Clubs Compare

FSV Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin

Real strength. Different football profiles.

FSV Mainz 05

Bundesliga · 2026-2027

Rating as of 20 Oct 2026
Power55.1

Union Berlin

Bundesliga · 2026-2027

Rating as of 20 Oct 2026
Power39.3
The football profile

Club DNA

FSV Mainz 05Union Berlin

Strength Profile · Current

Fixed 0–100 ratings. Power is the Elo baseline; Attack and Defence use a common reference opponent. Form is opponent-adjusted.

Strength profile radarCommon axes run from zero at the centre to 100 at the edge. Exact values appear alongside. A missing metric leaves the shape incomplete. 255075100 Power Attack Defence Form Consistency Squad Availability FSV Mainz 05 · Power 55.1 ptsFSV Mainz 05 · Attack 68.4 ptsFSV Mainz 05 · Defence 55.7 ptsFSV Mainz 05 · Form 70.4 ptsFSV Mainz 05 · Consistency 55.1 ptsFSV Mainz 05 · Squad Availability 83.0 % Union Berlin · Power 39.3 ptsUnion Berlin · Attack 41.5 ptsUnion Berlin · Defence 41.4 ptsUnion Berlin · Form 38.0 ptsUnion Berlin · Consistency 56.1 ptsUnion Berlin · Squad Availability 90.0 % Strength profile radarCommon axes run from zero at the centre to 100 at the edge. Exact values appear alongside. A missing metric leaves the shape incomplete. 255075100 Power Attack Defence Form Consistency SquadAvailability FSV Mainz 05 · Power 55.1 ptsFSV Mainz 05 · Attack 68.4 ptsFSV Mainz 05 · Defence 55.7 ptsFSV Mainz 05 · Form 70.4 ptsFSV Mainz 05 · Consistency 55.1 ptsFSV Mainz 05 · Squad Availability 83.0 % Union Berlin · Power 39.3 ptsUnion Berlin · Attack 41.5 ptsUnion Berlin · Defence 41.4 ptsUnion Berlin · Form 38.0 ptsUnion Berlin · Consistency 56.1 ptsUnion Berlin · Squad Availability 90.0 %
Ratings · 0–100 · Availability is a percentage

Strength comparison

Point gaps · Availability in percentage points

55.1Power39.3
FSV Mainz 05 +15.8 pts
68.4Attack41.5
FSV Mainz 05 +26.9 pts
55.7Defence41.4
FSV Mainz 05 +14.3 pts
70.4Form38.0
FSV Mainz 05 +32.4 pts
55.1Consistency56.1
Union Berlin +1.0 pts
83.0%Squad Availability90.0%
Union Berlin +7.0 pp

Consistency measures variation in points minus LOAD90 expected points, centred on the club’s average gap. Higher means less variation, not better results. Squad Availability is the percentage of model-weighted squad available for the last completed match, using its saved pre-match snapshot. It does not predict readiness for the next match. Missing historical data stays unavailable.

What separates them

The Difference

  • FSV Mainz 05 shows better recent form.
  • FSV Mainz 05 has the stronger attacking profile.
  • FSV Mainz 05 has the higher Power rating.
  • Union Berlin had more of its weighted squad available for its last completed match.
Descriptive rating gaps, not a match forecast. Small gaps are left out; missing ratings are not compared.

FSV Mainz 05 · Form 5/5 · Consistency 20/20 covered matches · 2 pre-match / 18 historical forecast backfills · Availability · last completed match 17 Oct 2026

Union Berlin · Form 5/5 · Consistency 20/20 covered matches · 2 pre-match / 18 historical forecast backfills · Availability · last completed match 17 Oct 2026

How Consistency works

For each match, gap = points earned − LOAD90 expected points. Consistency = 100 × (1 − SD(gaps) / 3), with SD calculated around the window’s mean gap. The endpoints come from the mathematical bounds of point gaps; this is not a fitted percentile or a forecast factor. A constant positive or negative gap can be consistent.

Current uses the latest 20 completed tracked matches within one year. At least 15 usable forecasts and 75% coverage are required. A 15–19-match score is provisional; comparative Consistency insights require 20 each. Historical backfills are reconstructed expectations, not forecasts archived before kickoff. Result randomness and changes in model calibration can affect the score.

FSV Mainz 05 · Current gap SD 1.35 points · mean gap 0.16 · Full window

Union Berlin · Current gap SD 1.32 points · mean gap -0.10 · Full window

Playing Style · Current

Observed profile · last 10 matches before each club’s reference fixture. Native units and coverage are shown below.

Playing style radarEach axis has its own labelled native range, shared by both clubs and both periods. Grid rings mark quarters of those ranges. Exact values appear alongside; missing data leaves the shape incomplete. Possession 0–100 % Pass accuracy 0–100 % Shots in the box 0–100 % On target share 0–100 % Shot Frequency 0–6 shots/100 passes Corner Pressure 0–12 corners/90 FSV Mainz 05 · Possession 48.3 %FSV Mainz 05 · Pass accuracy 80.3 %FSV Mainz 05 · Shots in the box 75.3 %FSV Mainz 05 · On target share 36.3 %FSV Mainz 05 · Shot Frequency 4.1 shots/100 passesFSV Mainz 05 · Corner Pressure 4.8 corners/90 Union Berlin · Possession 45.1 %Union Berlin · Pass accuracy 76.6 %Union Berlin · Shots in the box 62.7 %Union Berlin · On target share 38.2 %Union Berlin · Shot Frequency 3.3 shots/100 passesUnion Berlin · Corner Pressure 4.1 corners/90 Playing style radarEach axis has its own labelled native range, shared by both clubs and both periods. Grid rings mark quarters of those ranges. Exact values appear alongside; missing data leaves the shape incomplete. Possession 0–100 % Passaccuracy 0–100 % Shots inthe box 0–100 % On targetshare 0–100 % ShotFrequency 0–6 shots/100 passes CornerPressure 0–12 corners/90 FSV Mainz 05 · Possession 48.3 %FSV Mainz 05 · Pass accuracy 80.3 %FSV Mainz 05 · Shots in the box 75.3 %FSV Mainz 05 · On target share 36.3 %FSV Mainz 05 · Shot Frequency 4.1 shots/100 passesFSV Mainz 05 · Corner Pressure 4.8 corners/90 Union Berlin · Possession 45.1 %Union Berlin · Pass accuracy 76.6 %Union Berlin · Shots in the box 62.7 %Union Berlin · On target share 38.2 %Union Berlin · Shot Frequency 3.3 shots/100 passesUnion Berlin · Corner Pressure 4.1 corners/90
Native units · axis ranges shown · larger is not better

How they play

Differences in each metric’s native units

48.3%Possession45.1%
FSV Mainz 05 +3.2 pp
80.3%Pass accuracy76.6%
FSV Mainz 05 +3.7 pp
75.3%Shots in the box62.7%
FSV Mainz 05 +12.6 pp
36.3%On target share38.2%
Union Berlin +1.9 pp
4.1Shot Frequency3.3
FSV Mainz 05 +0.8 shots/100 passes
4.8Corner Pressure4.1
FSV Mainz 05 +0.7 corners/90

Shot Frequency = shots per 100 passes on the same covered matches: how quickly passing sequences turn into attempts. Corner Pressure = corners per completed 90-minute game. These describe attacking tendencies, not strength; extra time and custom-length games are excluded.

These are observed profiles. League and schedule differences can affect them. The radar uses native axis ranges shared by both clubs and both periods; a larger shape does not imply superiority.

FSV Mainz 05 · Window 10 matches · before 24 Oct 2026 · Shot Frequency 10/10 · Corner Pressure 10/10 covered regulation matches. Per-metric coverage of the four percentage shares is unavailable.

Union Berlin · Window 10 matches · before 24 Oct 2026 · Shot Frequency 10/10 · Corner Pressure 10/10 covered regulation matches. Per-metric coverage of the four percentage shares is unavailable.

Strength Profile · Season Average

Match-sampled averages of available ratings this season, across tracked competitions. These are not time-weighted averages or a measure of consistency.

Strength profile radarCommon axes run from zero at the centre to 100 at the edge. Exact values appear alongside. A missing metric leaves the shape incomplete. 255075100 Power Attack Defence Form Consistency Squad Availability FSV Mainz 05 · Power 53.7 ptsFSV Mainz 05 · Form 50.0 ptsFSV Mainz 05 · Consistency 55.8 pts Union Berlin · Power 39.3 ptsUnion Berlin · Form 27.5 ptsUnion Berlin · Consistency 57.4 pts Strength profile radarCommon axes run from zero at the centre to 100 at the edge. Exact values appear alongside. A missing metric leaves the shape incomplete. 255075100 Power Attack Defence Form Consistency SquadAvailability FSV Mainz 05 · Power 53.7 ptsFSV Mainz 05 · Form 50.0 ptsFSV Mainz 05 · Consistency 55.8 pts Union Berlin · Power 39.3 ptsUnion Berlin · Form 27.5 ptsUnion Berlin · Consistency 57.4 pts
Ratings · 0–100 · Availability is a percentage

Strength comparison

Point gaps · Availability in percentage points

53.7Power39.3
FSV Mainz 05 +14.4 pts
—Attack—
Shared data unavailable
—Defence—
Shared data unavailable
50.0Form27.5
FSV Mainz 05 +22.5 pts
55.8Consistency57.4
Union Berlin +1.6 pts
—Squad Availability—
Shared data unavailable

Consistency measures variation in points minus LOAD90 expected points, centred on the club’s average gap. Higher means less variation, not better results. Squad Availability is the percentage of model-weighted squad available for the last completed match, using its saved pre-match snapshot. It does not predict readiness for the next match. Missing historical data stays unavailable.

What separates them

The Difference

  • FSV Mainz 05 has the higher average Form value.
  • FSV Mainz 05 has the higher average Power value.
Descriptive rating gaps, not a match forecast. Small gaps are left out; missing ratings are not compared.

FSV Mainz 05 · Power 6 · Attack 2 · Defence 2 · Form 3 · Consistency 6 · Squad Availability 2 · 2 pre-match / 4 historical Elo backfills. Minimum 3 observations per average. Consistency averages eligible rolling windows, which overlap; availability uses genuine pre-match snapshots only. Historical Form is reconstructed using the current calibration.

Union Berlin · Power 6 · Attack 2 · Defence 2 · Form 3 · Consistency 6 · Squad Availability 2 · 2 pre-match / 4 historical Elo backfills. Minimum 3 observations per average. Consistency averages eligible rolling windows, which overlap; availability uses genuine pre-match snapshots only. Historical Form is reconstructed using the current calibration.

How Consistency works

For each match, gap = points earned − LOAD90 expected points. Consistency = 100 × (1 − SD(gaps) / 3), with SD calculated around the window’s mean gap. The endpoints come from the mathematical bounds of point gaps; this is not a fitted percentile or a forecast factor. A constant positive or negative gap can be consistent.

Current uses the latest 20 completed tracked matches within one year. At least 15 usable forecasts and 75% coverage are required. A 15–19-match score is provisional; comparative Consistency insights require 20 each. Historical backfills are reconstructed expectations, not forecasts archived before kickoff. Result randomness and changes in model calibration can affect the score.

FSV Mainz 05 · Current gap SD 1.35 points · mean gap 0.16 · Full window

Union Berlin · Current gap SD 1.32 points · mean gap -0.10 · Full window

Playing Style · Season Average

Observed profile · league season before each club’s reference fixture. Native units and coverage are shown below.

Playing style radarEach axis has its own labelled native range, shared by both clubs and both periods. Grid rings mark quarters of those ranges. Exact values appear alongside; missing data leaves the shape incomplete. Possession 0–100 % Pass accuracy 0–100 % Shots in the box 0–100 % On target share 0–100 % Shot Frequency 0–6 shots/100 passes Corner Pressure 0–12 corners/90 FSV Mainz 05 · Possession 50.8 %FSV Mainz 05 · Pass accuracy 79.9 %FSV Mainz 05 · Shots in the box 75.7 %FSV Mainz 05 · On target share 33.6 %FSV Mainz 05 · Shot Frequency 4.0 shots/100 passesFSV Mainz 05 · Corner Pressure 4.8 corners/90 Union Berlin · Possession 44.0 %Union Berlin · Pass accuracy 74.6 %Union Berlin · Shots in the box 64.1 %Union Berlin · On target share 35.1 %Union Berlin · Shot Frequency 3.6 shots/100 passesUnion Berlin · Corner Pressure 4.0 corners/90 Playing style radarEach axis has its own labelled native range, shared by both clubs and both periods. Grid rings mark quarters of those ranges. Exact values appear alongside; missing data leaves the shape incomplete. Possession 0–100 % Passaccuracy 0–100 % Shots inthe box 0–100 % On targetshare 0–100 % ShotFrequency 0–6 shots/100 passes CornerPressure 0–12 corners/90 FSV Mainz 05 · Possession 50.8 %FSV Mainz 05 · Pass accuracy 79.9 %FSV Mainz 05 · Shots in the box 75.7 %FSV Mainz 05 · On target share 33.6 %FSV Mainz 05 · Shot Frequency 4.0 shots/100 passesFSV Mainz 05 · Corner Pressure 4.8 corners/90 Union Berlin · Possession 44.0 %Union Berlin · Pass accuracy 74.6 %Union Berlin · Shots in the box 64.1 %Union Berlin · On target share 35.1 %Union Berlin · Shot Frequency 3.6 shots/100 passesUnion Berlin · Corner Pressure 4.0 corners/90
Native units · axis ranges shown · larger is not better

How they play

Differences in each metric’s native units

50.8%Possession44.0%
FSV Mainz 05 +6.8 pp
79.9%Pass accuracy74.6%
FSV Mainz 05 +5.3 pp
75.7%Shots in the box64.1%
FSV Mainz 05 +11.6 pp
33.6%On target share35.1%
Union Berlin +1.5 pp
4.0Shot Frequency3.6
FSV Mainz 05 +0.4 shots/100 passes
4.8Corner Pressure4.0
FSV Mainz 05 +0.8 corners/90

Shot Frequency = shots per 100 passes on the same covered matches: how quickly passing sequences turn into attempts. Corner Pressure = corners per completed 90-minute game. These describe attacking tendencies, not strength; extra time and custom-length games are excluded.

These are observed profiles. League and schedule differences can affect them. The radar uses native axis ranges shared by both clubs and both periods; a larger shape does not imply superiority.

FSV Mainz 05 · Window 6 matches · before 24 Oct 2026 · Shot Frequency 6/6 · Corner Pressure 6/6 covered regulation matches. Per-metric coverage of the four percentage shares is unavailable.

Union Berlin · Window 6 matches · before 24 Oct 2026 · Shot Frequency 6/6 · Corner Pressure 6/6 covered regulation matches. Per-metric coverage of the four percentage shares is unavailable.

The season so far

Historical Trend

Power · 0–100

Base Power at recorded match dates. Solid lines join saved pre-match ratings; dashed segments include historical Elo backfills. The same fixed scale is used for both clubs.

Season Power historyAvailable pre-match Power observations and historical Elo backfills. Lines connect observations, not daily measurements. Exact dates and values are available in the table below. 0255075100 FSV Mainz 05 · 2026-08-29 13:30:00 UTC · 53.1 · backfill FSV Mainz 05 · 2026-09-06 13:30:00 UTC · 52.2 · backfill FSV Mainz 05 · 2026-09-12 13:30:00 UTC · 56.1 · backfill FSV Mainz 05 · 2026-09-19 13:30:00 UTC · 52.8 · backfill FSV Mainz 05 · 2026-10-10 13:30:00 UTC · 54.6 · pre FSV Mainz 05 · 2026-10-17 13:30:00 UTC · 53.1 · pre Union Berlin · 2026-08-29 13:30:00 UTC · 41.3 · backfill Union Berlin · 2026-09-05 13:30:00 UTC · 41 · backfill Union Berlin · 2026-09-11 18:30:00 UTC · 40.1 · backfill Union Berlin · 2026-09-18 18:30:00 UTC · 37.5 · backfill Union Berlin · 2026-10-10 13:30:00 UTC · 37.3 · pre Union Berlin · 2026-10-17 13:30:00 UTC · 38.5 · pre 29 Aug 202617 Oct 2026
FSV Mainz 05Union Berlin
View history data and coverage
ClubDate (UTC)PowerSource
FSV Mainz 052026-08-29 13:30:0053.1Historical Elo backfill
FSV Mainz 052026-09-06 13:30:0052.2Historical Elo backfill
FSV Mainz 052026-09-12 13:30:0056.1Historical Elo backfill
FSV Mainz 052026-09-19 13:30:0052.8Historical Elo backfill
FSV Mainz 052026-10-10 13:30:0054.6Saved pre-match
FSV Mainz 052026-10-17 13:30:0053.1Saved pre-match
Union Berlin2026-08-29 13:30:0041.3Historical Elo backfill
Union Berlin2026-09-05 13:30:0041.0Historical Elo backfill
Union Berlin2026-09-11 18:30:0040.1Historical Elo backfill
Union Berlin2026-09-18 18:30:0037.5Historical Elo backfill
Union Berlin2026-10-10 13:30:0037.3Saved pre-match
Union Berlin2026-10-17 13:30:0038.5Saved pre-match
Chances, finishing & results

Efficiency

From chances to results. Exact values share a scale within each row; colours identify the clubs.

Last 10

FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
ConversionGoals / shots · %
12.9% 10/10 covered
12.2% 10/10 covered
Save RateSaves / shots on target faced · %
57.8% 9/10 covered
57.1% 9/10 covered
Goals − xGFinishing gap · per match
-0.01 10/10 covered
+0.19 10/10 covered
xGA − GAGoals prevented · per match
-0.21 10/10 covered
-0.30 10/10 covered
Shot QualityObserved xG / shot
0.129 10/10 covered
0.106 10/10 covered
Shot VolumeShots / 90
17.1 10/10 covered
12.3 10/10 covered
xG / matchLeague season · fixed window
2.14 6/6 covered
1.17 6/6 covered
xGA / matchLeague season · fixed window
1.35 6/6 covered
2.09 6/6 covered
Points / gameLeague season · fixed window
1.67 6/6 league matches
0.83 6/6 league matches
Points vs expected · Form windowUp to 5 matches · stored pure forecasts
+1.75 5/5 Form window
-0.81 5/5 Form window

FSV Mainz 05 · Statistics before 24 Oct 2026 · Recent results W · L · W · L · W

Union Berlin · Statistics before 24 Oct 2026 · Recent results D · W · L · L · L

League season

FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
ConversionGoals / shots · %
13.1% 6/6 covered
6.5% 6/6 covered
Save RateSaves / shots on target faced · %
56.5% 5/6 covered
56.4% 5/6 covered
Goals − xGFinishing gap · per match
+0.20 6/6 covered
-0.34 6/6 covered
xGA − GAGoals prevented · per match
-0.32 6/6 covered
-0.75 6/6 covered
Shot QualityObserved xG / shot
0.120 6/6 covered
0.091 6/6 covered
Shot VolumeShots / 90
17.8 6/6 covered
12.8 6/6 covered
xG / matchLeague season · fixed window
2.14 6/6 covered
1.17 6/6 covered
xGA / matchLeague season · fixed window
1.35 6/6 covered
2.09 6/6 covered
Points / gameLeague season · fixed window
1.67 6/6 league matches
0.83 6/6 league matches
Points vs expected · Form windowUp to 5 matches · stored pure forecasts
+1.75 5/5 Form window
-0.81 5/5 Form window

FSV Mainz 05 · Statistics before 24 Oct 2026 · Recent results W · L · W · L · W

Union Berlin · Statistics before 24 Oct 2026 · Recent results D · W · L · L · L

Positive Goals − xG means more goals scored than the observed chances predicted. Positive xGA − GA means fewer goals conceded than those chances predicted; it reflects defence and goalkeeping together. Gaps are per covered match and pair goals and xG on the same matches. Shot Quality pairs total xG and total shots. Minimum three known matches per metric; missing data stays unavailable.

Butterfly bars grow from the centre towards each club. Length shows magnitude, not superiority; negative gaps use stripes and a minus sign. Percentages use 0–100%, PPG uses 0–3; other rows share the larger absolute value as their limit. xG, xGA and PPG retain their league-season window. Points vs expected retains the latest up to five completed matches with stored pure forecasts across tracked competitions; results are newest first. These observed metrics are not adjusted for league or opponent strength.

About this comparison

Strength ratings share LOAD90’s fixed scales across leagues. Elo reflects opponent quality; Attack and Defence describe performance against the same reference club on a neutral pitch. Form adjusts for opponents and venue. League Strength is not added a second time. Cross-league ratings remain model estimates; sparse connections between leagues and incomplete data limit precision. Explore the methodology →