Clubs Compare

Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano

Real strength. Different football profiles.

Celta Vigo

La Liga · 2026-2027

Rating as of 20 Oct 2026
Power53.5

Rayo Vallecano

La Liga · 2026-2027

Rating as of 20 Oct 2026
Power57.8
The football profile

Club DNA

Celta VigoRayo Vallecano

Strength Profile · Current

Fixed 0–100 ratings. Power is the Elo baseline; Attack and Defence use a common reference opponent. Form is opponent-adjusted.

Strength profile radarCommon axes run from zero at the centre to 100 at the edge. Exact values appear alongside. A missing metric leaves the shape incomplete. 255075100 Power Attack Defence Form Consistency Squad Availability Celta Vigo · Power 53.5 ptsCelta Vigo · Attack 36.0 ptsCelta Vigo · Defence 61.1 ptsCelta Vigo · Form 47.3 ptsCelta Vigo · Consistency 58.7 ptsCelta Vigo · Squad Availability 85.6 % Rayo Vallecano · Power 57.8 ptsRayo Vallecano · Attack 60.6 ptsRayo Vallecano · Defence 60.2 ptsRayo Vallecano · Form 66.1 ptsRayo Vallecano · Consistency 65.4 ptsRayo Vallecano · Squad Availability 82.3 % Strength profile radarCommon axes run from zero at the centre to 100 at the edge. Exact values appear alongside. A missing metric leaves the shape incomplete. 255075100 Power Attack Defence Form Consistency SquadAvailability Celta Vigo · Power 53.5 ptsCelta Vigo · Attack 36.0 ptsCelta Vigo · Defence 61.1 ptsCelta Vigo · Form 47.3 ptsCelta Vigo · Consistency 58.7 ptsCelta Vigo · Squad Availability 85.6 % Rayo Vallecano · Power 57.8 ptsRayo Vallecano · Attack 60.6 ptsRayo Vallecano · Defence 60.2 ptsRayo Vallecano · Form 66.1 ptsRayo Vallecano · Consistency 65.4 ptsRayo Vallecano · Squad Availability 82.3 %
Ratings · 0–100 · Availability is a percentage

Strength comparison

Point gaps · Availability in percentage points

53.5Power57.8
Rayo Vallecano +4.3 pts
36.0Attack60.6
Rayo Vallecano +24.6 pts
61.1Defence60.2
Celta Vigo +0.9 pts
47.3Form66.1
Rayo Vallecano +18.8 pts
58.7Consistency65.4
Rayo Vallecano +6.7 pts
85.6%Squad Availability82.3%
Celta Vigo +3.3 pp

Consistency measures variation in points minus LOAD90 expected points, centred on the club’s average gap. Higher means less variation, not better results. Squad Availability is the percentage of model-weighted squad available for the last completed match, using its saved pre-match snapshot. It does not predict readiness for the next match. Missing historical data stays unavailable.

What separates them

The Difference

  • Rayo Vallecano has the stronger attacking profile.
  • Rayo Vallecano shows better recent form.
  • Rayo Vallecano has less variable result gaps relative to LOAD90 expectations.
  • Celta Vigo had more of its weighted squad available for its last completed match.
Descriptive rating gaps, not a match forecast. Small gaps are left out; missing ratings are not compared.

Celta Vigo · Form 5/5 · Consistency 20/20 covered matches · 3 pre-match / 17 historical forecast backfills · Availability · last completed match 18 Oct 2026

Rayo Vallecano · Form 5/5 · Consistency 20/20 covered matches · 1 pre-match / 19 historical forecast backfills · Availability · last completed match 19 Oct 2026

How Consistency works

For each match, gap = points earned − LOAD90 expected points. Consistency = 100 × (1 − SD(gaps) / 3), with SD calculated around the window’s mean gap. The endpoints come from the mathematical bounds of point gaps; this is not a fitted percentile or a forecast factor. A constant positive or negative gap can be consistent.

Current uses the latest 20 completed tracked matches within one year. At least 15 usable forecasts and 75% coverage are required. A 15–19-match score is provisional; comparative Consistency insights require 20 each. Historical backfills are reconstructed expectations, not forecasts archived before kickoff. Result randomness and changes in model calibration can affect the score.

Celta Vigo · Current gap SD 1.24 points · mean gap -0.28 · Full window

Rayo Vallecano · Current gap SD 1.04 points · mean gap 0.10 · Full window

Playing Style · Current

Observed profile · last 10 matches before each club’s reference fixture. Native units and coverage are shown below.

Playing style radarEach axis has its own labelled native range, shared by both clubs and both periods. Grid rings mark quarters of those ranges. Exact values appear alongside; missing data leaves the shape incomplete. Possession 0–100 % Pass accuracy 0–100 % Shots in the box 0–100 % On target share 0–100 % Shot Frequency 0–6 shots/100 passes Corner Pressure 0–12 corners/90 Celta Vigo · Possession 49.4 %Celta Vigo · Pass accuracy 86.7 %Celta Vigo · Shots in the box 50.4 %Celta Vigo · On target share 31.7 %Celta Vigo · Shot Frequency 2.1 shots/100 passesCelta Vigo · Corner Pressure 3.7 corners/90 Rayo Vallecano · Possession 50.4 %Rayo Vallecano · Pass accuracy 81.4 %Rayo Vallecano · Shots in the box 53.9 %Rayo Vallecano · On target share 35.3 %Rayo Vallecano · Shot Frequency 3.4 shots/100 passesRayo Vallecano · Corner Pressure 4.4 corners/90 Playing style radarEach axis has its own labelled native range, shared by both clubs and both periods. Grid rings mark quarters of those ranges. Exact values appear alongside; missing data leaves the shape incomplete. Possession 0–100 % Passaccuracy 0–100 % Shots inthe box 0–100 % On targetshare 0–100 % ShotFrequency 0–6 shots/100 passes CornerPressure 0–12 corners/90 Celta Vigo · Possession 49.4 %Celta Vigo · Pass accuracy 86.7 %Celta Vigo · Shots in the box 50.4 %Celta Vigo · On target share 31.7 %Celta Vigo · Shot Frequency 2.1 shots/100 passesCelta Vigo · Corner Pressure 3.7 corners/90 Rayo Vallecano · Possession 50.4 %Rayo Vallecano · Pass accuracy 81.4 %Rayo Vallecano · Shots in the box 53.9 %Rayo Vallecano · On target share 35.3 %Rayo Vallecano · Shot Frequency 3.4 shots/100 passesRayo Vallecano · Corner Pressure 4.4 corners/90
Native units · axis ranges shown · larger is not better

How they play

Differences in each metric’s native units

49.4%Possession50.4%
Rayo Vallecano +1.0 pp
86.7%Pass accuracy81.4%
Celta Vigo +5.3 pp
50.4%Shots in the box53.9%
Rayo Vallecano +3.5 pp
31.7%On target share35.3%
Rayo Vallecano +3.6 pp
2.1Shot Frequency3.4
Rayo Vallecano +1.3 shots/100 passes
3.7Corner Pressure4.4
Rayo Vallecano +0.7 corners/90

Shot Frequency = shots per 100 passes on the same covered matches: how quickly passing sequences turn into attempts. Corner Pressure = corners per completed 90-minute game. These describe attacking tendencies, not strength; extra time and custom-length games are excluded.

These are observed profiles. League and schedule differences can affect them. The radar uses native axis ranges shared by both clubs and both periods; a larger shape does not imply superiority.

Celta Vigo · Window 10 matches · before 25 Oct 2026 · Shot Frequency 10/10 · Corner Pressure 9/10 covered regulation matches. Per-metric coverage of the four percentage shares is unavailable.

Rayo Vallecano · Window 10 matches · before 10 Oct 2026 · Shot Frequency 10/10 · Corner Pressure 10/10 covered regulation matches. Per-metric coverage of the four percentage shares is unavailable.

Strength Profile · Season Average

Match-sampled averages of available ratings this season, across tracked competitions. These are not time-weighted averages or a measure of consistency.

Strength profile radarCommon axes run from zero at the centre to 100 at the edge. Exact values appear alongside. A missing metric leaves the shape incomplete. 255075100 Power Attack Defence Form Consistency Squad Availability Celta Vigo · Power 54.7 ptsCelta Vigo · Attack 36.7 ptsCelta Vigo · Defence 58.0 ptsCelta Vigo · Form 27.2 ptsCelta Vigo · Consistency 56.0 ptsCelta Vigo · Squad Availability 84.3 % Rayo Vallecano · Power 57.3 ptsRayo Vallecano · Form 47.3 ptsRayo Vallecano · Consistency 63.6 pts Strength profile radarCommon axes run from zero at the centre to 100 at the edge. Exact values appear alongside. A missing metric leaves the shape incomplete. 255075100 Power Attack Defence Form Consistency SquadAvailability Celta Vigo · Power 54.7 ptsCelta Vigo · Attack 36.7 ptsCelta Vigo · Defence 58.0 ptsCelta Vigo · Form 27.2 ptsCelta Vigo · Consistency 56.0 ptsCelta Vigo · Squad Availability 84.3 % Rayo Vallecano · Power 57.3 ptsRayo Vallecano · Form 47.3 ptsRayo Vallecano · Consistency 63.6 pts
Ratings · 0–100 · Availability is a percentage

Strength comparison

Point gaps · Availability in percentage points

54.7Power57.3
Rayo Vallecano +2.6 pts
36.7Attack—
Shared data unavailable
58.0Defence—
Shared data unavailable
27.2Form47.3
Rayo Vallecano +20.1 pts
56.0Consistency63.6
Rayo Vallecano +7.6 pts
84.3%Squad Availability—
Shared data unavailable

Consistency measures variation in points minus LOAD90 expected points, centred on the club’s average gap. Higher means less variation, not better results. Squad Availability is the percentage of model-weighted squad available for the last completed match, using its saved pre-match snapshot. It does not predict readiness for the next match. Missing historical data stays unavailable.

What separates them

The Difference

  • Rayo Vallecano has the higher average Form value.
  • Rayo Vallecano has the higher average Consistency value.
Descriptive rating gaps, not a match forecast. Small gaps are left out; missing ratings are not compared.

Celta Vigo · Power 11 · Attack 3 · Defence 3 · Form 8 · Consistency 11 · Squad Availability 3 · 3 pre-match / 8 historical Elo backfills. Minimum 3 observations per average. Consistency averages eligible rolling windows, which overlap; availability uses genuine pre-match snapshots only. Historical Form is reconstructed using the current calibration.

Rayo Vallecano · Power 8 · Attack 1 · Defence 1 · Form 5 · Consistency 8 · Squad Availability 1 · 1 pre-match / 7 historical Elo backfills. Minimum 3 observations per average. Consistency averages eligible rolling windows, which overlap; availability uses genuine pre-match snapshots only. Historical Form is reconstructed using the current calibration.

How Consistency works

For each match, gap = points earned − LOAD90 expected points. Consistency = 100 × (1 − SD(gaps) / 3), with SD calculated around the window’s mean gap. The endpoints come from the mathematical bounds of point gaps; this is not a fitted percentile or a forecast factor. A constant positive or negative gap can be consistent.

Current uses the latest 20 completed tracked matches within one year. At least 15 usable forecasts and 75% coverage are required. A 15–19-match score is provisional; comparative Consistency insights require 20 each. Historical backfills are reconstructed expectations, not forecasts archived before kickoff. Result randomness and changes in model calibration can affect the score.

Celta Vigo · Current gap SD 1.24 points · mean gap -0.28 · Full window

Rayo Vallecano · Current gap SD 1.04 points · mean gap 0.10 · Full window

Playing Style · Season Average

Observed profile · league season before each club’s reference fixture. Native units and coverage are shown below.

Playing style radarEach axis has its own labelled native range, shared by both clubs and both periods. Grid rings mark quarters of those ranges. Exact values appear alongside; missing data leaves the shape incomplete. Possession 0–100 % Pass accuracy 0–100 % Shots in the box 0–100 % On target share 0–100 % Shot Frequency 0–6 shots/100 passes Corner Pressure 0–12 corners/90 Celta Vigo · Possession 50.0 %Celta Vigo · Pass accuracy 86.5 %Celta Vigo · Shots in the box 47.0 %Celta Vigo · On target share 34.1 %Celta Vigo · Shot Frequency 1.9 shots/100 passesCelta Vigo · Corner Pressure 3.1 corners/90 Rayo Vallecano · Possession 48.7 %Rayo Vallecano · Pass accuracy 80.7 %Rayo Vallecano · Shots in the box 56.9 %Rayo Vallecano · On target share 34.0 %Rayo Vallecano · Shot Frequency 3.5 shots/100 passesRayo Vallecano · Corner Pressure 5.3 corners/90 Playing style radarEach axis has its own labelled native range, shared by both clubs and both periods. Grid rings mark quarters of those ranges. Exact values appear alongside; missing data leaves the shape incomplete. Possession 0–100 % Passaccuracy 0–100 % Shots inthe box 0–100 % On targetshare 0–100 % ShotFrequency 0–6 shots/100 passes CornerPressure 0–12 corners/90 Celta Vigo · Possession 50.0 %Celta Vigo · Pass accuracy 86.5 %Celta Vigo · Shots in the box 47.0 %Celta Vigo · On target share 34.1 %Celta Vigo · Shot Frequency 1.9 shots/100 passesCelta Vigo · Corner Pressure 3.1 corners/90 Rayo Vallecano · Possession 48.7 %Rayo Vallecano · Pass accuracy 80.7 %Rayo Vallecano · Shots in the box 56.9 %Rayo Vallecano · On target share 34.0 %Rayo Vallecano · Shot Frequency 3.5 shots/100 passesRayo Vallecano · Corner Pressure 5.3 corners/90
Native units · axis ranges shown · larger is not better

How they play

Differences in each metric’s native units

50.0%Possession48.7%
Celta Vigo +1.3 pp
86.5%Pass accuracy80.7%
Celta Vigo +5.8 pp
47.0%Shots in the box56.9%
Rayo Vallecano +9.9 pp
34.1%On target share34.0%
Celta Vigo +0.1 pp
1.9Shot Frequency3.5
Rayo Vallecano +1.7 shots/100 passes
3.1Corner Pressure5.3
Rayo Vallecano +2.2 corners/90

Shot Frequency = shots per 100 passes on the same covered matches: how quickly passing sequences turn into attempts. Corner Pressure = corners per completed 90-minute game. These describe attacking tendencies, not strength; extra time and custom-length games are excluded.

These are observed profiles. League and schedule differences can affect them. The radar uses native axis ranges shared by both clubs and both periods; a larger shape does not imply superiority.

Celta Vigo · Window 9 matches · before 25 Oct 2026 · Shot Frequency 9/9 · Corner Pressure 8/9 covered regulation matches. Per-metric coverage of the four percentage shares is unavailable.

Rayo Vallecano · Window 7 matches · before 10 Oct 2026 · Shot Frequency 7/7 · Corner Pressure 7/7 covered regulation matches. Per-metric coverage of the four percentage shares is unavailable.

The season so far

Historical Trend

Power · 0–100

Base Power at recorded match dates. Solid lines join saved pre-match ratings; dashed segments include historical Elo backfills. The same fixed scale is used for both clubs.

Season Power historyAvailable pre-match Power observations and historical Elo backfills. Lines connect observations, not daily measurements. Exact dates and values are available in the table below. 0255075100 Celta Vigo · 2026-08-22 17:30:00 UTC · 58.6 · backfill Celta Vigo · 2026-08-27 18:30:00 UTC · 59 · backfill Celta Vigo · 2026-08-30 19:30:00 UTC · 56.7 · backfill Celta Vigo · 2026-09-03 19:00:00 UTC · 53.4 · backfill Celta Vigo · 2026-09-07 17:00:00 UTC · 53.9 · backfill Celta Vigo · 2026-09-13 12:00:00 UTC · 54.2 · backfill Celta Vigo · 2026-09-16 16:45:00 UTC · 53.6 · backfill Celta Vigo · 2026-09-19 16:30:00 UTC · 51.6 · backfill Celta Vigo · 2026-10-11 12:00:00 UTC · 54 · pre Celta Vigo · 2026-10-15 19:00:00 UTC · 54.1 · pre Celta Vigo · 2026-10-18 14:15:00 UTC · 52.4 · pre Rayo Vallecano · 2026-08-15 19:30:00 UTC · 59 · backfill Rayo Vallecano · 2026-08-20 19:00:00 UTC · 57.4 · backfill Rayo Vallecano · 2026-08-31 19:30:00 UTC · 56.7 · backfill Rayo Vallecano · 2026-09-05 16:30:00 UTC · 56.2 · backfill Rayo Vallecano · 2026-09-12 19:00:00 UTC · 57.1 · backfill Rayo Vallecano · 2026-09-15 17:00:00 UTC · 56.5 · backfill Rayo Vallecano · 2026-09-19 12:00:00 UTC · 57.5 · backfill Rayo Vallecano · 2026-10-19 19:00:00 UTC · 57.6 · pre 15 Aug 202619 Oct 2026
Celta VigoRayo Vallecano
View history data and coverage
ClubDate (UTC)PowerSource
Celta Vigo2026-08-22 17:30:0058.6Historical Elo backfill
Celta Vigo2026-08-27 18:30:0059.0Historical Elo backfill
Celta Vigo2026-08-30 19:30:0056.7Historical Elo backfill
Celta Vigo2026-09-03 19:00:0053.4Historical Elo backfill
Celta Vigo2026-09-07 17:00:0053.9Historical Elo backfill
Celta Vigo2026-09-13 12:00:0054.2Historical Elo backfill
Celta Vigo2026-09-16 16:45:0053.6Historical Elo backfill
Celta Vigo2026-09-19 16:30:0051.6Historical Elo backfill
Celta Vigo2026-10-11 12:00:0054.0Saved pre-match
Celta Vigo2026-10-15 19:00:0054.1Saved pre-match
Celta Vigo2026-10-18 14:15:0052.4Saved pre-match
Rayo Vallecano2026-08-15 19:30:0059.0Historical Elo backfill
Rayo Vallecano2026-08-20 19:00:0057.4Historical Elo backfill
Rayo Vallecano2026-08-31 19:30:0056.7Historical Elo backfill
Rayo Vallecano2026-09-05 16:30:0056.2Historical Elo backfill
Rayo Vallecano2026-09-12 19:00:0057.1Historical Elo backfill
Rayo Vallecano2026-09-15 17:00:0056.5Historical Elo backfill
Rayo Vallecano2026-09-19 12:00:0057.5Historical Elo backfill
Rayo Vallecano2026-10-19 19:00:0057.6Saved pre-match
Chances, finishing & results

Efficiency

From chances to results. Exact values share a scale within each row; colours identify the clubs.

Last 10

Celta Vigo
Rayo Vallecano
ConversionGoals / shots · %
10.6% 10/10 covered
11.3% 10/10 covered
Save RateSaves / shots on target faced · %
77.1% 10/10 covered
67.3% 10/10 covered
Goals − xGFinishing gap · per match
+0.11 10/10 covered
+0.28 10/10 covered
xGA − GAGoals prevented · per match
+0.16 10/10 covered
-0.04 10/10 covered
Shot QualityObserved xG / shot
0.095 10/10 covered
0.092 10/10 covered
Shot VolumeShots / 90
10.4 10/10 covered
13.3 10/10 covered
xG / matchLeague season · fixed window
0.92 9/9 covered
1.27 7/7 covered
xGA / matchLeague season · fixed window
1.18 9/9 covered
1.76 7/7 covered
Points / gameLeague season · fixed window
1.22 9/9 league matches
1.13 8/8 league matches
Points vs expected · Form windowUp to 5 matches · stored pure forecasts
+0.27 5/5 Form window
+1.55 5/5 Form window

Celta Vigo · Statistics before 25 Oct 2026 · Recent results W · L · D · W · L

Rayo Vallecano · Statistics before 10 Oct 2026 · Recent results D · D · W · L · W

League season

Celta Vigo
Rayo Vallecano
ConversionGoals / shots · %
11.8% 9/9 covered
11.7% 7/7 covered
Save RateSaves / shots on target faced · %
79.5% 9/9 covered
59.0% 7/7 covered
Goals − xGFinishing gap · per match
+0.19 9/9 covered
+0.30 7/7 covered
xGA − GAGoals prevented · per match
+0.40 9/9 covered
-0.52 7/7 covered
Shot QualityObserved xG / shot
0.098 9/9 covered
0.094 7/7 covered
Shot VolumeShots / 90
9.4 9/9 covered
13.4 7/7 covered
xG / matchLeague season · fixed window
0.92 9/9 covered
1.27 7/7 covered
xGA / matchLeague season · fixed window
1.18 9/9 covered
1.76 7/7 covered
Points / gameLeague season · fixed window
1.22 9/9 league matches
1.13 8/8 league matches
Points vs expected · Form windowUp to 5 matches · stored pure forecasts
+0.27 5/5 Form window
+1.55 5/5 Form window

Celta Vigo · Statistics before 25 Oct 2026 · Recent results W · L · D · W · L

Rayo Vallecano · Statistics before 10 Oct 2026 · Recent results D · D · W · L · W

Positive Goals − xG means more goals scored than the observed chances predicted. Positive xGA − GA means fewer goals conceded than those chances predicted; it reflects defence and goalkeeping together. Gaps are per covered match and pair goals and xG on the same matches. Shot Quality pairs total xG and total shots. Minimum three known matches per metric; missing data stays unavailable.

Butterfly bars grow from the centre towards each club. Length shows magnitude, not superiority; negative gaps use stripes and a minus sign. Percentages use 0–100%, PPG uses 0–3; other rows share the larger absolute value as their limit. xG, xGA and PPG retain their league-season window. Points vs expected retains the latest up to five completed matches with stored pure forecasts across tracked competitions; results are newest first. These observed metrics are not adjusted for league or opponent strength.

About this comparison

Strength ratings share LOAD90’s fixed scales across leagues. Elo reflects opponent quality; Attack and Defence describe performance against the same reference club on a neutral pitch. Form adjusts for opponents and venue. League Strength is not added a second time. Cross-league ratings remain model estimates; sparse connections between leagues and incomplete data limit precision. Explore the methodology →