Utrecht vs Cambuur – 21 Nov 2026

Eredivisie Gameweek 13 Sat, Nov 21 · 17:45 Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht

Utrecht 11th · 11 pts · 9 played DWLWW

VS— Compare

Cambuur 14th · 9 pts · 9 played DWDWD

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel132 kmRest days12.9 · 13.1Matches / 14d1 · 1

Real contextStrength only

Utrecht—%

Draw—%

Cambuur—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (Utrecht)

Forecast from 6 Nov

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Team strength

Utrecht

Cambuur

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

34 Current StrengthIn forecast 23

32 AttackIn forecast 22

31 DefenceIn forecast 23

65 Form indexContext 51

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Utrecht

Attack—

Defense risk—

Cambuur

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Utrecht

Cambuur

1.78 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.44

2.89 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.33

1.31 xGVia Att/Def 1.19

1.72 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.03

+0.47 Goals minus xGContext +0.25

89% Scored inContext 89%

0% Clean sheetsContext 22%

12.89 ShotsContext 11.89

4.33 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.44

34% On target shareContext 37%

10.25 Shots in the boxContext 8.33

69% Box shareContext 71%

14% ConversionContext 12%

2.00 OffsidesContext 2.00

18.11 Shots allowedContext 14.78

7.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.67

4.33 BlocksContext 4.00

4.00 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.88

57% Save rateContext 63%

43% PossessionIn forecast 46%

391 PassesContext 369

313 Accurate passesContext 295

80% Pass accuracyContext 80%

6.55 Team ratingContext 6.79

16.33 FoulsContext 12.11

10.67 Fouls sufferedContext 14.00

2.11 Yellow cardsContext 1.67

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 9 and 9 games

1.90 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.40

2.80 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.20

1.38 xGVia Att/Def 1.19

1.65 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.03

+0.52 Goals minus xGContext +0.21

90% Scored inContext 90%

0% Clean sheetsContext 20%

13.70 ShotsContext 14.10

4.50 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.90

33% On target shareContext 35%

10.67 Shots in the boxContext 9.30

68% Box shareContext 69%

14% ConversionContext 10%

1.83 OffsidesContext 2.11

17.60 Shots allowedContext 13.80

6.80 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.40

4.10 BlocksContext 3.70

3.90 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.67

57% Save rateContext 64%

43% PossessionIn forecast 49%

388 PassesContext 395

312 Accurate passesContext 317

80% Pass accuracyContext 80%

6.60 Team ratingContext 6.84

15.80 FoulsContext 12.40

10.20 Fouls sufferedContext 14.70

1.90 Yellow cardsContext 1.90

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Utrecht DWLWW

Rest12.9 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 65 · 10 pts vs 8.3 for an average club · +4.2 vs expected

W18 OctA · Twente2–10.7 xPts
W11 OctH · Willem II3–12.1 xPts
L20 SepA · Feyenoord0–50.5 xPts
W13 SepA · Excelsior2–10.9 xPts
D8 SepH · GO Ahead Eagles3–31.6 xPts

Cambuur DWDWD

Rest13.1 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel132 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 51 · 9 pts vs 8.9 for an average club · +3.3 vs expected

D18 OctH · AZ Alkmaar2–20.9 xPts
W11 OctA · PEC Zwolle1–01.3 xPts
D19 SepA · ADO Den Haag1–11.4 xPts
W12 SepH · NEC Nijmegen3–01.1 xPts
D6 SepA · Telstar2–21.0 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Utrecht	Cambuur
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	12.9Eredivisie 2026-2027, 8 Nov	13.1Eredivisie 2026-2027, 8 Nov
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	132 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	0 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 1 / 2	0 / 1 / 2
Next matchdays after this one	7.7	7.1

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Utrecht Last XI · not confirmed

3-4-3 · vs Twente (A) 2–1, 18 Oct

22S. Padt(G)

5N. Panagiotou 3M. Didden 2S. Horemans

92A. Zagré 38O. Agougil 8J. van Overeem 23N. Vesterlund

11Ángel Alarcón 20D. de Wit 10Y. Cathline

Cambuur Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs AZ Alkmaar (H) 2–2, 18 Oct

1T. Jansen(G)

28M. Costarelli 14B. van Duijl 4I. Baouf 2D. Bouah

8N. Souren 33M. Maertens

11I. Hamache 10Rafik El Arguioui 30J. Çeka

13N. Binder

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Utrecht Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Cambuur Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Utrecht · Home 1.00points per game · 4 home games

W-D-L: 1-1-2
Scored: 2.00
Conceded: 3.50

Cambuur · Away 1.25points per game · 4 away games

W-D-L: 1-2-1
Scored: 1.25
Conceded: 1.50

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 4 this season

Opponent	Utrecht	Cambuur
Twente	W 2–1 A	L 1–4 H
Feyenoord	L 0–5 A	L 2–5 H
Excelsior	W 2–1 A	L 0–4 H
AZ Alkmaar	L 1–4 H	D 2–2 H
Points	6 of 12 · 1.50 per game	1 of 12 · 0.25 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

	Utrecht	Cambuur
Scored per game	1.78	1.44
Conceded per game	2.89	2.33
Match goals	4.67	3.78
Over 1.5	100%	89%
Over 2.5	100%	78%
Over 3.5	67%	67%
Both teams scored	89%	67%
Clean sheets	0%	22%
Failed to score	11%	11%
Games	9	9

	Utrecht	Cambuur
Scored per game	1.80	1.44
Conceded per game	2.60	2.33
Match goals	4.40	3.78
Over 1.5	100%	89%
Over 2.5	90%	78%
Over 3.5	60%	67%
Both teams scored	80%	67%
Clean sheets	10%	22%
Failed to score	10%	11%
Games	10	9

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Utrecht	Cambuur	League
Corners
Corners won	4.25	3.78
Corners conceded	5.25	5.78
Match total	9.50	9.56	10.39
Over 8.5	63% 5/8	78% 7/9
Over 9.5	50% 4/8	44% 4/9
Over 10.5	38% 3/8	33% 3/9
Cards
Cards	2.11	1.78
Opponent cards	0.89	1.78
Match total	3.00	3.56	2.77
Over 3.5	33% 3/9	56% 5/9
Over 4.5	22% 2/9	33% 3/9

	Utrecht	Cambuur	League
Corners
Corners won	4.67	4.80
Corners conceded	5.33	5.30
Match total	10.00	10.10	10.39
Over 8.5	67% 6/9	80% 8/10
Over 9.5	56% 5/9	50% 5/10
Over 10.5	44% 4/9	40% 4/10
Cards
Cards	1.90	2.00
Opponent cards	0.90	2.40
Match total	2.80	4.40	2.77
Over 3.5	30% 3/10	60% 6/10
Over 4.5	20% 2/10	40% 4/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.