UEFA Champions League Matchday 4 Tue, Nov 3 · 20:00 Stadion Feijenoord, Rotterdam
Feyenoord 23rd · 3 pts · 2 played
VS— Compare
Inter 29th · 0 pts · 2 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

Inter are slight favourites.

Inter are the stronger side on L90 Strength (84 vs 61). Recent goals, xG and shots on target narrow the gap for Feyenoord. Feyenoord have 3.2 days of rest, Inter 3 and have to travel 797 km.

Away travel797 kmRest days3.2 · 3Matches / 14d3 · 4
Feyenoord35%
Draw22%
Inter43%
Expected goals 1.86 – 2.07
Feyenoord27%
Draw26%
Inter46%
Expected goals 1.14 – 1.57
Feyenoord35%
Draw22%
Inter43%
Expected goals 1.86 – 2.07
Feyenoord27%
Draw21%
Inter52%
Expected goals 1.66 – 2.32
Feyenoord32%
Draw22%
Inter47%
Expected goals 1.72 – 2.09
Over 2.5 75% Both score 74% Likeliest score 1–1
EloLambda forecast, updated 5 hours ago. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Rotterdam)

No weather data yet

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Feyenoord and Inter. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

FeyenoordInter
61 L90 StrengthIn forecast 84
59 Current StrengthIn forecast 83
76 AttackIn forecast 91
61 DefenceIn forecast 73
92 Form indexContext 76
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Feyenoord

Attack−33%
Defense risk+97%

Inter

Attack−13%
Defense risk+33%

Both teams face a less favorable matchup than their league-average baseline.

Playing style

FeyenoordInter
2.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.00
3.50 Goals concededVia Att/Def 3.00
— xGVia Att/Def —
— xG allowedVia Att/Def —
— Goals minus xGContext —
100% Scored inContext 100%
0% Clean sheetsContext 0%
8.50 ShotsContext 24.00
3.50 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 8.00
41% On target shareContext 33%
5.00 Shots in the boxContext 16.50
64% Box shareContext 66%
24% ConversionContext 8%
5.00 OffsidesContext 3.00
17.50 Shots allowedContext 13.00
7.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.50
4.00 BlocksContext 3.00
3.50 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.50
50% Save rateContext 64%
38% PossessionIn forecast 59%
414 PassesContext 533
354 Accurate passesContext 488
86% Pass accuracyContext 92%
6.44 Team ratingContext 6.76
15.50 FoulsContext 8.00
14.00 Fouls sufferedContext 12.00
1.50 Yellow cardsContext 2.50
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
This league season, per match · 2 and 2 games
3.40 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.80
1.70 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.80
2.42 xGVia Att/Def 2.73
1.09 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.36
+0.98 Goals minus xGContext +0.07
100% Scored inContext 100%
30% Clean sheetsContext 20%
18.70 ShotsContext 21.00
7.50 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 7.20
40% On target shareContext 34%
12.80 Shots in the boxContext 14.80
68% Box shareContext 70%
18% ConversionContext 13%
2.71 OffsidesContext 2.88
12.50 Shots allowedContext 11.40
4.50 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.33
3.67 BlocksContext 2.80
2.80 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.78
62% Save rateContext 64%
50% PossessionIn forecast 61%
473 PassesContext 586
410 Accurate passesContext 529
87% Pass accuracyContext 90%
7.06 Team ratingContext 7.05
10.20 FoulsContext 8.70
12.70 Fouls sufferedContext 10.50
1.30 Yellow cardsContext 1.80
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Feyenoord
Rest3.2 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d3all competitions
Travel0 km3,798 km in 14d
Schedule load33%Moderate
Form 92 · 15 pts vs 8.3 for an average club · +5.2 vs expected
  • W17 OctA · Telstar4–32.1 xPts
  • W14 OctH · Como3–21.6 xPts
  • W10 OctH · AZ Alkmaar2–01.8 xPts
  • W20 SepH · Utrecht5–02.3 xPts
  • W13 SepA · PEC Zwolle7–02.0 xPts
Inter
Rest3 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d4High congestion
Travel797 km490 km in 14d
Schedule load49%High
Form 76 · 10 pts vs 6.7 for an average club · -0.0 vs expected
  • W17 OctA · Bologna3–11.9 xPts
  • L13 OctH · Club Brugge KV3–41.9 xPts
  • W10 OctH · Parma3–02.6 xPts
  • D19 SepA · AS Roma2–21.2 xPts
  • W14 SepH · Udinese5–32.4 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Feyenoord Inter
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextModerate · 33High · 49
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoYes
Rest dayssince last match3.2Eredivisie 2026-2027, 31 Oct3Serie A 2026-2027, 31 Oct
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km797 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways3,798 km490 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 3 / 62 / 4 / 7
Next matchdays after this one4.64.9

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Feyenoord Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Telstar (A) 4–3, 17 Oct
1T. Ernst(G)
35Mika Màrmol 24T. Kraaijeveld 4T. Watanabe 26G. Read
34C. Vanhoutte 8G. Zechiël
27G. Diarra 14S. Steijn 23A. Hadj Moussa
19Nacho Ferri
Inter Last XI · not confirmed
3-5-2 · vs Bologna (A) 3–1, 17 Oct
1Josep Martínez(G)
95A. Bastoni 25M. Akanji 31Y. Bisseck
32F. Dimarco 8P. Sučić 7P. Zieliński 23N. Barella 11L. de Lima
94F. Esposito 9M. Thuram

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Feyenoord No reported absences
Inter No reported absences
Total impact vs full squads
  • Feyenoord+0.0 pp
  • Draw+0.0 pp
  • Inter+0.0 pp

From eScored squad data: each player's weight is his role (core 3, starter 2, rotation 1, depth 0.5) times his share of minutes. Defenders and keepers count to the defence line, forwards to attack, midfielders half to each. EloLambda turns the lost share into fewer goals scored and more conceded (weight 0.1); the totals show how that moves the result chances.

Home / Away this season

Feyenoord · Home 3.00points per game · 1 home games
W-D-L
1-0-0
Scored
3.00
Conceded
2.00
Inter · Away 0.00points per game · 1 away games
W-D-L
0-0-1
Scored
1.00
Conceded
2.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head last 2 of 2 meetings

0 Feyenoord wins0 draws2 Inter wins
Goals per game0.50 – 2.00 Over 2.550% Both scored50% Clean sheets0% · 50%
  • 11 Mar 2025Inter2–1Feyenoord
  • 5 Mar 2025Feyenoord0–2Inter

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

FeyenoordInterForecast
Scored per game 2.002.00
Conceded per game 3.503.00
Match goals 5.505.00 3.93
Over 1.5 100%100%
Over 2.5 100%100% 75%
Over 3.5 100%50%
Both teams scored 100%100% 74%
Clean sheets 0%0%
Failed to score 0%0%
Games22
FeyenoordInterForecast
Scored per game 3.402.80
Conceded per game 1.701.80
Match goals 5.104.60 3.93
Over 1.5 100%90%
Over 2.5 90%90% 75%
Over 3.5 90%70%
Both teams scored 70%80% 74%
Clean sheets 30%20%
Failed to score 0%0%
Games1010

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

FeyenoordInterLeague
Corners
Corners won3.007.50
Corners conceded2.503.50
Match total5.5011.009.71
Over 8.50% 0/250% 1/2
Over 9.50% 0/250% 1/2
Over 10.50% 0/250% 1/2
Cards
Cards1.502.50
Opponent cards2.002.50
Match total3.505.003.80
Over 3.550% 1/2100% 2/2
Over 4.550% 1/250% 1/2
FeyenoordInterLeague
Corners
Corners won5.206.00
Corners conceded3.703.20
Match total8.909.209.71
Over 8.550% 5/1050% 5/10
Over 9.550% 5/1040% 4/10
Over 10.550% 5/1040% 4/10
Cards
Cards1.301.80
Opponent cards1.401.90
Match total2.703.703.80
Over 3.540% 4/1050% 5/10
Over 4.520% 2/1030% 3/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

Feyenoord2 games · scored 4 · conceded 7
1 0-15
1 2 16-30
31-45
1 1 46-60
61-75
2 3 76-90
Inter2 games · scored 4 · conceded 6
1 0-15
2 16-30
1 31-45
46-60
2 61-75
3 1 76-90
Feyenoord10 games · scored 34 · conceded 17
4 2 0-15
6 3 16-30
7 1 31-45
6 3 46-60
7 3 61-75
4 5 76-90
Inter10 games · scored 28 · conceded 18
3 4 0-15
3 5 16-30
4 2 31-45
5 3 46-60
4 2 61-75
9 2 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Beta

Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.

Next fixtures UEFA Champions League

View all fixtures →
Shakhtar Donetsk Sporting CP Nov 317:45 Galatasaray VfB Stuttgart Nov 317:45 Manchester United AS Roma Nov 320:00 Feyenoord Inter Nov 320:00 Bodo/Glimt Lille Nov 320:00 Barcelona Aston Villa Nov 320:00 Atletico Madrid Bayern München Nov 320:00 Villarreal Paris Saint Germain Nov 320:00 Lask Linz Slovan Bratislava Nov 320:00 AEK Athens FC Real Madrid Nov 417:45 Fenerbahce Liverpool Nov 417:45 Lens Como Nov 420:00 Borussia Dortmund Real Betis Nov 420:00 RB Leipzig Manchester City Nov 420:00 PSV Eindhoven Club Brugge KV Nov 420:00 FC Porto Napoli Nov 420:00 Slavia Praha Arsenal Nov 420:00 Viking Sabah FA Nov 420:00