Bayer Leverkusen

4th · Bundesliga · 13 points · Matches played: 6

1 point behind Bayern München · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+5.4 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed +4.1 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number.
79.1+5.4
World Rank 17th Global, by Elo
Bundesliga Rank 3rd L90 Strength

Compare clubs

Choose a second club to explore what separates them.

Our take

A top side, and in form.

Bayer Leverkusen build on a top-three attack and back it with a top-three defence. Across the 6 league matches with forecasts, their points total is close to our pre-match expectations. The toughest of the next 5 matches is the trip to 1899 Hoffenheim.

Bundesliga · 6 games. Their results look slightly better than their underlying numbers. They are scoring more goals than their chances suggest. They are conceding more goals than expected; goalkeeping or opponents' finishing may contribute, but these figures do not establish the cause.

They dominate the ball, with 58% possession, 2nd in the league, and turn it into 20 shots a game. They allow very few chances (12 shots a game against). Home is where they earn their points: 3.0 per game there against 1.3 away.

  • Top 4 95% · Relegation 0%Likely 2nd · 68 projected points
  • Next 5: about 11 of 15 points Toughest at 1899 Hoffenheim · , 63% to win
  • 6 out, none key4% of squad weight missing · Last match: 18 Oct
  • 13 pts vs 10.8 expected+2.2 vs pre-match expectations · 6 matches with forecasts

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Bayer Leverkusen. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals for this club in each category.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses observed Playing style averages; window size is not xG coverage and the two metrics can have different denominators. Points minus xPts uses the same covered current-league matches and stored forecasts as Club strength, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

The full picture, with the evidence behind every signal.View all Club insights →

Season

League position and season results.

Overview

2026-2027
All competitions8 Played
75.0%Win %
Wins6
Draws1
Losses1

Expected metrics · 8 of 8 matches covered

Goals For
222.75 / game
xG 20.23 1.77 more goals than expected. vs 22 goals
Goals Against
91.13 / game
xGA 8.40 0.60 more conceded than expected. vs 9 conceded
Goal Difference
+13+1.62 / game
xGD +11.83 Goal difference is 1.17 higher than expected. vs +13 GD
Clean Sheets
450% of games

Season totals cover all competitions and stages. Positions and points refer to each competition table.

Competition standings

There is no combined table across competitions. View each competition separately.

Squad 38 players · this season, all competitions · 5 out

Absences reported for the last match: 18 Oct 2026

Top scorer
P. Schick8 goals (2 pen)
Most assists
Miguel Gutiérrez3 assists
Best rated
I. Maza7.53 avg rating
Most minutes
M. Flekken720 min
Key to the model
Aleix GarcíaCore · weight 2.71

Stats are this season in all competitions. Model role is how much the availability model weighs each player before the trip to OFI: core, starter, rotation or depth, from several seasons of minutes and ratings.

Performance

Strength, recent form and playing style.

Strength Bundesliga · 18 clubs

L90 Strength3rd of 18
79 Elo 1845 · World #17
Current Strength
79 With absences before 22 Oct: +0 Elo
Attack2nd of 18
87 Scores 2.43 per match against an average top-five side
Defence3rd of 18
79 Concedes 1.12 per match against an average top-five side

In forecast League average

L90 Strength comes from Elo; Attack and Defence from goals scored and conceded, expected goals (xG) and shots on target, all on fixed 0–100 scales shared by every league. These are the numbers the forecast uses.

Strong at both ends Defence first Attack first Struggling Attack → Defence → Bayern München: attack 96, defence 90, L90 Strength 94 Borussia Dortmund: attack 69, defence 80, L90 Strength 81 SC Freiburg: attack 63, defence 73, L90 Strength 64 Bayer Leverkusen: attack 87, defence 79, L90 Strength 79 FSV Mainz 05: attack 68, defence 56, L90 Strength 55 SV Elversberg: attack 44, defence 37, L90 Strength 42 RB Leipzig: attack 76, defence 53, L90 Strength 68 Werder Bremen: attack 56, defence 45, L90 Strength 43 Hamburger SV: attack 37, defence 43, L90 Strength 40 FC Augsburg: attack 72, defence 23, L90 Strength 50 Eintracht Frankfurt: attack 54, defence 37, L90 Strength 48 1.FC Köln: attack 36, defence 36, L90 Strength 34 VfB Stuttgart: attack 70, defence 58, L90 Strength 68 1899 Hoffenheim: attack 46, defence 43, L90 Strength 49 FC Schalke 04: attack 33, defence 50, L90 Strength 46 SC Paderborn 07: attack 34, defence 33, L90 Strength 38 Union Berlin: attack 42, defence 41, L90 Strength 39 Borussia Mönchengladbach: attack 34, defence 21, L90 Strength 36
Every Bundesliga club on the Attack and Defence scales. Dashed lines are the league average. Tap a crest to open that club.

Form last 5 for the index · last 8 listed

94
Form index · 1st of 18 in league
Points, last 5
15
Median top-5 club
7.2
Own forecasts
9.8 +5.2
Table4th L90 Strength3rd Form1st

Table position in line with their strength.

Form compares points with what a median top-five club (L90 Strength 50) would take from the same fixtures, so wins over strong sides count for more; 50 is a typical run. "Own forecasts" is the gap to this club's pre-match expectations. Form is context: in our tests it did not improve the forecast.

  • W18 OctH · SC Freiburg2–12.1 xPts
  • W15 OctA · Lech Poznan4–01.9 xPts
  • W10 OctA · FSV Mainz 054–31.6 xPts
  • W20 SepH · RB Leipzig2–01.7 xPts
  • W16 SepH · Celje2–02.6 xPts
  • D12 SepA · FC Augsburg2–21.5 xPts
  • W5 SepH · Union Berlin4–02.1 xPts
  • L29 AugA · SV Elversberg2–31.9 xPts

Trends last 8, all competitions

Scored 8/8
Clean sheet 4/8
Conceded 2+ 3/8
Over 2.5 6/8
Both teams scored 4/8

Playing style vs Bundesliga average

BAYLeagueRank
Goals scored 2.67 1.84 2nd
Goals conceded 1.50 1.84 5th
xG 2.19 1.75 2nd
xG allowed 1.16 1.75 4th
Scored in 100% 76% 1st
Clean sheets 33% 24% 4th
BAYLeagueRank
Shots 19.67 15.55 2nd
Shots on target 6.17 5.77 6th
On target share 31% 35% 15th
Box share 71% 68% 9th
Conversion 14% 12% 7th
BAYLeagueRank
Shots allowed 11.50 15.55 3rd
On target allowed 4.20 5.71 3rd
Blocks 2.67 4.49 18th
Save rate 52% 66% 17th
BAYLeagueRank
Possession 58% 50% 2nd
Passes 539 455 2nd
Pass accuracy 87% 81% 2nd
BAYLeagueRank
Fouls 12.33 11.43 14th
Fouls suffered 10.00 11.44 15th
Yellow cards 1.33 1.71 6th
Red cards 0.00 0.02 1st
This league season, per match · 6 games. Rank among 18 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.
BAYLeagueRank
Goals scored 2.40 1.84 2nd
Goals conceded 1.30 1.74 5th
xG 2.35 1.71 2nd
xG allowed 1.25 1.62 4th
Scored in 100% 80% 1st
Clean sheets 40% 24% 2nd
BAYLeagueRank
Shots 18.50 14.87 2nd
Shots on target 6.60 5.55 2nd
On target share 36% 36% 12th
Box share 71% 67% 6th
Conversion 13% 12% 5th
BAYLeagueRank
Shots allowed 12.20 14.13 4th
On target allowed 4.56 5.23 5th
Blocks 3.10 4.08 15th
Save rate 63% 66% 12th
BAYLeagueRank
Possession 58% 51% 3rd
Passes 537 455 2nd
Pass accuracy 88% 82% 2nd
BAYLeagueRank
Fouls 11.90 10.89 14th
Fouls suffered 9.80 10.68 12th
Yellow cards 1.20 1.70 4th
Red cards 0.00 0.02 1st
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 games. Rank among 18 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.

Home and away this league season

Home3.00pts per game3-0-0 · 2.7–0.3 goals · 3 games
Away1.33pts per game1-1-1 · 2.7–2.7 goals · 3 games

Goal timing this league season · 6 games

3 3 0-15
3 16-30
1 2 31-45
3 3 46-60
2 61-75
4 1 76-90

scored conceded, per 15 minutes

In forecastVia Att/DefContextLeague average

Possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Goals, xG and shots on target feed the Attack and Defence ratings. The rest describes how the team plays and does not change the forecast.

Team rankings Bundesliga · 6 games · rank of 18

Attack

GF 16 2nd / 18
GF/G 2.67 2nd / 18
xG/G 2.19 2nd / 18
G − xG +0.48 5th / 18

Defence

GA 9 5th / 18
GA/G 1.50 5th / 18
xGA/G 1.16 4th / 18
xGA − GA -0.34 13th / 18

Overall

Pts 13 3rd / 18
xPts 10.8 3rd / 18
PPG 2.17 3rd / 18
TR 7.02 5th / 18
GD +7 3rd / 18
xGD +6.2 2nd / 18
W 4 1st / 18
L 1 3rd / 18

Scorelines

  • 2–3×1
  • 4–0×1
  • 2–2×1
  • 2–0×1
  • 4–3×1
  • 2–1×1

Goals per game both teams

0% 0
0% 1
17% 2
17% 3
33% 4
33% 5+

Totals club · league

Over 1.5
100%81%
Over 2.5
83%74%
Over 3.5
67%56%
Both scored
67%59%
Clean sheet
33%24%
Failed to score
0%24%
ClubLeague average

This league season only. xPts adds up our pre-match win and draw chances (pure EloLambda, the same numbers as Form). xG and TR come from match data and describe the season so far; none of these rankings change the forecast directly.