Rizespor vs Trabzonspor

Süper Lig Gameweek 9 Mon, Oct 26 · 16:00 Çaykur Didi Stadyumu, Rize

Rizespor 12th · 10 pts · 8 played LWDLL

VS— Compare

Trabzonspor 4th · 16 pts · 8 played WLWWW

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Trabzonspor are slight favourites.

Trabzonspor are the stronger side on L90 Strength (46 vs 22). Recent goals, xG and shots on target narrow the gap for Rizespor. Rizespor have 10 days of rest, Trabzonspor 7 and have to travel 67 km. Conditions look neutral.

Away travel67 kmRest days10 · 7Matches / 14d1 · 1

Rizespor30%

Draw25%

Trabzonspor46%

Expected goals 1.34 – 1.71

Rizespor28%

Draw27%

Trabzonspor45%

Expected goals 1.16 – 1.54

Rizespor30%

Draw25%

Trabzonspor46%

Expected goals 1.34 – 1.71

Rizespor23%

Draw23%

Trabzonspor54%

Expected goals 1.20 – 1.92

Rizespor30%

Draw25%

Trabzonspor45%

Expected goals 1.31 – 1.67

Over 2.5 59% Both score 61% Likeliest score 1–1

EloLambda forecast, updated 38 minutes ago. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Rize)

21°COvercast

Precipitation 3%
Wind 10 km/h
Humidity 66%

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Team strength

Rizespor

Trabzonspor

22 L90 StrengthIn forecast 46

22 Current StrengthIn forecast 46

22 AttackIn forecast 54

35 DefenceIn forecast 48

17 Form indexContext 78

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Rizespor

Attack−14%

Defense risk+30%

Trabzonspor

Attack−1%

Defense risk−6%

Changes versus each team's league-average baseline. Higher attack and lower defense risk are favorable.

Playing style

Rizespor

Trabzonspor

1.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.25

1.38 Goals concededVia Att/Def 0.63

1.27 xGVia Att/Def 1.58

0.90 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.46

-0.27 Goals minus xGContext +0.67

63% Scored inContext 88%

25% Clean sheetsContext 50%

15.00 ShotsContext 13.25

4.75 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.63

32% On target shareContext 50%

8.00 Shots in the boxContext 10.00

57% Box shareContext 70%

7% ConversionContext 17%

1.67 OffsidesContext 2.57

13.50 Shots allowedContext 13.50

4.25 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.00

4.43 BlocksContext 2.86

3.13 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.38

74% Save rateContext 88%

54% PossessionIn forecast 53%

434 PassesContext 430

367 Accurate passesContext 365

85% Pass accuracyContext 85%

6.83 Team ratingContext 7.12

10.25 FoulsContext 10.38

12.25 Fouls sufferedContext 16.13

1.75 Yellow cardsContext 2.00

0.13 Red cardsContext 0.13

This league season, per match · 8 and 8 games

1.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.80

1.70 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.00

1.36 xGVia Att/Def 1.58

1.03 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.46

-0.36 Goals minus xGContext +0.22

60% Scored inContext 70%

20% Clean sheetsContext 40%

15.50 ShotsContext 13.25

4.70 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.63

30% On target shareContext 50%

8.80 Shots in the boxContext 10.00

59% Box shareContext 70%

7% ConversionContext 17%

1.71 OffsidesContext 2.57

14.10 Shots allowedContext 13.50

4.80 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.00

4.44 BlocksContext 3.22

3.40 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.38

71% Save rateContext 88%

54% PossessionIn forecast 52%

433 PassesContext 430

367 Accurate passesContext 365

85% Pass accuracyContext 85%

6.81 Team ratingContext 7.12

9.90 FoulsContext 10.00

11.60 Fouls sufferedContext 16.30

1.50 Yellow cardsContext 1.90

0.10 Red cardsContext 0.30

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Rizespor LWDLL

Rest10 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km943 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 17 · 4 pts vs 8.4 for an average club · -2.5 vs expected

L16 OctA · Çorum FK1–21.0 xPts
L10 OctH · Fenerbahce0–30.9 xPts
D20 SepA · Goztepe2–21.3 xPts
W12 SepA · Eyüpspor2–01.5 xPts
L7 SepH · Alanyaspor0–11.8 xPts

Trabzonspor WLWWW

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel67 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 78 · 12 pts vs 8.4 for an average club · +4.9 vs expected

W19 OctH · Besiktas2–01.3 xPts
W10 OctA · Samsunspor3–01.6 xPts
W19 SepH · Galatasaray4–00.9 xPts
L12 SepA · Konyaspor0–11.5 xPts
W6 SepH · Genclerbirligi5–01.9 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Rizespor	Trabzonspor
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	10Süper Lig 2026-2027, 16 Oct	7Süper Lig 2026-2027, 19 Oct
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	67 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	943 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 1 / 2	1 / 1 / 2
Next matchdays after this one	4.9	5.9

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Rizespor Last XI · not confirmed

4-1-4-1 · vs Çorum FK (A) 1–2, 16 Oct

75Y. Fofana(G)

17Z. Ariss 93M. Sagnan 21S. Bakayoko 54M. Pala

14T. Antalyalı

7V. Mihăilă 20Q. Laçi 10I. Olawoyin 11A. Awokoya-Mebude

9A. Sowe

Trabzonspor Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Besiktas (H) 2–0, 19 Oct

24A. Onana(G)

55Sidny Lopes Cabral 15S. Savić 27Chibuike Nwaiwu 20Wagner Pina

6Fabinho 11O. Tufan

58D. Şimşir 7E. Muçi 10Mohamed Salah

9F. Gluda Djú

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Rizespor No reported absences

Trabzonspor No reported absences

Total impact vs full squads

Rizespor+0.0 pp
Draw+0.0 pp
Trabzonspor+0.0 pp

From eScored squad data: each player's weight is his role (core 3, starter 2, rotation 1, depth 0.5) times his share of minutes. Defenders and keepers count to the defence line, forwards to attack, midfielders half to each. EloLambda turns the lost share into fewer goals scored and more conceded (weight 0.1); the totals show how that moves the result chances.

Home / Away this season

Rizespor · Home 0.00points per game · 3 home games

W-D-L: 0-0-3
Scored: 0.00
Conceded: 2.00

Trabzonspor · Away 1.00points per game · 4 away games

W-D-L: 1-1-2
Scored: 1.25
Conceded: 1.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 2 this season

Opponent	Rizespor	Trabzonspor
Samsunspor	L 0–2 H	W 3–0 A
Konyaspor	W 1–0 A	L 0–1 A
Points	3 of 6 · 1.50 per game	3 of 6 · 1.50 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 6 of 6 meetings

3 Rizespor wins0 draws3 Trabzonspor wins

Goals per game1.33 – 1.33 Over 2.550% Both scored50% Clean sheets17% · 33%

14 Mar 2026Trabzonspor1–0Rizespor
18 Oct 2025Rizespor1–2Trabzonspor
13 Apr 2025Trabzonspor2–0Rizespor
9 Nov 2024Rizespor3–1Trabzonspor
25 Jan 2024Rizespor1–0Trabzonspor
26 Aug 2023Trabzonspor2–3Rizespor

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Rizespor	Trabzonspor	Forecast
Scored per game	1.00	2.25
Conceded per game	1.38	0.63
Match goals	2.38	2.88	3.05
Over 1.5	75%	88%
Over 2.5	50%	63%	59%
Over 3.5	13%	25%
Both teams scored	38%	38%	61%
Clean sheets	25%	50%
Failed to score	38%	13%
Games	8	8

	Rizespor	Trabzonspor	Forecast
Scored per game	1.00	1.80
Conceded per game	1.70	1.00
Match goals	2.70	2.80	3.05
Over 1.5	80%	80%
Over 2.5	60%	60%	59%
Over 3.5	30%	30%
Both teams scored	40%	30%	61%
Clean sheets	20%	40%
Failed to score	40%	30%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Rizespor	Trabzonspor	League
Corners
Corners won	5.43	5.13
Corners conceded	3.86	3.25
Match total	9.29	8.38	9.12
Over 8.5	43% 3/7	50% 4/8
Over 9.5	29% 2/7	13% 1/8
Over 10.5	29% 2/7	13% 1/8
Cards
Cards	1.88	2.13
Opponent cards	1.38	2.88
Match total	3.26	5.01	4.04
Over 3.5	50% 4/8	75% 6/8
Over 4.5	25% 2/8	63% 5/8

	Rizespor	Trabzonspor	League
Corners
Corners won	5.78	5.20
Corners conceded	3.67	4.00
Match total	9.45	9.20	9.12
Over 8.5	56% 5/9	60% 6/10
Over 9.5	33% 3/9	30% 3/10
Over 10.5	33% 3/9	30% 3/10
Cards
Cards	1.60	2.30
Opponent cards	1.40	2.90
Match total	3.00	5.20	4.04
Over 3.5	50% 5/10	80% 8/10
Over 4.5	20% 2/10	70% 7/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.