RAAL La Louvière vs Zulte Waregem

Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Sat, Oct 24 · 19:45 Stade Communal du Tivoli, La Louvière

RAAL La Louvière 16th · 4 pts · 8 played DLWLL

VS— Compare

Zulte Waregem 8th · 11 pts · 8 played DWLLL

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Zulte Waregem are slight favourites.

Zulte Waregem are the stronger side on L90 Strength (30 vs 17). Recent goals, xG and shots on target add to that edge for Zulte Waregem. RAAL La Louvière have 14.1 days of rest, Zulte Waregem 14 and have to travel 70 km. Weather to note: heavy rain, strong wind.

Away travel70 kmRest days14.1 · 14Matches / 14d0 · 1

RAAL La Louvière31%

Draw26%

Zulte Waregem43%

Expected goals 1.33 – 1.58

RAAL La Louvière33%

Draw27%

Zulte Waregem40%

Expected goals 1.27 – 1.41

RAAL La Louvière31%

Draw26%

Zulte Waregem43%

Expected goals 1.33 – 1.58

RAAL La Louvière25%

Draw24%

Zulte Waregem51%

Expected goals 1.19 – 1.78

RAAL La Louvière32%

Draw25%

Zulte Waregem43%

Expected goals 1.41 – 1.66

Over 2.5 56% Both score 59% Likeliest score 1–1

EloLambda forecast, updated 3 hours ago. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (La Louvière)

9°CLight rain

Precipitation 57%
Wind 40 km/h
Humidity 95%

Heavy rain Strong wind

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Defence

Streaks

Streak Zulte Waregem 3 Losses in a row Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Losses in a row

Team strength

RAAL La Louvière

Zulte Waregem

17 L90 StrengthIn forecast 30

17 Current StrengthIn forecast 30

15 AttackIn forecast 27

15 DefenceIn forecast 31

16 Form indexContext 17

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

RAAL La Louvière

Attack—

Defense risk—

Zulte Waregem

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

RAAL La Louvière

Zulte Waregem

1.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.25

2.25 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.13

0.86 xGVia Att/Def 1.25

2.28 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.17

+0.14 Goals minus xGContext +0.00

63% Scored inContext 50%

13% Clean sheetsContext 38%

11.38 ShotsContext 12.63

3.63 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.25

32% On target shareContext 34%

7.43 Shots in the boxContext 8.13

59% Box shareContext 65%

9% ConversionContext 10%

2.43 OffsidesContext 2.80

16.00 Shots allowedContext 12.00

5.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.88

3.88 BlocksContext 3.13

2.88 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.63

58% Save rateContext 74%

37% PossessionIn forecast 43%

335 PassesContext 376

257 Accurate passesContext 304

77% Pass accuracyContext 81%

6.58 Team ratingContext 6.85

12.13 FoulsContext 11.50

9.25 Fouls sufferedContext 12.88

2.13 Yellow cardsContext 0.88

0.13 Red cardsContext 0.13

This league season, per match · 8 and 8 games

1.30 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.50

2.10 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.20

1.10 xGVia Att/Def 1.34

1.93 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.29

+0.20 Goals minus xGContext +0.16

70% Scored inContext 60%

10% Clean sheetsContext 30%

11.60 ShotsContext 13.10

3.90 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.60

34% On target shareContext 35%

7.89 Shots in the boxContext 8.20

62% Box shareContext 64%

11% ConversionContext 12%

2.22 OffsidesContext 3.00

14.70 Shots allowedContext 11.90

4.60 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.00

3.60 BlocksContext 3.11

2.89 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.60

59% Save rateContext 72%

39% PossessionIn forecast 45%

334 PassesContext 385

257 Accurate passesContext 308

77% Pass accuracyContext 80%

6.66 Team ratingContext 6.84

11.10 FoulsContext 11.00

10.40 Fouls sufferedContext 12.80

1.90 Yellow cardsContext 0.90

0.10 Red cardsContext 0.10

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

RAAL La Louvière DLWLL

Rest14.1 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 16 · 4 pts vs 8.7 for an average club · -1.7 vs expected

L10 OctH · Club Brugge KV1–40.6 xPts
L19 SepA · OH Leuven0–21.3 xPts
W13 SepH · Kortrijk3–01.8 xPts
L5 SepA · St. Truiden0–40.7 xPts
D29 AugH · KV Mechelen2–21.4 xPts

Zulte Waregem DWLLL

Rest14 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel70 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 17 · 4 pts vs 8.5 for an average club · -3.5 vs expected

L10 OctH · Gent0–21.3 xPts
L19 SepA · Anderlecht0–31.1 xPts
L13 SepH · Charleroi0–11.6 xPts
W6 SepA · Kortrijk2–01.8 xPts
D30 AugA · KVC Westerlo2–21.7 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	RAAL La Louvière	Zulte Waregem
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	14.1Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 10 Oct	14Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 10 Oct
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	70 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	0 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 0 / 1	0 / 1 / 1
Next matchdays after this one	8	6

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

RAAL La Louvière Last XI · not confirmed

5-3-2 · vs Club Brugge KV (H) 1–4, 10 Oct

21M. Peano(G)

18S. Delos 25D. Lamego 99Y. Okou 33P. Nkoa 3N. Gillot

23J. Ito 10M. Wade 29M. Courcoul

11M. Ubandoma 9E. Filet

Zulte Waregem Last XI · not confirmed

4-3-3 · vs Gent (H) 0–2, 10 Oct

13B. Gabriël(G)

55Y. Cappelle 5Jakob Kiilerich 4L. Lemoine 23S. Diakité

11M. Aké 6E. Lofolomo 8T. Claes

20T. Hedl 18A. Ementa 10M. Mbaye

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

RAAL La Louvière No reported absences

Zulte Waregem No reported absences

Total impact vs full squads

RAAL La Louvière+0.0 pp
Draw+0.0 pp
Zulte Waregem+0.0 pp

From eScored squad data: each player's weight is his role (core 3, starter 2, rotation 1, depth 0.5) times his share of minutes. Defenders and keepers count to the defence line, forwards to attack, midfielders half to each. EloLambda turns the lost share into fewer goals scored and more conceded (weight 0.1); the totals show how that moves the result chances.

Home / Away this season

RAAL La Louvière · Home 1.00points per game · 4 home games

W-D-L: 1-1-2
Scored: 1.75
Conceded: 2.00

Zulte Waregem · Away 1.25points per game · 4 away games

W-D-L: 1-2-1
Scored: 1.00
Conceded: 1.25

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 3 this season

Opponent	RAAL La Louvière	Zulte Waregem
Kortrijk	W 3–0 H	W 2–0 A
Gent	L 1–2 H	L 0–2 H
Anderlecht	L 1–2 A	L 0–3 A
Points	3 of 9 · 1.00 per game	3 of 9 · 1.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 4 of 4 meetings

0 RAAL La Louvière wins2 draws2 Zulte Waregem wins

Goals per game0.50 – 2.00 Over 2.550% Both scored25% Clean sheets25% · 75%

26 Apr 2026Zulte Waregem4–0RAAL La Louvière
19 Apr 2026RAAL La Louvière0–2Zulte Waregem
13 Dec 2025Zulte Waregem2–2RAAL La Louvière
4 Oct 2025RAAL La Louvière0–0Zulte Waregem

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	RAAL La Louvière	Zulte Waregem	Forecast
Scored per game	1.00	1.25
Conceded per game	2.25	1.13
Match goals	3.25	2.38	2.91
Over 1.5	100%	75%
Over 2.5	75%	50%	56%
Over 3.5	38%	25%
Both teams scored	50%	25%	59%
Clean sheets	13%	38%
Failed to score	38%	50%
Games	8	8

	RAAL La Louvière	Zulte Waregem	Forecast
Scored per game	1.60	1.10
Conceded per game	2.40	1.10
Match goals	4.00	2.20	2.91
Over 1.5	100%	70%
Over 2.5	80%	40%	56%
Over 3.5	50%	20%
Both teams scored	60%	20%	59%
Clean sheets	10%	40%
Failed to score	30%	50%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	RAAL La Louvière	Zulte Waregem	League
Corners
Corners won	3.71	4.50
Corners conceded	6.00	5.25
Match total	9.71	9.75	10.01
Over 8.5	57% 4/7	75% 6/8
Over 9.5	43% 3/7	50% 4/8
Over 10.5	29% 2/7	38% 3/8
Cards
Cards	2.50	1.00
Opponent cards	1.38	2.25
Match total	3.88	3.25	3.36
Over 3.5	63% 5/8	38% 3/8
Over 4.5	38% 3/8	25% 2/8

	RAAL La Louvière	Zulte Waregem	League
Corners
Corners won	3.89	5.20
Corners conceded	5.67	4.80
Match total	9.56	10.00	10.01
Over 8.5	56% 5/9	80% 8/10
Over 9.5	44% 4/9	60% 6/10
Over 10.5	33% 3/9	50% 5/10
Cards
Cards	2.20	1.00
Opponent cards	1.50	2.30
Match total	3.70	3.30	3.36
Over 3.5	50% 5/10	40% 4/10
Over 4.5	30% 3/10	30% 3/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.