Liverpool

5th · Premier League · 12 points · Matches played: 7

9 points behind Manchester City · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+1.3 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed +0.7 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 84.1+1.3
World Rank 8th Global, by Elo
Premier League Rank 4th L90 Strength
Last BrentfordA xG 1.5–0.9 2–1 Next VillarrealH 57%

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Liverpool · All competitions

Forecast
VillarrealUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home 57% win 1.93 xPts BrightonPremier League 2026-2027 · Home 40% win 1.44 xPts ArsenalPremier League 2026-2027 · Home 33% win 1.24 xPts FenerbahceUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away 49% win 1.69 xPts Crystal PalacePremier League 2026-2027 · Away 50% win 1.73 xPts Manchester UnitedPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Club Brugge KVUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away — win — xPts EvertonPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts SunderlandPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts ChelseaPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts FC PortoUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home — win — xPts LeedsPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts TottenhamPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Hull CityPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Aston VillaPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts CoventryPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts SunderlandPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Crystal PalacePremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts InterUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away — win — xPts Manchester UnitedPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts LensUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home — win — xPts EvertonPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts ArsenalPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts CoventryPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Hull CityPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts TottenhamPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Aston VillaPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts IpswichPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts FulhamPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts NewcastlePremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Nottingham ForestPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts LeedsPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts ChelseaPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Manchester CityPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts BrentfordPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts BrightonPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts BournemouthPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts

xPts = 3 × win probability + draw probability. — means no published forecast. Open a match for xG and the full forecast.

Results

Liverpool · All competitions

Full time
BrentfordPremier League 2026-2027 · Away W 2–1 1.5–0.9 xG +1.7 Δpts Lask LinzUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away W 6–3 3.4–2.1 xG +1.1 Δpts Manchester CityPremier League 2026-2027 · Home L 0–3 0.9–1.4 xG -1.2 Δpts BournemouthPremier League 2026-2027 · Away W 1–0 1.7–0.8 xG +1.8 Δpts FulhamPremier League 2026-2027 · Home D 0–0 1.3–0.7 xG -1.0 Δpts Atletico MadridUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home W 2–1 1.6–0.9 xG +1.0 Δpts IpswichPremier League 2026-2027 · Away W 2–0 0.7–0.8 xG +1.0 Δpts Nottingham ForestPremier League 2026-2027 · Home D 2–2 1.8–2.3 xG -1.0 Δpts NewcastlePremier League 2026-2027 · Away D 2–2 3.0–1.6 xG -0.4 Δpts

Score and actual xG show Liverpool first. Δpts = points taken − pre-match xPts. — means data unavailable.

Current load Moderate · 33

Rest profile3.2 days since last match
53%
Schedule load3 matches in last 14 days
30%
Travel loadHome match, 3,228 km in 14 days
33%
Squad availability6 out, no key players
5%

Load before the next match, vs Villarreal, 20 Oct. Squad availability is shown separately and is not part of the score; availability is the share of squad weight missing, the same input the forecast uses for absences.

Schedule difficulty all competitions

Each bar is one match: 50% match difficulty from current relative Elo strength + 50% calendar load (rest, match congestion and travel). Higher means harder, on a 0–100 scale. This is a descriptive index, not a win probability. Lighter bars are upcoming; the dashed line marks today. Grey marks missing data. 23 Aug at Newcastle: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 34/100
D
 Aug 29 Aug vs Nottingham Forest: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 33/100
D
 4 Sep at Ipswich: Schedule difficulty 13/100; match difficulty 19/100
W
 Sep 9 Sep vs Atletico Madrid: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 46/100
W
 12 Sep vs Fulham: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 29/100
D
 20 Sep at Bournemouth: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 40/100
W
 11 Oct vs Manchester City: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 63/100
L
 Oct 14 Oct at Lask Linz: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 14/100
W
 17 Oct at Brentford: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 38/100
W
 20 Oct vs Villarreal: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 30/100 25 Oct vs Brighton: Schedule difficulty 47/100; match difficulty 48/100 1 Nov vs Arsenal: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 73/100 Nov 4 Nov at Fenerbahce: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 28/100 8 Nov at Crystal Palace: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 28/100 22 Nov vs Manchester United: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 43/100 25 Nov at Club Brugge KV: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 39/100 29 Nov at Everton: Schedule difficulty 15/100; match difficulty 30/100 2 Dec vs Sunderland: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 23/100 Dec 5 Dec at Chelsea: Schedule difficulty 42/100; match difficulty 40/100 9 Dec vs FC Porto: Schedule difficulty 42/100; match difficulty 44/100 12 Dec vs Leeds: Schedule difficulty 40/100; match difficulty 36/100 19 Dec vs Tottenham: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 27/100 26 Dec at Hull City: Schedule difficulty 7/100; match difficulty 13/100 30 Dec at Aston Villa: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 50/100 2 Jan vs Coventry: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 20/100 Jan 5 Jan at Sunderland: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 23/100 16 Jan vs Crystal Palace: Schedule difficulty 14/100; match difficulty 28/100 19 Jan at Inter: Schedule difficulty 35/100; match difficulty 49/100 23 Jan at Manchester United: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 43/100 27 Jan vs Lens: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 24/100 30 Jan vs Everton: Schedule difficulty 39/100; match difficulty 30/100 6 Feb at Arsenal: Schedule difficulty 44/100; match difficulty 73/100 Feb 10 Feb at Coventry: Schedule difficulty 18/100; match difficulty 20/100 20 Feb vs Hull City: Schedule difficulty 7/100; match difficulty 13/100 27 Feb at Tottenham: Schedule difficulty 14/100; match difficulty 27/100 3 Mar vs Aston Villa: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 50/100 Mar 13 Mar vs Ipswich: Schedule difficulty 10/100; match difficulty 19/100 20 Mar at Fulham: Schedule difficulty 15/100; match difficulty 29/100 10 Apr vs Newcastle: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 34/100 Apr 17 Apr at Nottingham Forest: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 33/100 24 Apr at Leeds: Schedule difficulty 18/100; match difficulty 36/100 1 May vs Chelsea: Schedule difficulty 20/100; match difficulty 40/100 May 8 May at Manchester City: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 63/100 15 May vs Brentford: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 38/100 23 May at Brighton: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 48/100 30 May vs Bournemouth: Schedule difficulty 20/100; match difficulty 40/100

Schedule next 30 days · forecast and load

All fixtures and load →
Rest3.2 daysbefore VIL
Matches / 14d3all competitions
Travel / 14d3,228 kmaway trips
Schedule load33%Moderate
vs VillarrealTue 20 Oct, 20:00 UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · opponent L90 Strength 67 57%win22%draw21%loss Moderate load · 3.2 d rest · 3 in 14 d vs BrightonSun 25 Oct, 14:00 Premier League 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 83 40%win23%draw37%loss High load · 4.8 d rest · 4 in 14 d vs ArsenalSun 1 Nov, 16:30 Premier League 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 94 33%win25%draw42%loss Low load · 7.1 d rest at FenerbahceWed 4 Nov, 17:45 UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · opponent L90 Strength 64 49%win22%draw29%loss Moderate load · 3.1 d rest at Crystal PalaceSun 8 Nov, 14:00 Premier League 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 66 50%win22%draw28%loss Moderate load · 3.8 d rest · 3 in 14 d
Win · draw · loss: LOAD90 forecastLoad bar: rest, matches and travel before each game (context; only 4+ matches in 14 days changes the forecast)
Full match preview oneScored → vs Villarreal, 20 OctOdds, value, live score

Fixture Swing

Opponent opportunity across the next 3 matches · all competitions

3 of 3 forecasts available

Attack Swing−16%

Baseline 6.44 → Forecast 5.38 expected goals · 3 included matches

Conceding Swing+23%

Baseline 3.76 → Forecast 4.61 expected goals conceded · 3 included matches

Opportunity for the next 3 matches
MatchAttackConceding riskGoals · Baseline → Forecast
vs Villarreal20 Oct · UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase +2% +5% 2.10 → 2.14
vs Brighton25 Oct · Premier League 2026-2027 −15% +30% 2.11 → 1.80
vs Arsenal1 Nov · Premier League 2026-2027 −35% +32% 2.24 → 1.45

Swing compares total forecast goals with total baseline goals for the included matches. Forecasts are available up to 21 days ahead. Missing snapshots and different model revisions are excluded; a partial window covers only the matches shown with values. Your team's own conditions are kept in each baseline.

Next match · Match Opportunity

Liverpool

Baseline: average Premier League opponent

Attack Uplift +2% Expected goals Baseline2.10Forecast2.14
Conceding Risk +5% Expected goals conceded Baseline1.19Forecast1.24
Clean Sheet −1.7 pp Chance of conceding no goals Baseline30.5%Forecast28.8%