Werder Bremen

8th · Bundesliga · 9 points · Matches played: 6

5 points behind Bayern München · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+7.6 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed +5.3 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 42.9+7.6
World Rank 113th Global, by Elo
Bundesliga Rank 12th L90 Strength
Last SC Paderborn 07H xG 2.9–0.9 2–2 Next FSV Mainz 05A 23%

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Our take

Mid-table strength, top-table form.

Werder Bremen are a mid-table side at both ends, without a clear strength to lean on. Across the 6 league matches with forecasts, they have collected around 3 more points than our pre-match forecasts predicted. Y. Regeer and S. Lynen are out, and The toughest of the next 3 matches is the trip to VfB Stuttgart.

Bundesliga · 6 games. Their results look better than their underlying numbers. They are scoring more goals than their chances suggest. They are conceding more goals than expected; goalkeeping or opponents' finishing may contribute, but these figures do not establish the cause.

Home is where they earn their points: 2.3 per game there against 0.7 away.

  • Relegation 3%Likely 11th · 43 projected points
  • Next 3: about 3 of 9 points Toughest at VfB Stuttgart · , 19% to win
  • 4 key players outY. Regeer, S. Lynen · 25% of squad weight missing · Last match: 17 Oct
  • 9 pts vs 6.3 expected+2.7 vs pre-match expectations · 6 matches with forecasts

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Werder Bremen. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals for this club in each category.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses observed Playing style averages; window size is not xG coverage and the two metrics can have different denominators. Points minus xPts uses the same covered current-league matches and stored forecasts as Club strength, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking
The full picture, with the evidence behind every signal.View all Club insights →

Season

League position and season results.

Overview

2026-2027
All competitions6 Played
Bundesliga9 pts1.50 PPG6 games 8th
33.3%Win %
Wins2
Draws3
Losses1

Expected metrics · 6 of 6 matches covered

Goals For
122.00 / game
xG 9.46 2.54 more goals than expected. vs 12 goals
Goals Against
122.00 / game
xGA 10.07 1.93 more conceded than expected. vs 12 conceded
Goal Difference
+0+0.00 / game
xGD -0.61 Goal difference is 0.61 higher than expected. vs +0 GD
Clean Sheets
00% of games

Season totals cover all competitions and stages. Positions and points refer to each competition table.

Competition standings

There is no combined table across competitions. View each competition separately.

Bundesliga →

Squad 36 players · this season, all competitions · 7 out

Absences reported for the last match: 17 Oct 2026

Top scorer
N. Füllkrug6 goals (1 pen)
Most assists
M. Grüll5 assists
Best rated
M. Grüll7.44 avg rating
Most minutes
K. Hein540 min
Key to the model
N. FüllkrugCore · weight 2.70
PlayerAgeAppsMinGARatingModel role
Goalkeepers
K. Hein 24 6 (6) 540 0 0 6.97 rotation
M. Kolke 36 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
A. Schlager 30 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Defenders
M. Friedl 28 6 (6) 540 0 0 6.94 starter
O. Deman 26 6 (6) 540 0 0 6.83 starter
A. Pieper injured 28 6 (6) 458 0 0 6.94 starter
Arthur 23 5 (5) 393 0 0 6.63 starter
Mick Schmetgens 19 5 (1) 131 0 0 6.42 depth
M. Weiser 32 4 (0) 99 1 0 6.87 rotation
O. Wójcik 23 2 (0) 82 0 1 6.81 rotation
F. Agu injured 27 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Karim Coulibaly 19 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
J. Malatini 25 0 (0) 0 0 0 — rotation
N. Stark 31 0 (0) 0 0 0 — rotation
Midfielders
L. Reis 26 6 (6) 494 1 0 6.84 starter
Chuky 22 6 (6) 479 0 2 6.84 starter
Y. Regeer 23 5 (5) 409 0 0 7.13 starter
D. Stalmach 20 5 (0) 106 1 0 6.63 rotation
S. Lynen injured 27 1 (1) 46 0 0 6.30 starter
Patrice Čović 19 1 (0) 5 0 0 6.30 depth
S. Alvero injured 24 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
D. Soylu — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
J. Stage injured 29 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Forwards
M. Grüll 28 6 (6) 535 2 5 7.44 starter
N. Füllkrug 33 6 (6) 486 6 0 7.30 core
E. Dinkçi 24 6 (5) 367 1 1 6.69 starter
C. Itten 29 4 (0) 81 0 0 6.36 rotation
J. Njinmah injured 25 1 (1) 61 0 0 6.90 rotation
Salim Amani Musah 20 3 (0) 47 0 0 6.37 depth
P. Erevbenagie — 4 (0) 41 0 0 6.62 depth
D. Kownacki 29 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
S. Mbangula 22 0 (0) 0 0 0 — rotation
Salim Musah — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
K. Quetant — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
K. Topp injured 22 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
J. Wiehe — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —

Stats are this season in all competitions. Model role is how much the availability model weighs each player before the trip to FSV Mainz 05: core, starter, rotation or depth, from several seasons of minutes and ratings.

Performance

Strength, recent form and playing style.

Strength Bundesliga · 18 clubs

L90 Strength12th of 18
43 Elo 1603 · World #113
Current Strength
43 With absences before 24 Oct: +0 Elo
Attack9th of 18
56 Scores 1.64 per match against an average top-five side
Defence9th of 18
45 Concedes 1.62 per match against an average top-five side

In forecast League average

L90 Strength comes from Elo; Attack and Defence from goals scored and conceded, expected goals (xG) and shots on target, all on fixed 0–100 scales shared by every league. These are the numbers the forecast uses.

Strong at both ends Defence first Attack first Struggling Attack → Defence → Bayern München: attack 96, defence 90, L90 Strength 94 Borussia Dortmund: attack 69, defence 80, L90 Strength 81 SC Freiburg: attack 63, defence 73, L90 Strength 64 Bayer Leverkusen: attack 87, defence 79, L90 Strength 79 FSV Mainz 05: attack 68, defence 56, L90 Strength 55 SV Elversberg: attack 44, defence 37, L90 Strength 42 RB Leipzig: attack 76, defence 53, L90 Strength 68 Werder Bremen: attack 56, defence 45, L90 Strength 43 Hamburger SV: attack 37, defence 43, L90 Strength 40 FC Augsburg: attack 72, defence 23, L90 Strength 50 Eintracht Frankfurt: attack 54, defence 37, L90 Strength 48 1.FC Köln: attack 36, defence 36, L90 Strength 34 VfB Stuttgart: attack 70, defence 58, L90 Strength 68 1899 Hoffenheim: attack 46, defence 43, L90 Strength 49 FC Schalke 04: attack 33, defence 50, L90 Strength 46 SC Paderborn 07: attack 34, defence 33, L90 Strength 38 Union Berlin: attack 42, defence 41, L90 Strength 39 Borussia Mönchengladbach: attack 34, defence 21, L90 Strength 36
Every Bundesliga club on the Attack and Defence scales. Dashed lines are the league average. Tap a crest to open that club.

Form last 5 for the index · last 6 listed

71
Form index · 5th of 18 in league
Points, last 5
9
Median top-5 club
6.6
Own forecasts
5.4 +3.6
Table8th L90 Strength12th Form5th

Higher in the table than their strength suggests.

Form compares points with what a median top-five club (L90 Strength 50) would take from the same fixtures, so wins over strong sides count for more; 50 is a typical run. "Own forecasts" is the gap to this club's pre-match expectations. Form is context: in our tests it did not improve the forecast.

  • D17 OctH · SC Paderborn 072–21.7 xPts
  • D9 OctA · Borussia Dortmund2–20.5 xPts
  • W19 SepH · FC Augsburg3–21.2 xPts
  • D12 SepA · 1.FC Köln1–11.1 xPts
  • W5 SepH · RB Leipzig3–10.8 xPts
  • L30 AugA · SC Freiburg1–40.8 xPts

Trends last 6, all competitions

Scored 6/6
Clean sheet 0/6
Conceded 2+ 4/6
Over 2.5 5/6
Both teams scored 6/6

Playing style vs Bundesliga average

WERLeagueRank
Goals scored 2.00 1.84 7th
Goals conceded 2.00 1.84 12th
xG 1.58 1.75 12th
xG allowed 1.68 1.75 7th
Scored in 100% 76% 1st
Clean sheets 0% 24% 15th
WERLeagueRank
Shots 14.00 15.55 13th
Shots on target 6.83 5.77 3rd
On target share 49% 35% 1st
Box share 66% 68% 11th
Conversion 14% 12% 6th
WERLeagueRank
Shots allowed 15.33 15.55 8th
On target allowed 5.50 5.71 9th
Blocks 4.50 4.49 7th
Save rate 61% 66% 13th
WERLeagueRank
Possession 47% 50% 12th
Passes 476 455 7th
Pass accuracy 84% 81% 5th
WERLeagueRank
Fouls 12.00 11.43 13th
Fouls suffered 11.17 11.44 9th
Yellow cards 1.17 1.71 5th
Red cards 0.00 0.02 1st
This league season, per match · 6 games. Rank among 18 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.
WERLeagueRank
Goals scored 1.40 1.84 12th
Goals conceded 1.90 1.74 10th
xG 1.31 1.71 14th
xG allowed 1.81 1.62 14th
Scored in 80% 80% 9th
Clean sheets 0% 24% 17th
WERLeagueRank
Shots 12.70 14.87 14th
Shots on target 5.30 5.55 10th
On target share 42% 36% 2nd
Box share 62% 67% 14th
Conversion 11% 12% 13th
WERLeagueRank
Shots allowed 15.70 14.13 13th
On target allowed 5.60 5.23 12th
Blocks 4.40 4.08 7th
Save rate 66% 66% 8th
WERLeagueRank
Possession 46% 51% 14th
Passes 458 455 7th
Pass accuracy 83% 82% 7th
WERLeagueRank
Fouls 10.30 10.89 6th
Fouls suffered 8.80 10.68 17th
Yellow cards 1.10 1.70 2nd
Red cards 0.10 0.02 15th
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 games. Rank among 18 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.

Home and away this league season

Home2.33pts per game2-1-0 · 2.7–1.7 goals · 3 games
Away0.67pts per game0-2-1 · 1.3–2.3 goals · 3 games

Goal timing this league season · 6 games

1 1 0-15
4 16-30
1 31-45
1 3 46-60
4 61-75
6 3 76-90

scored conceded, per 15 minutes

In forecastVia Att/DefContextLeague average

Possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Goals, xG and shots on target feed the Attack and Defence ratings. The rest describes how the team plays and does not change the forecast.

Team rankings Bundesliga · 6 games · rank of 18

Attack

GF 12 7th / 18
GF/G 2.00 7th / 18
xG/G 1.58 12th / 18
G − xG +0.42 6th / 18

Defence

GA 12 12th / 18
GA/G 2.00 12th / 18
xGA/G 1.68 7th / 18
xGA − GA -0.32 12th / 18

Overall

Pts 9 7th / 18
xPts 6.3 16th / 18
PPG 1.50 7th / 18
TR 6.96 8th / 18
GD +0 9th / 18
xGD -0.6 9th / 18
W 2 9th / 18
L 1 3rd / 18

Scorelines

  • 2–2×2
  • 1–4×1
  • 3–1×1
  • 1–1×1
  • 3–2×1

Goals per game both teams

0% 0
0% 1
17% 2
0% 3
50% 4
33% 5+

Totals club · league

Over 1.5
100%81%
Over 2.5
83%74%
Over 3.5
83%56%
Both scored
100%59%
Clean sheet
0%24%
Failed to score
0%24%
ClubLeague average

This league season only. xPts adds up our pre-match win and draw chances (pure EloLambda, the same numbers as Form). xG and TR come from match data and describe the season so far; none of these rankings change the forecast directly.