Süper Lig Gameweek 9 Sun, Oct 25 · 13:00 Konya Büyükşehir Belediye Stadyumu, Konya
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Our take

Konyaspor are slight favourites.

The two sides are close in strength. Recent goals, xG and shots on target tip the balance towards Konyaspor. Konyaspor have 8 days of rest, Genclerbirligi 8 and have to travel 230 km. Conditions look neutral.

Away travel230 kmRest days8 · 8Matches / 14d1 · 1
Konyaspor50%
Draw26%
Genclerbirligi24%
Expected goals 1.65 – 1.07
Konyaspor48%
Draw26%
Genclerbirligi26%
Expected goals 1.59 – 1.12
Konyaspor50%
Draw26%
Genclerbirligi24%
Expected goals 1.65 – 1.07
Konyaspor43%
Draw27%
Genclerbirligi30%
Expected goals 1.47 – 1.20
Konyaspor50%
Draw26%
Genclerbirligi24%
Expected goals 1.66 – 1.09
Over 2.5 51% Both score 54% Likeliest score 1–1
EloLambda forecast, updated 2 hours ago. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Konya)
17°COvercast
  • Precipitation 0%
  • Wind 5 km/h
  • Humidity 61%
Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Konyaspor and Genclerbirligi. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Team strength

KonyasporGenclerbirligi
18 L90 StrengthIn forecast 15
18 Current StrengthIn forecast 15
13 AttackIn forecast 13
31 DefenceIn forecast 16
23 Form indexContext 7
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Konyaspor

Attack+23%
Defense risk−21%

Genclerbirligi

Attack+2%
Defense risk−19%

Both teams face a more favorable matchup than their league-average baseline.

Playing style

KonyasporGenclerbirligi
0.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.88
1.13 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.00
0.91 xGVia Att/Def 0.95
1.12 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.83
-0.41 Goals minus xGContext -0.07
38% Scored inContext 63%
38% Clean sheetsContext 13%
10.38 ShotsContext 11.88
3.71 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.14
31% On target shareContext 31%
6.75 Shots in the boxContext 7.25
64% Box shareContext 58%
5% ConversionContext 7%
2.80 OffsidesContext 2.40
12.88 Shots allowedContext 17.25
5.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.88
3.50 BlocksContext 4.14
4.00 Goalkeeper savesContext 5.13
80% Save rateContext 75%
49% PossessionIn forecast 43%
396 PassesContext 327
325 Accurate passesContext 261
82% Pass accuracyContext 80%
6.75 Team ratingContext 6.81
11.88 FoulsContext 11.63
12.38 Fouls sufferedContext 11.38
2.38 Yellow cardsContext 1.75
0.13 Red cardsContext 0.00
This league season, per match · 8 and 8 games
0.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.30
1.40 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.80
0.91 xGVia Att/Def 1.13
1.33 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.68
-0.41 Goals minus xGContext +0.17
40% Scored inContext 70%
30% Clean sheetsContext 20%
10.80 ShotsContext 12.10
3.44 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.67
29% On target shareContext 35%
7.10 Shots in the boxContext 7.30
65% Box shareContext 58%
5% ConversionContext 11%
2.43 OffsidesContext 2.17
13.80 Shots allowedContext 15.80
6.11 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.20
3.40 BlocksContext 3.78
4.78 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.70
78% Save rateContext 76%
49% PossessionIn forecast 44%
391 PassesContext 327
322 Accurate passesContext 260
82% Pass accuracyContext 79%
6.73 Team ratingContext 6.84
12.30 FoulsContext 11.50
11.50 Fouls sufferedContext 12.70
2.30 Yellow cardsContext 1.90
0.10 Red cardsContext 0.00
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Konyaspor
Rest8 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km1,357 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 23 · 5 pts vs 8.4 for an average club · -0.5 vs expected
  • L17 OctA · Amed0–10.8 xPts
  • D11 OctH · Istanbul Basaksehir0–01.4 xPts
  • D18 SepA · Kasimpasa0–01.1 xPts
  • W12 SepH · Trabzonspor1–01.2 xPts
  • L5 SepA · Erzurumspor FK0–11.1 xPts
Genclerbirligi
Rest8 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel230 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 7 · 1 pts vs 8.1 for an average club · -3.8 vs expected
  • L17 OctH · Galatasaray0–10.6 xPts
  • D10 OctH · Amed2–21.0 xPts
  • L19 SepA · Istanbul Basaksehir0–41.0 xPts
  • L13 SepH · Kasimpasa1–21.4 xPts
  • L6 SepA · Trabzonspor0–50.9 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Konyaspor Genclerbirligi
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match8Süper Lig 2026-2027, 17 Oct8Süper Lig 2026-2027, 17 Oct
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km230 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways1,357 km0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days0 / 1 / 20 / 1 / 2
Next matchdays after this one5.28.2

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Konyaspor Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Amed (A) 0–1, 17 Oct
13B. Güngördü(G)
26A. Masuaku 15C. Awaziem 22R. Baniya 17Y. Andzouana
8M. Jevtović 77M. İbrahimoğlu
7Diogo Gonçalves 66R. Tóth 9D. Türüç
11J. Muleka
Genclerbirligi Last XI · not confirmed
4-1-4-1 · vs Galatasaray (H) 0–1, 17 Oct
70İ. Eğribayat(G)
2T. da Silva 6D. Goutas 90M. Baltacı 88F. Üzüm
42Ousmane Diabate
7Tiago Gouveia 10F. Tongya 48S. Uçan 83R. Luis
9Pedro Mendes

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Konyaspor No reported absences
Genclerbirligi No reported absences
Total impact vs full squads
  • Konyaspor+0.0 pp
  • Draw+0.0 pp
  • Genclerbirligi+0.0 pp

From eScored squad data: each player's weight is his role (core 3, starter 2, rotation 1, depth 0.5) times his share of minutes. Defenders and keepers count to the defence line, forwards to attack, midfielders half to each. EloLambda turns the lost share into fewer goals scored and more conceded (weight 0.1); the totals show how that moves the result chances.

Home / Away this season

Konyaspor · Home 1.00points per game · 4 home games
W-D-L
1-1-2
Scored
0.50
Conceded
0.75
Genclerbirligi · Away 1.00points per game · 3 away games
W-D-L
1-0-2
Scored
0.33
Conceded
3.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 6 this season

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 2 of 2 meetings

2 Konyaspor wins0 draws0 Genclerbirligi wins
Goals per game1.50 – 0.50 Over 2.550% Both scored50% Clean sheets50% · 0%
  • 19 Mar 2026Konyaspor1–0Genclerbirligi
  • 26 Oct 2025Genclerbirligi1–2Konyaspor

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goal timing

Konyaspor8 games · scored 4 · conceded 9
2 1 0-15
2 16-30
1 1 31-45
1 46-60
1 61-75
1 3 76-90
Genclerbirligi8 games · scored 7 · conceded 16
4 0-15
1 2 16-30
1 1 31-45
3 3 46-60
1 2 61-75
1 4 76-90
Konyaspor10 games · scored 5 · conceded 14
2 2 0-15
2 16-30
1 1 31-45
1 3 46-60
3 61-75
1 3 76-90
Genclerbirligi10 games · scored 13 · conceded 18
6 0-15
1 2 16-30
4 1 31-45
3 3 46-60
2 2 61-75
3 4 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Beta

Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.