Liverpool

5th · Premier League · 12 points · Matches played: 7

9 points behind Manchester City · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+1.3 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed +0.7 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number.
84.1+1.3
World Rank 8th Global, by Elo
Premier League Rank 4th L90 Strength

Compare clubs

Choose a second club to explore what separates them.

Our take

A top side, and in form.

Liverpool build on a top-three defence and back it with a top-third attack. Across the 7 league matches with forecasts, their points total is close to our pre-match expectations. The toughest of the next 5 matches is the visit of Arsenal, in a congested stretch.

Premier League · 7 games. Their chance balance is better than the scorelines suggest. Scoring fewer goals than their chances suggest is partly offset by conceding fewer than expected; good goalkeeping or poor finishing by opponents may explain the defensive gap.

They play a physical game, among the most fouls in the league. Unusually, they travel better than they host: 2.5 points per game away against 0.7 at home.

  • Top 4 52% · Relegation 0%Likely 4th · 65 projected points
  • Next 5: about 8 of 15 points Toughest vs Arsenal · , 33% to win · congested stretch
  • 6 out, none key5% of squad weight missing
  • 12 pts vs 10.9 expected+1.1 vs pre-match expectations · 7 matches with forecasts

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Liverpool. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals for this club in each category.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses observed Playing style averages; window size is not xG coverage and the two metrics can have different denominators. Points minus xPts uses the same covered current-league matches and stored forecasts as Club strength, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

The full picture, with the evidence behind every signal.View all Club insights →

Season

League position and season results.

Overview

2026-2027
UEFA Champions League · League phaseView table →
Position
5th/ 36
Points
63.00 PPG
Played
2
League gap
0pts behind leader
100.0%Win %
Wins2
Draws0
Losses0

Expected metrics · 2 of 2 matches covered

Goals For
84.00 / game
xG 4.98 3.02 more goals than expected. vs 8 goals
Goals Against
42.00 / game
xGA 2.97 1.03 more conceded than expected. vs 4 conceded
Goal Difference
+4+2.00 / game
xGD +2.01 Goal difference is 1.99 higher than expected. vs +4 GD
Clean Sheets
00% of games

League phase standings

UEFA Champions League · 2026-2027

Full standings →

Swipe to explore the league table →

Full UEFA Champions League table, Liverpool highlighted
#ClubRatingPWDLGDPtsForm
1– Paris Saint Germain 90 2200 +7 6
2▲ Aston Villa 84 2200 +7 6
3– Barcelona 93 2200 +7 6
4▲ VfB Stuttgart 68 2200 +5 6
5▲ Liverpool 84 2200 +4 6
6– Sporting CP 84 2200 +4 6
7▲ Arsenal 94 2200 +4 6
8▲ Real Betis 72 2200 +2 6
9▲ Real Madrid 89 2200 +2 6
10▼ Bayern München 94 2110 +5 4
11▲ Shakhtar Donetsk 58 2110 +2 4
12▼ Como 67 2101 +2 3
13▼ Manchester United 79 2101 +2 3
14▲ Villarreal 67 2101 +1 3
15▲ Atletico Madrid 81 2101 +1 3
16▲ Club Brugge KV 76 2101 +0 3
17▼ Manchester City 91 2101 +0 3
18▼ Borussia Dortmund 81 2101 +0 3
19▼ Lens 58 2101 -1 3
20▼ AEK Athens FC 53 2101 -1 3
21▲ RB Leipzig 68 2101 -2 3
22▲ Sabah FA 26 2101 -2 3
23▲ Feyenoord 61 2101 -3 3
24▲ Bodo/Glimt 60 2101 -4 3
25▼ AS Roma 74 2011 -1 1
26▼ PSV Eindhoven 74 2011 -1 1
27▲ Viking 16 2011 -2 1
28▼ Fenerbahce 64 2011 -6 1
29▼ Inter 84 2002 -2 0
30▲ FC Porto 80 2002 -3 0
31▼ Slavia Praha 40 2002 -3 0
32▼ Napoli 63 2002 -3 0
33▼ Lask Linz 39 2002 -4 0
34▼ Lille 56 2002 -4 0
35▼ Galatasaray 64 2002 -5 0
36▼ Slovan Bratislava 20 2002 -8 0

36 clubs · ▲ Up · ▼ Down · – Unchanged · Since the start of the latest played matchday.

League position over time

Position by matchday

Higher is better. One point per matchday; partial rounds are marked. Postponed games count when played. Hover, tap or focus a point for details.

View position history
Liverpool league position by matchweek
MDResults through (UTC)PositionPtsP
110 Sep 20261331
214 Oct 2026562

Squad 31 players · this season, all competitions · 4 out

Top scorer
A. Isak5 goals
Most assists
F. Wirtz3 assists
Best rated
A. Isak7.35 avg rating
Most minutes
A. Becker810 min
Key to the model
J. JacquetCore · weight 2.77

Stats are this season in all competitions. Model role is how much the availability model weighs each player before the game with Villarreal: core, starter, rotation or depth, from several seasons of minutes and ratings.

Performance

Strength, recent form and playing style.

Strength Premier League · 20 clubs

L90 Strength4th of 20
84 Elo 1896 · World #8
Current Strength
84 With absences before 20 Oct: -6 Elo
Attack4th of 20
85 Scores 2.31 per match against an average top-five side
Defence3rd of 20
84 Concedes 1.03 per match against an average top-five side

In forecast League average

L90 Strength comes from Elo; Attack and Defence from goals scored and conceded, expected goals (xG) and shots on target, all on fixed 0–100 scales shared by every league. These are the numbers the forecast uses.

Strong at both ends Defence first Attack first Struggling Attack → Defence → Manchester City: attack 92, defence 82, L90 Strength 91 Arsenal: attack 86, defence 95, L90 Strength 94 Brighton: attack 87, defence 85, L90 Strength 83 Chelsea: attack 77, defence 74, L90 Strength 77 Liverpool: attack 85, defence 84, L90 Strength 84 Brentford: attack 73, defence 73, L90 Strength 75 Leeds: attack 69, defence 77, L90 Strength 73 Everton: attack 61, defence 66, L90 Strength 67 Hull City: attack 37, defence 50, L90 Strength 37 Ipswich: attack 59, defence 50, L90 Strength 49 Newcastle: attack 61, defence 61, L90 Strength 71 Aston Villa: attack 83, defence 78, L90 Strength 84 Manchester United: attack 72, defence 80, L90 Strength 79 Crystal Palace: attack 64, defence 54, L90 Strength 64 Bournemouth: attack 83, defence 82, L90 Strength 77 Tottenham: attack 56, defence 74, L90 Strength 62 Coventry: attack 47, defence 59, L90 Strength 51 Fulham: attack 66, defence 68, L90 Strength 65 Nottingham Forest: attack 68, defence 74, L90 Strength 70 Sunderland: attack 62, defence 59, L90 Strength 57
Every Premier League club on the Attack and Defence scales. Dashed lines are the league average. Tap a crest to open that club.

Form last 5 for the index · last 9 listed

87
Form index · 4th of 20 in league
Points, last 5
10
Median top-5 club
4.7
Own forecasts
7.5 +2.5
Table5th L90 Strength4th Form4th

Table position in line with their strength.

Form compares points with what a median top-five club (L90 Strength 50) would take from the same fixtures, so wins over strong sides count for more; 50 is a typical run. "Own forecasts" is the gap to this club's pre-match expectations. Form is context: in our tests it did not improve the forecast.

  • W17 OctA · Brentford2–11.3 xPts
  • W14 OctA · Lask Linz6–31.8 xPts
  • L11 OctH · Manchester City0–31.3 xPts
  • W20 SepA · Bournemouth1–01.2 xPts
  • D12 SepH · Fulham0–02.0 xPts
  • W9 SepH · Atletico Madrid2–12.0 xPts
  • W4 SepA · Ipswich2–01.9 xPts
  • D29 AugH · Nottingham Forest2–22.0 xPts
  • D23 AugA · Newcastle2–21.4 xPts

Trends last 9, all competitions

Scored 7/9
Clean sheet 3/9
Conceded 2+ 4/9
Over 2.5 6/9
Both teams scored 5/9

Playing style vs Premier League average

LIVLeagueRank
Goals scored 1.29 1.43 9th
Goals conceded 1.14 1.45 7th
xG 1.55 1.49 9th
xG allowed 1.20 1.50 4th
Scored in 71% 72% 9th
Clean sheets 43% 28% 3rd
LIVLeagueRank
Shots 15.71 13.71 4th
Shots on target 5.00 4.56 6th
On target share 32% 32% 14th
Box share 55% 64% 18th
Conversion 8% 10% 14th
LIVLeagueRank
Shots allowed 11.86 13.77 7th
On target allowed 3.43 4.55 1st
Blocks 3.86 4.33 12th
Save rate 67% 66% 12th
LIVLeagueRank
Possession 56% 50% 6th
Passes 482 442 7th
Pass accuracy 85% 82% 7th
LIVLeagueRank
Fouls 13.86 11.49 18th
Fouls suffered 10.29 11.49 14th
Yellow cards 2.57 1.96 16th
Red cards 0.00 0.06 1st
This league season, per match · 7 games. Rank among 20 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.
LIVLeagueRank
Goals scored 1.80 1.54 4th
Goals conceded 1.30 1.34 7th
xG 1.89 1.53 3rd
xG allowed 1.29 1.44 5th
Scored in 80% 76% 6th
Clean sheets 30% 29% 5th
LIVLeagueRank
Shots 17.40 13.96 2nd
Shots on target 5.70 4.69 4th
On target share 33% 33% 11th
Box share 62% 65% 14th
Conversion 10% 11% 12th
LIVLeagueRank
Shots allowed 11.50 13.41 6th
On target allowed 3.40 4.43 1st
Blocks 3.20 4.19 17th
Save rate 62% 68% 17th
LIVLeagueRank
Possession 56% 50% 6th
Passes 487 442 7th
Pass accuracy 86% 83% 6th
LIVLeagueRank
Fouls 12.10 11.35 15th
Fouls suffered 9.80 11.46 17th
Yellow cards 2.10 1.96 13th
Red cards 0.00 0.05 1st
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 games. Rank among 20 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.

Home and away this league season

Home0.67pts per game0-2-1 · 0.7–1.7 goals · 3 games
Away2.50pts per game3-1-0 · 1.8–0.8 goals · 4 games

Goal timing this league season · 7 games

2 1 0-15
1 16-30
1 31-45
3 1 46-60
2 3 61-75
2 1 76-90

scored conceded, per 15 minutes

In forecastVia Att/DefContextLeague average

Possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Goals, xG and shots on target feed the Attack and Defence ratings. The rest describes how the team plays and does not change the forecast.

Team rankings Premier League · 7 games · rank of 20

Attack

GF 9 9th / 20
GF/G 1.29 9th / 20
xG/G 1.55 9th / 20
G − xG -0.26 16th / 20

Defence

GA 8 7th / 20
GA/G 1.14 7th / 20
xGA/G 1.20 4th / 20
xGA − GA +0.06 10th / 20

Overall

Pts 12 5th / 20
xPts 10.9 5th / 20
PPG 1.71 5th / 20
TR 6.90 6th / 20
GD +1 7th / 20
xGD +2.5 6th / 20
W 3 5th / 20
L 1 2nd / 20

Scorelines

  • 2–2×2
  • 2–0×1
  • 0–0×1
  • 1–0×1
  • 0–3×1
  • 2–1×1

Goals per game both teams

14% 0
14% 1
14% 2
29% 3
29% 4
0% 5+

Totals club · league

Over 1.5
71%76%
Over 2.5
57%54%
Over 3.5
29%36%
Both scored
43%53%
Clean sheet
43%27%
Failed to score
29%27%
ClubLeague average

This league season only. xPts adds up our pre-match win and draw chances (pure EloLambda, the same numbers as Form). xG and TR come from match data and describe the season so far; none of these rankings change the forecast directly.