Eredivisie Gameweek 14 Sat, Nov 28 · 17:45 Philips Stadion, Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven 3rd · 19 pts · 9 played
VS— Compare
GO Ahead Eagles 9th · 11 pts · 9 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel102 kmRest days3.9 · 6.1Matches / 14d2 · 1
Real contextStrength only
PSV Eindhoven—%
Draw—%
GO Ahead Eagles—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Eindhoven)

Forecast from 13 Nov

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for PSV Eindhoven and GO Ahead Eagles. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

PSV EindhovenGO Ahead Eagles
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
71 Current StrengthIn forecast 24
60 AttackIn forecast 29
64 DefenceIn forecast 17
32 Form indexContext 14
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

PSV Eindhoven

Attack—
Defense risk—

GO Ahead Eagles

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

PSV EindhovenGO Ahead Eagles
3.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.22
1.33 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.33
2.43 xGVia Att/Def 1.78
0.91 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.81
+0.57 Goals minus xGContext +0.44
100% Scored inContext 100%
11% Clean sheetsContext 0%
19.44 ShotsContext 15.78
7.11 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.22
37% On target shareContext 39%
13.44 Shots in the boxContext 10.44
71% Box shareContext 66%
15% ConversionContext 14%
2.00 OffsidesContext 1.33
10.89 Shots allowedContext 16.89
4.44 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.22
3.29 BlocksContext 5.50
3.25 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.25
67% Save rateContext 57%
61% PossessionIn forecast 56%
573 PassesContext 486
508 Accurate passesContext 402
89% Pass accuracyContext 83%
7.01 Team ratingContext 6.74
9.78 FoulsContext 7.11
9.89 Fouls sufferedContext 9.78
1.56 Yellow cardsContext 0.78
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
This league season, per match · 9 and 9 games
2.60 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.10
1.20 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.30
2.27 xGVia Att/Def 1.54
1.11 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.25
+0.33 Goals minus xGContext +0.56
90% Scored inContext 100%
10% Clean sheetsContext 0%
17.30 ShotsContext 14.50
6.50 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.70
38% On target shareContext 39%
11.60 Shots in the boxContext 10.44
67% Box shareContext 66%
15% ConversionContext 15%
2.22 OffsidesContext 1.33
11.70 Shots allowedContext 18.80
4.20 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.90
3.56 BlocksContext 6.44
3.22 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.00
71% Save rateContext 62%
58% PossessionIn forecast 55%
526 PassesContext 467
464 Accurate passesContext 385
88% Pass accuracyContext 82%
6.95 Team ratingContext 6.75
10.50 FoulsContext 7.20
11.00 Fouls sufferedContext 9.90
1.80 Yellow cardsContext 0.90
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

PSV Eindhoven
Rest3.9 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km2,931 km in 14d
Schedule load5%Low
Form 32 · 6 pts vs 8.1 for an average club · -4.7 vs expected
  • L17 OctA · ADO Den Haag1–22.4 xPts
  • L13 OctA · RB Leipzig0–11.2 xPts
  • W9 OctH · Heerenveen2–02.5 xPts
  • L20 SepA · Twente2–31.8 xPts
  • W13 SepH · Sparta Rotterdam4–12.7 xPts
GO Ahead Eagles
Rest6.1 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel102 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 14 · 4 pts vs 9.0 for an average club · -3.2 vs expected
  • L18 OctA · PEC Zwolle1–41.5 xPts
  • D10 OctH · Sparta Rotterdam3–31.9 xPts
  • D20 SepA · NEC Nijmegen1–11.1 xPts
  • D12 SepH · Groningen1–11.6 xPts
  • D8 SepA · Utrecht3–31.2 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
PSV Eindhoven GO Ahead Eagles
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 5Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match3.9UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase, 24 Nov6.1Eredivisie 2026-2027, 22 Nov
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km102 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways2,931 km0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 2 / 51 / 1 / 3
Next matchdays after this one7.17.8

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

PSV Eindhoven Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs ADO Den Haag (A) 1–2, 17 Oct
32M. Kovář(G)
18F. Kostić 4A. Obispo 2L. Geertruida 8S. Dest
17Mauro Júnior 24K. Sano
35A. Santos 20G. Til 27D. Man
21S. Mijnans
GO Ahead Eagles Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs PEC Zwolle (A) 1–4, 18 Oct
1C. Haug(G)
5D. James 4J. Kramer 25G. van Zwam 2A. Sampsted
8H. Linthorst 21M. Meulensteen
17M. Suray 10S. Tengstedt 16V. Edvardsen
9S. Sigurðarson

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
PSV Eindhoven Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
GO Ahead Eagles Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

PSV Eindhoven · Home 2.50points per game · 4 home games
W-D-L
3-1-0
Scored
3.25
Conceded
1.00
GO Ahead Eagles · Away 0.60points per game · 5 away games
W-D-L
0-3-2
Scored
1.80
Conceded
3.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 4 this season

OpponentPSV EindhovenGO Ahead Eagles
ADO Den Haag L 1–2 A W 3–1 H
Sparta Rotterdam W 4–1 H D 3–3 H
Utrecht W 6–1 A D 3–3 A
Groningen W 5–1 H D 1–1 H
Points9 of 12 · 2.25 per game6 of 12 · 1.50 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 5 of 5 meetings

4 PSV Eindhoven wins0 draws1 GO Ahead Eagles wins
Goals per game2.80 – 1.00 Over 2.5100% Both scored60% Clean sheets40% · 0%
  • 10 May 2026GO Ahead Eagles1–4PSV Eindhoven
  • 18 Oct 2025PSV Eindhoven2–1GO Ahead Eagles
  • 1 Mar 2025GO Ahead Eagles3–2PSV Eindhoven
  • 1 Sep 2024PSV Eindhoven3–0GO Ahead Eagles
  • 27 Sep 2023PSV Eindhoven3–0GO Ahead Eagles

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

PSV EindhovenGO Ahead EaglesForecast
Scored per game 3.002.22
Conceded per game 1.332.33
Match goals 4.334.56
Over 1.5 100%100%
Over 2.5 89%78%
Over 3.5 67%78%
Both teams scored 89%100%
Clean sheets 11%0%
Failed to score 0%0%
Games99
PSV EindhovenGO Ahead EaglesForecast
Scored per game 2.602.10
Conceded per game 1.202.30
Match goals 3.804.40
Over 1.5 90%100%
Over 2.5 70%80%
Over 3.5 50%70%
Both teams scored 80%100%
Clean sheets 10%0%
Failed to score 10%0%
Games1010

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

PSV EindhovenGO Ahead EaglesLeague
Corners
Corners won5.296.33
Corners conceded3.864.78
Match total9.1511.1110.39
Over 8.557% 4/778% 7/9
Over 9.557% 4/778% 7/9
Over 10.543% 3/767% 6/9
Cards
Cards1.670.78
Opponent cards2.000.89
Match total3.671.672.77
Over 3.533% 3/90% 0/9
Over 4.533% 3/90% 0/9
PSV EindhovenGO Ahead EaglesLeague
Corners
Corners won5.446.10
Corners conceded3.895.60
Match total9.3311.7010.39
Over 8.556% 5/980% 8/10
Over 9.556% 5/980% 8/10
Over 10.544% 4/970% 7/10
Cards
Cards1.900.90
Opponent cards2.400.90
Match total4.301.802.77
Over 3.540% 4/100% 0/10
Over 4.540% 4/100% 0/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

PSV Eindhoven9 games · scored 27 · conceded 12
4 4 0-15
5 1 16-30
5 1 31-45
4 2 46-60
3 61-75
6 4 76-90
GO Ahead Eagles9 games · scored 20 · conceded 21
1 3 0-15
4 1 16-30
1 4 31-45
4 3 46-60
6 4 61-75
4 6 76-90
PSV Eindhoven10 games · scored 26 · conceded 12
4 4 0-15
5 1 16-30
5 1 31-45
4 2 46-60
2 1 61-75
6 3 76-90
GO Ahead Eagles10 games · scored 21 · conceded 23
1 4 0-15
4 2 16-30
1 4 31-45
5 3 46-60
6 4 61-75
4 6 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

Next fixtures Eredivisie

View all fixtures →
Groningen Willem II Nov 2719:00 Excelsior Telstar Nov 2815:30 PSV Eindhoven GO Ahead Eagles Nov 2817:45 Cambuur Sparta Rotterdam Nov 2820:00 ADO Den Haag Utrecht Nov 2911:15 Fortuna Sittard Heerenveen Nov 2913:30 Feyenoord Ajax Nov 2913:30 PEC Zwolle AZ Alkmaar Nov 2915:45 NEC Nijmegen Twente Nov 2919:00