Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Fri, Nov 6 · 19:45 Stade Maurice Dufrasne, Luik
Standard Liege 9th · 11 pts · 8 played
VS— Compare
SK Beveren 11th · 9 pts · 8 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

Standard Liege are slight favourites.

Standard Liege are the stronger side on L90 Strength (33 vs 25). Recent goals, xG and shots on target add to that edge for Standard Liege. Standard Liege have 6.1 days of rest, SK Beveren 6 and have to travel 112 km.

Away travel112 kmRest days6.1 · 6Matches / 14d2 · 2
Standard Liege54%
Draw23%
SK Beveren23%
Expected goals 1.94 – 1.21
Standard Liege50%
Draw26%
SK Beveren25%
Expected goals 1.64 – 1.09
Standard Liege54%
Draw23%
SK Beveren23%
Expected goals 1.94 – 1.21
Standard Liege46%
Draw25%
SK Beveren30%
Expected goals 1.73 – 1.36
Standard Liege54%
Draw23%
SK Beveren23%
Expected goals 1.95 – 1.21
Over 2.5 61% Both score 61% Likeliest score 1–1
EloLambda forecast, updated 11 hours ago. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Luik)

Forecast from 22 Oct

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Standard Liege and SK Beveren. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

Standard LiegeSK Beveren
33 L90 StrengthIn forecast 25
33 Current StrengthIn forecast 25
29 AttackIn forecast 18
29 DefenceIn forecast 20
30 Form indexContext 25
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Standard Liege

Attack—
Defense risk—

SK Beveren

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Standard LiegeSK Beveren
1.63 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.00
1.63 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.75
1.61 xGVia Att/Def 0.73
1.72 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.09
+0.02 Goals minus xGContext +0.27
88% Scored inContext 63%
25% Clean sheetsContext 38%
13.50 ShotsContext 10.25
4.88 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.25
36% On target shareContext 32%
9.75 Shots in the boxContext 7.00
69% Box shareContext 69%
12% ConversionContext 10%
2.43 OffsidesContext 1.88
14.50 Shots allowedContext 15.50
4.38 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.00
4.29 BlocksContext 3.50
2.86 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.29
61% Save rateContext 71%
52% PossessionIn forecast 51%
459 PassesContext 469
365 Accurate passesContext 382
79% Pass accuracyContext 81%
6.76 Team ratingContext 6.83
9.88 FoulsContext 8.75
10.88 Fouls sufferedContext 10.88
1.13 Yellow cardsContext 1.88
0.13 Red cardsContext 0.13
This league season, per match · 8 and 8 games
1.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.00
1.60 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.75
1.58 xGVia Att/Def 0.73
1.67 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.09
-0.08 Goals minus xGContext +0.27
80% Scored inContext 63%
20% Clean sheetsContext 38%
12.70 ShotsContext 10.25
4.80 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.25
38% On target shareContext 32%
9.30 Shots in the boxContext 7.00
70% Box shareContext 69%
12% ConversionContext 10%
2.33 OffsidesContext 1.88
15.20 Shots allowedContext 15.50
4.30 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.00
4.67 BlocksContext 3.50
2.78 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.29
61% Save rateContext 71%
50% PossessionIn forecast 51%
433 PassesContext 469
341 Accurate passesContext 382
79% Pass accuracyContext 81%
6.76 Team ratingContext 6.83
10.10 FoulsContext 8.75
10.90 Fouls sufferedContext 10.88
1.40 Yellow cardsContext 1.88
0.10 Red cardsContext 0.13
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 8 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Standard Liege
Rest6.1 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km74 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 30 · 6 pts vs 8.4 for an average club · -1.0 vs expected
  • L11 OctH · Charleroi0–11.4 xPts
  • L18 SepA · Gent1–20.9 xPts
  • L12 SepA · KVC Westerlo2–41.4 xPts
  • W5 SepH · Antwerp1–01.7 xPts
  • W29 AugA · OH Leuven2–11.6 xPts
SK Beveren
Rest6 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel112 km96 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 25 · 6 pts vs 9.1 for an average club · -0.4 vs expected
  • L9 OctH · Lommel United1–31.4 xPts
  • L20 SepA · Kortrijk0–11.6 xPts
  • W12 SepH · St. Truiden2–01.1 xPts
  • W6 SepH · OH Leuven3–01.7 xPts
  • L28 AugA · Genk0–40.7 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Standard Liege SK Beveren
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match6.1Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 31 Oct6Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 31 Oct
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km112 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways74 km96 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 2 / 31 / 2 / 2
Next matchdays after this one15.915.7

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Standard Liege Last XI · not confirmed
4-3-3 · vs Charleroi (H) 0–1, 11 Oct
1M. Epolo(G)
3Gustav Mortensen 25I. Hautekiet 20I. Karamoko 13M. Fossey
84R. Touzghar 22A. Trouillet 94C. Nielsen
11A. Abid 10D. Eckert Ayensa 17Bernard Nguene
SK Beveren Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Lommel United (H) 1–3, 9 Oct
1J. Schenk(G)
4C. Janssens 31B. Godeau 35Y. Gomis 25C. Konaté
44C. Conde 18S. Dewaele
17J. Margaritha 22C. Brüls 5C. Lokesa
9M. Kaboré

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Standard Liege No reported absences
SK Beveren No reported absences
Total impact vs full squads
  • Standard Liege+0.0 pp
  • Draw+0.0 pp
  • SK Beveren+0.0 pp

From eScored squad data: each player's weight is his role (core 3, starter 2, rotation 1, depth 0.5) times his share of minutes. Defenders and keepers count to the defence line, forwards to attack, midfielders half to each. EloLambda turns the lost share into fewer goals scored and more conceded (weight 0.1); the totals show how that moves the result chances.

Home / Away this season

Standard Liege · Home 1.75points per game · 4 home games
W-D-L
2-1-1
Scored
1.25
Conceded
0.75
SK Beveren · Away 0.00points per game · 4 away games
W-D-L
0-0-4
Scored
0.25
Conceded
2.75

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 2 this season

OpponentStandard LiegeSK Beveren
Antwerp W 1–0 H L 1–2 A
OH Leuven W 2–1 A W 3–0 H
Points6 of 6 · 3.00 per game3 of 6 · 1.50 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

Standard LiegeSK BeverenForecast
Scored per game 1.631.00
Conceded per game 1.631.75
Match goals 3.252.75 3.14
Over 1.5 75%75%
Over 2.5 63%63% 61%
Over 3.5 38%38%
Both teams scored 63%25% 61%
Clean sheets 25%38%
Failed to score 13%38%
Games88
Standard LiegeSK BeverenForecast
Scored per game 1.401.00
Conceded per game 1.401.75
Match goals 2.802.75 3.14
Over 1.5 70%75%
Over 2.5 50%63% 61%
Over 3.5 30%38%
Both teams scored 60%25% 61%
Clean sheets 30%38%
Failed to score 20%38%
Games108

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

Standard LiegeSK BeverenLeague
Corners
Corners won6.005.00
Corners conceded5.004.38
Match total11.009.3810.01
Over 8.563% 5/850% 4/8
Over 9.550% 4/838% 3/8
Over 10.550% 4/838% 3/8
Cards
Cards1.252.00
Opponent cards1.251.25
Match total2.503.253.36
Over 3.525% 2/838% 3/8
Over 4.50% 0/825% 2/8
Standard LiegeSK BeverenLeague
Corners
Corners won5.505.00
Corners conceded5.404.38
Match total10.909.3810.01
Over 8.560% 6/1050% 4/8
Over 9.550% 5/1038% 3/8
Over 10.550% 5/1038% 3/8
Cards
Cards1.502.00
Opponent cards1.701.25
Match total3.203.253.36
Over 3.540% 4/1038% 3/8
Over 4.510% 1/1025% 2/8

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

Standard Liege8 games · scored 13 · conceded 13
2 1 0-15
1 16-30
2 3 31-45
1 2 46-60
6 1 61-75
1 6 76-90
SK Beveren8 games · scored 8 · conceded 14
1 1 0-15
1 3 16-30
1 2 31-45
2 5 46-60
1 2 61-75
2 1 76-90
Standard Liege10 games · scored 15 · conceded 16
2 2 0-15
2 16-30
3 3 31-45
1 2 46-60
6 2 61-75
1 7 76-90
SK Beveren8 games · scored 8 · conceded 14
1 1 0-15
1 3 16-30
1 2 31-45
2 5 46-60
1 2 61-75
2 1 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Beta

Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.

Next fixtures Belgian Pro League

View all fixtures →
Standard Liege SK Beveren Nov 619:45 KVC Westerlo Charleroi Nov 715:00 OH Leuven KV Mechelen Nov 717:15 Antwerp Lommel United Nov 719:45 RAAL La Louvière Cercle Brugge Nov 719:45 Club Brugge KV Anderlecht Nov 812:30 Gent Kortrijk Nov 815:00 Union St. Gilloise Genk Nov 817:30 St. Truiden Zulte Waregem Nov 818:15