Werder Bremen

8th · Bundesliga · 9 points · Matches played: 6

5 points behind Bayern München · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+7.6 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed +5.3 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 42.9+7.6
World Rank 113th Global, by Elo
Bundesliga Rank 12th L90 Strength
Last SC Paderborn 07H xG 2.9–0.9 2–2 Next FSV Mainz 05A 23%

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Upcoming fixtures

Werder Bremen · All competitions

Forecast
FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga 2026-2027 · Away 23% win 0.91 xPts 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home 50% win 1.72 xPts VfB StuttgartBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away 19% win 0.76 xPts Hamburger SVBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Bayern MünchenBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Union BerlinBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts FC Schalke 04Bundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts SV ElversbergBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts SC FreiburgBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts RB LeipzigBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts 1.FC KölnBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts FC AugsburgBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Borussia DortmundBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts SC Paderborn 07Bundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts VfB StuttgartBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Hamburger SVBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Bayern MünchenBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Union BerlinBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts FC Schalke 04Bundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts SV ElversbergBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts

xPts = 3 × win probability + draw probability. — means no published forecast. Open a match for xG and the full forecast.

Results

Werder Bremen · All competitions

Full time
SC Paderborn 07Bundesliga 2026-2027 · Home D 2–2 2.9–0.9 xG -0.7 Δpts Borussia DortmundBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away D 2–2 1.2–2.5 xG +0.5 Δpts FC AugsburgBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home W 3–2 2.8–1.1 xG +1.8 Δpts 1.FC KölnBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away D 1–1 1.1–1.7 xG -0.1 Δpts RB LeipzigBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home W 3–1 1.0–1.5 xG +2.2 Δpts SC FreiburgBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away L 1–4 0.5–2.4 xG -0.8 Δpts

Score and actual xG show Werder Bremen first. Δpts = points taken − pre-match xPts. — means data unavailable.

Current load Low · 6

Rest profile7 days since last match
0%
Schedule load1 matches in last 14 days
0%
Travel load346 km to venue, 0 km in 14 days
20%
Squad availability10 out, 4 key: Y. Regeer, S. Lynen · Last match: 17 Oct
25%

Load before the next match, at FSV Mainz 05, 24 Oct. Squad availability is shown separately and is not part of the score; availability is the share of squad weight missing, the same input the forecast uses for absences.

Schedule difficulty all competitions

Each bar is one match: 50% match difficulty from current relative Elo strength + 50% calendar load (rest, match congestion and travel). Higher means harder, on a 0–100 scale. This is a descriptive index, not a win probability. Lighter bars are upcoming; the dashed line marks today. Grey marks missing data. 30 Aug at SC Freiburg: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 68/100
L
 Aug 5 Sep vs RB Leipzig: Schedule difficulty 36/100; match difficulty 71/100
W
 Sep 12 Sep at 1.FC Köln: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 42/100
D
 19 Sep vs FC Augsburg: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 56/100
W
 9 Oct at Borussia Dortmund: Schedule difficulty 41/100; match difficulty 81/100
D
 Oct 17 Oct vs SC Paderborn 07: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 46/100
D
 24 Oct at FSV Mainz 05: Schedule difficulty 33/100; match difficulty 60/100 31 Oct vs 1899 Hoffenheim: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 55/100 7 Nov at VfB Stuttgart: Schedule difficulty 39/100; match difficulty 71/100 Nov 22 Nov vs Hamburger SV: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 47/100 27 Nov vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 44/100 5 Dec at Eintracht Frankfurt: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 55/100 Dec 12 Dec vs Bayer Leverkusen: Schedule difficulty 40/100; match difficulty 80/100 19 Dec at Bayern München: Schedule difficulty 50/100; match difficulty 93/100 9 Jan vs Union Berlin: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 47/100 Jan 12 Jan at FC Schalke 04: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 52/100 16 Jan vs SV Elversberg: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 49/100 23 Jan vs SC Freiburg: Schedule difficulty 42/100; match difficulty 68/100 30 Jan at RB Leipzig: Schedule difficulty 39/100; match difficulty 71/100 6 Feb vs 1.FC Köln: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 42/100 Feb 13 Feb at FC Augsburg: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 56/100 20 Feb vs Borussia Dortmund: Schedule difficulty 41/100; match difficulty 81/100 27 Feb at SC Paderborn 07: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 46/100 2 Mar vs FSV Mainz 05: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 60/100 Mar 6 Mar at 1899 Hoffenheim: Schedule difficulty 38/100; match difficulty 55/100 13 Mar vs VfB Stuttgart: Schedule difficulty 43/100; match difficulty 71/100 20 Mar at Hamburger SV: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 47/100 3 Apr at Borussia Mönchengladbach: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 44/100 Apr 10 Apr vs Eintracht Frankfurt: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 55/100 17 Apr at Bayer Leverkusen: Schedule difficulty 40/100; match difficulty 80/100 24 Apr vs Bayern München: Schedule difficulty 47/100; match difficulty 93/100 8 May at Union Berlin: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 47/100 May 15 May vs FC Schalke 04: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 52/100 22 May at SV Elversberg: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 49/100

Schedule next 30 days · forecast and load

All fixtures and load →
Rest7 daysbefore MAI
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel / 14d0 kmaway trips
Schedule load6%Low
at FSV Mainz 05Sat 24 Oct, 14:30 Bundesliga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 55 23%win20%draw56%loss Low load · 7 d rest vs 1899 HoffenheimSat 31 Oct, 14:30 Bundesliga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 49 50%win22%draw28%loss Low load · 7 d rest at VfB StuttgartSat 7 Nov, 17:30 Bundesliga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 68 19%win19%draw62%loss Low load · 7.1 d rest
Win · draw · loss: LOAD90 forecastLoad bar: rest, matches and travel before each game (context; only 4+ matches in 14 days changes the forecast)
Full match preview oneScored → at FSV Mainz 05, 24 OctOdds, value, live score

Fixture Swing

Opponent opportunity across the next 3 matches · all competitions

2 of 3 forecasts available · Partial window

Attack Swing+3%

Baseline 3.46 → Forecast 3.58 expected goals · 2 included matches

Conceding Swing+1%

Baseline 3.86 → Forecast 3.88 expected goals conceded · 2 included matches

Opportunity for the next 3 matches
MatchAttackConceding riskGoals · Baseline → Forecast
at FSV Mainz 0524 Oct · Bundesliga 2026-2027 −4% +8% 1.55 → 1.48
vs 1899 Hoffenheim31 Oct · Bundesliga 2026-2027 +10% −9% 1.92 → 2.10
at VfB Stuttgart7 Nov · Bundesliga 2026-2027 — — Opportunity unavailable

Swing compares total forecast goals with total baseline goals for the included matches. Forecasts are available up to 21 days ahead. Missing snapshots and different model revisions are excluded; a partial window covers only the matches shown with values. Your team's own conditions are kept in each baseline.

Next match · Match Opportunity

Werder Bremen

Baseline: average Bundesliga opponent

Attack Downlift −4% Expected goals Baseline1.55Forecast1.48
Conceding Risk +8% Expected goals conceded Baseline2.15Forecast2.33
Clean Sheet −1.9 pp Chance of conceding no goals Baseline11.6%Forecast9.8%