Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Sun, Nov 8 · 12:30 Jan Breydelstadion, Brugge
Club Brugge KV 2nd · 21 pts · 8 played
VS— Compare
Anderlecht 5th · 16 pts · 8 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

Club Brugge KV are clear favourites.

Club Brugge KV are the stronger side on L90 Strength (76 vs 43). Recent goals, xG and shots on target add to that edge for Club Brugge KV. Club Brugge KV have 3.7 days of rest, Anderlecht 2.8 and have to travel 88 km.

Away travel88 kmRest days3.7 · 2.8Matches / 14d3 · 3
Club Brugge KV73%
Draw15%
Anderlecht12%
Expected goals 2.88 – 1.11
Club Brugge KV65%
Draw21%
Anderlecht14%
Expected goals 2.07 – 0.86
Club Brugge KV73%
Draw15%
Anderlecht11%
Expected goals 2.88 – 1.11
Club Brugge KV65%
Draw18%
Anderlecht16%
Expected goals 2.57 – 1.25
Club Brugge KV72%
Draw16%
Anderlecht12%
Expected goals 2.74 – 1.07
Over 2.5 76% Both score 64% Likeliest score 2–1
EloLambda forecast, updated 2 days ago. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Brugge)

Forecast from 24 Oct

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Club Brugge KV and Anderlecht. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

Club Brugge KVAnderlecht
76 L90 StrengthIn forecast 43
75 Current StrengthIn forecast 43
86 AttackIn forecast 37
58 DefenceIn forecast 52
86 Form indexContext 59
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Club Brugge KV

Attack—
Defense risk—

Anderlecht

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Club Brugge KVAnderlecht
2.38 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.13
0.50 Goals concededVia Att/Def 0.75
2.55 xGVia Att/Def 1.39
1.00 xG allowedVia Att/Def 0.87
-0.17 Goals minus xGContext -0.26
100% Scored inContext 63%
63% Clean sheetsContext 50%
18.25 ShotsContext 15.00
6.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.75
33% On target shareContext 32%
13.88 Shots in the boxContext 9.50
75% Box shareContext 61%
13% ConversionContext 8%
1.86 OffsidesContext 1.43
13.63 Shots allowedContext 9.88
3.50 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.63
3.88 BlocksContext 2.00
2.88 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.75
82% Save rateContext 76%
64% PossessionIn forecast 62%
601 PassesContext 560
535 Accurate passesContext 482
89% Pass accuracyContext 86%
7.27 Team ratingContext 6.99
7.88 FoulsContext 12.38
11.38 Fouls sufferedContext 11.50
1.38 Yellow cardsContext 2.13
0.13 Red cardsContext 0.00
This league season, per match · 8 and 8 games
2.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.40
1.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 0.70
2.61 xGVia Att/Def 0.95
1.74 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.10
-0.11 Goals minus xGContext +0.45
100% Scored inContext 70%
50% Clean sheetsContext 60%
17.00 ShotsContext 11.88
5.80 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.50
34% On target shareContext 38%
13.70 Shots in the boxContext 7.63
76% Box shareContext 61%
15% ConversionContext 8%
1.67 OffsidesContext 1.50
15.70 Shots allowedContext 11.25
4.60 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.63
4.60 BlocksContext 1.90
3.50 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.75
76% Save rateContext 81%
62% PossessionIn forecast 60%
580 PassesContext 533
515 Accurate passesContext 459
89% Pass accuracyContext 86%
7.17 Team ratingContext 6.93
9.20 FoulsContext 12.90
11.10 Fouls sufferedContext 12.60
1.80 Yellow cardsContext 2.20
0.10 Red cardsContext 0.00
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Club Brugge KV
Rest3.7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d3all competitions
Travel0 km394 km in 14d
Schedule load15%Low
Form 86 · 12 pts vs 7.0 for an average club · +3.1 vs expected
  • W13 OctA · Inter4–30.9 xPts
  • W10 OctA · RAAL La Louvière4–12.3 xPts
  • W20 SepH · Genk3–01.9 xPts
  • W13 SepH · Antwerp3–12.4 xPts
  • L8 SepH · Aston Villa2–31.5 xPts
Anderlecht
Rest2.8 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d3all competitions
Travel88 km99 km in 14d
Schedule load23%Moderate
Form 59 · 9 pts vs 8.0 for an average club · +1.4 vs expected
  • L15 OctA · Dinamo Zagreb0–11.2 xPts
  • W10 OctA · Cercle Brugge2–11.6 xPts
  • W19 SepH · Zulte Waregem3–01.7 xPts
  • L16 SepH · Lyon1–21.5 xPts
  • W11 SepA · KV Mechelen1–01.7 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Club Brugge KV Anderlecht
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 15Moderate · 23
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match3.7UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase, 4 Nov2.8UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase, 5 Nov
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km88 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways394 km99 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 3 / 51 / 3 / 5
Next matchdays after this one13.314.2

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Club Brugge KV Last XI · not confirmed
4-5-1 · vs Inter (A) 4–3, 13 Oct
1Y. Sommer(G)
65J. Seys 44B. Mechele 58J. Spileers 64K. Sabbe
11J. Virgili 20H. Vanaken 8F. Potts 10H. Vetlesen 9Carlos Forbs
7N. Tresoldi
Anderlecht Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Dinamo Zagreb (A) 0–1, 15 Oct
26C. Coosemans(G)
5O. Reabciuk 27L. Pétrot 12A. Omobamidele 50K. Barry
19Thelo Aasgaard 29M. Stroeykens
83T. Degreef 18L. Ambros 10M. Winkler
9M. Cvetković

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Club Brugge KV No reported absences
Anderlecht No reported absences
Total impact vs full squads
  • Club Brugge KV+0.0 pp
  • Draw+0.0 pp
  • Anderlecht+0.0 pp

From eScored squad data: each player's weight is his role (core 3, starter 2, rotation 1, depth 0.5) times his share of minutes. Defenders and keepers count to the defence line, forwards to attack, midfielders half to each. EloLambda turns the lost share into fewer goals scored and more conceded (weight 0.1); the totals show how that moves the result chances.

Home / Away this season

Club Brugge KV · Home 3.00points per game · 4 home games
W-D-L
4-0-0
Scored
2.50
Conceded
0.25
Anderlecht · Away 1.50points per game · 4 away games
W-D-L
2-0-2
Scored
0.75
Conceded
1.25

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 4 this season

OpponentClub Brugge KVAnderlecht
RAAL La Louvière W 4–1 A W 2–1 H
Genk W 3–0 H D 0–0 H
Cercle Brugge W 1–0 H W 2–1 A
Kortrijk W 3–0 H W 1–0 H
Points12 of 12 · 3.00 per game10 of 12 · 2.50 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 6 of 6 meetings

2 Club Brugge KV wins2 draws2 Anderlecht wins
Goals per game1.83 – 1.50 Over 2.567% Both scored83% Clean sheets0% · 17%
  • 3 May 2026Anderlecht1–3Club Brugge KV
  • 6 Apr 2026Club Brugge KV4–2Anderlecht
  • 8 Mar 2026Club Brugge KV2–2Anderlecht
  • 9 Nov 2025Anderlecht1–0Club Brugge KV
  • 25 Feb 2024Club Brugge KV1–2Anderlecht
  • 24 Sep 2023Anderlecht1–1Club Brugge KV

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

Club Brugge KVAnderlechtForecast
Scored per game 2.381.13
Conceded per game 0.500.75
Match goals 2.881.88 3.99
Over 1.5 75%50%
Over 2.5 75%50% 76%
Over 3.5 25%0%
Both teams scored 38%25% 64%
Clean sheets 63%50%
Failed to score 0%38%
Games88
Club Brugge KVAnderlechtForecast
Scored per game 2.501.40
Conceded per game 1.000.70
Match goals 3.502.10 3.99
Over 1.5 80%60%
Over 2.5 80%60% 76%
Over 3.5 40%0%
Both teams scored 50%20% 64%
Clean sheets 50%60%
Failed to score 0%30%
Games1010

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

Club Brugge KVAnderlechtLeague
Corners
Corners won8.256.63
Corners conceded3.133.13
Match total11.389.7610.01
Over 8.575% 6/863% 5/8
Over 9.575% 6/838% 3/8
Over 10.550% 4/838% 3/8
Cards
Cards1.502.13
Opponent cards2.001.38
Match total3.503.513.36
Over 3.538% 3/850% 4/8
Over 4.538% 3/825% 2/8
Club Brugge KVAnderlechtLeague
Corners
Corners won7.305.40
Corners conceded3.403.80
Match total10.709.2010.01
Over 8.570% 7/1060% 6/10
Over 9.560% 6/1040% 4/10
Over 10.540% 4/1010% 1/10
Cards
Cards1.902.20
Opponent cards2.101.80
Match total4.004.003.36
Over 3.550% 5/1060% 6/10
Over 4.550% 5/1030% 3/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

Club Brugge KV8 games · scored 19 · conceded 4
2 0-15
2 1 16-30
5 1 31-45
4 46-60
3 1 61-75
3 1 76-90
Anderlecht8 games · scored 9 · conceded 6
2 0-15
16-30
3 2 31-45
2 1 46-60
1 61-75
3 1 76-90
Club Brugge KV10 games · scored 25 · conceded 10
2 1 0-15
4 2 16-30
5 3 31-45
4 46-60
6 1 61-75
4 3 76-90
Anderlecht10 games · scored 14 · conceded 7
1 2 0-15
1 1 16-30
5 2 31-45
3 46-60
2 61-75
2 2 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Beta

Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.

Next fixtures Belgian Pro League

View all fixtures →
Standard Liege SK Beveren Nov 619:45 KVC Westerlo Charleroi Nov 715:00 OH Leuven KV Mechelen Nov 717:15 Antwerp Lommel United Nov 719:45 RAAL La Louvière Cercle Brugge Nov 719:45 Club Brugge KV Anderlecht Nov 812:30 Gent Kortrijk Nov 815:00 Union St. Gilloise Genk Nov 817:30 St. Truiden Zulte Waregem Nov 818:15