Eredivisie Gameweek 13 Sun, Nov 22 · 15:45 De Adelaarshorst, Deventer
GO Ahead Eagles 9th · 11 pts · 9 played
VS— Compare
Fortuna Sittard 6th · 15 pts · 9 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel141 kmRest days14.8 · 15Matches / 14d0 · 0
Real contextStrength only
GO Ahead Eagles—%
Draw—%
Fortuna Sittard—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Deventer)

Forecast from 7 Nov

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for GO Ahead Eagles and Fortuna Sittard. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

GO Ahead EaglesFortuna Sittard
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
24 Current StrengthIn forecast 21
29 AttackIn forecast 19
17 DefenceIn forecast 19
14 Form indexContext 45
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

GO Ahead Eagles

Attack—
Defense risk—

Fortuna Sittard

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

GO Ahead EaglesFortuna Sittard
2.22 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.78
2.33 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.89
1.78 xGVia Att/Def 0.93
1.81 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.39
+0.44 Goals minus xGContext +0.85
100% Scored inContext 89%
0% Clean sheetsContext 11%
15.78 ShotsContext 10.00
6.22 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.44
39% On target shareContext 44%
10.44 Shots in the boxContext 5.56
66% Box shareContext 57%
14% ConversionContext 18%
1.33 OffsidesContext 2.14
16.89 Shots allowedContext 19.33
5.22 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.22
5.50 BlocksContext 5.22
3.25 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.44
57% Save rateContext 71%
56% PossessionIn forecast 35%
486 PassesContext 316
402 Accurate passesContext 243
83% Pass accuracyContext 77%
6.74 Team ratingContext 6.79
7.11 FoulsContext 9.22
9.78 Fouls sufferedContext 11.67
0.78 Yellow cardsContext 1.44
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.11
This league season, per match · 9 and 9 games
2.10 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.60
2.30 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.90
1.54 xGVia Att/Def 0.84
2.25 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.35
+0.56 Goals minus xGContext +0.76
100% Scored inContext 80%
0% Clean sheetsContext 10%
14.50 ShotsContext 10.20
5.70 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.20
39% On target shareContext 41%
10.44 Shots in the boxContext 5.20
66% Box shareContext 53%
15% ConversionContext 16%
1.33 OffsidesContext 2.00
18.80 Shots allowedContext 19.20
5.90 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.10
6.44 BlocksContext 5.20
4.00 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.30
62% Save rateContext 71%
55% PossessionIn forecast 36%
467 PassesContext 318
385 Accurate passesContext 245
82% Pass accuracyContext 77%
6.75 Team ratingContext 6.77
7.20 FoulsContext 9.10
9.90 Fouls sufferedContext 11.30
0.90 Yellow cardsContext 1.40
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.10
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

GO Ahead Eagles
Rest14.8 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 14 · 4 pts vs 9.0 for an average club · -3.2 vs expected
  • L18 OctA · PEC Zwolle1–41.5 xPts
  • D10 OctH · Sparta Rotterdam3–31.9 xPts
  • D20 SepA · NEC Nijmegen1–11.1 xPts
  • D12 SepH · Groningen1–11.6 xPts
  • D8 SepA · Utrecht3–31.2 xPts
Fortuna Sittard
Rest15 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel141 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 45 · 8 pts vs 8.6 for an average club · +2.7 vs expected
  • D18 OctA · NEC Nijmegen2–20.9 xPts
  • D10 OctH · Twente1–10.9 xPts
  • W19 SepA · Willem II1–01.4 xPts
  • L12 SepH · Ajax1–50.9 xPts
  • W6 SepA · ADO Den Haag3–21.3 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
GO Ahead Eagles Fortuna Sittard
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match14.8Eredivisie 2026-2027, 7 Nov15Eredivisie 2026-2027, 7 Nov
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km141 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways0 km0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days0 / 0 / 20 / 0 / 2
Next matchdays after this one6.16.9

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

GO Ahead Eagles Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs PEC Zwolle (A) 1–4, 18 Oct
1C. Haug(G)
5D. James 4J. Kramer 25G. van Zwam 2A. Sampsted
8H. Linthorst 21M. Meulensteen
17M. Suray 10S. Tengstedt 16V. Edvardsen
9S. Sigurðarson
Fortuna Sittard Last XI · not confirmed
5-3-2 · vs NEC Nijmegen (A) 2–2, 18 Oct
31M. Branderhorst(G)
28J. Hubner 23P. Brittijn 3R. Guth 6S. van Ottele 12Ivo Pinto
22S. ’t Zand 20É. Michut 14S. Simons
25L. Zeefuik 9A. Descotte

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
GO Ahead Eagles Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Fortuna Sittard Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

GO Ahead Eagles · Home 2.00points per game · 4 home games
W-D-L
2-2-0
Scored
2.75
Conceded
1.50
Fortuna Sittard · Away 2.20points per game · 5 away games
W-D-L
3-2-0
Scored
2.20
Conceded
1.60

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 5 this season

OpponentGO Ahead EaglesFortuna Sittard
NEC Nijmegen D 1–1 A D 2–2 A
Groningen D 1–1 H W 3–2 A
AZ Alkmaar L 2–5 A L 0–2 H
ADO Den Haag W 3–1 H W 3–2 A
Willem II W 4–1 H W 1–0 A
Points8 of 15 · 1.60 per game10 of 15 · 2.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 5 of 5 meetings

2 GO Ahead Eagles wins2 draws1 Fortuna Sittard wins
Goals per game2.00 – 1.20 Over 2.580% Both scored40% Clean sheets40% · 20%
  • 11 Jan 2026GO Ahead Eagles2–2Fortuna Sittard
  • 8 Aug 2025Fortuna Sittard2–2GO Ahead Eagles
  • 10 Jan 2025Fortuna Sittard0–3GO Ahead Eagles
  • 11 Aug 2024GO Ahead Eagles0–2Fortuna Sittard
  • 22 Sep 2023GO Ahead Eagles3–0Fortuna Sittard

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

GO Ahead EaglesFortuna SittardForecast
Scored per game 2.221.78
Conceded per game 2.331.89
Match goals 4.563.67
Over 1.5 100%89%
Over 2.5 78%67%
Over 3.5 78%67%
Both teams scored 100%78%
Clean sheets 0%11%
Failed to score 0%11%
Games99
GO Ahead EaglesFortuna SittardForecast
Scored per game 2.101.60
Conceded per game 2.301.90
Match goals 4.403.50
Over 1.5 100%90%
Over 2.5 80%60%
Over 3.5 70%60%
Both teams scored 100%70%
Clean sheets 0%10%
Failed to score 0%20%
Games1010

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

GO Ahead EaglesFortuna SittardLeague
Corners
Corners won6.333.33
Corners conceded4.788.67
Match total11.1112.0010.39
Over 8.578% 7/983% 5/6
Over 9.578% 7/967% 4/6
Over 10.567% 6/967% 4/6
Cards
Cards0.781.56
Opponent cards0.891.78
Match total1.673.342.77
Over 3.50% 0/944% 4/9
Over 4.50% 0/922% 2/9
GO Ahead EaglesFortuna SittardLeague
Corners
Corners won6.103.43
Corners conceded5.607.71
Match total11.7011.1410.39
Over 8.580% 8/1071% 5/7
Over 9.580% 8/1057% 4/7
Over 10.570% 7/1057% 4/7
Cards
Cards0.901.50
Opponent cards0.901.60
Match total1.803.102.77
Over 3.50% 0/1040% 4/10
Over 4.50% 0/1020% 2/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

GO Ahead Eagles9 games · scored 20 · conceded 21
1 3 0-15
4 1 16-30
1 4 31-45
4 3 46-60
6 4 61-75
4 6 76-90
Fortuna Sittard9 games · scored 16 · conceded 17
4 0-15
3 3 16-30
2 2 31-45
2 3 46-60
2 3 61-75
3 6 76-90
GO Ahead Eagles10 games · scored 21 · conceded 23
1 4 0-15
4 2 16-30
1 4 31-45
5 3 46-60
6 4 61-75
4 6 76-90
Fortuna Sittard10 games · scored 16 · conceded 19
4 0-15
3 3 16-30
2 3 31-45
2 3 46-60
2 4 61-75
3 6 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

Next fixtures Eredivisie

View all fixtures →
NEC Nijmegen PSV Eindhoven Nov 2115:30 Utrecht Cambuur Nov 2117:45 Feyenoord Excelsior Nov 2117:45 Groningen Heerenveen Nov 2120:00 Telstar PEC Zwolle Nov 2120:00 Twente Willem II Nov 2211:15 Ajax ADO Den Haag Nov 2213:30 Sparta Rotterdam AZ Alkmaar Nov 2213:30 GO Ahead Eagles Fortuna Sittard Nov 2215:45