Goztepe vs Çorum FK – 25 Oct 2026

Süper Lig Gameweek 9 Sun, Oct 25 · 16:00 Göztepe Gürsel Aksel Stadı, İzmir

Goztepe 13th · 9 pts · 8 played LDDWW

VS— Compare

Çorum FK 6th · 13 pts · 8 played WWLWW

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Goztepe are slight favourites.

The two sides are close in strength. Recent goals, xG and shots on target tip the balance towards Goztepe. Goztepe have 7.1 days of rest, Çorum FK 9 and have to travel 711 km. Conditions look neutral.

Away travel711 kmRest days7.1 · 9Matches / 14d2 · 1

Goztepe47%

Draw25%

Çorum FK29%

Expected goals 1.75 – 1.33

Goztepe42%

Draw27%

Çorum FK31%

Expected goals 1.46 – 1.22

Goztepe47%

Draw25%

Çorum FK29%

Expected goals 1.75 – 1.33

Goztepe39%

Draw25%

Çorum FK36%

Expected goals 1.56 – 1.49

Goztepe48%

Draw24%

Çorum FK28%

Expected goals 1.79 – 1.33

Over 2.5 59% Both score 61% Likeliest score 1–1

EloLambda forecast, updated 36 minutes ago. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (İzmir)

19°CPartly cloudy

Precipitation 8%
Wind 2 km/h
Humidity 72%

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Team strength

Goztepe

Çorum FK

29 L90 StrengthIn forecast 32

29 Current StrengthIn forecast 32

39 AttackIn forecast 31

36 DefenceIn forecast 36

37 Form indexContext 70

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Goztepe

Attack−3%

Defense risk+5%

Çorum FK

Attack−5%

Defense risk+8%

Both teams face a less favorable matchup than their league-average baseline.

Playing style

Goztepe

Çorum FK

2.13 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.25

2.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.63

1.69 xGVia Att/Def 1.12

1.58 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.42

+0.44 Goals minus xGContext +1.13

88% Scored inContext 88%

13% Clean sheetsContext 25%

15.25 ShotsContext 12.25

5.50 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.88

36% On target shareContext 40%

11.25 Shots in the boxContext 7.00

73% Box shareContext 55%

14% ConversionContext 18%

2.50 OffsidesContext 1.86

15.38 Shots allowedContext 14.75

4.25 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.75

5.43 BlocksContext 4.50

2.71 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.57

61% Save rateContext 68%

41% PossessionIn forecast 53%

278 PassesContext 466

198 Accurate passesContext 403

71% Pass accuracyContext 87%

6.74 Team ratingContext 6.92

14.88 FoulsContext 12.88

8.75 Fouls sufferedContext 9.38

2.63 Yellow cardsContext 2.13

0.13 Red cardsContext 0.13

This league season, per match · 8 and 8 games

1.90 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.25

2.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.63

1.77 xGVia Att/Def 1.12

1.50 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.42

+0.13 Goals minus xGContext +1.13

80% Scored inContext 88%

10% Clean sheetsContext 25%

16.30 ShotsContext 12.25

5.50 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.88

34% On target shareContext 40%

12.30 Shots in the boxContext 7.00

74% Box shareContext 55%

12% ConversionContext 18%

2.50 OffsidesContext 1.86

14.80 Shots allowedContext 14.75

4.40 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.75

4.78 BlocksContext 4.50

2.78 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.57

61% Save rateContext 68%

40% PossessionIn forecast 53%

266 PassesContext 466

190 Accurate passesContext 403

71% Pass accuracyContext 87%

6.74 Team ratingContext 6.92

15.40 FoulsContext 12.88

8.90 Fouls sufferedContext 9.38

2.60 Yellow cardsContext 2.13

0.20 Red cardsContext 0.13

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 8 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Goztepe LDDWW

Rest7.1 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel0 km933 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 37 · 8 pts vs 9.5 for an average club · +0.7 vs expected

W18 OctA · Kocaelispor2–11.4 xPts
W12 OctA · Eyüpspor4–01.6 xPts
D20 SepH · Rizespor2–21.4 xPts
D12 SepA · Alanyaspor2–21.2 xPts
L7 SepH · Gazişehir Gaziantep2–41.8 xPts

Çorum FK WWLWW

Rest9 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel711 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load6%Low

Form 70 · 12 pts vs 9.6 for an average club · +4.4 vs expected

W16 OctH · Rizespor2–11.7 xPts
W11 OctA · Gazişehir Gaziantep3–01.3 xPts
L19 SepH · Alanyaspor1–21.8 xPts
W12 SepA · Samsunspor5–11.1 xPts
W6 SepH · Eyüpspor3–01.7 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Goztepe	Çorum FK
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	7.1Süper Lig 2026-2027, 18 Oct	9Süper Lig 2026-2027, 16 Oct
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	711 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	933 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 2 / 2	0 / 1 / 2
Next matchdays after this one	6	5.8

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Goztepe Last XI · not confirmed

3-4-1-2 · vs Kocaelispor (A) 2–1, 18 Oct

1A. Özçimen(G)

26M. Bokele 19J. Sonko Sundberg 4T. Altıkardeş

12R. Akonnor 20N. Miroshi 5Rhaldney 2A. Kurtulan

8A. Antunes

9Juan 7André Henrique

Çorum FK Last XI · not confirmed

3-4-3 · vs Rizespor (H) 2–1, 16 Oct

1Marcos Felipe(G)

6H. Smolčić 2Ç. Söyüncü 5Alexandre Penetra

24A. Borza 10M. Diomande 3B. Özdemir 11G. Sazdağı

89A. Kyziridis 19J. Ramírez 7C. Ünder

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Goztepe No reported absences

Çorum FK No reported absences

Total impact vs full squads

Goztepe+0.0 pp
Draw+0.0 pp
Çorum FK+0.0 pp

From eScored squad data: each player's weight is his role (core 3, starter 2, rotation 1, depth 0.5) times his share of minutes. Defenders and keepers count to the defence line, forwards to attack, midfielders half to each. EloLambda turns the lost share into fewer goals scored and more conceded (weight 0.1); the totals show how that moves the result chances.

Home / Away this season

Goztepe · Home 0.33points per game · 3 home games

W-D-L: 0-1-2
Scored: 1.33
Conceded: 2.33

Çorum FK · Away 1.75points per game · 4 away games

W-D-L: 2-1-1
Scored: 3.00
Conceded: 2.25

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 6 this season

Opponent	Goztepe	Çorum FK
Eyüpspor	W 4–0 A	W 3–0 H
Rizespor	D 2–2 H	W 2–1 H
Alanyaspor	D 2–2 A	L 1–2 H
Gazişehir Gaziantep	L 2–4 H	W 3–0 A
Galatasaray	L 2–3 A	D 2–2 A
Samsunspor	D 3–3 A	W 5–1 A
Points	6 of 18 · 1.00 per game	13 of 18 · 2.17 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

	Goztepe	Çorum FK	Forecast
Scored per game	2.13	2.25
Conceded per game	2.00	1.63
Match goals	4.13	3.88	3.08
Over 1.5	88%	88%
Over 2.5	88%	88%	59%
Over 3.5	75%	38%
Both teams scored	75%	63%	61%
Clean sheets	13%	25%
Failed to score	13%	13%
Games	8	8

	Goztepe	Çorum FK	Forecast
Scored per game	1.90	2.25
Conceded per game	2.00	1.63
Match goals	3.90	3.88	3.08
Over 1.5	90%	88%
Over 2.5	90%	88%	59%
Over 3.5	60%	38%
Both teams scored	70%	63%	61%
Clean sheets	10%	25%
Failed to score	20%	13%
Games	10	8

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Goztepe	Çorum FK	League
Corners
Corners won	4.88	3.86
Corners conceded	4.38	6.00
Match total	9.26	9.86	9.12
Over 8.5	63% 5/8	71% 5/7
Over 9.5	50% 4/8	57% 4/7
Over 10.5	50% 4/8	43% 3/7
Cards
Cards	2.75	2.25
Opponent cards	2.00	1.38
Match total	4.75	3.63	4.04
Over 3.5	88% 7/8	50% 4/8
Over 4.5	63% 5/8	13% 1/8

	Goztepe	Çorum FK	League
Corners
Corners won	5.22	3.86
Corners conceded	4.56	6.00
Match total	9.78	9.86	9.12
Over 8.5	67% 6/9	71% 5/7
Over 9.5	56% 5/9	57% 4/7
Over 10.5	56% 5/9	43% 3/7
Cards
Cards	2.80	2.25
Opponent cards	2.10	1.38
Match total	4.90	3.63	4.04
Over 3.5	90% 9/10	50% 4/8
Over 4.5	60% 6/10	13% 1/8

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.