRank
Shots allowed 15.67 15.55 9th
On target allowed 7.00 5.71 14th
Blocks 4.20 4.49 10th
Save rate 56% 66% 16th
UNILeagueRank
Possession 44% 50% 15th
Passes 359 455 16th
Pass accuracy 75% 81% 17th
UNILeagueRank
Fouls 11.67 11.43 11th
Fouls suffered 10.50 11.44 13th
Yellow cards 2.50 1.71 16th
Red cards 0.00 0.02 1st
This league season, per match · 6 games. Rank among 18 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.
UNILeagueRank
Goals scored 1.50 1.84 11th
Goals conceded 2.30 1.74 14th
xG 1.31 1.71 14th
xG allowed 2.00 1.62 15th
Scored in 70% 80% 14th
Clean sheets 30% 24% 7th
UNILeagueRank
Shots 12.30 14.87 15th
Shots on target 5.88 5.55 7th
On target share 38% 36% 6th
Box share 63% 67% 13th
Conversion 12% 12% 9th
UNILeagueRank
Shots allowed 14.50 14.13 9th
On target allowed 5.90 5.23 14th
Blocks 4.13 4.08 8th
Save rate 57% 66% 17th
UNILeagueRank
Possession 45% 51% 15th
Passes 372 455 16th
Pass accuracy 77% 82% 17th
UNILeagueRank
Fouls 10.30 10.89 6th
Fouls suffered 9.60 10.68 14th
Yellow cards 2.20 1.70 15th
Red cards 0.00 0.02 1st
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 games. Rank among 18 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.

Home and away this league season

Home1.25pts per game1-2-1 · 1.2–1.5 goals · 4 games
Away0.00pts per game0-0-2 · 0.0–5.5 goals · 2 games

Goal timing this league season · 6 games

1 3 0-15
3 16-30
2 31-45
3 46-60
4 61-75
4 2 76-90

scored conceded, per 15 minutes

In forecastVia Att/DefContextLeague average

Possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Goals, xG and shots on target feed the Attack and Defence ratings. The rest describes how the team plays and does not change the forecast.

Team rankings Bundesliga · 6 games · rank of 18

Attack

GF 5 16th / 18
GF/G 0.83 16th / 18
xG/G 1.17 15th / 18
G − xG -0.34 15th / 18

Defence

GA 17 17th / 18
GA/G 2.83 17th / 18
xGA/G 2.09 14th / 18
xGA − GA -0.74 16th / 18

Overall

Pts 5 15th / 18
xPts 6.3 15th / 18
PPG 0.83 15th / 18
TR 6.58 16th / 18
GD -12 17th / 18
xGD -5.5 16th / 18
W 1 15th / 18
L 3 10th / 18

Scorelines

  • 3–3×1
  • 0–4×1
  • 1–3×1
  • 0–7×1
  • 1–0×1
  • 0–0×1

Goals per game both teams

17% 0
17% 1
0% 2
0% 3
33% 4
33% 5+

Totals club · league

Over 1.5
67%81%
Over 2.5
67%74%
Over 3.5
67%56%
Both scored
33%59%
Clean sheet
33%24%
Failed to score
50%24%
ClubLeague average

This league season only. xPts adds up our pre-match win and draw chances (pure EloLambda, the same numbers as Form). xG and TR come from match data and describe the season so far; none of these rankings change the forecast directly.