Football / The bigger picture

Insights.

Go beyond the result. Follow the patterns. See the evidence.

How to read the signals →

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Competition selects current clubs. Result windows include all recorded competitions; points comparisons use covered current-league matches.

League insights

Primeira Liga · 21 signals · 15 clubs in this view

Explore all signals ↓

Automatically selected connections · one story per club · experimental Insight Score orders stories, not teams.

BenficaDefensive consistency, positive chance balanceInsight Score70/100

Clean sheets and low goals conceded accompany a positive observed xG balance. The xG profile describes overall chance balance; it is not, by itself, proof of strong defending.

Clean sheetsLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-20 → 2026-10-15 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
4/10
Goals conceded / matchLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-20 → 2026-10-15 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
0.8
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
+1.26
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 70/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
84.0
Recency
43.7
Context
80.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Clean sheets — Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Goals conceded / match — Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.03; xG against 0.77. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
Santa ClaraDefensive consistency, positive chance balanceInsight Score60/100

Clean sheets and low goals conceded accompany a positive observed xG balance. The xG profile describes overall chance balance; it is not, by itself, proof of strong defending.

Clean sheetsLast 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-10 → 2026-10-10 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
5/8
Goals conceded / matchLast 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-10 → 2026-10-10 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
0.5
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
+0.43
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 60/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
65.4
Recency
37.0
Context
80.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Clean sheets — Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Goals conceded / match — Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.18; xG against 0.75. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
EstrelaGoals at both endsInsight Score53/100

Scoring and conceding are both above the current league reference, with both teams scoring regularly. The result window spans all competitions; this comparison is not adjusted for opposition.

Goals scored / matchLast 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
1.8
Goals conceded / matchLast 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
1.9
Both teams scoredLast 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
75%
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
−0.66
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 53/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
44.0
Recency
38.3
Context
80.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Goals scored / match — Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Goals conceded / match — Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Both teams scored — Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.09; xG against 1.75. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Each signal belongs to one category. Categories sum to All signals; stories combine related evidence across categories.

Defence21 signals · 15 clubs

Select a row to explore the evidence. Scroll to see all columns →

Santa Clara Goals conceded per match 0.5 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores54

This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-10 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 54/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
33.5
Recency
74.0
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Santa Clara’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-10NacionalH2–2D
2026-08-15Academico ViseuA1–0W
2026-08-23FamalicaoH1–0W
2026-08-29AlvercaA1–1D
2026-09-06Rio AveH4–0W
2026-09-13AroucaA2–1W
2026-09-20SC BragaH0–0D
2026-10-10Casa PiaA1–0W
Full club analysis →
Santa Clara Clean sheets 5 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores65

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-10 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 65/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
65.4
Recency
74.0
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Santa Clara’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-10NacionalH2–2DNo
2026-08-15Academico ViseuA1–0WYes
2026-08-23FamalicaoH1–0WYes
2026-08-29AlvercaA1–1DNo
2026-09-06Rio AveH4–0WYes
2026-09-13AroucaA2–1WNo
2026-09-20SC BragaH0–0DYes
2026-10-10Casa PiaA1–0WYes
Full club analysis →
Benfica Goals conceded per match 0.8 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores58

This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-20 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 58/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
23.8
Recency
87.5
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Benfica’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-20AarhusH3–1W
2026-08-27AarhusA3–1W
2026-08-31EstorilH2–1W
2026-09-05MaritimoA3–0W
2026-09-09MoreirenseA4–0W
2026-09-13GIL VicenteH3–1W
2026-09-16AC MilanA2–0W
2026-09-20FC PortoA1–3L
2026-10-11GuimaraesH2–0W
2026-10-15CelticH4–1W
Full club analysis →
GIL Vicente Goals conceded per match 0.8 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores57

This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 57/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
23.9
Recency
99.9
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from GIL Vicente’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-09Rio AveH1–0W
2026-08-24Casa PiaH2–0W
2026-08-30FamalicaoA0–0D
2026-09-06Academico ViseuH0–1L
2026-09-13BenficaA1–3L
2026-09-19MaritimoH1–1D
2026-10-09MoreirenseA1–0W
2026-10-19SC BragaA2–1W
Full club analysis →
FC Porto Goals conceded per match 0.9 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores56

This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 56/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
19.7
Recency
84.6
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from FC Porto’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-09AlvercaH2–0W
2026-08-15Rio AveA2–0W
2026-08-23AroucaH2–0W
2026-08-29Academico ViseuA3–0W
2026-09-04MoreirenseH2–1W
2026-09-08Manchester CityH0–2L
2026-09-12Casa PiaA4–1W
2026-09-20BenficaH3–1W
2026-10-10MaritimoA2–1W
2026-10-14Real BetisA2–3L
Full club analysis →
Arouca Goals conceded per match 0.9 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores50

This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 50/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
19.1
Recency
76.5
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Arouca’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-08GuimaraesA1–0W
2026-08-16MoreirenseH4–0W
2026-08-23FC PortoA0–2L
2026-08-29MaritimoH2–1W
2026-09-07EstorilA0–0D
2026-09-13Santa ClaraH1–2L
2026-09-19Sporting CPA2–2D
2026-10-11EstrelaH1–0W
Full club analysis →
Arouca Clean sheets 4 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores58

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 58/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
42.3
Recency
76.5
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Arouca’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-08GuimaraesA1–0WYes
2026-08-16MoreirenseH4–0WYes
2026-08-23FC PortoA0–2LNo
2026-08-29MaritimoH2–1WNo
2026-09-07EstorilA0–0DYes
2026-09-13Santa ClaraH1–2LNo
2026-09-19Sporting CPA2–2DNo
2026-10-11EstrelaH1–0WYes
Full club analysis →
GIL Vicente Clean sheets 4 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores64

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 64/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
42.3
Recency
99.9
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from GIL Vicente’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-09Rio AveH1–0WYes
2026-08-24Casa PiaH2–0WYes
2026-08-30FamalicaoA0–0DYes
2026-09-06Academico ViseuH0–1LNo
2026-09-13BenficaA1–3LNo
2026-09-19MaritimoH1–1DNo
2026-10-09MoreirenseA1–0WYes
2026-10-19SC BragaA2–1WNo
Full club analysis →
Nacional Goals conceded per match 2.3 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores55

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-10 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 55/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
33.5
Recency
76.5
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Nacional’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-10Santa ClaraA2–2D
2026-08-16EstorilH2–0W
2026-08-23GuimaraesA0–1L
2026-08-30EstrelaH2–3L
2026-09-05Sporting CPA0–2L
2026-09-12AlvercaH1–3L
2026-09-19FamalicaoH0–4L
2026-10-11Rio AveA2–3L
Full club analysis →
Sporting CP Goals conceded per match 1.0 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores54

This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-13 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 54/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
15.5
Recency
81.8
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Sporting CP’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-08EstrelaA2–2D
2026-08-14GuimaraesH3–2W
2026-08-22AlvercaH3–1W
2026-08-28Rio AveA4–0W
2026-09-05NacionalH2–0W
2026-09-09GalatasarayH3–1W
2026-09-13FamalicaoA1–1D
2026-09-19AroucaH2–2D
2026-10-09SC BragaA3–1W
2026-10-13LensA2–0W
Full club analysis →
Rio Ave Goals conceded per match 2.1 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores53

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 53/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
28.7
Recency
76.5
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Rio Ave’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-09GIL VicenteA0–1L
2026-08-15FC PortoH0–2L
2026-08-22EstorilA2–0W
2026-08-28Sporting CPH0–4L
2026-09-06Santa ClaraA0–4L
2026-09-14EstrelaH3–3D
2026-09-19AlvercaA0–1L
2026-10-11NacionalH3–2W
Full club analysis →
Casa Pia Goals conceded per match 2.1 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores53

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 53/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
28.7
Recency
74.0
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Casa Pia’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-08MaritimoA0–1L
2026-08-17BenficaH0–7L
2026-08-24GIL VicenteA0–2L
2026-08-30MoreirenseH0–1L
2026-09-06GuimaraesA0–0D
2026-09-12FC PortoH1–4L
2026-09-20EstorilA2–1W
2026-10-10Santa ClaraH0–1L
Full club analysis →
Benfica Clean sheets 4 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores59

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-20 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 59/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
25.8
Recency
87.5
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Benfica’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-20AarhusH3–1WNo
2026-08-27AarhusA3–1WNo
2026-08-31EstorilH2–1WNo
2026-09-05MaritimoA3–0WYes
2026-09-09MoreirenseA4–0WYes
2026-09-13GIL VicenteH3–1WNo
2026-09-16AC MilanA2–0WYes
2026-09-20FC PortoA1–3LNo
2026-10-11GuimaraesH2–0WYes
2026-10-15CelticH4–1WNo
Full club analysis →
FC Porto Clean sheets 4 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores58

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 58/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
25.8
Recency
84.6
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from FC Porto’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-09AlvercaH2–0WYes
2026-08-15Rio AveA2–0WYes
2026-08-23AroucaH2–0WYes
2026-08-29Academico ViseuA3–0WYes
2026-09-04MoreirenseH2–1WNo
2026-09-08Manchester CityH0–2LNo
2026-09-12Casa PiaA4–1WNo
2026-09-20BenficaH3–1WNo
2026-10-10MaritimoA2–1WNo
2026-10-14Real BetisA2–3LNo
Full club analysis →
SC Braga Clean sheets 3 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores56

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 56/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
19.2
Recency
99.9
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from SC Braga’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-09MoreirenseA2–2DNo
2026-08-31GuimaraesH1–0WYes
2026-09-05AlvercaA2–1WNo
2026-09-10EstrelaA1–2LNo
2026-09-14EstorilH1–0WYes
2026-09-20Santa ClaraA0–0DYes
2026-10-09Sporting CPH1–3LNo
2026-10-19GIL VicenteH1–2LNo
Full club analysis →
Moreirense Goals conceded per match 1.9 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores49

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-09 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 49/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
19.1
Recency
71.6
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Moreirense’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-09SC BragaH2–2D
2026-08-16AroucaA0–4L
2026-08-30Casa PiaA1–0W
2026-09-04FC PortoA1–2L
2026-09-09BenficaH0–4L
2026-09-14MaritimoH3–1W
2026-09-20GuimaraesA1–1D
2026-10-09GIL VicenteH0–1L
Full club analysis →
Estrela Goals conceded per match 1.9 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores50

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 50/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
19.1
Recency
76.5
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Estrela’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-08Sporting CPH2–2D
2026-08-15AlvercaA2–2D
2026-08-30NacionalA3–2W
2026-09-05FamalicaoH2–2D
2026-09-10SC BragaH2–1W
2026-09-14Rio AveA3–3D
2026-09-20Academico ViseuH0–2L
2026-10-11AroucaA0–1L
Full club analysis →
Sporting CP Clean sheets 3 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores50

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-13 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 50/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
5.8
Recency
81.8
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Sporting CP’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-08EstrelaA2–2DNo
2026-08-14GuimaraesH3–2WNo
2026-08-22AlvercaH3–1WNo
2026-08-28Rio AveA4–0WYes
2026-09-05NacionalH2–0WYes
2026-09-09GalatasarayH3–1WNo
2026-09-13FamalicaoA1–1DNo
2026-09-19AroucaH2–2DNo
2026-10-09SC BragaA3–1WNo
2026-10-13LensA2–0WYes
Full club analysis →
Maritimo Goals conceded per match 1.8 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores48

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 48/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
14.3
Recency
74.0
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Maritimo’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-08Casa PiaH1–0W
2026-08-16FamalicaoA2–1W
2026-08-22Academico ViseuH2–2D
2026-08-29AroucaA1–2L
2026-09-05BenficaH0–3L
2026-09-14MoreirenseA1–3L
2026-09-19GIL VicenteA1–1D
2026-10-10FC PortoH1–2L
Full club analysis →
Estoril Goals conceded per match 1.5 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores44

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 44/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
4.8
Recency
74.0
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Estoril’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-07FamalicaoH1–1D
2026-08-16NacionalA0–2L
2026-08-22Rio AveH0–2L
2026-08-31BenficaA1–2L
2026-09-07AroucaH0–0D
2026-09-14SC BragaA0–1L
2026-09-20Casa PiaH1–2L
2026-10-10Academico ViseuA1–2L
Full club analysis →
Alverca Goals conceded per match 1.5 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores45

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-12 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 45/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
4.8
Recency
79.1
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Alverca’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-09FC PortoA0–2L
2026-08-15EstrelaH2–2D
2026-08-22Sporting CPA1–3L
2026-08-29Santa ClaraH1–1D
2026-09-05SC BragaH1–2L
2026-09-12NacionalA3–1W
2026-09-19Rio AveH1–0W
2026-10-12FamalicaoA4–1W
Full club analysis →

Showing 1–21 of 21 signals

About these insights
A little context goes a long way

Read the signal. Keep the context.

Insights describe what is recorded. Use club and match analysis to explore what comes next.

Insight Score · experimental editorial interest. This version uses 0.35D + 0.25R + 0.20C + 0.20Q. D measures heuristic deviation, R observation recency, C breadth of evidence families and Q data quality. These starting weights are uncalibrated. It is neither team strength, win probability, statistical significance nor forecast confidence. Related result signals share one family; different sources are not automatically statistically independent. Unknown dates receive zero recency; unknown xG coverage limits its quality component. League averages are context references, not opponent-adjusted estimates.

01

Check the window

Result signals use the last 10 recorded matches; away signals use the last 8 away matches. At least 5 are required. Missing and special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound.

02

Read the chart

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored or conceded, capped at 6; zero keeps a marker. Teal / amber / red means win / draw / loss. Faded bars mean the event did not happen. Open the evidence for full scores.

03

Separate the sources

xG uses observed Playing style averages before the next or latest league fixture; coverage can differ between inputs. xPts comes from stored LOAD90 forecasts on identical covered games, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Types alternate for variety. Values are ordered within their own metric, without a combined ranking. These descriptive signals do not change the LOAD90 forecast.

Explore methodology →