Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Sat, Oct 24 · 19:45 Het Kuipje, Westerlo
KVC Westerlo 6th · 13 pts · 8 played
VS— Compare
SK Beveren 11th · 9 pts · 8 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

KVC Westerlo are clear favourites.

KVC Westerlo are the stronger side on L90 Strength (33 vs 25). Recent goals, xG and shots on target add to that edge for KVC Westerlo. KVC Westerlo have 13.1 days of rest, SK Beveren 15 and have to travel 48 km. Weather to note: strong wind.

Away travel48 kmRest days13.1 · 15Matches / 14d1 · 0
KVC Westerlo60%
Draw21%
SK Beveren19%
Expected goals 2.19 – 1.17
KVC Westerlo50%
Draw26%
SK Beveren25%
Expected goals 1.64 – 1.09
KVC Westerlo60%
Draw21%
SK Beveren19%
Expected goals 2.19 – 1.17
KVC Westerlo52%
Draw23%
SK Beveren25%
Expected goals 1.95 – 1.31
KVC Westerlo60%
Draw21%
SK Beveren19%
Expected goals 2.19 – 1.16
Over 2.5 65% Both score 62% Likeliest score 2–1
EloLambda forecast, updated 4 hours ago. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Westerlo)
9°CLight rain
  • Precipitation 76%
  • Wind 35 km/h
  • Humidity 93%
Strong wind
Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for KVC Westerlo and SK Beveren. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

KVC WesterloSK Beveren
33 L90 StrengthIn forecast 25
33 Current StrengthIn forecast 25
42 AttackIn forecast 18
32 DefenceIn forecast 20
83 Form indexContext 25
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

KVC Westerlo

Attack—
Defense risk—

SK Beveren

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

KVC WesterloSK Beveren
2.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.00
2.13 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.75
1.37 xGVia Att/Def 0.73
1.93 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.09
+1.13 Goals minus xGContext +0.27
88% Scored inContext 63%
25% Clean sheetsContext 38%
14.88 ShotsContext 10.25
5.38 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.25
36% On target shareContext 32%
10.63 Shots in the boxContext 7.00
72% Box shareContext 69%
17% ConversionContext 10%
1.17 OffsidesContext 1.88
14.50 Shots allowedContext 15.50
5.13 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.00
2.38 BlocksContext 3.50
3.00 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.29
59% Save rateContext 71%
51% PossessionIn forecast 51%
454 PassesContext 469
378 Accurate passesContext 382
83% Pass accuracyContext 81%
6.81 Team ratingContext 6.83
13.38 FoulsContext 8.75
10.50 Fouls sufferedContext 10.88
1.25 Yellow cardsContext 1.88
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.13
This league season, per match · 8 and 8 games
2.10 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.00
2.10 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.75
1.21 xGVia Att/Def 0.73
1.95 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.09
+0.89 Goals minus xGContext +0.27
80% Scored inContext 63%
20% Clean sheetsContext 38%
15.00 ShotsContext 10.25
4.80 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.25
32% On target shareContext 32%
10.20 Shots in the boxContext 7.00
68% Box shareContext 69%
14% ConversionContext 10%
1.14 OffsidesContext 1.88
14.50 Shots allowedContext 15.50
5.40 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.00
2.70 BlocksContext 3.50
3.30 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.29
61% Save rateContext 71%
52% PossessionIn forecast 51%
459 PassesContext 469
384 Accurate passesContext 382
84% Pass accuracyContext 81%
6.77 Team ratingContext 6.83
12.90 FoulsContext 8.75
10.80 Fouls sufferedContext 10.88
1.40 Yellow cardsContext 1.88
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.13
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 8 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

KVC Westerlo
Rest13.1 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 83 · 13 pts vs 8.6 for an average club · +6.9 vs expected
  • W11 OctH · Antwerp5–11.8 xPts
  • W20 SepA · St. Truiden2–00.9 xPts
  • W12 SepH · Standard Liege4–21.4 xPts
  • W5 SepA · KV Mechelen4–01.0 xPts
  • D30 AugH · Zulte Waregem2–21.0 xPts
SK Beveren
Rest15 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel48 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 25 · 6 pts vs 9.1 for an average club · -0.4 vs expected
  • L9 OctH · Lommel United1–31.4 xPts
  • L20 SepA · Kortrijk0–11.6 xPts
  • W12 SepH · St. Truiden2–01.1 xPts
  • W6 SepH · OH Leuven3–01.7 xPts
  • L28 AugA · Genk0–40.7 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
KVC Westerlo SK Beveren
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match13.1Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 11 Oct15Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 9 Oct
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km48 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways0 km0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days0 / 1 / 10 / 0 / 1
Next matchdays after this one77

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

KVC Westerlo Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Antwerp (H) 5–1, 11 Oct
99A. Jungdal(G)
28Dylan Ourega 4A. Lapage 5Seiji Kimura 2L. Flø
14C. Sandra 45I. Fofana
7Shunsuke Saito 13I. Sakamoto 39T. Van den Keybus
9N. Bassette
SK Beveren Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Lommel United (H) 1–3, 9 Oct
1J. Schenk(G)
4C. Janssens 31B. Godeau 35Y. Gomis 25C. Konaté
44C. Conde 18S. Dewaele
17J. Margaritha 22C. Brüls 5C. Lokesa
9M. Kaboré

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
KVC Westerlo No reported absences
SK Beveren No reported absences
Total impact vs full squads
  • KVC Westerlo+0.0 pp
  • Draw+0.0 pp
  • SK Beveren+0.0 pp

From eScored squad data: each player's weight is his role (core 3, starter 2, rotation 1, depth 0.5) times his share of minutes. Defenders and keepers count to the defence line, forwards to attack, midfielders half to each. EloLambda turns the lost share into fewer goals scored and more conceded (weight 0.1); the totals show how that moves the result chances.

Home / Away this season

KVC Westerlo · Home 1.75points per game · 4 home games
W-D-L
2-1-1
Scored
3.00
Conceded
2.50
SK Beveren · Away 0.00points per game · 4 away games
W-D-L
0-0-4
Scored
0.25
Conceded
2.75

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 5 this season

OpponentKVC WesterloSK Beveren
Antwerp W 5–1 H L 1–2 A
St. Truiden W 2–0 A W 2–0 H
Zulte Waregem D 2–2 H L 0–4 A
Lommel United L 0–4 A L 1–3 H
Genk L 2–3 A L 0–4 A
Points7 of 15 · 1.40 per game3 of 15 · 0.60 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

KVC WesterloSK BeverenForecast
Scored per game 2.501.00
Conceded per game 2.131.75
Match goals 4.632.75 3.35
Over 1.5 100%75%
Over 2.5 88%63% 65%
Over 3.5 88%38%
Both teams scored 63%25% 62%
Clean sheets 25%38%
Failed to score 13%38%
Games88
KVC WesterloSK BeverenForecast
Scored per game 2.101.00
Conceded per game 1.901.75
Match goals 4.002.75 3.35
Over 1.5 90%75%
Over 2.5 80%63% 65%
Over 3.5 70%38%
Both teams scored 60%25% 62%
Clean sheets 30%38%
Failed to score 20%38%
Games108

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

KVC WesterloSK BeverenLeague
Corners
Corners won3.505.00
Corners conceded5.754.38
Match total9.259.3810.01
Over 8.575% 6/850% 4/8
Over 9.538% 3/838% 3/8
Over 10.525% 2/838% 3/8
Cards
Cards1.252.00
Opponent cards1.631.25
Match total2.883.253.36
Over 3.538% 3/838% 3/8
Over 4.538% 3/825% 2/8
KVC WesterloSK BeverenLeague
Corners
Corners won3.905.00
Corners conceded5.304.38
Match total9.209.3810.01
Over 8.570% 7/1050% 4/8
Over 9.540% 4/1038% 3/8
Over 10.530% 3/1038% 3/8
Cards
Cards1.402.00
Opponent cards1.801.25
Match total3.203.253.36
Over 3.550% 5/1038% 3/8
Over 4.540% 4/1025% 2/8

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

KVC Westerlo8 games · scored 20 · conceded 17
6 0-15
1 4 16-30
2 3 31-45
4 2 46-60
2 4 61-75
5 4 76-90
SK Beveren8 games · scored 8 · conceded 14
1 1 0-15
1 3 16-30
1 2 31-45
2 5 46-60
1 2 61-75
2 1 76-90
KVC Westerlo10 games · scored 21 · conceded 21
7 0-15
1 5 16-30
2 5 31-45
4 2 46-60
2 5 61-75
5 4 76-90
SK Beveren8 games · scored 8 · conceded 14
1 1 0-15
1 3 16-30
1 2 31-45
2 5 46-60
1 2 61-75
2 1 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Beta

Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.

Next fixtures Belgian Pro League

View all fixtures →
Kortrijk KV Mechelen Oct 2319:45 Antwerp Charleroi Oct 2415:00 OH Leuven Lommel United Oct 2417:15 KVC Westerlo SK Beveren Oct 2419:45 RAAL La Louvière Zulte Waregem Oct 2419:45 Genk Standard Liege Oct 2512:30 Club Brugge KV St. Truiden Oct 2515:00 Gent Anderlecht Oct 2517:30 Union St. Gilloise Cercle Brugge Oct 2518:15