Inter

1st · Serie A · 19 points · Matches played: 7

League leaders · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+1.1 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed -0.1 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number.
83.6+1.1
World Rank 9th Global, by Elo
Serie A Rank 1st L90 Strength

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Choose a second club to explore what separates them.

Our take

A top side, and in form.

Inter build on the best attack in the league and back it with a top-three defence. Across the 7 league matches with forecasts, they have collected around 4 more points than our pre-match forecasts predicted. Lautaro Martínez is out, and The toughest of the next 5 matches is the trip to Feyenoord, in a congested stretch.

They dominate the ball, with 63% possession, 1st in the league, and turn it into 22 shots a game. They are clinical in front of goal (14% of shots scored). Their results hold up much the same at home and away.

  • Title 80% · Top 4 >99%Likely 1st · 87 projected points
  • Next 5: about 11 of 15 points Toughest at Feyenoord · , 43% to win · congested stretch
  • 1 key player outLautaro Martínez · 12% of squad weight missing
  • 19 pts vs 14.7 expected+4.3 vs pre-match expectations · 7 matches with forecasts

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Inter. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals for this club in each category.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses observed Playing style averages; window size is not xG coverage and the two metrics can have different denominators. Points minus xPts uses the same covered current-league matches and stored forecasts as Club strength, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

The full picture, with the evidence behind every signal.View all Club insights →

Season

League position and season results.

Overview

2026-2027
All competitions9 Played
66.7%Win %
Wins6
Draws1
Losses2

Expected metrics · 7 of 9 matches covered

Goals For
252.78 / game
xG 20.04 0.96 more goals than expected. vs 21 goals
Goals Against
151.67 / game
xGA 9.47 1.53 more conceded than expected. vs 11 conceded
Goal Difference
+10+1.11 / game
xGD +10.57 Goal difference is 0.57 lower than expected. vs +10 GD
Clean Sheets
222% of games

Season totals cover all competitions and stages. Positions and points refer to each competition table.

Competition standings

There is no combined table across competitions. View each competition separately.

Squad 30 players · this season, all competitions · 4 out

Top scorer
L. Martínez6 goals
Injured
Most assists
A. Diouf3 assists
Best rated
L. Martínez7.48 avg rating
Injured
Most minutes
Josep Martínez810 min
Key to the model
F. DimarcoCore · weight 2.29

Stats are this season in all competitions. Model role is how much the availability model weighs each player before the game with Shakhtar Donetsk: core, starter, rotation or depth, from several seasons of minutes and ratings.

Performance

Strength, recent form and playing style.

Strength Serie A · 20 clubs

L90 Strength1st of 20
84 Elo 1890 · World #9
Current Strength
83 With absences before 21 Oct: -12 Elo
Attack1st of 20
91 Scores 2.66 per match against an average top-five side
Defence3rd of 20
73 Concedes 1.22 per match against an average top-five side

In forecast League average

L90 Strength comes from Elo; Attack and Defence from goals scored and conceded, expected goals (xG) and shots on target, all on fixed 0–100 scales shared by every league. These are the numbers the forecast uses.

Strong at both ends Defence first Attack first Struggling Attack → Defence → Inter: attack 91, defence 73, L90 Strength 84 Lazio: attack 53, defence 63, L90 Strength 62 AS Roma: attack 72, defence 75, L90 Strength 74 AC Milan: attack 72, defence 69, L90 Strength 66 Como: attack 72, defence 67, L90 Strength 67 Frosinone: attack 41, defence 25, L90 Strength 30 Cagliari: attack 31, defence 31, L90 Strength 33 Juventus: attack 57, defence 76, L90 Strength 67 Napoli: attack 61, defence 70, L90 Strength 63 Torino: attack 39, defence 47, L90 Strength 39 Atalanta: attack 48, defence 45, L90 Strength 59 Lecce: attack 36, defence 30, L90 Strength 28 Sassuolo: attack 41, defence 32, L90 Strength 33 Monza: attack 34, defence 26, L90 Strength 18 Bologna: attack 35, defence 48, L90 Strength 47 Udinese: attack 22, defence 18, L90 Strength 32 Genoa: attack 23, defence 44, L90 Strength 29 Fiorentina: attack 42, defence 34, L90 Strength 39 Parma: attack 20, defence 33, L90 Strength 28 Venezia: attack 21, defence 14, L90 Strength 15
Every Serie A club on the Attack and Defence scales. Dashed lines are the league average. Tap a crest to open that club.

Form last 5 for the index · last 9 listed

76
Form index · 2nd of 20 in league
Points, last 5
10
Median top-5 club
6.7
Own forecasts
10.0 -0.0
Table1st L90 Strength1st Form2nd

Table position in line with their strength.

Form compares points with what a median top-five club (L90 Strength 50) would take from the same fixtures, so wins over strong sides count for more; 50 is a typical run. "Own forecasts" is the gap to this club's pre-match expectations. Form is context: in our tests it did not improve the forecast.

  • W17 OctA · Bologna3–11.9 xPts
  • L13 OctH · Club Brugge KV3–41.9 xPts
  • W10 OctH · Parma3–02.6 xPts
  • D19 SepA · AS Roma2–21.2 xPts
  • W14 SepH · Udinese5–32.4 xPts
  • L8 SepA · Real Madrid1–20.8 xPts
  • W5 SepH · Napoli3–22.0 xPts
  • W30 AugA · Cagliari1–01.9 xPts
  • W22 AugH · Monza4–12.7 xPts

Trends last 9, all competitions

Scored 9/9
Clean sheet 2/9
Conceded 2+ 5/9
Over 2.5 8/9
Both teams scored 7/9

Playing style vs Serie A average

INTLeagueRank
Goals scored 3.00 1.47 1st
Goals conceded 1.29 1.48 8th
xG 2.67 1.47 1st
xG allowed 0.92 1.48 3rd
Scored in 100% 78% 1st
Clean sheets 29% 21% 6th
INTLeagueRank
Shots 21.57 14.36 1st
Shots on target 7.29 4.90 1st
On target share 34% 34% 9th
Box share 70% 64% 2nd
Conversion 14% 10% 3rd
INTLeagueRank
Shots allowed 11.00 14.48 4th
On target allowed 4.17 4.92 7th
Blocks 2.71 3.76 15th
Save rate 68% 70% 13th
INTLeagueRank
Possession 63% 50% 1st
Passes 616 459 1st
Pass accuracy 90% 85% 1st
INTLeagueRank
Fouls 8.14 10.66 1st
Fouls suffered 9.43 10.73 14th
Yellow cards 1.57 1.64 9th
Red cards 0.00 0.02 1st
This league season, per match · 7 games. Rank among 20 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.
INTLeagueRank
Goals scored 2.80 1.45 1st
Goals conceded 1.80 1.50 15th
xG 2.73 1.45 1st
xG allowed 1.36 1.46 8th
Scored in 100% 75% 1st
Clean sheets 20% 21% 9th
INTLeagueRank
Shots 21.00 13.78 1st
Shots on target 7.20 4.77 1st
On target share 34% 34% 9th
Box share 70% 64% 1st
Conversion 13% 10% 4th
INTLeagueRank
Shots allowed 11.40 14.16 3rd
On target allowed 4.33 4.83 7th
Blocks 2.80 3.64 15th
Save rate 64% 70% 17th
INTLeagueRank
Possession 61% 50% 1st
Passes 586 453 1st
Pass accuracy 90% 85% 1st
INTLeagueRank
Fouls 8.70 10.85 1st
Fouls suffered 10.50 10.97 14th
Yellow cards 1.80 1.63 13th
Red cards 0.00 0.04 1st
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 games. Rank among 20 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.

Home and away this league season

Home3.00pts per game4-0-0 · 3.8–1.5 goals · 4 games
Away2.33pts per game2-1-0 · 2.0–1.0 goals · 3 games

Goal timing this league season · 7 games

3 3 0-15
2 2 16-30
3 1 31-45
5 2 46-60
3 61-75
5 1 76-90

scored conceded, per 15 minutes

In forecastVia Att/DefContextLeague average

Possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Goals, xG and shots on target feed the Attack and Defence ratings. The rest describes how the team plays and does not change the forecast.

Team rankings Serie A · 7 games · rank of 20

Attack

GF 21 1st / 20
GF/G 3.00 1st / 20
xG/G 2.67 1st / 20
G − xG +0.33 3rd / 20

Defence

GA 9 8th / 20
GA/G 1.29 8th / 20
xGA/G 0.92 3rd / 20
xGA − GA -0.37 15th / 20

Overall

Pts 19 1st / 20
xPts 14.7 1st / 20
PPG 2.71 1st / 20
TR 7.20 1st / 20
GD +12 2nd / 20
xGD +12.2 1st / 20
W 6 1st / 20
L 0 1st / 20

Scorelines

  • 4–1×1
  • 1–0×1
  • 3–2×1
  • 5–3×1
  • 2–2×1
  • 3–0×1

Goals per game both teams

0% 0
14% 1
0% 2
14% 3
29% 4
43% 5+

Totals club · league

Over 1.5
86%84%
Over 2.5
86%60%
Over 3.5
71%30%
Both scored
71%57%
Clean sheet
29%22%
Failed to score
0%22%
ClubLeague average

This league season only. xPts adds up our pre-match win and draw chances (pure EloLambda, the same numbers as Form). xG and TR come from match data and describe the season so far; none of these rankings change the forecast directly.