Bayer Leverkusen

4th · Bundesliga · 13 points · Matches played: 6

1 point behind Bayern München · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+5.4 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed +4.1 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 79.1+5.4
World Rank 17th Global, by Elo
Bundesliga Rank 3rd L90 Strength
Last SC FreiburgH xG 1.6–0.9 2–1 Next OFIA 78%

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Upcoming fixtures

Bayer Leverkusen · All competitions

Forecast
OFIUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away 78% win 2.49 xPts 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away 63% win 2.08 xPts VfB StuttgartBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home 66% win 2.15 xPts MarseilleUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home 76% win 2.41 xPts 1.FC KölnBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away 68% win 2.21 xPts SC Paderborn 07Bundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Dinamo ZagrebUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away — win — xPts Borussia DortmundBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts BesiktasUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home — win — xPts Werder BremenBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Hamburger SVBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Bayern MünchenBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts FC Schalke 04Bundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Red Bull SalzburgUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home — win — xPts SV ElversbergBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LyonUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away — win — xPts Union BerlinBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts FC AugsburgBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts RB LeipzigBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts SC FreiburgBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts VfB StuttgartBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts 1.FC KölnBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts SC Paderborn 07Bundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Borussia DortmundBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Werder BremenBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Hamburger SVBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Bayern MünchenBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts FC Schalke 04Bundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts

xPts = 3 × win probability + draw probability. — means no published forecast. Open a match for xG and the full forecast.

Results

Bayer Leverkusen · All competitions

Full time
SC FreiburgBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home W 2–1 1.6–0.9 xG +0.9 Δpts Lech PoznanUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away W 4–0 5.3–0.5 xG +1.1 Δpts FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga 2026-2027 · Away W 4–3 1.6–2.4 xG +1.4 Δpts RB LeipzigBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home W 2–0 2.3–1.0 xG +1.3 Δpts CeljeUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home W 2–0 1.9–0.9 xG +0.4 Δpts FC AugsburgBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away D 2–2 2.6–1.1 xG -0.5 Δpts Union BerlinBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home W 4–0 3.1–0.4 xG +0.8 Δpts SV ElversbergBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away L 2–3 1.9–1.3 xG -1.9 Δpts

Score and actual xG show Bayer Leverkusen first. Δpts = points taken − pre-match xPts. — means data unavailable.

Current load High · 40

Rest profile4.1 days since last match
0%
Schedule load3 matches in last 14 days
30%
Travel load2,271 km to venue, 1,699 km in 14 days
83%
Squad availability6 out, no key players · Last match: 18 Oct
4%

Load before the next match, at OFI, 22 Oct. Squad availability is shown separately and is not part of the score; availability is the share of squad weight missing, the same input the forecast uses for absences.

Schedule difficulty all competitions

Each bar is one match: 50% match difficulty from current relative Elo strength + 50% calendar load (rest, match congestion and travel). Higher means harder, on a 0–100 scale. This is a descriptive index, not a win probability. Lighter bars are upcoming; the dashed line marks today. Grey marks missing data. 29 Aug at SV Elversberg: Schedule difficulty 10/100; match difficulty 19/100
L
 Aug 5 Sep vs Union Berlin: Schedule difficulty 9/100; match difficulty 18/100
W
 Sep 12 Sep at FC Augsburg: Schedule difficulty 15/100; match difficulty 24/100
D
 16 Sep vs Celje: Schedule difficulty 4/100; match difficulty 8/100
W
 20 Sep vs RB Leipzig: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 38/100
W
 10 Oct at FSV Mainz 05: Schedule difficulty 14/100; match difficulty 28/100
W
 Oct 15 Oct at Lech Poznan: Schedule difficulty 11/100; match difficulty 15/100
W
 18 Oct vs SC Freiburg: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 35/100
W
 22 Oct at OFI: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 9/100 25 Oct at 1899 Hoffenheim: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 23/100 31 Oct vs VfB Stuttgart: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 38/100 5 Nov vs Marseille: Schedule difficulty 11/100; match difficulty 22/100 Nov 8 Nov at 1.FC Köln: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 15/100 21 Nov vs SC Paderborn 07: Schedule difficulty 9/100; match difficulty 17/100 26 Nov at Dinamo Zagreb: Schedule difficulty 16/100; match difficulty 20/100 29 Nov at Borussia Dortmund: Schedule difficulty 33/100; match difficulty 52/100 5 Dec vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: Schedule difficulty 18/100; match difficulty 16/100 Dec 10 Dec vs Besiktas: Schedule difficulty 12/100; match difficulty 24/100 12 Dec at Werder Bremen: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 20/100 19 Dec vs Eintracht Frankfurt: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 23/100 9 Jan at Hamburger SV: Schedule difficulty 12/100; match difficulty 18/100 Jan 12 Jan at Bayern München: Schedule difficulty 46/100; match difficulty 77/100 16 Jan vs FC Schalke 04: Schedule difficulty 14/100; match difficulty 22/100 21 Jan vs Red Bull Salzburg: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 18/100 23 Jan vs SV Elversberg: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 19/100 28 Jan at Lyon: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 31/100 30 Jan at Union Berlin: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 18/100 6 Feb vs FC Augsburg: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 24/100 Feb 13 Feb at RB Leipzig: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 38/100 20 Feb vs FSV Mainz 05: Schedule difficulty 14/100; match difficulty 28/100 27 Feb at SC Freiburg: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 35/100 2 Mar vs 1899 Hoffenheim: Schedule difficulty 16/100; match difficulty 23/100 Mar 6 Mar at VfB Stuttgart: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 38/100 13 Mar vs 1.FC Köln: Schedule difficulty 15/100; match difficulty 15/100 20 Mar at SC Paderborn 07: Schedule difficulty 9/100; match difficulty 17/100 3 Apr vs Borussia Dortmund: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 52/100 Apr 10 Apr at Borussia Mönchengladbach: Schedule difficulty 8/100; match difficulty 16/100 17 Apr vs Werder Bremen: Schedule difficulty 10/100; match difficulty 20/100 24 Apr at Eintracht Frankfurt: Schedule difficulty 12/100; match difficulty 23/100 8 May vs Hamburger SV: Schedule difficulty 9/100; match difficulty 18/100 May 15 May vs Bayern München: Schedule difficulty 39/100; match difficulty 77/100 22 May at FC Schalke 04: Schedule difficulty 11/100; match difficulty 22/100

Schedule next 30 days · forecast and load

All fixtures and load →
Rest4.1 daysbefore CRE
Matches / 14d3all competitions
Travel / 14d1,699 kmaway trips
Schedule load40%High
at OFIThu 22 Oct, 17:45 UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · opponent L90 Strength 21 78%win13%draw8%loss High load · 4.1 d rest · 3 in 14 d at 1899 HoffenheimSun 25 Oct, 14:30 Bundesliga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 49 63%win18%draw18%loss Moderate load · 2.9 d rest · 3 in 14 d vs VfB StuttgartSat 31 Oct, 14:30 Bundesliga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 68 66%win17%draw17%loss Moderate load · 6 d rest · 3 in 14 d vs MarseilleThu 5 Nov, 20:00 UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · opponent L90 Strength 47 76%win14%draw10%loss Low load · 5.2 d rest at 1.FC KölnSun 8 Nov, 14:30 Bundesliga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 34 68%win17%draw15%loss Moderate load · 2.8 d rest · 3 in 14 d
Win · draw · loss: LOAD90 forecastLoad bar: rest, matches and travel before each game (context; only 4+ matches in 14 days changes the forecast)
Full match preview oneScored → at OFI, 22 OctOdds, value, live score

Fixture Swing

Opponent opportunity across the next 3 matches · all competitions

3 of 3 forecasts available

Attack Swing+9%

Baseline 7.57 → Forecast 8.29 expected goals · 3 included matches

Conceding Swing−12%

Baseline 4.16 → Forecast 3.65 expected goals conceded · 3 included matches

Opportunity for the next 3 matches
MatchAttackConceding riskGoals · Baseline → Forecast
at OFI22 Oct · UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase +29% −38% 2.27 → 2.94
at 1899 Hoffenheim25 Oct · Bundesliga 2026-2027 +10% −9% 2.37 → 2.60
vs VfB Stuttgart31 Oct · Bundesliga 2026-2027 −6% +15% 2.94 → 2.76

Swing compares total forecast goals with total baseline goals for the included matches. Forecasts are available up to 21 days ahead. Missing snapshots and different model revisions are excluded; a partial window covers only the matches shown with values. Your team's own conditions are kept in each baseline.

Next match · Match Opportunity

Bayer Leverkusen

Baseline: average Bundesliga opponent

Attack Uplift +29% Expected goals Baseline2.27Forecast2.94
Conceding Risk −38% Expected goals conceded Baseline1.44Forecast0.89
Clean Sheet +17.5 pp Chance of conceding no goals Baseline23.6%Forecast41.1%